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  • Trends.. Wednesday

    Houston Bowl Dec 29th
    For while this summer, it looked as if Gary Barnett was out of a job, but he survived, and his Colorado Buffaloes are in a bowl; Barnett is 1-4 in bowls, allowing 37.2 ppg Colorado's last bowl win was five years ago. Mike Price was booted by Alabama without ever coaching a game, so he is thrilled to be at UTEP and they're lot happier to have him, as Miners are 8-3, 7-1 in last eight games, an amazing turnaround, for both the coach and his team.

    Colorado won three of last four games, getting drilled by Oklahoma in Big 12 title game; teams that lost that title game has covered just one of its last six bowls. Big 12 teams are 1-5 as favorites away from home in non-Big 12 games this season. Iowa State got Big 12 off with a win last night, but WAC's Fresno upset Virginia.

    I would be stunned if this game didn't mean lot more to the Miners than to Colorado. Buffs were hurt by some transfers last summer; they were only favored in three of their eleven games this season, none since mid-October. Big 12 teams won and covered three of four in this bowl

    Miners were 3-1 as dog this season; they score points, and give some up. Think UTEP and over is way to go.

    Alamo Bowl Dec 29th, San Antonio
    Ohio State flourished once Smith took over as QB, with a 4-1 record in his starts, including upset wins over both Michigan schools. Buckeyes scored 27.4 ppg in his five starts, compared to 20 ppg in other games. We mention this because Smith is suspended for this game, will not play. Shaky former starter Zwick gets nod for Buckeyes who are 2-1 in bowls under Tressel,.after 1-10 spread run in bowls by his predecessors.

    Oklahoma State runs the ball, simple as that; they lost three of last four games, allowing 36.5 ppg, but they also played Oklahoma, Texas back-to-back. Cowboys have plus-18 turnover ratio and are 4-1 in last five tries as a favorite. In only three of eleven games this year did State complete ten passes. Balanced teams do better in bowls and Oklahoma State has very little offensive balance.

    In five of the eleven Alamo Bowls, losing side scored 0 or 3 points; in three of last five, total was 35 or less. The imbalance of Oklahoma State makes them suspect, and loss of QB Smith makes Buckeyes a no-play. Both of these teams are very well-coached.

  • #2
    Wednesday, December 29th
    Houston Bowl
    Houston, Texas
    Colorado vs. Texas El-Paso, 4:30 EST
    Game Preview by Marc Lawrence


    Colorado:
    2-12 ATS away after allowing 37+ points
    1-5 ATS after allowing 475+ total yards

    Texas El-Paso:
    5-1 ATS after winning 3 of their last 4 games
    5-1 ATS after playing as a road favorite




    Wednesday, December 29th
    Alamo Bowl
    San Antonio, Texas
    Ohio State vs. Oklahoma State, 8:00 EST
    Game Preview by Vegas Experts Staff


    Ohio State:
    1-6 ATS away after allowing 100 or less rushing yards
    1-5 ATS away off a conference win by 10+ points

    Oklahoma State:
    10-2 ATS off an ATS loss
    12-4 ATS as a favorite

    Comment


    • #3
      Favorite/Underdog/Miscellaneous Results
      - A total of 257 lined bowl games have been played since 1992.

      - Nine teams have played bowl games on their home turf. Those hosts are 7-2 SU & ATS.

      - Underdogs own a slight ATS edge in bowl games, 128-118, 52% with six games that have PUSHED, and five that have been pick-em's.

      - Favorites own an edge in straight up wins, 154-98, 61.1%.

      - Underdogs who won ATS are also 98-30 SU, giving some merit to Money Line wagering.

      - In the 2003-04 bowl season, favorites turned the tables with a 20-8 SU & 15-12-1 (55.6%) ATS record.


      Line Range Results

      - Double-digit favorites are 35-6 SU but just 17-22-2 ATS, 43.6%.

      - Favorites of less than 4 points are just 46-50-1 ATS, 47.9%.

      - Only twice has a favorite of less than four won SU & lost ATS. More evidence advocating underdogs on the money line, not ATS!

      - Favorite of 4 points or less in the 2003-04 bowl season were 10-3 SU & 9-3-1 ATS.

