2/21 Trends and Forecasts

[crswir]

Monday, February 21st

Notre Dame at Connecticut, 7:00 ET
Notre Dame - 7-0 ATS away off a win
Connecticut - 2-8 ATS off BB games scoring 85+ points

Florida International at New Orleans, 8:00 ET
Florida Int - 17-33 ATS playing with 1 or 0 days rest
New Orleans - 10-3 ATS after playing 4+ games as an underdog

Kansas at Oklahoma, 9:00 ET
Kansas - 5-1 ATS away vs. conference opponents
Oklahoma - 4-13 ATS off BB Overs

Utah at New Mexico, 9:00 ET
Utah - 6-1 ATS as a road favorite
New Mexico - 0-5 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less

UNLV at Colorado State, 9:00 ET
UNLV - 9-1 ATS off BB conference wins
Colorado State - 0-6 ATS at home in February

BYU at Air Force, 9:05 ET
BYU - 0-7 ATS playing with revenge
Air Force - 6-1 ATS off an ATS loss

Tulsa at Nevada, 10:05 ET
Tulsa - 3-10 ATS away revenging a home loss
Nevada - 11-1 ATS off BB home wins

Rice at Fresno State, 10:05 ET
Rice - 5-1 ATS off a home loss
Fresno State - 2-10 ATS as a favorite

San Diego State at Wyoming, 12:00 ET
San Diego State - 5-1 ATS away off BB losses
Wyoming - 10-23 ATS off a straight up loss

Texas El Paso at Hawaii, 11:59 ET
UTEP - 5-1 ATS away off BB games scoring 30 or less first-half points
Hawaii - 1-6 ATS at home off an Over


Added Games:

Marist at Iona, 4:00 ET
Marist - 6-1 ATS playing with revenge
Iona - 1-5 ATS away off BB conference losses

St. Peters at Fairfield, 6:15 ET
St. Peters - 2-7 ATS vs. Fairfield
Fairfield - 8-2 ATS off BB losses

Georgia Southern at Wofford, 7:00 ET
Georgia Southern - 8-1 ATS away with a line of +3 to -3
Wofford - 0-6 ATS after playing BB games as a home favorite

Tennessee Chattanooga at East Tennessee State, 7:00 ET
Tennessee Chatt - 1-5 ATS off ATS wins in 2 of their last 3 games
East Tenn State - 6-1 ATS at home revenging a same-season loss


Write-In Game:

**Boise State at San Jose State, 10:00 ET
Boise State - 1-7 ATS as a road underdog
San Jose State - 8-2 ATS after playing as a road underdog


**Denotes Time Change

Today's Games
MST Our Favored Team Rating Sprd Our Underdog Team Rating
2:00p Iona** MSG - DTV 81.8 3½ Marist 78.5
4:15p Fairfield* MSG - DTV 82.0 4½ St. Peter's 82.7
5:00p Connecticut* ESPN 100.1 10 Notre Dame 95.0
5:00p East Tennessee St.* 78.2 1 Chattanooga 82.4
5:00p Georgia Southern 86.1 ½ Wofford* 80.5
6:00p New Orleans* 85.8 10 Fla. International 81.0
7:00p Colorado State* ALT - DTV 85.2 ½ UN-Las Vegas 89.5
7:00p Oklahoma* ESPN 96.1 ½ Kansas 100.8
7:00p Utah DTV 98.9 1½ New Mexico* 92.5
7:05p Air Force* SW - DTV 91.4 10½ B.Y.U. 85.7
8:00p San Jose State* 78.2 2 Boise State 81.3
8:05p Fresno State* 83.7 2½ Rice 86.3
8:05p Nevada* 94.2 15 Tulsa 84.1
10:00p Wyoming* ESPN 89.0 9½ San Diego State 84.4
10:05p Hawaii* 87.0 1½ UT-El Paso 90.6
* Home Team = +5 pts. ** Neutral Court
[B]

[Spark]

Notre Dame beat UConn 78-74; Huskies won five in a row in Big East since, covering last four. Irish are 5-0 as road underdog, 6-1-1 vs spread in last eight games overall. UConn is 2-3 as home fave, winning by 14,22 and 5 pts.

Third game in five nights for New Orleans, which upset Lousiana Tech Saturday; underdogs are 4-1 vs spread in last five home games. Florida International won last two games after 1-8 start; they're 3-3 as underdog on road, with losses by 10,5,17,13,16 points.

Kansas lost its last two games, both in OT; they're 5-1 as Big 12 road favorite, winning by 5,15,20,13,9 pts. Oklahoma is 5-1 at home in Big 12, winning by 30,4, 10,4 and 23; they covered just two of last seven games Jayhawks pounded Oklahoma by 21 last season.

Utah is 11-0 in Mountain West, 5-1 as road fave, with wins by 25,13,14,4,1,20 pts; they beat New Mexico 69-58 in first meeting. Lobos won five of last six games and are 4-1 as MWC home fave. Home team is 8-2 in their conference games this season.

UNLV beat Colorado State 86-77 in first meeting this season; Rebels covered last three games and six of last eight. Rams are 2-9 in league, but covered their last 3 games; favorites are 4-1 vs the spread in their MWC home games. Rebels are 2-3 SU on MWC road.

Air Force won 52-49 in Provo in first meeting, but they lost three of last four SU. Flyobys are 4-1 at home in league; they had their 24-game home win streak ended by Utah Sat. BYU is 1-4 on MWC road, with losses by 7,12,8,19 pts; they're 0-4 vs spread on MWC road

Nevada won, covered their last six games; they're 4-1 as WAC home fave, winning by 15,3,18,14,18,15 pts. Tulsa covered four of last five games; they're 3-2 as a WAC road dog, with losses by 1,35,12,7,6,2 points. Wolf Pack won 75-69 in first meeting, at Tulsa.

