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  • Trends and Forecasts 1/20

    Thursday, January 20th

    Houston at Orlando, 8:05 ET
    Houston - 0-7 ATS away after double-digit home loss
    Orlando - 5-2 ATS home vs. Houston

    LA Clippers at Dallas, 8:35 ET
    LA Clippers - 9-2 Over after 3 straight forcing <12 TOs/game
    Dallas - 4-13 ATS after getting <10 off. rebounds in a win

    Cleveland at Sacramento, 10:35 ET
    Cleveland - 11-25 ATS away vs. non-conference
    Sacramento - 7-3 ATS home with rest vs. unrested


    **Denotes Time Change

    TODAY'S FORECAST

    Thursday, January 20, 2005
    MST TV Hoops Index Forecast
    6:00p TNT Orlando* 4½ over Houston
    5:00p FSNKTLA Dallas* 11½ over L.A. Clippers
    8:30p TNT Sacramento* 6½ over Cleveland

    *****************************************

    Thursday, January 20th

    Iowa at Illinois, 7:00 ET
    Iowa - 12-26 ATS off an Under
    Illinois - 8-2 ATS at home off an Over

    Detroit at Illinois Chicago, 8:00 ET
    Detroit - 0-6 ATS away after scoring 45+ first-half points
    Illinois Chicago - 23-9 ATS after playing BB games as a favorite

    Arkansas Little Rock at North Texas, 8:00 ET
    Ark Little Rock - 4-1 ATS away with a line of +3 to -3
    North Texas - 2-8 ATS at home off an ATS win

    South Alabama at Middle Tennessee State, 8:00 ET
    South Alabama - 0-5 ATS off an Over
    Mid Tenn State - 8-2 ATS off a road loss

    New Orleans at Western Kentucky, 8:00 ET
    New Orleans - 2-8 ATS after winning 4 or 5 of their last 6 games
    Western Kentucky - 5-1 ATS in home games

    Fresno State at Rice, 8:05 ET
    Fresno State - 2-7 ATS last nine games
    Rice - 3-1 ATS vs. Fresno State

    Nevada at Tulsa, 8:05 ET
    Nevada - 20-8 ATS off a home win
    Tulsa - 5-16 ATS in January

    Loyola Chicago at Wisconsin Green Bay, 8:05 ET
    Loyola Chicago - 5-15 ATS off a loss by 10+ points
    Wisc Green Bay - 5-1 ATS after winning 3 of their last 4 games

    Cleveland State at Wisconsin Milwaukee, 8:30 ET
    Cleveland State - 9-22 ATS in road games
    Wisc Milwaukee - 14-5 ATS off 3+ conference wins

    Arizona State at Oregon State, 8:30 ET
    Arizona State - 5-1 ATS in road games
    Oregon State - 8-23 ATS at home with a line of +3 to -3

    **Arkansas State at Denver, 8:30 ET
    Arkansas State - 5-12 ATS off a home win scoring 85+ points
    Denver - 6-2 ATS vs. Arkansas State

    Marquette at Depaul, 9:00 ET
    Marquette - 8-1 ATS off a SU win / ATS loss
    Depaul - 1-5 ATS at home vs. Marquette

    CS Fullerton at Utah State, 9:05 ET
    CS Fullerton - 0-6 ATS after playing BB games as a home favorite
    Utah State - 10-3 ATS after shooting 55% or better

    Louisiana Lafayette at New Mexico State, 9:05 ET
    LA Lafayette - 23-10 ATS away off BB conference wins
    New Mexico State - 0-7 ATS after playing BB games as an underdog

    Hawaii at UTEP, 9:05 ET
    Hawaii - 0-6 ATS off a home loss by 3 points or less
    UTEP - 17-4 ATS as a home favorite

    San Jose State at Boise State, 9:30 ET
    San Jose State - 1-5 ATS off a home game
    Boise State - 5-1 ATS at home off 3+ losses

    Portland at San Diego, 10:00 ET
    Portland - 5-1 ATS off a home win
    San Diego - 1-5 ATS at home in January

    St. Marys at Pepperdine, 10:00 ET
    St. Marys - 0-6 ATS off a home loss by 20+ points
    Pepperdine - 11-3 ATS at home off a conference loss

