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Trends and Forecasts 02/10

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  • Trends and Forecasts 02/10

    Thursday, February 10th

    Atlanta at Orlando, 7:05 ET
    Atlanta - 2-12 ATS when opponent's FG% decreased in 4 straight
    Orlando - 12-3 Over after loss as a favorite

    Los Angeles Lakers at Detroit, 8:05 ET
    Los Angeles Lakers - 10-1 Over as dog of 3.5 to 9.5 pts. this season
    Detroit - 9-2 ATS after loss with 5 more TO's than YTD average

    Sacramento at Seattle, 10:35 ET
    Sacramento - 3-5 ATS away after a home loss
    Seattle - 12-4 ATS after 2 or more consecutive overs


    **Denotes Time Change

    TODAY'S FORECAST

    Thursday, February 10, 2005
    MST TV Hoops Index Forecast
    5:00p SUN Orlando* 11 over Atlanta
    6:00p TNT Detroit* 9 over L.A. Lakers
    8:30p TNT Seattle* 4 over Sacramento

    ===========================================

    Today's Games
    MST Our Favored Team Rating Sprd Our Underdog Team Rating
    5:00p Butler* 84.1 9½ Cleveland State 79.5
    5:00p Coll. of Charleston 81.3 2 Citadel* 74.3
    5:00p Detroit* 82.0 6½ Wright State 80.3
    5:00p Wake Forest* ESPN 104.1 16 North Carolina St. 93.2
    5:30p Fairfield 85.8 1½ Marist* 79.4
    5:30p Iona* 82.1 1 Niagara 86.3
    5:30p Louisiana Tech* 89.8 7 Hawaii 87.8
    6:00p S.M.U.* 86.4 12 San Jose State 79.2
    6:00p Samford* 82.0 3½ Eastern Kentucky 83.5
    6:00p Siena* 74.6 7½ Loyola-Maryland 72.1
    6:00p UI-Chicago* 86.7 22½ Youngstown St. 69.3
    6:00p Western Kentucky* 87.9 5 Denver 88.1
    6:00p Wisc-Milwaukee 92.8 5 Loyola-Chicago* 82.8
    6:05p Arkansas State* 86.9 6 Ark-Little Rock 85.7
    6:05p Illinois State* 89.0 1½ Wichita State 92.7
    6:05p La.-Lafayette* 88.8 13½ South Alabama 80.1
    6:30p Austin Peay 82.1 5½ Tenn-Martin* 71.7
    6:30p Jacksonville St.* 73.5 6½ Morehead State 71.8
    6:30p Middle Tennessee St.* 84.1 6½ North Texas 82.5
    6:30p Oregon State* FSN 86.6 ½ Washington State 91.1
    6:35p Tennessee St. 83.5 1½ Eastern Illinois* 76.9
    7:00p Cincinnati* ESPN2 99.2 16 Xavier 88.4
    7:00p Murray State* FSN 84.7 6½ Tennessee Tech 83.3
    7:00p Weber State* 76.0 5 CS-Sacramento 75.9
    7:05p Idaho State* 74.6 Even Northern Arizona 79.6
    7:05p New Orleans 84.5 2 New Mexico State* 77.3
    7:05p UT-El Paso* 90.9 9½ Fresno State 86.5
    7:05p Utah State* 99.4 16½ CS-Northridge 87.8
    7:30p Nevada ALT 92.5 8½ Boise State* 78.8
    8:00p Loyola-Marymount* 83.0 2 Portland U. 86.2
    8:05p Pacific 92.4 4½ Idaho* 82.9
    8:05p UC-Irvine* 82.7 2 CS-Fullerton 85.9
    8:30p Arizona FSN 98.0 6 Southern Cal* 87.0
    8:30p Long Beach St.* 77.1 5 UC-Riverside 76.9
    8:30p U.C.L.A.* 92.2 6½ Arizona State 90.7
    8:30p Washington FSN 102.6 9 Oregon* 88.6
    9:00p Gonzaga ESPN2 96.5 5 Pepperdine* 86.4
    * Home Team = +5 pts. ** Neutral Court
    GOOD LUCK ALL !!!!!!!!!!!!!
    If you lose you are a degenerate....If you win you are a handicapper

  • #2
    Thursday, February 10th

    NC State at Wake Forest, 7:00 ET
    NC State - 9-1 ATS off a loss by 3 points or less
    Wake Forest - 1-7 ATS at home off ATS losses in 3 of their last 4 games

    Wright State at Detroit, 7:00 ET
    Wright State - 7-0 ATS as a road underdog
    Detroit - 2-8 ATS at home revenging a road loss

    Cleveland State at Butler, 7:00 ET
    Cleveland State - 0-7 ATS away after playing as an underdog
    Butler - 12-4 ATS at home off a conference loss

    Hawaii at Louisiana Tech, 7:30 ET
    Hawaii - 5-1 ATS in road games
    Louisiana Tech - 1-7 ATS off a road loss by 10+ points

    San Jose State at SMU, 8:00 ET
    San Jose State - 2-9 ATS off 3+ home games
    SMU - 9-1 ATS off a loss by 3 points or less

    Denver at Western Kentucky, 8:00 ET
    Denver - 5-1 ATS off a home game
    Western Kentucky - 2-8 ATS at home off a conference win by 10+ points

    Wisconsin Milwaukee at Loyola Chicago, 8:00 ET
    Wisc. Milwaukee - 9-2 ATS in road games
    Loyola Chicago - 1-5 ATS as a home underdog

    Yougstown State at Illinois Chicago, 8:00 ET
    Youngstown State - 0-6 ATS off a home loss
    Illinois Chicago - 8-2 ATS at home off a road loss by 10+ points

    Wichita State at Illinois State, 8:05 ET
    Wichita State - 1-5 ATS away off ATS losses in 4 of their last 5 games
    Illinois State - 6-0 ATS with a line of +3 to -3

    South Alabama at Louisiana Lafayette, 8:05 ET
    South Alabama - 11-3 ATS as a road underdog of 10+ points
    LA Lafayette - 1-5 ATS as a home favorite of 12.5 to 15 points

    Arkansas Little Rock at Arkansas State, 8:05 ET
    Ark Little Rock - 1-5 ATS off a win by 10+ points
    Arkansas State - 9-2 ATS off a road conference loss

    North Texas at Middle Tennessee State, 8:30 ET
    North Texas - 1-6 ATS off a conference win by 10+ points
    Mid Tenn State - 6-0 ATS after playing BB games as a home favorite

    Xavier at Cincinnati, 9:05 ET
    Xavier - 12-3 ATS in February
    Cincinnati - 1-7 ATS at home off a loss as a favorite

    CS Northridge at Utah State, 9:05 ET
    CS Northridge - 6-1 ATS away in February
    Utah State - 2-9 ATS at home after playing 5+ games as a favorite

    New Orleans at New Mexico State, 9:05 ET
    New Orleans - 12-4 ATS off a road loss by 10+ points
    New Mexico State - 0-7 ATS off a road game

    Fresno State at UTEP, 9:05 ET
    Fresno State - 5-1 ATS as a road underdog of 10+ points
    UTEP - 1-7 ATS off a win as an underdog

    Nevada at Boise State, 9:30 ET
    Nevada - 10-1 ATS off BB home wins
    Boise State - 2-8 ATS as an underdog

    Portland at Loyola Marymount, 10:00 ET
    Portland - 16-38 ATS in February
    Loyola Marymount - 5-1 ATS playing with revenge

    **Washington State at Oregon State, 8:30 ET
    Washington State - 6-0 ATS away in February
    Oregon State - 1-6 ATS off an ATS win

    Pacific at Idaho, 10:05 ET
    Pacific - 20-37 ATS away off an ATS win
    Idaho - 8-2 ATS off a road game

    CS Fullerton at Cal Irvine, 10:05 ET
    CS Fullerton - 8-2 ATS after allowing 60 points or less
    Cal Irvine - 18-36 ATS as a home favorite

    Cal Riverside at Long Beach State, 10:30 ET
    Cal Riverside - 5-1 ATS away in February
    Long Beach State - 2-9 ATS at home off a road loss by 20+ points

    Arizona at USC, 10:30 ET
    Arizona - 9-2 ATS off ATS wins in 2 of their last 3 games
    USC - 1-11 ATS at home after playing as a road underdog

    Washington at Oregon, 10:30 ET
    Washington - 6-1 ATS away in February
    Oregon - 2-8 ATS vs. conference opponents

    Arizona State at UCLA, 10:30 ET
    Arizona State - 5-1 ATS off a loss by 3 points or less
    UCLA - 1-7 ATS at home off BB Unders

    Gonzaga at Pepperdine, 11:00 ET
    Gonzaga - 5-0 ATS vs. Pepperdine
    Pepperdine - 2-13 ATS revenging a road loss


    Added Games:

    College of Charleston at The Citadel, 7:00 ET
    Charleston - 14-4 ATS away after playing as an underdog
    Citadel - 0-6 ATS at home off 4+ losses

    Fairfield at Marist, 7:30 ET
    Fairfield - 2-8 ATS away off a loss by 3 points or less
    Marist - 9-1 ATS after playing as an underdog

    Niagra at Iona, 7:30 ET
    Niagara - 11-3 ATS away with a line of +3 to -3
    Iona - 0-6 ATS off a straight up win as an underdog

    Loyola Maryland at Siena, 7:30 ET
    Loyola Maryland - 8-1 ATS away in February
    Siena - 2-9 ATS at home off BB losses

    Eastern Kentucky at Samford, 8:00 ET
    Eastern Kentucky - 3-10 ATS after winning 2 of their last 3 games
    Samford - 6-1 ATS off BB games with 12 or less assists

    **Morehead State at Jacksonville State, 8:30 ET
    Morehead State - 9-1 ATS off BB road losses
    Jacksonville State - 1-5 ATS in home games

    **Tennessee Tech at Murray State, 9:00 ET
    Tennessee Tech - 8-1 ATS after playing as a road favorite
    Murray State - 1-5 ATS as a home favorite

    Austin Peay at Tennessee Martin, 8:30 ET
    Austin Peay - 11-2 ATS as a road favorite
    Tenn Martin - 0-7 ATS at home off 5+ losses

    Tenn State at Eastern Illinois, 8:35 ET
    Tennessee State - 7-0 ATS off a home conference win
    Eastern Illinois - 2-8 ATS off an Over

    Sacramento State at Weber State, 9:00 ET
    Sacramento State - 1-9 ATS after winning 3 of their last 4 games
    Weber State - 9-2 ATS at home in February

    Northern Arizona at Idaho State, 9:05 ET
    Northern Arizona - 17-7 ATS off BB home games
    Idaho State - 0-6 ATS after playing as a road underdog


    **Denotes Time Change
    GOOD LUCK ALL !!!!!!!!!!!!!
    If you lose you are a degenerate....If you win you are a handicapper

    Comment


    • #3
      NC State is just 2-6 in ACC, but only one of 6 losses was by more than 13 points; they're 1-2 as dog. Wake Forest won its last three games and is 7-2 in ACC, 1-2 as home favorite, with wins at Joel Coliseum by 15,13, 12 and 3 points.

      Detroit lost five of last six games, but they're 3-1 as a home favorite (4-2 SU) with all four home wins by 8+ points. Underdog is 5-0 vs spread in Wright St's road games, with Raiders 3-0 as road dog. Wright St beat Detroit 63-57 in first meeting, as 3-point favorite.

      Cleveland State beat Butler 77-57 in first meeting, but they're 1-4 as road dog, with four of their road losses by 15+ points. Butler is 1-4 as home favorite; they're 2-6-1 vs spread in last nine games. Home side is 9-2 vs spread in Cleveland State's league games.

      Hawaii is 3-0 as road dog, with four losses in five road games, but none of losses were by more than 4 points; they lost 61-59 at home to Louisiana Tech. Tech won five of last six games; with dogs covering four of five at home; they're 1-3 as a home favorite.

      SMU lost six of last eight games; they're 4-7 in WAC, but 3-1 as favorite, with home wins by 9,11 points in four tries. San Jose is 3-2 as road dog, with only two losses in five road games by more than 11 pts. Their last four losses were all by 11 or less points.

      Denver is 8-1 in Sun Belt (7-2 vs spread); they're 1-0 as dog, with only loss by 10 at New Orleans. Western Kentucky won its last four games and is 6-3 in league, but just 1-5 as favorite, 1-3 at home, with wins by 2,5 4 and 16 points.

      Wisconsin-Milwaukee is 9-2 in Horizon, 3-1 as a road favorite; they're 5-2-1 vs spread in its last eight games. Loyola is 1-3 as home dog (3-3 SU); favorite is 5-1 in their home games. UWM won first meeting 73-56 as a 17-point favorite. Loyola has only one home loss by more than six points.

      Youngstown is 2-9 in Horizon, 1-4 as road dog, with three losses by 21+ points; they covered three of last five games. Illinois-Chicago is 3-1 as home fave, they lost three of last four games, but won 62-56 in the first meeting at Youngstown.

      Wichita State and Illinois State are both 6-1 last seven games; Shockers won first meetng 78-72. Road team is 9-3 vs spread in Wichita's league games, with WSU 4-2 on road. Redbirds are 5-0 in games decided by 5 or less points, 3-2 vs spread at home.

