Trends and Forecasts 2/18

[crswir]

Today's Games
MST Our Favored Team Rating Sprd Our Underdog Team Rating
5:00p Cornell 80.6 0 Dartmouth* 75.5
5:00p Harvard* 81.8 10 Columbia 77.0
5:00p Pennsylvania YES 90.5 8 Brown* 77.5
5:00p Siena* 73.2 1 Marist 77.4
5:00p St. Peter's* 82.9 6½ Iona 81.6
5:00p Yale* 79.4 3½ Princeton 80.9
* Home Team = +5 pts. ** Neutral Court

[Spark]

Columbia at Harvard, 7:00 ET
Columbia - 23-8 ATS away in February
Harvard - 2-8 ATS as a favorite

Princeton at Yale, 7:00 ET
Princeton - 10-2 ATS as a road underdog
Yale - 1-11 ATS at home after playing as a favorite

Cornell at Dartmouth, 7:00 ET
Cornell - 11-3 ATS away after scoring 50 points or less
Dartmouth - 9-21 ATS as a home underdog

Pennsylvania at Brown, 7:00 ET
Pennsylvania - 9-2 ATS away off a conference win by 10+ points
Brown - 3-10 ATS off a combined score of 110 points or less


Added Games:

Marist at Siena, 7:00 ET
Marist - 9-1 ATS off a road game
Siena - 2-8 ATS off a home game

Iona at St. Peters, 7:00 ET
Iona - 5-1 Under away off BB conference games
St. Peters - 9-1 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less


**Denotes Time Change

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Additional Trends:Friday, 2/18/2005


COLUMBIA (12 - 9) at HARVARD (9 - 12) - 2/18/2005, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLUMBIA is 34-14 ATS (+18.6 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
COLUMBIA is 61-36 ATS (+21.4 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
COLUMBIA is 50-29 ATS (+18.1 Units) in road games in all games since 1997.
COLUMBIA is 50-29 ATS (+18.1 Units) in road games in all lined games since 1997.
COLUMBIA is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) in road games in February games since 1997.
COLUMBIA is 44-25 ATS (+16.5 Units) in road games since 1997.
COLUMBIA is 44-25 ATS (+16.5 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
COLUMBIA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
COLUMBIA is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.
HARVARD is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
HARVARD is 1-6 ATS (-5.6 Units) in home games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
HARVARD is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBIA is 4-1 against the spread versus HARVARD over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBIA is 3-2 straight up against HARVARD over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


PRINCETON (11 - 10) at YALE (7 - 12) - 2/18/2005, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
YALE is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
YALE is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
PRINCETON is 4-1 against the spread versus YALE over the last 3 seasons
PRINCETON is 5-0 straight up against YALE over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CORNELL (10 - 11) at DARTMOUTH (6 - 15) - 2/18/2005, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CORNELL is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
CORNELL is 47-25 ATS (+19.5 Units) in road games since 1997.
CORNELL is 47-25 ATS (+19.5 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
DARTMOUTH is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
DARTMOUTH is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games as an underdog since 1997.
DARTMOUTH is 18-38 ATS (-23.8 Units) in home games in all games since 1997.
DARTMOUTH is 18-38 ATS (-23.8 Units) in all home games since 1997.
DARTMOUTH is 18-38 ATS (-23.8 Units) in home games in all lined games since 1997.
DARTMOUTH is 18-38 ATS (-23.8 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
DARTMOUTH is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games on Friday nights since 1997.
DARTMOUTH is 6-21 ATS (-17.1 Units) in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
DARTMOUTH is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
DARTMOUTH is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in home games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
DARTMOUTH is 4-1 against the spread versus CORNELL over the last 3 seasons
CORNELL is 3-2 straight up against DARTMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


PENNSYLVANIA (14 - 7) at BROWN (9 - 11) - 2/18/2005, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROWN is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
BROWN is 6-1 ATS (+4.9 Units) in home games as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
BROWN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
BROWN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
BROWN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
PENNSYLVANIA is 6-1 ATS (+4.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
BROWN is 4-1 against the spread versus PENNSYLVANIA over the last 3 seasons
PENNSYLVANIA is 3-2 straight up against BROWN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MARIST (10 - 13) at SIENA (4 - 21) - 2/18/2005, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARIST is 6-1 ATS (+4.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
MARIST is 5-2 against the spread versus SIENA over the last 3 seasons
SIENA is 4-3 straight up against MARIST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


IONA (11 - 13) at ST PETERS (12 - 11) - 2/18/2005, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IONA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
IONA is 6-1 ATS (+4.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.
IONA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
IONA is 3-2 against the spread versus ST PETERS over the last 3 seasons
IONA is 4-1 straight up against ST PETERS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Spark]

Yale led 26-24 at half in first matchup vs Princeton, but host was 27-31 from foul line for game, Yale just 8-14 as they fell, 58-43, one of only two wins in seven Ivy tilts for disappointing Tigers. Yale won both its games at home in league, but is 3-3 overall, losing by 24,5,15.

Columbia is 0-3 on Ivy League road, losing by 30,7,10 points, but they beat Harvard 57-55 in first meeting, as Crimson shot 34% from floor, Lions 37.7%; game was 24-12 Columbia at half. Harvard is 4-4 in Ivy, 2-1 at home; they covered five of their last six games.

Cornell won four of last five games, but lost at Penn in last game pretty much ended Ivy race; they beat Big Green 63-58 in Ithaca, after trialing 23-21 at halftime. Dartmouth is 3-5 in Ivy, 3-2 as road dog, with losses by 2,19,5 and 13 points. Ivy hosts, 11-15 vs spread

Penn hammered Brown 83-60 in first meeting, as the Quakers shot 63.5% for game, opening up 44-23 lead at the half. Bruins are disappointing, losing four of last five games; they lost pair of home games last week to teams they should beat, Dartmouth and Harvard.

Marist lost last six games after 7-1 start in MAAC; in first game vs Siena, Foxes pulled away for 77-66 win over coach Brady's alma mater, which is 4-21, losing last four games. Diminishing home crowds (high school games in Albany drawing more fans) means Siena's home court edge really not happening this season.

When Iona beat St Peter's 93-88 in first meeting, the Peacocks were 1-6 in MAAC; since then, they're 6-1, twice coming back from 17-point halftime deficits to beat Siena; bad news is, how do you get down 17 to an awful Siena team? Iona is 7-2 in last nine games