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  • Trends Thursday

    Louisville embarrassed Marquette in first game, 99-52 in game that Diener missed for Eagles, but he is back and Marquette is 5-6 in C-USA, failing to cover all 4 of its home games- they're 1-4 as C-USA dog; five of their six league losses are by 10+ points.

    Villanova is 5-5 in Big East, 2-3 on road; visitor is 8-2 vs spread in their league games, with Wildcats 1-0 as a road favorite- their road wins are by 5(ot),33 points. Seton Hall is 1-4 vs spread at home, 0-2 as home dog with losses by 1,9,8 points.

    Illinois-Chicago beat Loyola 64-58 in first meeting with crosstown rival; UIC is 7-6 in league, 3-2 as favorite at home, with wins by 6,17,6,24 and 6 pts. Ramblers are 2-2-1 as road dog, with losses by 17,14 and 28 points Flames are 3-4 in their last seven games.

    Middle Tennessee won 70-68 at Arkansas State in the first meeting; both sides are 5-6 in Sun Belt, with ASU losing last four games. Indians are 3-1 as road dog in league, as dogs covered five of their six road tilts. ASU has road losses by 17,16,4,16 points.

    Denver routed North Texas 79-52 in first meeting; they are 4-1 vs spread on Sun Belt road, with wins by 6,13, and 5 points- they lost last two on road. North Texas is 4-7 in Sun Belt, 1-1 as home dog, with losses by 7,3 7 and 1 point- they lost Saturday, when they led 38-13 in first half, and lost 93-92.

    Arkansas-Little Rick came from behind and beat West Kentucky in first meeting, 69-66; they're 7-4 in league, winning last three games, 3-3 on road, with losses by 35,10,4(5ot) points. Hilltoppers won six in row and 8 of last nine games, but they're 1-4 as home favorite.

    UL-Lafayette is 9-2 in Sun Belt, New Mexico St 1-10 but Cajuns needed OT to win first matchup, 89-79 in Las Cruces. ULL is 4-2 as home favorite, with wins by 17,15,10,22 and 12 points. Aggies are 3-2 as dog on road, with losses by 3,9,2,12 points.

    New Orleans is 6-5 in Sun Belt, 4-1 vs spread on road with losses by 12,17,12 points; they beat So Alabama 71-51 in Sun Belt opener. Jaguars are 4-7 in Sun Belt, 2-1 as home fave, with wins by 9,7 points; they're 2-4 in last six games, UNO is 4-5 in last nine.

    Arizona won 74-66 at Eugene Jan 20, first of six losses in row for Oregon, which ended skid in last game; they are 1-4 as road dog, with losses by 21,3,19,4 points. Arizona won nine of last ten games and covered last 4 but they did lose at home to Washington State; they're 4-3 as a home favorite, with wins by 8,9,3,9,21,18 pts

    Home team is 10-2 vs spread in Oregon St's Pac-10 games, with Beavers 1-4 as road dog, losing by 9,18, 40,4 and 25 points- they beat Arizona State 88-66 in first meeting at Corvallis. Sun Devils lost last three in a row and are 1-4 as home favorite.

    Gonzaga is 9-2 in WCC; they won at San Diego by 12 Jan 22; they won last six games but are 2-3 as a home favorite, with wins by 11,24,12,5 and 17 pts. USD is 3-2 as road underdog, with losses by 16,5,10,12 pts. Toreros won their last three games.

    Duke routed Virginia Tech 100-65 on Jan 30; Hokies are 1-4 in last five ganmes, 2-2 as home dog, with Ls by 34,20 points in five home games. Duke is 3-1 as a road favorite, with wins by 12,9,32 points; they're 3-3 in last six games, losing last two on the road.

    Long Beach won its last two games after 1-10 start in Big West; they lost 78-58 at Irvine in first meeting. Cal Irvine is 5-8 in league, 2-4 on road; they're 1-3 in last four games. 49ers split their last six games, winning 3 of last four at home. Irvine is 0-7 as fave, 0-2 on road.