      South Alabama is 3-4 in its last seven games, but all of the losses were five or less points; they're 2-2 as road dog. UL-Lafayette is 3-1 as home favorite, with wins by 17,15,10 points; they're 6-1-1 as Sun Belt favorite. Cajuns won first meeting 59-56 in Mobile.

      First home game in 26 days for Arkansas State, which won 78-64 at Little Rock in first meeting; they're 2-2 as home favorite, with wins by 25,5,4 points. UALR is 2-3 on road, 2-3 as road dog, with losses by 35,10,4 points; they covered three of last four tries as underdog

      Middle Tennessee lost five of last seven games; they are 4-5 in Sun Belt, as is North Texas, which is 3-2 as road dog. UNT is 0-3 vs spread after win- they won last game. MTSU is 2-3 as home favorite, but two they won were by 35 and 13 points.

      Xavier is 11-8, but a 15-point loss to Temple was the only one by more than 12 points; they've won four of last six vs Cincinnati, and were dog in all six games, in this innercity rivalry. Bearcats' two wins were by 20,10 points; they lost last two games, to UNCC, Louisville.

      Utah State won its last six games, all by 24+ pts; they have Pacific (12-0 in Big West) coming in Saturday, so have to guard against overlooking Northridge squad that won last three games and is 9-3 in Big West, 1-0 as road dog, with no league losses by 14+ points.

      New Mexico State is 1-8 in Sun Belt and lost last four games; they're 0-4 SU at home in league, and lost first meeting vs New Orleans 74-71 in Big Easy. Privateers are 3-0 after a loss; they're 5-4 in Sun Belt, 2-1 away from home, 4-2 as an underdog.

      UTEP covered just one of last six as favorite; their last five wins are all by five or less points. Miners lost by 3 at Fresno State in first meeting. Bulldogs are 2-3 on the road in WAC, with losses by 11,15,3 points; they are 2-2 as road dog. Miners are 2-2 as home favorite.

      Nevada won five of last six games; they're 4-0 against spread on WAC road, with wins by 8,7,6,3 pts- they are 7-2 vs spread in last nine games. Boise State lost four games in row, with three of four by 13+ points. Nevada won first meeting 84-66 at home.

      Portland lost four of last five games; they're 2-3 as dog on WCC road, with losses by 21,13,34,4 and 12 pts. LMU is 2-2 at home, 0-1 as home favorite; they won two of last three games, after losing previous five tilts. Pilots won first meeting 74-57 at home.

      Oregon State is 3-0 as Pac-10 home favorite, but 0-4 in league if they score less than 74 points, a figure that Wazzo allowed in only one Pac-10 game, a doubleOT game vs UCLA. Coogs are 4-1 as road dog, 2-3 SU they won first meeting 63-45 at home.

      Pacific is 12-0 in Big West, 2-2-1 as road fave; they're 3-1 in last four visits to this site, with wins by 1,1 and 4 points. Idaho is 5-0 at home in Big West, 4-1 as dog in league play. Tigers won first meeting 62-53 at home; they play red-hot Utah State next, cannot look ahead.

      Cal-Irvine lost three of last four games; they're 1-3 at home in Big West, 2-5 as favorite in league. Fullerton is 7-3 vs spread in league, 4-0 on road; they won last three games by 23,9,21 points, but are 1-3 SU on Big West road. Anteaters are 1-3 as a home favorite.

      Long Beach is 1-10 in Big West; they covered three of last six games, but lost first meeting 68-65 in first game vs Riverside. Highlanders lost four of last five games; they're 3-8 in league, 1-2 vs spread as a favorite.

      Oregon lost last five games, with three by 8+ pts; they are 2-8 vs spread in Pac-10, 1-4 at home, with losses at Mac Court by 8,8,13 points. Washington is 9-2 in Pac-10, 6-4 as favorite, 2-1 on road; eight of their nine league wins are by nine or more points.

      Underdog is 10-1 vs spread in UCLA's Pac-10 games woth Bruins 0-3 as home favorite (2-2 SU, with wins by 3,9 points)- they won 86-82 at Tempe in first game. Arizona State is 5-6 in league, 2-1 as road dog; guest is 8-3 vs spread in their conference games this season.

      Pepperdine is 1-6 in last seven games, with five of six losses by 7+ points; they're 2-2 at home, with losses by 7,12 points. Gonzaga won last four games, three by 12+ points; they're 2-2 on WCC road, with wins by 4,12 points. Zags won 86-62 in first meeting at home.

      Citadel lost last four games, three by 10+ points; dog is 4-0 vs spread in their Southern Conference home tilts, with Bulldogs 3-0 as home dog. Charleston is 1-4 on road in league, 0-2 as road favorite; they won three of last four games overall.