    Gonzaga at San Francisco, 10:00 ET
    Gonzaga - 1-6 ATS after scoring 80+ points
    San Francisco - 12-4 ATS after making 13+ three-pointers

    Pacific at Cal Poly Slo, 10:00 ET
    Pacific - 18-7 ATS off a home win
    Cal Poly Slo - 2-8 ATS as an underdog

    CS Northridge at Cal Santa Barbara, 10:00 ET
    CS Northridge - 1-6 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less
    UCSB - 8-2 ATS at home in January

    Cal Riverside at Idaho, 10:05 ET
    Cal Riverside - 1-4 ATS off 3+ games scoring and allowing 70+ points
    Idaho - 18-4 ATS off 4+ ATS wins

    Long Beach State at Cal Irvine, 10:05 ET
    Long Beach State - 6-0 ATS off a loss by 3 points or less
    Cal Irvine - 4-12 ATS as a home favorite of 10+ points

    Santa Clara at Loyola Marymount, 10:05 ET
    Santa Clara - 1-7 ATS away with a line of +3 to -3
    Loyola Marymount - 5-1 ATS off BB losses by 10+ points

    Stanford at UCLA, 10:30 ET
    Stanford - 12-4 ATS away off a road game
    UCLA - 5-16 ATS off an Under

    Arizona at Oregon, 10:30 ET
    Arizona - 15-5 ATS off BB Unders
    Oregon - 1-5 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less

    California at USC, 10:30 ET
    California - 22-9 ATS off a conference loss by 10+ points
    USC - 0-11 ATS at home after playing as a road underdog


    Added Games:

    Manhattan at Canisius, 7:00 ET
    Manhattan - 17-6 ATS in January
    Canisius - 3-10 ATS off BB road games

    Rider at Niagara, 7:00 ET
    Rider - 6-1 ATS as an underdog of 10+ points
    Niagara - 1-6 ATS vs. conference opponents

    Jacksonville State at Eastern Kentucky, 7:30 ET
    Jacksonville State - 1-5 ATS off 4+ losses
    Eastern Kentucky - 8-2 ATS off a road loss by 10+ points

    Samford at Morehead State, 7:45 ET
    Samford - 1-6 ATS away off a conference win
    Morehead State - 9-0 ATS off BB road losses

    Tennessee State at Tennessee Martin, 8:30 ET
    Tennessee State - 7-1 ATS off a home win
    Tennessee Martin - 1-9 ATS at home off a home loss

    Tennessee Tech at SE Missouri State, 8:30 ET
    Tennessee Tech - 7-1 ATS off an Under
    SE Missouri State - 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less

    Austin Peay at Eastern Illinois, 8:35 ET
    Austin Peay - 10-1 ATS as a road favorite
    Eastern Illinois - 0-7 ATS off 3+ ATS losses

    Eastern Washington at Idaho State, 9:05 ET
    Eastern Washington - 8-1 ATS away with a line of +3 to -3
    Idaho State - 2-10 ATS as a home favorite

    Portland State at Weber State, 9:05 ET
    Portland State - 4-1 ATS last five lined games
    Weber State - 1-5 ATS after playing as a road underdog

    Northern Arizona at Montana, 9:05 ET
    Northern Arizona - 1-5 ATS off BB conference wins
    Montana - 10-3 ATS at home off ATS losses in 2 of their last 3 games

    Sacramento State at Montana State, 9:05 ET
    Sacramento State - 2-8 ATS off BB wins
    Montana State - 26-12 ATS in January