      - The best line range to bet with favorites on has been 6.5-9.5. They are 36-30-1 ATS (54.5%) in that scenario.
      Total Results

      - UNDER plays have cashed at a 54.1% clip, with a record of 138-117-2

      - The average total placed in bowl games is 50.9, significantly higher than in the regular season.

      - Games with totals set extremely low (37 or less) are have gone UNDER 70% of the time, 7-3.

      - Games with extremely high totals (63 or higher) have gone OVER 62% of the time, 13-8.
      2004 Bowl Team Perfomance Trends

      Which are the HOT teams coming into this year's bowl games?

      - NORTH TEXAS won its L7 games both SU & ATS

      - BOWLING GREEN closed the season on a 7-1 SU & 6-2 ATS run

      - HAWAII won its L3 games SU & ATS to qualify for a bowl, including twice as an underdog

      - FRESNO STATE was 5-0 SU & ATS to end the season, outscoring its opponents by 40.0 PPG

      - TOLEDO was 3-0 SU & ATS to end the season, winning all three games as an underdog

      - OREGON STATE comes into its bowl game vs NOTRE DAME on a 5-1 SU & 6-0 ATS run.

      - OHIO STATE rallied with a 4-1 SU & ATS finish to qualify for a bowl game

      - NORTH CAROLINA covered six of its L7 games

      - NEW MEXICO won its L5 games straight up, covering four of them

      - BOISE STATE has the nation's longest winning streak, 22 games

      - LOUISVILLE was an incredible 10-1 SU & ATS this season

      - IOWA was 7-0 SU & 5-1-1 ATS in its L7 games of the 2004 season

      - UTAH is on a remarkable run of 21-2 SU & 19-4 ATS in two years under lame-duck coach Urban Meyer

      - VIRGINIA TECH was 8-0 SU & 6-1 ATS in its L8 games


      Which teams are playing POORLY heading into their bowl games?
      - SOUTHERN MISS was 2-5 SU in its L7 season games

      - MINNESOTA was 1-5 SU & 2-4 ATS to end the season, a nearly identical finish to the past few seasons

      - UAB closed the season by going 2-3 SU & 1-4 ATS

      - ALABAMA lost three of its L4 games straight up

      - ARIZONA STATE covered just once in its L6 games

      - FLORIDA STATE was 1-6-1 ATS in its L8 games

      - WEST VIRGINIA lost its L2 games SU & its L4 games ATS

      - OKLAHOMA was just 4-8 ATS this year overall and 1-4 ATS in its L5 games


      PAST BOWL PERFORMANCE TRENDS

      The STRONG bowl trends:

      - ALABAMA has lost its L3 Bowl Games ATS

      - GEORGIA is on a 6-1 SU & ATS run in its last seven bowl games.

      - LSU has gone 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS in its L7 bowl game appearances

      - FLORIDA STATE has gone UNDER the total in 10 of its L12 bowl games

      - NORTH CAROLINA is on a nice stretch of 5-0 SU & 4-0-1 ATS in bowl games

      - MICHIGAN has gone OVER the total in five of its L6 bowl games

      - MIAMI has won six of its L7 bowl games, both SU & ATS

      - BOSTON COLLEGE comes into its bowl game on a 6-1 SU & ATS bowl run.

      - BOISE STATE is 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in its four previous bowl games.

      - MARSHALL is on a five game SU & ATS bowl winning streak

      - OKLAHOMA has gone UNDER the total in all seven of its bowl games since '93

      - VIRGINIA has gone OVER the total in six of its L7 bowl games


      The WEAK bowl trends:
      - CINCINNATI is 0-3 SU & ATS in its L3 bowl game appearances

      - COLORADO has lost its L2 bowl games SU & ATS after winning the previous six

      - FLORIDA is on a 1-4 SU & ATS stretch in bowl games

      - LOUISVILLE has lost five of its L6 bowl games, both SU & ATS

      - WEST VIRGINIA is 1-7 SU & 2-6 ATS in its previous eight bowl games since '92

      - NOTRE DAME hasn't won a bowl game since January '94 and is 0-6 SU & 1-5 ATS in that span.