Rice lost six of last eight games as they flounder down stretch without true PG; they beat Fresno 83-68 in first meeting, as 6-pt fave. Bulldogs are 0-6 as WAC home favorite, as dog covered all seven of their home games in league, plsu they lost to Buffalo in Bracket Buster.

Wyoming won 88-81 in OT at San Diego in first game between two this year, one of three overtime losses by Aztecs in league- they're 1-12 in OT games under the tutelage of Fisher. Cowboys covered four of last five MWC home games; they lost to UNLV in their last game. Aztecs lost their last two games in overtime.

UTEP won 71-70 in first meeting vs Hawaii, as 11-pt meeting; this is third game in five days for Miners, who lost at Pacific Saturday but are 2-0 as WAC road dog, 4-3 SU on WAC road. Rainbows lost at home in last game; they're 3-3 as home fave, winning by 26,12,3,3 and 14 pts- they're 1-3 in last four games overall.

Boise State beat San Jose 72-62 in first meeting, but Broncos lost six of last seven games and are 1-6 as a road dog, losing by 7,18,33,9,16,13,14 pts. Spartans are fave for first time in WAC this year; they failed to cover last four games and are 3-10 in league. Boise is 4-10 in their conference games.

Marist ended six-game loss streak with win at Siena in last game; they lost 96-85 at home to Iona in the first meeting of season. Gaels allowed 77 ppg in losing last two games; they're 1-5 as MAAC home fave, as dogs covered ten of their fourteen conference games.

St Peter's beat Fairfield in OT of first meeting, 77-76; Peacocks won seven of last eight games, winning last four, all by five or less points. Stags are 4-3 at home in MAAC, 9-6 overall. St Peter's is 2-3 as road dog, as they lost by 6,11,5 and 5 points.

Georgia Southern beat Wofford 79-76 in first meeting; they covered last five league games and are 4-1 as dog in Southern Conference, but just 3-4 SU on road. The Terriers won five of last seven games, but they're 1-3 as home fave, 1-5 as Southern Conference favorite.

Chattanooga routed East Tennessee 93-59 first game they played this year; Mocs are 3-1 in last four games and 9-5 overall; visitor is 9-5 vs spread in their league games. ETSU is 3-4 at home in Southern; they are 3-1 vs spread in their last four games.

[THICK 1]

RICE (13 - 10) at FRESNO ST (14 - 10) - 2/21/2005, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RICE is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
RICE is 29-52 ATS (-28.2 Units) in road games since 1997.
RICE is 29-52 ATS (-28.2 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
RICE is 22-42 ATS (-24.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
RICE is 11-27 ATS (-18.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
FRESNO ST is 1-6 ATS (-5.6 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games this season.
FRESNO ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
FRESNO ST is 1-5 ATS (-4.5 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in February games this season.
FRESNO ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
FRESNO ST is 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
RICE is 4-1 against the spread versus FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
RICE is 4-1 straight up against FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SAN DIEGO ST (10 - 13) at WYOMING (14 - 10) - 2/21/2005, 11:59 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WYOMING is 26-46 ATS (-24.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WYOMING is 26-46 ATS (-24.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO ST is 3-2 against the spread versus WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO ST is 3-2 straight up against WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


UTEP (20 - 7) at HAWAII (14 - 8) - 2/21/2005, 11:59 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAWAII is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
HAWAII is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
HAWAII is 1-5 ATS (-4.5 Units) when playing with one or less days rest this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
HAWAII is 3-2 against the spread versus UTEP over the last 3 seasons
HAWAII is 3-2 straight up against UTEP over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MARIST (11 - 13) vs. IONA (11 - 14) - 2/21/2005, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARIST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games this season.
MARIST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
MARIST is 5-1 ATS (+3.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
IONA is 3-2 against the spread versus MARIST over the last 3 seasons
IONA is 3-2 straight up against MARIST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ST PETERS (13 - 11) at FAIRFIELD (12 - 13) - 2/21/2005, 6:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
FAIRFIELD is 4-1 against the spread versus ST PETERS over the last 3 seasons
FAIRFIELD is 4-2 straight up against ST PETERS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


GA SOUTHERN (16 - 11) at WOFFORD (13 - 12) - 2/21/2005, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GA SOUTHERN is 5-1 ATS (+3.9 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons.
GA SOUTHERN is 5-1 ATS (+3.9 Units) in February games this season.
GA SOUTHERN is 5-1 ATS (+3.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
GA SOUTHERN is 4-2 against the spread versus WOFFORD over the last 3 seasons
GA SOUTHERN is 5-1 straight up against WOFFORD over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


UT-CHATTANOOGA (16 - 9) at E TENN ST (9 - 16) - 2/21/2005, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E TENN ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
UT-CHATTANOOGA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games after allowing 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
UT-CHATTANOOGA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
E TENN ST is 1-5 ATS (-4.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
E TENN ST is 5-1 against the spread versus UT-CHATTANOOGA over the last 3 seasons
E TENN ST is 4-2 straight up against UT-CHATTANOOGA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BOISE ST (11 - 15) at SAN JOSE ST (6 - 17) - 2/21/2005, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
BOISE ST is 6-1 ATS (+4.9 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 42-23 ATS (+16.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
BOISE ST is 4-1 against the spread versus SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 5-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons