Sunday Takes

[Homer]

NFL (14-19) +7.8 Units

I know I know. The words that I'm crazy and stupid for making this bet will be all over the place. I'm not a Steelers or Pats fan to be honest. This game is all about winning for me nothing less nothing more.

I have a real good friend and I was talking to her yesterday. She's a HUGE Steelers fan to the farthest degree. She said there is noway the Steelers will win this game and make it to the Superbowl. She gave me all the reason why and everything.

To make a long story short. I told her she. You know your right but I'm going to tell you this they will win that game and there's no doubt in my mind. This line is way to low and looks WAY to easy.

Also know I see they don't want to move the line off of 3

Thank You Vegas I will give it a shot: Play

NFL (14-19) +7.8 Units

10* Steelers +3 +125 Juice


I will post the other game when I make the play. Right now I'm liking the Eagles. But that may change.

[knockonwood]

Was probably going to post this Game later myself Homer!!! I agree 100%, love the fact that people judge the one game from last week!!! Both the Pitt. game and N.E. game!!! Wish You the Best Homer, looks like Pitt. and Phil in the Superbowl!!! Have a Great day!!! Knock!

[RJeremy]

Knock,

That is SOOO true. People are judging the Steelers on 1 game. Still that 1 game held the JETS offense to 3 points!!!! Don't forget that everyone! We have the #1 defense in the country. Pats will not score at will like some of you think.

STEELERS WIN THIS GAME!!!!!

[RJeremy]

Almost Forgot,

Good Luck Homer!!!!!!!!

[knockonwood]

People ask why N.E. is Favored!!! They should be Favored!!! If they were on a Neutral field, who would You Favor? You would Favor N.E. by 6 and to get money on Pitt., the line would probably go to 7!!! One less min. last Superbowl and My PANTHERS Win, one more Min. and My PANTHERS Win!!! Pitt. would have done the same thing to the Colts last week!!! That's what's wrong with the Betting World, they tend to look at the last game played!!! Have a Great weekend Everyone!!! GO PITT.!!! Knock! Nothing against N.E., they've had a Great run!!! I just Think it comes to an End in Pittsburgh!!!

[10DimeBry]

Homer

GL on your play you know what side I'm on. With that said:

Guys I didnt even factor in last weeks game between colts/pats when capping this game. I've said sense day 1 that the steelers are a fraud and had a soft soft schedule. If they win I'll be a man and apologize pay Chuck his $50 and root for pitt to win it all. I dont think its gonna happen. NE is too good, been there many times before,finds ways to win. I'll continue to ride the bigtime winning team(NE) until they prove me wrong.

As far as the line goes. Pitt+3 IMO is a gift. This line should be Pitt+6 or 7 IMO. Taking the pts in this game is foolish. No offense Homer. I say if your backing Pitt you have to play them on the ML throw the pts out the window. This game will either be a Pitt outright victory or NE by atleast 10pts no doubts on that here. The points mean nothing in this contest.

[knockonwood]

Just talking bout the Average Bettor BroBry!!! They just Tend to look at the last game played and not the overall picture!!! Wish You the Very Best, we still have two day's to change your mind!!! I will check on the line I can get with my man today and then Post!!! I Hate to post early but Smart Money will bring this line down Sun.!!! Wish You the Best Bry!!! Knock! Take Care!!!

[ChuckLazar]

NFL (14-19) +7.8 Units

I know I know. The words that I'm crazy and stupid for making this bet will be all over the place. I'm not a Steelers or Pats fan to be honest. This game is all about winning for me nothing less nothing more.

I have a real good friend and I was talking to her yesterday. She's a HUGE Steelers fan to the farthest degree. She said there is noway the Steelers will win this game and make it to the Superbowl. She gave me all the reason why and everything.

To make a long story short. I told her she. You know your right but I'm going to tell you this they will win that game and there's no doubt in my mind. This line is way to low and looks WAY to easy.

Also know I see they don't want to move the line off of 3

Thank You Vegas I will give it a shot: Play

NFL (14-19) +7.8 Units

10* Steelers +3 +125 Juice


I will post the other game when I make the play. Right now I'm liking the Eagles. But that may change.

I love you man

[lmercer213]

The two things i'm looking at is the NE secondary and Corey Dillon. I heard that Pit didn't pull away until Ty Law went down, and the Pats so far have shown they can gameplan w/o him, Corey Dillon has proven he is a top five back and might be the difference maker IMO. Also, can't figure out why Duce didn't get many carries last week?

[10DimeBry]

knock,

thanks bud, I know what your saying exactly. Its all good. My reasoning is just the way i see it. If your on the steelers there is no reason to take the pts. ML would be the way to go on this one. I'm on pats and BIG on the OVER!!!!! Have a great weekend and BOL

[Spark]

Good Luck Homer ... Bring it in pal

[The Lovedoc]

Dime, you stoled the over pick from me..i want it back!!

[HUNGlikeabear]

GL Homer

[wayne1218]

Homer, GL Brother!

I've seen you talk about "Funny" lines many times. How can you possibly say a 15-1 team with homefield advantage playing a team at home that they already beat good once is getting 3???? The bait there has Pittsburgh written all over it. Best record, at home, againsty a team they already beat by DD and their getting points??? The obvious play would be Pitt. right? I think this game is a toss up but i thought for sure you would be avoiding the bait in this line and taking N.E.

[HUNGlikeabear]

interesting read from down the dial....

Stephen Nover

Patriots-Steelers line surprising to some

Can the Pittsburgh Steelers actually end up being a 3 1/2-point home underdog to the New England Patriots in Sunday’s AFC championship game?

You know bookmakers hate to get off a 3-point line, which is how many points the Patriots are favored to beat the Steelers. But it’s a legitimate question considering how much bettors steamed the Colts this past week.

Indy was bet from plus 2 1/2 to a pick’em. Some of us are still licking our wounds following New England’s 20-3 victory, wondering if the Patriots just have the Colts’ number, or if Peyton Manning is overrated because he plays so many games indoors in perfect conditions?

“No,” said Bert Osborne, head man for the Coast hotel sports books in Las Vegas, when asked if he thought the Patriots could get bet up to -3 1/2 this week. “That would be a heck of a move. The big players would keep it honest at three.”

Some books opened the Patriots at -2 1/2, but quickly moved them to 3-points. Pinnacle, a well-respected Internet book, had the Steelers +3 on Monday afternoon but at minus $1.26 juice. That could be a tip-off the game won’t get up to 3 1/2 either.

“There’s not that many of us but we’re well capitalized,” said professional bettor Steve Fezzik. “If it goes to 3 1/2 it will only be up there 15 minutes at the most because every sharp is lying in wait to play the Steelers.”

Fezzik believes the line is inflated because of how well the Patriots looked Sunday in dispatching the Colts and how lucky the Steelers were to beat the Jets. Pittsburgh was a three-point home underdog when it defeated the Patriots, 34-20, on Oct. 31. The Pats didn’t have Corey Dillon that game and were out-gained, 417-248, by the Steelers. That victory was the fifth in what has become a 15-game win streak for the Steelers.

“(Ben) Roethlisberger has one bad game and the Jets get two fluke touchdowns (on a punt return and interception return) and now there’s a five-point over-correction in the line,” Fezzik said. “I’m not saying the Patriots can’t win, but anyone who lays this number is a bad bettor. This game should be pick’em.”

In the NFC championship matchup, the line has settled in with the majority of books having the Eagles -4 1/2-points against the Falcons. There were some minus-fives at a few places Monday afternoon, including the Palms Hotel, Caesars Palace properties and Station Casino sportsbooks in Las Vegas.

“We’re getting money both ways at 4 1/2,” Osborne said. “That seems to be the right number. We have a little wiggle room if needed.”

In other words, no big deal if the Eagles should rise to 5-points since that’s not a key number as far as the favorite winning by that exact amount.

Both totals have been bet down. The Patriots-Steelers opened 38 and is currently 36, while the Falcons-Eagles over/under opened 42. At a number of influential Internet books, including CRIS, Olympic and Pinnacle, the Falcons-Eagles total dropped to 40 1/2. However, nearly all the big Strip hotels in Las Vegas had the over/under at 41 Monday afternoon.

Not surprisingly, cold weather is expected in both Pittsburgh and Philadelphia. There is a 50 percent chance of snow and showers in Philadelphia for Sunday. The long-range forecast calls for a high of 29 and low of 19 degrees.

In Pittsburgh, about 300 miles from Philadelphia, the early word is 30 percent chance of snow and showers with temperatures expected to be from 22 to 27 degrees. The way the Steelers have played, they don’t necessarily need any help from the weather to go under the total. Pittsburgh led the NFL in fewest yards given up and ranked No. 1 in scoring defense, allowing only 15.7 points per game.

The Patriots, on the other hand, have the top defensive coaching minds in football. They have gone 5-2 to the under in Bill Belichick’s seven playoff games. The Steelers have scored less than 21 points in six of their last eight games.