      Marist lost last four games, all by 10+ points, after 7-1 start in league; they're 5-2 as MAAC dog, 2-0 home 5-1 SU at home- they beat Fairfield 74-72 on road in first meeting. Fairfield split last six games after 5-1 start in MAAC; they're 6-2 as favorite in league play.

      Niagara is 10-3 in MAAC, winning last six games, as last four were by 11+ points; they won first meeting by hoop at home. Iona won six of last seven games; dog is 8-4 vs spread in their league games. Gaels are 3-2 in MAAC, with losses at home by 1,2 points.

      Siena lost nine of last ten games and is 2-10 in league, with only wins by 3,2 points; they're 1-1 as home fave. Loyola is 3-9 in MAAC, 2-3 as road dog, with all five losses by 9+ points. Greyhounds covered three of last five games, but lost six of last seven SU.

      Samford is 8-2 in OVC, 5-0 at home, 2-2 as fave at home, with wins by 11,8,3,7,2 points; two of their last three games went OT. Eastern Kentucky won three of last four games; they're 2-3 on road, with losses by 14 12 and 2 points. Samford won 67-61 at EKU, in first meeting of season.

      Jacksonville State won last game in OT, after losing its first nine league games; they lost 69-63 at Morehead in first meeting. Jax State is 0-2 as home favorite, 1-5 at home SU. Morehead lost last three games by 21,14 and 35 points; they're 2-4 as OVC road underdog.

      Tennessee Tech lost three of last four games after 6-0 start; two of the losses were in OT; they're 2-3 away from home in league, with losses by 2,1,7 pts. Murray State is also 7-3, but 1-4 as home fave, with wins by 22,2,8 and 4 points.

      UT-Martin is 1-9 in OVC, losing last seven games, but three of last four losses were by seven or less pts; they are 0-4 as home dog, with home losses by 4,8,26,24,7 and 5 points. Austin Peay won three of last four games they're 1-0 as road favorite in OVC games.

      Tennessee State is 5-1 as favorite in OVC games, 2-0 on road, with road wins by 24,1,16 points; they're 5-2 vs spread in last seven games. Eastern Illinois is 4-7 in OVC, 1-2 as home dog, with home losses by 13,9 pts in five home games.

      Northern Arizona lost four of last five games; they are 0-5 vs spread on Big Sky road, as home side is 8-1 vs spread in their league games. Idaho State is 2-7 in Big sky, as dog covered four of their five league home tilts. Bengals lost 86-68 in first meeting, at Flagstaff.

      Weber State is 3-7 in Big Sky, losing last three games by 16,8,13 points; they lost 78-72 at Sacramento in first meeting. Weber is 2-1 as home fave, as favorite is 7-3 vs spread in their league games. Hornets are 3-1 as road dog, with losses by 10,3,3 and 12 points.

      Today's Tips:
      Arizona, -6.5-- Arizona won seven of its last eight games, covering five of last six; they are 3-1 as a road favorite and won first game vs USC 77-68. Trojans are 2-9 in Pac-10, with eight of nine losses by seven or more points; they are 1-4 vs spread at home, as visitor is 7-3 vs spread in USC's Pac-10 games this season. 30 stoudamires on the Wildcats, -6.5

      Comment


      • #4
        Thursday's games
        Game of the Day:
        Kings @ Sonics-- Seattle is 2-0 against Kings, beating Kings by five at Arco ten days ago, drilling Sacramento 108-78 in November. Kings allowed 113.4 ppg in last five games (0-4-1 vs spread, 2-3 SU); they're 3-6 vs spread in last nine road games. Sonics scored 109 ppg in winning their last three games, by 5,14,17 points.

        Elsewhere, Hawks won last game; they covered one of last seven games that followed a win; they split couple of games vs Orlando, beating Magic 80-79 11 days ago, and losing 117-99 in November. Orlando lost three in row and is just 2-10 vs spread in last dozen games.

        Lakers lost six of last nine games, but had OT win over Nets last night; they're 3-6 vs spread when they played night before. Detroit won, covered five of last six games, with last three going over total, as have six of last eight Laker games.

        Comment


        • #5
          Trends from the KillerSports.com Annual.

          The Magic are 0-14-1 ATS since 11-01-2003 at home after a home loss -- with an average ATS margin of -10.7 ppg {ORL001}.

          The Kings are 0-6-0 O/U since 11-09-2003 after a loss in which they had the lead at the end of the third quarter -- with an average O/U margin of -14.3 ppg {SAC065
          THICK 1

          Comment

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