    Riverside got ripped at Utah State, 77-52; they're 1-6 in last seven Big West games, 1-1 as home dog, with losses by 9,21 points. Aggies are 9-3 in league, with 7 wins in last eight games; they had win streak broken as Pacific scored 8 points in last 28 seconds Saturday. Utah State covered their last five road games.

    Pepperdine split last four games after five-game losing streak; they're 1-2-1 as road dog, losing by 10,24,17 and 4 points. Santa Clara came to Malibu and beat the Waves, 83-71; they're 4-1 vs spread at home, 2-1 as home fave, with wins by 13,12,2 points.

    Stanford will miss Grunfeld, who blew knee out in last game; they won 78-70 at USC in first game. Cardinal is 2-2 as home fave, with wins by 11,4,19,15 points. Trojans ended five-game loss streak in last game; they are 3-2 as road dog, with losses by 7,10,9,30,8 pts.

    San Francisco beat Portland 74-70 in OT in last game; they lost last four games and are 2-2 as road dog, with losses by 3,7,4,8 points. Pilots lost five of last 7 games they're 3-0-1 as home fave, with wins by 10,17,13 pts WCC home favorites are 13-15 vs spread.

    St Mary's won 83-66 in first meeting at LMU; they are 1-3 as home fave, with wins by 21,8,10,4 pts. Loyola is 3-8 in WCC, 3-2 as road dog, with losses by 11,17, 11 and 7 points; they covered four of last five. Gaels in running for NCAA bid, need to win out until they meet Gonzaga in finals of WCC tournament.

    Fullerton lost 61-58 at Idaho in first meeting; Titans are 7-5 in Big West, 3-2 as home favorite, with wins by 3, 17,23 and 9 points; this is their first home game in 18 days. Vandals are 3-1 as road dog, with losses by 4,9, 1,1,14 points. Fullerton won five of last six games.

    UCLA covered four of five games (3-2SU) since loss at home to Cal, 64-51 on Jan 22. Bruins covered their last six games as road dog; they're 4-3 SU on road in Pac-10. Cal is 4-2 in last six games, 5-7 overall in Pac 10. Faves are 4-1 vs spread in their home games.

    Georgia Southern is 9-4 in Southern Conference; they shot 16-28 on 3-balls Monday; they routed Furman by 18 in first meeting, 81-63. Paladins are 4-2 as favorite at home, losing only to unbeaten Davidson. Eagles are 1-1 as road dog; they're 3-3 on Southern Conf. road.

    Charleston beat Wofford 81-77 in first meeting; they're 1-4 in last five road games and 0-4 vs spread in last 4 overall. Terriers lost three of last four home games, as visitor is 7-4-1 vs spread in their games. Charleston is 8-5 in league, but lost tough home game to Davidson in last game Monday night.

    Chattanooga lost its last four road games; they won by 20 in first game vs Western Carolina. UTC is 10-3 in league, 1-5 vs spread on road, 0-3 as a road favorite. WCU is 3-10 in league, 1-5 vs spread at home, with losses by 9,6,23 and 3 points.

    SE Missouri State won, covered its last seven games and is 5-1 vs spread on road, winning last three on the road. Eastern Kentucky is 4-1 at home in OVC, with wins by 12,12,24,14 points. OVC home favorites are 22-19 vs spread this season.

    Morehead State lost four of last five games, with all 4 losses by 14+ points; they're 2-2 at home, 3-6 as dog in league games. Eastern Illinois is 5-7 in OVC, 1-5 on road; they're 5-3 in last eight games after 0-4 start on road. Eastern Illinois beat Morehead last year, 76-59.

    Murray State is 3-2 on OVC road; this is road game in February for Racers, who had home game Tuesday vs UT-Martin. Tennessee State is 4-0 at home in OVC, as host is 10-2 SU in their games. Murray won 82-74 in first meeting, as 8.5-point favorite.

