Trends & Forecasts 1/29

[crswir]

Saturday, January 29th

Orlando (215) at Washington (-5), 7:05 ET
Orlando - 5-16 ATS with total >210
Washington - 7-1 Over as home favorite of 6 pts. or less this year

New York (182) at Detroit (-8), 7:35 ET
New York - 8-5 ATS away with same season revenge for a home loss
Detroit - 12-3 ATS after a win as an underdog

Atlanta (185) at Memphis (-13), 8:05 ET
Atlanta - 4-14 ATS this year as road underdog
Memphis - 10-2 ATS after making 12 or more 3's

Denver (189) at Indiana (-8), 8:05 ET
Denver - 36-18 Under vs. teams averaging 76 or less shots/game
Indiana - 6-1 ATS when opponent is playing 2nd of back-to-back away

New Orleans (177.5) at San Antonio (-17), 8:35 ET
New Orleans - 14-5 Under Away revenging a loss in which they scored 85 points or less
San Antonio - 13-3 ATS home vs. team with same season revenge

Philadelphia () at Dallas (), 8:35 ET
Philadelphia - 5-2 ATS at Dallas
Dallas - 5-14 ATS after getting <10 off. rebounds in a win

New Jersey (190) at Utah (-5.5), 9:05 ET
New Jersey -
Utah - 26-7 ATS vs. unrested opponent playing at least its 3rd straight away

Golden State (191.5) at L.A. Clippers (-7.5), 10:35 ET
Golden State - 4-6 ATS away with double same season revenge
L.A. Clippers - 6-1 Over as favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 pts.


**Denotes Time Change

TODAY'S FORECAST

Saturday, January 29, 2005
MST TV Hoops Index Forecast
5:00p CSNSUNNBATV Washington* 5½ over Orlando
5:30p MSG Detroit* 10½ over New York
6:00p Memphis* 16 over Atlanta
6:00p ALTFSN Indiana* 5½ over Denver
6:30p San Antonio* 19 over New Orleans
6:30p CSN Dallas* 9 over Philadelphia
6:30p FSNWGN Chicago* 5½ over Boston
7:00p FSNYES Utah* 4½ over New Jersey
8:30p FSNTLA L.A. Clippers* 9 over Golden State
=============================================

Today's Games
MST Our Favored Team Rating Sprd Our Underdog Team Rating
10:00a Massachusetts* FSN - DTV 83.2 1½ Richmond 86.9
10:00a North Carolina ESPN 108.6 14½ Virginia* 89.3
10:00a Villanova MSG - CSN 98.0 4½ Rutgers* 88.5
10:15a Northwestern* ESPN+ 86.5 1 Ohio State 90.7
11:00a Ball State* 90.0 9½ Northern Illinois 85.3
11:00a Florida* JP - DTV 98.0 10½ South Carolina 92.3
11:00a NC-Charlotte DTV 94.0 9½ East Carolina* 79.6
11:30a Clemson* JP - DTV 90.3 1 North Carolina St. 94.3
11:30a Texas Tech* YES - DTV 97.9 12 Nebraska 90.9
12:00p Arizona* FSN 99.2 14½ Washington State 89.8
12:00p Buffalo 87.8 ½ Eastern Michigan* 82.3
12:00p Coll. of Charleston* FSN 83.5 5½ Georgia Southern 83.1
12:00p Columbia* 77.6 11½ Dartmouth 71.1
12:00p Cornell* 80.3 9½ Harvard 75.7
12:00p Eastern Kentucky* CSN 84.2 16½ Tenn-Martin 72.9
12:00p George Mason* CSN 85.7 16 William & Mary 74.6
12:00p St. John's* MSG - DTV 87.6 3 Seton Hall 89.4
12:00p St. Joseph's* ESPN2 91.4 7½ Xavier 89.1
12:00p Toledo* MAC 90.3 9 Kent State 86.1
12:05p Detroit* 83.8 6½ Loyola-Chicago 82.3
12:05p Indiana State* 82.4 1½ Bradley 86.0
12:05p La Salle* 77.3 5½ Duquesne 76.7
12:05p St. Louis* 82.4 1 Marquette 86.5
12:30p Illinois* DTV 103.9 16½ Minnesota 92.2
1:00p Mississippi State JP - DTV 98.1 2 L.S.U.* 90.9
1:00p Rider* 86.1 18 Siena 72.9
1:00p Wyoming* ALT - DTV 86.8 5 Colorado State 86.6
1:30p Kentucky CBS 103.8 2½ Arkansas* 96.2
1:30p Ohio U.* 89.9 9 Bowling Green 85.7
2:00p Drexel* 90.2 22 James Madison 73.3
2:00p East Tennessee St.* 77.8 2½ Appalachian St. 80.1
2:00p Hofstra 84.8 5 Towson State* 74.9
2:00p Oklahoma CSN - DTV 101.5 9 Iowa State* 87.6
2:00p Old Dominion CSN 90.6 3 Va. Commonwealth* 82.6
2:00p Southern Cal* FSN 88.8 4½ U.C.L.A. 89.3
2:00p UI-Chicago* 85.4 11 Butler 79.4
2:00p Vanderbilt* 92.5 8 Mississippi 89.5
2:00p Wake Forest* JP - DTV 103.8 17½ Miami Fla. 91.5
2:30p Western Michigan* 89.5 17 Central Michigan 77.5
3:00p DePaul 91.4 6½ Southern Miss.* 80.1
3:00p Rice 90.2 7 San Jose State* 78.3
3:05p Iowa* ESPN 93.4 7 Indiana 91.2
4:00p Tennessee FSN - SUN 90.9 1½ Auburn* 84.2
4:00p Texas A&M* FSN 91.7 14½ Baylor 82.1
4:00p Wright State FSN 85.4 2 Cleveland State* 78.6
4:05p Air Force* 91.8 10½ San Diego State 86.3
5:00p Chattanooga 87.6 1 NC-Greensboro* 81.8
5:00p Cincinnati* 99.4 18 Houston 86.2
5:00p Davidson* 85.3 13 Citadel 77.5
5:00p Furman 84.3 2½ Wofford* 77.0
5:00p Pennsylvania* 90.0 10½ Brown 84.7
5:00p Pittsburgh* ESPN 95.6 3 Syracuse 97.4
5:00p Temple 93.1 16½ St. Bonaventure* 71.5
5:00p Western Carolina* 72.3 3 Elon 74.2
5:05p Wichita State* 94.0 10 Illinois State 89.0
5:30p Boston College* FSN - DTV 97.4 10 Georgetown 92.4
5:30p NC-Wilmington 84.8 0 Delaware* 79.6
5:30p Princeton* 85.7 12½ Yale 78.1
5:30p Providence* FSN - DTV 91.8 11 West Virginia 86.0
5:30p UT-El Paso 94.0 2 Louisiana Tech* 87.1
5:45p Murray State 86.6 7 Morehead State* 74.5
6:00p Alabama* FSN - SUN 100.1 21½ Georgia 83.4
6:00p Denver 89.9 3 New Orleans* 81.8
6:00p Louisville 107.3 19½ Tulane* 82.8
6:00p S.M.U.* 86.6 13 Boise State 78.7
6:00p Wisconsin CSN - DTV 96.7 9 Penn State* 82.9
6:05p CS-Fullerton* FSN 81.6 3½ Cal-Santa Barbara 83.0
6:05p Eastern Illinois* 76.7 9½ Jacksonville St. 72.2
6:05p La.-Lafayette* 88.4 8 Middle Tennessee St. 85.6
6:05p Northern Iowa 89.2 1½ Drake* 82.6
6:05p SW Missouri State* 91.0 7 Creighton 88.9
6:05p South Alabama* 80.9 2½ North Texas 83.4
6:05p Southern Illinois* 92.5 13½ Evansville 84.0
6:05p T.C.U.* 87.4 1½ Memphis 91.1
6:05p Wisc-Milwaukee 94.0 5½ Wisc-Green Bay* 83.7
6:30p SE Missouri State* 81.4 4½ Samford 82.1
6:30p Stanford* FSN 95.8 11½ Oregon 89.2
6:30p Tennessee Tech* 83.9 7 Tennessee St. 81.9
6:30p UA-Birmingham* 90.3 13 South Florida 82.2
7:00p Kansas* ESPN2 101.0 6 Texas 100.2
7:00p Missouri* DTV 88.1 4½ Kansas State 88.6
7:00p New Mexico* SW 90.7 5½ UN-Las Vegas 90.2
7:05p Idaho State* 73.5 0 Weber State 78.3
7:05p Western Kentucky 87.4 7 New Mexico State* 75.6
8:00p Loyola-Marymount* FSN 79.4 ½ Pepperdine 84.1
8:00p Portland State* 82.7 8 Montana State 79.9
8:00p Santa Clara* 89.3 6½ San Diego U. 87.8
8:00p UC-Riverside* 79.7 12½ Cal Poly-SLO 72.4
8:00p Utah State 95.7 12½ Long Beach St.* 78.2
8:05p Eastern Washington* 79.1 3½ Montana 80.7
8:05p Northern Arizona 81.1 2 CS-Sacramento* 74.2
8:05p UC-Irvine* 83.9 6½ Idaho 82.2
8:30p California* 88.5 5 Oregon State 88.5
8:35p Nevada* 93.2 11½ Fresno State 86.5
9:00p Gonzaga* ESPN2 97.2 17½ Portland U. 84.5
10:00p Hawaii* 87.8 11 Tulsa 81.7
* Home Team = +5 pts. ** Neutral Court

[Spark]

Virginia is 1-6 in ACC, 1-4 as underdog, losing two of three at home, with losses by 19,9 points. UNC is 5-1 in ACC, 2-1 on road, with wins by 34,19 points. First game in week for Heels, while Cavs desperate for win

UMass won three of its last four games; three of four wins in A-12 have come in OT. Richmond won three of its last four games; they're 1-3 on road in A-12, 2-1 as dog in league play this year.

Rutgers is 1-5 in Big East, but they had 20-point lead on Syracuse in first half of last game, but lost by hoop; home side won six of their last eight games vs Villanova with Wildcats 1-3 in last four visits to this site.

Ohio State is 0-3 on Big 11 road, with losses by 19,6, 7 points; their last four games were all won by seven or less points. Northwestern ended four-game loss streak in last game; home team covered their last six games.

Charlotte won its last six games vs East Carolina, but wins at this site were by 9,5,6(ot) points. 49ers are 5-1 in C-USA, but 0-3 as favorite, as visitor covered five of their six games. ECU is 1-6 in league, 2-3 as a dog.

Northern Illinois is 0-5 on MAC road, with losses by 5,11,9,7,6 points; they've covered three of four as dog on road. Ball State is 3-3 in MAC, with two of the W's by a single point. NIU lost six of its last eight games.

Kentucky lost two of last three visits to Arkansas, but Tubby has yet to lose to coach Heath, with wins by 17 16 points. Razorbacks are 1-4 in last five games, but host is 5-1 vs spread in their league games. Kentucky is 3-0 on SEC road, with wins by 21,3,22 points.

South Carolina is 0-3 on SEC road, with losses by 4,8 15 points; they allowed 73+ points in their three SEC wins, 63 or less in their losses. Florida is 3-1 as fave in SEC games, with league wins by 8,6,17,23 points.

Nebraska is 3-3 in Big 12, with no losses by more than 10 points; they're 2-1 as road dog. Favorite is 5-0 in Texas Tech's league games, with Tech's three wins in Big 12 by 3,14,16 points. Raiders 1-0 as home fave.

Clemson is 1-6 in ACC, losing its two home games by 35,17 points, but four of their last five games were won by four or less points. NC State is in skid at 2-4, 1-2 on road, with both losses by single point. Dog is 3-0 vs spread in Wolfpack's ACC road games.

St Joe's lost two of last three games, including loss to Penn during week, but they're 2-0 at home in A-12, as they won by 8,7 points. Hawks are 5-1 in league, but Xavier's three road games were decided by a total of seven points, with 90-86 loss at UMass in triple OT.

Eastern Michigan lost its last four games by 16,8,10,13 points, allowing average of 81.3 ppg. Buffalo won five of last seven games, but they've lost three of four away games in MAC, with only win at Central Michigan.

Dartmouth lost eight of last nine games; they got beat by Columbia twice last year, by 36,15 points. At 8-6, Columbia is improved; they split their first two Ivy tilts vs Cornell, winning their home game by nine points.

Harvard is 4-2 in last six visits to Cornell. with the last three all decided by five or less points. First game in 17 days for Crimson, who split pair of close games with Dartmouth. Cornell blasted Columbia by 30 in their Ivy League home opener.

George Mason is 1-4 as CAA home favorite, 3-2 SU, with wins by 5,16,18 points. William & Mary is 1-7 in CAA, 0-3 on road, with losses by 13,8,26 points; they are 1-2 as road dog; their last two losses are by 5,2.

St John's is 1-5 in Big East, and favored for first time in league this year; their win was by 3 over Pitt, only win in three home games. Seton Hall is 1-4 in league, with road losses by 25,4 points at Syracuse, Pitt. Pirates are 1-2 as Big East dog this season.

Arizona won its last five games, all by nine or less pts; they're 2-2 as Pac-10 home favorite. Washington St is 3-5 in league, 1-3 on road, with losses by 3,18,6 pts, 3-1 as road dog- they've lost last three games, and lost last six visits to this site by 12,13,17,35,5,11 points.

