College Hoop Wed.

[rwall]

Going to stay with the Colonial tonight. This is the 2nd game of 3 in a week for all CAA teams.
beginning with....

UNC Wilmington -2' over George Mason
GM beat UNC W @ home on 1/8 by 5. In that game GM had a 36-12 fta advantage. They also shot 56% in the second half. Wilm got away from their game shooting 19 - 3 pters in the second as opposed to 6 in the 1st half. 16 pts in the paint 1st half,8 in the second.
They come into tonight's game winning 4 in row all by double digits, last 3 @ home. But....GM is a different team on the road. 4-6 Su. Thet shot 54% FG in their last 3 @ home compared to 43% in the last 3 road games.
I think the value comes from Wilm winning by only 4 @ loathly Towson. Possibley a look ahead situation heading into tonights match up and Fri's, vs Old Dom. (UNCW's only 2 conf. losses)
I anticipate a closely played game with UNC W pulling away later in the 2nd half. They have a deeper bench.

I hope to post some others. I enjoy the CAA.
Good Luck to all.

[rwall]

Here are the Sagarin Power ratings for the CAA. I know some here use them in their handicapping.

Home Visitor Line Sagarin Sag/ELO
NC Wilmington George Mason 2.50 4.90 9.18
Hofstra VA Commonwealth 4.00 5.17 4.86
James Madison Delaware -5.50 -1.93 0.20
Old Dominion Towson 19.00 21.23 24.68
William & Mary Drexel -10.00 -9.76 -9.05

[10DimeBry]

GL tonight my friend again sorry about the manhattan pick

[rwall]

Bry
I appreciate the gesture but... if you use the word "friend" in my thread you NEVER have to apologize to me.
I can also assure you that I have won more in the past because of you then I lost last night.

[bhs4life]

Gl Rwall Good Info

[rwall]

NC Wilmington George Mason 2.50 4.90 9.18

I think I should explain. This reads as GM is a +2.5 line.
The sagarin rating says GM should be +4.9 and Sag/Elo predictor has it as GM +9.18
Sorry for the confusion.

[orientalhawn]

good luck tonight!!

[rwall]

Adding.....

James Madison +4' over Delaware
When teams faced each other earlier in the year Delaware won by 37 as a 10 point favorite. Then why is the line so short, especially after JM just lost by 27 at home to VCU.
Answer... the man wants you on Delaware.

I'm still looking while I can.

To Be Continued..........

[The Lovedoc]

GL on your plays "MY FRIEND"

[Carlg]

Give'm hell tonight rwall.......GL

[underground]

Good Luck rwall!!!

[rwall]

2-0 Tonight
UNC Wilmington won by 4 in a close game throughout.
James Madison lost by 1 while getting 4'

Thank You very much for the posts and luck.
Good luck to all

[Shimmy]

nice nite man close but a wins a win right

[orientalhawn]

Aaaallllrrrriiigghht!!