    **Denotes Time Change

    Today's Games
    MST Our Favored Team Rating Sprd Our Underdog Team Rating
    5:00p Illinois* ESPN 103.2 14½ Iowa 93.5
    5:00p Manhattan 86.2 3 Canisius* 78.4
    5:00p Niagara* 88.0 10½ Rider 82.5
    5:45p Samford 81.7 1½ Morehead State* 75.1
    6:00p Middle Tennessee St.* 89.7 18 South Alabama 76.9
    6:00p North Texas* 84.1 3 Ark-Little Rock 85.9
    6:00p UI-Chicago* FSN 86.9 4 Detroit 88.1
    6:00p Western Kentucky* DTV 89.7 13½ New Orleans 81.2
    6:05p Nevada 91.9 4½ Tulsa* 82.2
    6:05p Rice* 90.9 8½ Fresno State 87.2
    6:05p Wisc-Green Bay* 84.4 11 Loyola-Chicago 78.2
    6:30p Arizona State FSN 91.3 1 Oregon State* 85.2
    6:30p Denver* FSN 88.9 8½ Arkansas State 85.2
    6:30p SE Missouri State* 81.3 3½ Tennessee Tech 82.9
    6:30p Tennessee St. 82.9 4 Tenn-Martin* 73.9
    6:30p Wisc-Milwaukee* 92.0 20 Cleveland State 76.8
    6:35p Austin Peay 80.2 1 Eastern Illinois* 74.0
    7:00p DePaul* ESPN2 91.5 5½ Marquette 90.9
    7:05p Idaho State* 72.4 ½ Eastern Washington 77.0
    7:05p La.-Lafayette 87.0 7 New Mexico State* 75.2
    7:05p Montana State* 80.0 11½ CS-Sacramento 73.4
    7:05p Montana* 81.2 3½ Northern Arizona 82.9
    7:05p Portland State 84.9 3 Weber State* 76.9
    7:05p UT-El Paso* 96.6 13½ Hawaii 88.2
    7:05p Utah State* 92.4 16½ CS-Fullerton 80.8
    7:30p Boise State* 79.4 8½ San Jose State 76.1
    8:00p CS-Northridge 88.6 0 Cal-Santa Barbara* 83.4
    8:00p Gonzaga 97.9 6 San Francisco* 86.7
    8:00p Pacific 92.1 14 Cal Poly-SLO* 73.0
    8:00p Pepperdine* CSTV 87.6 4 St. Mary's-Cal. 88.8
    8:00p San Diego U.* 85.9 4 Portland U. 86.8
    8:05p Idaho* 83.5 10 UC-Riverside 78.5
    8:05p Santa Clara 88.2 2 Loyola-Marymount* 81.3
    8:05p UC-Irvine* 85.0 11 Long Beach St. 79.0
    8:30p Arizona FSN - CSN 97.6 0 Oregon* 92.5
    8:30p Southern Cal* 88.6 7½ California 86.2
    8:30p U.C.L.A.* FSN 94.9 6 Stanford 93.8
    * Home Team = +5 pts. ** Neutral Court
    GOOD LUCK ALL !!!!!!!!!!!!!
    If you lose you are a degenerate....If you win you are a handicapper

  • #2
    Illinois is 4-0 in Big 11, but just 1-3 as favorite in Big 11 games, with wins by 19,9,26,12 points. Iowa lost its last four visits to this site by 28,26,11,6; they lost by 12 at Ohio State, in first Big 11 road game- they're 0-3 vs spread in league games.

    Detroit is 4-1 in Horizon games; they're 3-1 in last four visits to this site and are 2-0 in league road games this year. Illinois-Chicago won five of last six gams, three in row in league; they lost 67-57 at Detroit in first meeting three weeks ago, shooting just 36% from floor.

    Ark-Little Rock won five of last six games vs N. Texas winning last two visits to this site by 17,8(ot). Trojans won seven of last eight games, but are 0-5 on the road, losing all five by 13+ points. North Texas is 5-1 home.

    South Alabama lost seven of last nine games; they lost both Sun Belt road games by 25,20 points. MTSU is 2-1 in Sun Belt, winning only home game by 35; they are 3-3 in last six games vs USA. Favorites are 3-0-1 vs spread in USA's league games.

    Western Kentucky lost last three games after its 10-1 start; they won six of last seven games vs New Orleans winning last three at this site by 19,13,21 points; they are 1-5 on road, with all five losses by 11 or more pts.

    Fresno State lost last three visits to Rice by 3,21 and 13 points; they're 5-1 in WAC this year, but lost only road game. Rice is 3-0 at home in WAC, with wins by 2,21,12 points. Home side won five of last six in series

    Nevada is 5-1 in WAC, Tulsa 0-5, with home losses by 6,12 (ot). Wolf Pack won its two league road tilts by 8,7 points; they're 8-1 in last nine games. A 89-67 win here last year was Nevada's first in last four trips to Tulsa. Hurricane lost their last eight games.

