take note

[linemover]

there are a lot of overs that look like they are going to come in the NBA early games-this would mean to play the unders in the late games-watch for this-this is a strong strategy

[GoldVike]

Blake

as much as I TOTALLY ABHORE AND DESPISE UNDERS........THE (U) 190/191 on the Fakers game is a great example.....Houst on the road especially is futile on points.

Here also is where the point on trends comes into play:

USING LAL AS THE POINT OF REFERENCE ON THE PLAY

Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings.
HOU is 3-1 ATS in their last four overall.
Over is 5-2 in HOU last seven road games.
LAL has won their last three home games ATS.
Lakers are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
Over is 7-3 in LAL last 10 overall.


This would point to the over with the 5-2 for HOU PLUS the 7-3 for LAL

BUT HOUSTONS OVERS in last 9 games are against this:

PHX
BUCKS (TWICE)
TOR
CHAR
ALL HIGH scoring teams with pourous defenses!


LALS OVERS in same 9 are vs virturally the same teams or type teams.

MAVS
TOR
MIA
WASH
SAC
and the one anomoly vs N.O.

All unders came vs the same type of teams with the lone except borderline with Memph

for Hous

JAZZ
CHAR
CLIPS

for Fakes

SPURS
DEN
MEM

So last 7 played under between these two BUT LOOK AT THE PERSONNEL CHANGES.....Sportsbook for example currently has 78% ON THE OVER!

CHAROLETTE/ORL for example number two has only 41% on the OVER.....Unless the Bobcats leave to go home in the 3rd Q....Vegas smiles again!

LONG WINDED BUT FWIW!! Goldv

[savage1]

Goldvike-Lakers games are a special case, where you can throw out stats;the mindset in the game especially late of some of the players is just as important if you get my drift.

[GoldVike]

Savage

I DO AGREE WITH YOU! However this is more of a play on/against the Rockets offense using the Fakers as the reference point!

But you are correct! Once could certainly get "BACK DOORED" on this one!!

Where's She Queen Oh Squeel when Hogie Kobie needs him!!