    Austin Peay is 6-1 at home in OVC; they lost 73-71 at Samford twelve nights ago, in OT. Bulldogs are 9-3 in OVC, but lost last two road games- they split last six games, after 6-0 start. Underdog covered three of last four Peay games; they won at home Tuesday night.

    Tennessee Tech is 5-0 at home in OVC, 3-1 as home favorite, with wins by 14,2,23,14 and 21 points; they lost in double OT at Jacksonville State 12 nights ago, one of only two Gamecock wins. JSU is 3-1 as a road dog, with losses by 12,6,19 and 3 points.

    Montana State is 8-2 in Big Sky, but is getting points from Northern Arizona club that is 3-8, but 3-1 as fave at home, with wins by 15,18,13 points. Bobcats won first meeting, 88-68 in Bozeman; they're 3-2 on road in Big Sky, but lost last two, by 14,17 points.

    Sacramento State lost 84-72 at Montana; they're 4-1 at home in Big sky, losing only to first-place Portland. Grizzlies won five of last seven games but are 2-3 on Big Sky road. Home teams are 27-16 vs spread in Big Sky games so far this season.

    Weber State is 4-8 in Big Sky, 1-5 as road dog, with losses by 11,15,6,24,8,13 points; they beat Eastern by five points in first meeting, 83-78. Eagles lost last four games but are 3-1 as home favorite, with wins by 4,3, 14 points. Home side is 9-3 vs spread in Weber games

    Today's Tips:
    Portland State, -12-- Last home game for Portland State squad that is 9-2 in Big Sky, half-game in front of pack; they're 4-2 as fave at home, with wins by 11,10, 13,12,1,17 pts- they lost at Pocatello, 72-69, but won five straight since. Idaho State is 1-3 as road dog, with losses by 2,18,17,17. 30 lomaxes, Portland St -12.

  • #2
    Thursday's games
    Game of the Day:
    Mavericks @ Suns-- Nash vs his old team, which won six of last eight games (over 6-1-1). Dallas won its last four road games; they lost at home to Suns 107-101 on Nov 16. Phoenix went over total in ten of last dozen games; they're 0-5-1 vs spread in last six, as their last twelve opponents scored 102 or more points.

    Elsewhere, Cavaliers won four of last five games; they pounded Atlanta last night, but are on road for first time in two weeks, and they lost last three road games, all vs eastern teams. McHale's dysfunctional Timberwolves are 1-1 under his tutelage, and Cassell is still hurt; their last four games stayed under the total. Garnett supposedly has sore knees, might play less minutes rest of season.

    Comment


    • #3
      Thursday, February 17th

      Cleveland at Minnesota, 8:05 ET
      Cleveland - 1-4 ATS vs. Minnesota
      Minnesota - 14-5-1 ATS after allowing <40% shooting in a win

      Dallas at Phoenix, 10:35 ET
      Dallas - 5-17 ATS after winning with <10 offensive rebounds
      Phoenix - 8-0 ATS as favorite after shooting 55% or better


      **Denotes Time Change

      Thursday, February 17, 2005
      MST TV Hoops Index Forecast
      6:00p TNT Minnesota* 2½ over Cleveland
      8:30p TNT Phoenix* 6 over Dallas
      ================================================== ============
      Thursday, February 17th

      **Louisville at Marquette, 6:55 ET
      Louisville - 5-14 ATS in February
      Marquette - 13-4 ATS after forcing 8 or less turnovers

      Villanova at Seton Hall, 7:30 ET
      Villanova - 8-2 ATS after scoring 85+ points
      Seton Hall - 1-8 ATS in home games

      Loyola Chicago at Illinois Chicago, 8:00 ET
      Loyola Chicago - 6-18 ATS away off BB home games
      Illinois Chicago - 7-1 ATS off a loss as a favorite

      Arkansas State at Middle Tennessee State, 8:00 ET
      Arkansas State - 7-1 ATS away off a road conference loss
      Mid Tenn State - 1-6 ATS after playing as an underdog