    Loyola lost 12 of last 14 games, losing only road game in league by 17 at Milwaukee; they're 5-2 in last seven games vs Green Bay, with three of the seven going OT. Green Bay is 4-1 in league, with three wins by 7 or less

    Cleveland State lost nine of last ten games, losing all 4 of its Horizon road games, three by 15+ points. Hosts won last four games, three by 17+ points; they're 4-0 in last four hame games vs CSU, with wins by 25,17,9 and 18 points.

    Oregon State coach John will not be at this game, as he had chest paisn over weekend. Beavers are 2-8 in last ten vs Arizona State, with Sun Devils 3-2 last five at this site. Beavers are 2-0 at home in Pac-10, faves are 5-0 vs spread in their league games.

    Denver is 3-0 in Sun Belt, with wins by 6,27,12 points and only one of those was at home. Arkansas State is playing first road game after four league home tilts; last three games were all decided by five or less points.

    DePaul won five of last six games; they lost four of last five home games vs Marquette, as Eagles won seven of last eight in series. Both sides are 2-1 in C-USA. Blue Demons won only league home game by 11 (Houston)

    Utah State won its two Big West home tilts by 10,11 points, but its been while since they were looking up at Fullerton (3-2) in league standings. Titans lost last five visits to Logan by 26,1,15,12,12 points; they're 1-9 in last ten overall against Aggies.

    UL-Lafayette won its two Sun Belt road games by 3,5 points; all three of their league games were decided by six or less points. ULL won its last six games vs New Mexico State, winning last three visits to Las Cruces by 18,11,5 points. Aggies lost four in row overall.

    Hawaii is 2-3 in WAC, but the three losses are by total of six points; they lost 71-62 at this site last yr. UTEP is 4-1 in league, with three wins by 14+ points; they're 2-0 at home in league, with wins by 29,35. Home side is 9-15 vs spread in WAC games this season.

    Boise State won five of six vs San Jose, with Spartans losing last three visits to this site by 21,2,9 points. San Jose is 0-3 on WAC road, with losses by 15,7,26 pts they lost eight of las tnine overall, but covered two of their three WAC road losses.

    Portland lost five of last six visits to San Diego, losing last three by 11,23,23 points; Pilots are 0-2 on WCC road, losing by 21,13 points. USD won six of last eight games, including home win over Creighton; this is their WCC home opener.

    St Mary's followed up Gonzaga win with 23-point loss at home to Santa Clara; now they visit Pepperdine gym where they're lost last six visits by 4,5,11,29,28,14 pts. Home side won, covered all four of Waves' WCC tilts but Pepperdine split its last ten games overall.

    Gonzaga won its last twelve games vs San Francisco, winning last six visits to this site by 23,10,16,20,6,12 points. USF is 0-3 vs spread in WCC, but won their only home game. Zags are 3-1 in WCC, 1-1 on road, with only win by four at erratic Santa Clara.

    Pacific is 7-0 in Big West, winning two road games by 8,2 points; five of their league wins are by nine or less points. Cal Poly lost seven of last eight games, with last five losses all by 11+ points; they're 3-2 in last five at home against the Tigers.

    Northridge won its last six games, with four of wins by 14+ points, but Matadors lost last three visits to Santa Barbara by 12,18,7 points. Gauchos are 3-0 at home in Big West, as home side won all their league games. UCSB is 5-2 in last seven series games.

    Idaho is 3-0 at home in Big West, with wins by 7,17, 11 points; they're 2-0 as home favorite. Vandals won six of seven games vs Riverside, with UCR losing last two visits to this site by 5,3 points. Highlanders are 0-3 on Big West road, with losses by 13,14,3 points.

    Long Beach lost its last ten games; they're 0-6 in Big West, 2-2 as road dog, with losses by 7,6,17,3 points. Irvine lost four of last five games; they're 0-2 at home in league, as dog is 3-0 vs spread in their home games.

    LMU lost its last three games by 3,11,17 points; they are 1-5 in last six overall, but won last two home tilts vs Santa Clara by 18,6 points. Broncos are 3-7 in last ten games, but won at St Mary's by 23; they're 2-0 as a WCC underdog.