Bradley is 0-4 on MVC road, with losses by 9,6,15,8 points; host has won eight of their nine league games so far this year. Indiana State is 2-7 in league, losing last three games by 4,5,8 points; dog covered four of their five MVC home contests.

Loyola and Detroit are both 4-4 in Horizon, but Titans lost last three games, scoring 53 ppg, while Loyola has won three of last four. Favorites are 3-1 vs spread in Detroit's home games. Detroit won first matchup by 17 in Chicago, holding Ramblers to 33% from field.

Marquette lost last three games by 13,10,47 points, as star player Diener out with injury; favorite is 4-0 vs the spread in their C-USA road games. Saint Louis is 3-3 in league, despite scoring 60+ points in only one game

LaSalle is 1-5 in A-12, losing last four games by 35,18 8,7 points; road team covered five of their six games in league. Duquesne lost four of last five games, with only one of losses by less than 11 points; they're 1-1 in their A-12 road contests.

Colorado State starts three 7-footers, but is weak at guard; they're 0-3 on road in Mountain West, with L's by 5,9,7 points. Rams lost last four visits to Laramie by 6,2,23,2 points. Four of last five series games decided by two points or less, or in overtime.

Mississippi State lost last two road games, falling by 49 at Alabama in last one; favorite is 5-1 vs spread in their SEC games. Bulldogs won last three vs LSU, but are 2-4 in last six visits to LSU. Home side is 5-0 against spread in Tigers' SEC games so far this season.

Bowling Green is 6-2 in MAC, 3-1 on road; dogs are 4-1 vs spread in their last five games. Ohio is 3-0 in its MAC home games, with wins by 9,26,8 points; they covered their last seven games, winning 3 of their last 4 Falcons won last six series games.

Ole Miss lost last three games, Vanderbilt its last four; Rebels are 1-2 as SEC road dog, with L's by 23,10 points. Vandy won last three series games by 8,12,20 points. Ole Miss is 2-4 as SEC dog so far this season.

Butler is 2-5 in Horizon, 0-2 as road dog, with losses by 13,20 points- they're 1-6 vs spread in Horizon play Illinois-Chicago lost its last two games; they're 0-4 in league if they allow 59+ points. Favorite is 6-2 against spread in UIC's league games so far this season.

Drexel won five of last six games; they're 2-1 as home favorite in league play, with wins by 26,21 pts. Home team is 6-2 vs spread in James Madison's CAA games with Dukes 1-3 as road dog, losing by 33,35,17 pts.

Old Dominion is 8-0 in CAA, but two of the three wins on road were by single point; they've lost eight games in row vs VCU, losing last five visits to this site by 6,9, 7,21,6 points. Rams won three of their last four games.

Illinois is 6-0, but just 2-4 as Big 11 favorite, with wins at home by 1,26,5 points. Minnesota is 4-2 in Big 11, 2-0 as road dog, with only road loss by six at Iowa. Illini have big game up next vs Michigan St on Tuesday

Hofstra lost five of last six games; they lost last three on road by 7,12,16 points, with favorites 4-1 vs spread in their road tilts. Towson also lost five of last six games; they're 2-2 at home in league, with losses by 9,12 pts.

Wake Forest lost its last two ACC games in OT, and had 4-point win at Cincinnati in between; they're 2-0 at home in league, with wins by 15,13 points. Miami won four of seven in ACC, with losses by 11,9,20 points; they're 2-1 as ACC road dog.

Oklahoma is 5-0 in Big 12, Iowa State 0-5, with Ls at home by 5,2 points. Sooners won two of last three at this site, tough place to play, with wins by 10,4 points. OU off of emotional home games vs Okla St, Texas; possible letdown spot vs desperate Cyclones.

Kent is 5-3 in MAC, just 1-7 vs spread; they won last five games vs Toledo, with four wins by 14+ points. Toledo won its two MAC home games by 11,10 pts; they're 3-1 as MAC fave, 2-0 at home. Kent is 0-3 on road in MAC, with losses by 9,16,26 points.

Western Michigan lost last two games after 6-0 start in MAC; road team covered six of their eight games in league, with Broncos 1-3 as league favorite. Central Michigan lost its last three games and is 2-2 as a road dog in league; they lost last three games by 20,39,4.

Today's Tips:
UCLA, +3-- Howland is 0-4 vs Trojans thus far, but both losses at this site were by single point. USC lost six of eight in league, three of four at home; dog is 4-1 vs spread in last five games. Bruins are 3-1 as a road dog, 2-2 on road SU, with only one loss by more than three points. 30 howlands on UCLA Bruins, +3.