      **Denver at North Texas, 8:30 ET
      Denver - 9-2 ATS as a favorite
      North Texas - 4-12 ATS after scoring 80+ points

      Arkansas Little Rock at Western Kentucky, 8:00 ET
      Ark Little Rock - 2-9 ATS away off a win as an underdog
      Western Kentucky - 5-1 ATS at home off BB wins

      New Mexico State at Louisiana Lafayette, 8:05 ET
      New Mexico State - 2-9 ATS playing with revenge
      LA Lafayette - 8-1 ATS off BB home wins

      New Orleans at South Alabama, 8:05 ET
      New Orleans - 6-1 ATS off a conference loss by 10+ points
      South Alabama - 1-6 ATS at home off a win as an underdog

      Oregon at Arizona, 8:30 ET
      Oregon - 2-12 ATS away after losing 3 of their last 4 games
      Arizona - 9-2 ATS after winning 4 of their last 5 games

      Oregon State at Arizona State, 9:00 ET
      Oregon State - 1-5 ATS away off a conference game
      Arizona State - 5-1 ATS off 3+ conference losses

      San Diego at Gonzaga, 9:00 ET
      San Diego - 8-2 ATS off a conference game
      Gonzaga - 1-6 ATS off 4+ games forcing 14 or less turnovers

      Duke at Virginia Tech, 9:00 ET
      Duke - 7-1 ATS away after allowing 90+ points
      Virginia Tech - 2-8 ATS at home off a loss by 6 points or less

      Cal Irvine at Long Beach State, 10:00 ET
      Cal Irvine - 16-31 ATS off a conference game
      Long Beach State - 5-1 ATS off BB games allowing 65 points or less

      Utah State at Cal Riverside, 10:00 ET
      Utah State - 8-2 ATS as a favorite of 10+ points
      Cal Riverside - 2-9 ATS at home off a road loss

      Pepperdine at Santa Clara, 10:00 ET
      Pepperdine - 1-7 ATS in road games
      Santa Clara - 8-1 ATS at home off a win by 3 points or less

      USC at Stanford, 10:00 ET
      USC - 5-14 ATS in February
      Stanford - 37-20 ATS after playing as a favorite

      San Francisco at Portland, 10:00 ET
      San Francisco - 1-10 ATS away off BB ATS losses
      Portland - 7-1 ATS in home games

      Loyola Marymount at St. Marys, 10:05 ET
      Loyola Marymount - 9-1 ATS off a home loss by 3 points or less
      St. Marys - 1-5 ATS off 3+ road games

      Idaho at CS Fullerton, 10:05 ET
      Idaho - 11-3 ATS away off a loss by 6 points or less
      CS Fullerton - 1-6 ATS at home off a loss as a favorite

      UCLA at California, 10:30 ET
      UCLA - 8-0 ATS as a road underdog
      California - 3-10 ATS at home after having 9 or less assists


      Added Games:

      Georgia Southern at Furman, 7:00 ET
      Georgia Southern - 7-1 ATS away with a line of +3 to -3
      Furman - 0-6 ATS off a road loss by 10+ points

      College of Charleston at Wofford, 7:00 ET
      Charleston - 6-1 ATS off 3+ games committing 14 or less turnovers
      Wofford - 2-9 ATS at home off an ATS win

      Tennessee Chattanooga at Western Carolina, 7:00 ET
      Tennessee Chatt - 0-7 ATS off an ATS loss as a favorite of 10+ points
      Western Carolina - 8-2 ATS at home after allowing 80+ points

      SE Missouri State at Eastern Kentucky, 7:30 ET
      SE Missouri State - 8-0 ATS after playing as a favorite
      Eastern Kentucky - 1-6 ATS at home off BB road games

      Eastern Illinois at Morehead State, 7:45 ET
      Eastern Illinois - 1-7 ATS off a win
      Morehead State - 6-0 ATS at home in February

      Murray State at Tennessee State, 8:30 ET
      Murray State - 6-1 ATS after playing 3+ games as a home favorite
      Tennessee State - 2-8 ATS at home off a loss by 15+ points