    Underdog is 5-1 vs spread in UCLA's Pac-10 games with Bruins 4-2 SU, 0-1 as favorite; Stanford won nine of last twelve series games, including six in row at this site, where Bruins are unbeaten this year. Dog is 5-0 vs spread in Stanford's league games this season.

    Arizona won last two visits to tough MacCourt by 13, 9 points; they're 4-1 in Pac-10, with three wins by 9+ points. Oregon is 3-2 in league, 2-1 at home, 1-1 as a dog; they're 4-8 in last dozen games against Arizona.

    USC is 1-5 in Pac-10, 0-2 at home, with losses by 25, 17 points; road team covered five of their six games in Pac-10. Cal lost last three games by 20,9,16 points; the visitor is 5-0 vs spread in their conference games.

    Manhattan won five of last six games vs Canisius, with four wins by 16+ points; they lost both MAAC away games, by 8,2 points. Dog is 6-0 vs spread in Canisius league games, with Griffins 3-3, losing by 5,1,2 points.

    Rider lost last two games at Niagara by 6,13 points, as four of last six series games were decided by six or less points. Broncs are 5-1 in MAAC, 4-0 road. Niagara is 3-0 at home in league, with wins by 12,11,2

    Jacksonville State lost its last ten games, and is 0-4 in OVC, all home games, by 4,24,4,16 points. East Ky is 2-2 in league, all on road; they're 1-0 as OVC favorite Home team won both games in last year's series.

    Samford allowed just 59.5 ppg in winning first four in OVC, winning only road game in OT over Jax State. Morehead lost three of first four games, all on road; they won both games vs Samford last year, by 13,5 pts

    Road team is 5-0 vs spread in UT-Martin's games in OVC, with Skyhawks losing four of five; they won five of last six vs Tennessee State, with only loss last year at this site. State is 3-1 in OVC, with favorite 3-1 vs spread in those games.

    Tennessee Tech is 4-0 in OVC, with all four games at home; they covered three of four in league, with three wins by 14+ points. Tech won seven of eight against SE Missouri, winning two of three at this site. Indians lost last game in OT, after being up 11 at the half.

    Eastern Illinois is 0-4 in OVC, with all four losses by 14+ points; they lost eight in row overall. Austin Peay is 3-1 in league, with only loss in OT, but they're 0-5 on road. home side won six of last seven series games.

    Idaho State is 0-4 in Big Sky, scoring just 52.5 ppg in their two home losses. Eastern Washington lost their last two visits to this site, with both games going double overtime. Eagles lost nine of their last dozen games.

    Portland State is 4-0 in Big Sky, winning its only road game; they lost last three visits to Weber State, which is 1-4 in league, 0-3 as Big Sky dog; all four of their league losses are by 6+ points. Portland is veteran club that may turn out to be best in Big Sky this season.

    Montana State won seven of last nine games and is 3-0 in Big sky, with wins by 9,8,2 points, all on road, but they're 1-5 in last six vs Sacramento, losing four in row hornets are 0-10 on road, losing Big Sky road games by 10,3 points.

    Favorite is 4-0 vs spread in Northern Arizona's league games, with Lumberjacks 0-2 on Big Sky road, with losses by 4,13 points. Montana is 2-4 in last six games they're 2-5 in last seven games vs Northern Arizona.

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    • #3
      Thursday's games
      Game of the Day:
      Rockets @ Magic-- McGrady returns to Orlando as a Rocket; Houston scored 77 ppg in losing last two tilts- their last four games stayed under total. Magic won six of last eight games, with five of last seven going over. Orlando won its last four home games. Rockets lost 7 of their last ten on the road.

      Elsewhere, Clippers came close at Alamo last night, they held Spurs under 40% from floor, and were +10 on the boards, but lost by point, their third loss in row. LA has covered five of last six games. Dallas won 11 of its last 15 games; coach Nelson is gone now for three weeks (shoulder surgery). Mavericks went over in 8 of last 11.

      Cavaliers won eight of last 11 games; they beat Portland last night, as Lebron became youngest NBA player with a triple double. Kings won last four games and eight of last ten. Cleveland is 1-6 vs spread on road if they had a game the night before.

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