      Samford at Austin Peay, 8:30 ET
      Samford - 10-3 ATS away off a combined score of 125 or less points
      Austin Peay - 1-5 ATS playing with revenge

      Jacksonville State at Tennessee Tech, 8:30 ET
      Jacksonville State - 7-1 Over off an ATS win
      Tennessee Tech - 6-0 ATS off a loss as a road favorite

      Montana State at Northern Arizona, 9:05 ET
      Montana State - 8-2 ATS off BB home wins by 10+ points
      Northern Arizona - 1-6 ATS off a road loss

      Idaho State at Portland State, 10:00 ET
      Idaho State - 1-11 ATS after scoring 85+ points
      Portland State - 6-1 ATS at home after playing 1 game last 6 days

      Montana at Sacramento State, 10:05 ET
      Montana - 3-10 ATS after having 9 or less assists
      Sacramento State - 5-1 ATS off 3+ conference games

      Weber State at Eastern Washington, 10:05 ET
      Weber State - 20-8 ATS off a home conference win
      Eastern Washington - 0-6 ATS off an ATS win


      **Denotes Time Change

      Today's Games
      MST Our Favored Team Rating Sprd Our Underdog Team Rating
      4:55p Louisville ESPN 100.5 10 Marquette* 85.6
      5:00p Chattanooga 83.5 2½ Western Carolina* 75.8
      5:00p Furman* 82.6 Even Georgia Southern 87.6
      5:00p Wofford* 80.1 4 Coll. of Charleston 81.3
      5:30p Eastern Kentucky* 81.6 1½ SE Missouri State 85.1
      5:30p Villanova YES 98.9 4½ Seton Hall* 89.4
      5:45p Eastern Illinois 79.6 2 Morehead State* 72.5
      6:00p Middle Tennessee St.* 84.5 7 Arkansas State 82.7
      6:00p UI-Chicago* 83.9 5 Loyola-Chicago 83.9
      6:00p Western Kentucky* 87.8 5½ Ark-Little Rock 87.5
      6:05p La.-Lafayette* 89.7 19 New Mexico State 75.6
      6:05p South Alabama* 80.9 1½ New Orleans 84.5
      6:30p Arizona* FSN 99.2 15½ Oregon 88.7
      6:30p Austin Peay* 81.3 4 Samford 82.4
      6:30p Denver ALT 88.4 1½ North Texas* 81.9
      6:30p Tennessee St.* 80.1 1 Murray State 84.1
      6:30p Tennessee Tech* 83.3 13½ Jacksonville St. 74.7
      7:00p Arizona State* 88.8 3 Oregon State 90.7
      7:00p Duke ESPN2 103.5 9½ Virginia Tech* 89.1
      7:00p Gonzaga* 95.9 14 San Diego U. 86.7
      7:05p Northern Arizona* 76.7 ½ Montana State 81.0
      8:00p Long Beach St.* 78.0 1½ UC-Irvine 81.3
      8:00p Portland State* 83.4 14 Idaho State 74.6
      8:00p Portland U.* 87.1 8 San Francisco 84.2
      8:00p Santa Clara* 88.3 7 Pepperdine 86.4
      8:00p Stanford* 94.9 12½ Southern Cal 87.3
      8:00p Utah State 97.9 15 UC-Riverside* 78.0
      8:05p CS-Fullerton* 85.3 9½ Idaho 81.0
      8:05p CS-Sacramento* 77.3 ½ Montana 81.8
      8:05p Eastern Washington* 77.2 4½ Weber State 77.5
      8:05p St. Mary's-Cal.* 91.6 14 Loyola-Marymount 82.7
      8:30p California* FOX - CSN 90.4 3 U.C.L.A. 92.4
      * Home Team = +5 pts. ** Neutral Court
      GOOD LUCK ALL !!!!!!!!!!!!!
      If you lose you are a degenerate....If you win you are a handicapper

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