      There are a few rematches of recent bowl games. They are:
      - CINCINNATI and MARSHALL met in the 2000 Motor City Bowl. The Herd won 25-14 as a 3 point dog

      - OREGON STATE routed NOTRE DAME in the 2000 Fiesta Bowl, 41-9. OSU was a 3-1/2 point favorite

      - MIAMI and FLORIDA last met in a bowl game in 2000, the Sugar Bowl. Miami won handily, 37-20, as a 6-1/2 point favorite

      - WISCONSIN and GEORGIA also played in the '97 Outback Bowl. Georgia won easily 33-6, as a 9-1/2 point favorite

      Comment


      • #4
        HOUSTON BOWL:
        UTEP (+3, O/U: 59.5) vs. COLORADO:
        Since losing the inaugural bowl game in Houston in 2000, the representative of from the Big 12 has converted three straight games in convincing fashion, going 2-0-1 ATS.


        ALAMO BOWL:
        OKLAHOMA ST (-2, O/U: 49.5) vs. OHIO ST:
        The Big Ten team is 6-2 SU & ATS in the last eight games of the Alamo Bowl since the format changed, matching representatives of the Big 12 and Big Ten. The OVER and UNDER have alternated in seven straight seasons.

        Comment


        • #5
          COLORADO (7 - 5) vs. UTEP (8 - 3) - 12/29/2004, 4:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          UTEP is 5-1 ATS (+3.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
          UTEP is 1-5 ATS (-4.5 Units) in road games after a bye week since 1992.
          UTEP is 1-5 ATS (-4.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
          UTEP is 1-5 ATS (-4.5 Units) in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          OHIO ST (7 - 4) vs. OKLAHOMA ST (7 - 4) - 12/29/2004, 8:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          OKLAHOMA ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

          Comment


          • #6
            NBA

            Wednesday,

            Detroit (-2.5) at Washington (183.5), 7:05 ET
            Detroit - 10-1 ATS after improving shooting % in 4 straight
            Washington - 0-6 ATS vs. Detroit

            Houston (185) at Cleveland (-4.5), 7:05 ET
            Houston - 2-4 ATS in 2nd night of back-to-back games
            Cleveland - 23-10 Over Home vs. non-conference

            Milwaukee (204.5) at Orlando (-8), 7:05 ET
            Milwaukee - 5-0 ATS Away with same season revenge
            Orlando - 1-14 ATS home after Home Loss

            Indiana (-1) at Charlotte (186), 7:05 ET
            Indiana - 19-3 Over Away vs. team they beat in previous same season match
            Charlotte - 9-2 Over Home

            Minnesota (-3) at New York (200), 7:35 ET
            Milwaukee - 13-4 ATS after allowing <40% shooting in a win
            New York - 14-2 Over after covering line by 10 pts' or more

            Phoenix (-11) at New Orleans (196), 8:05 ET
            Phoenix - 0-6 ATS with at least 3 days rest till their next game
            New Orleans - 5-0 ATS Home after double-digit away loss

            Boston (194) at Memphis (-5), 8:05 ET
            Boston - 7-2 ATS as road dog of 3.5 to 9.5 pts. this year
            Memphis - 13-0 Under Home after Home Win

            Toronto (200.5) at Golden State (-4.5), 10:35 ET
            Toronto - 13-27 ATS vs. teams with win pct. of .250 to .400
            Golden State - 6-2 ATS Home after Home Win

            Utah (187) at LA Clippers (-5), 10:35 ET
            Utah - 8-0 Under when next is home vs. Sacramento
            LA Clippers - 1-10 ATS Home after two Road Losses


            **Denotes Time Change

            Comment


            • #7
              CBB

              George Washington beat West Virginia 70-64 last yr; this is game of day, as GW is 9-1, with wins over both Maryland and Michigan State, while Mountaineers are undefeated, and Morgantown is tough place to play.

              East Carolina lost by just 57-53 to Gamecocks, so it could be tussle for Clemson squad that lost two out of three in tourney last week, losing 75-60 to Hoyas, and 78-66 to UAB. Pirates are just 3-5 this season.

              Loyola lost its last seven games, but five of the seven were by seven or less points. Central Michigan is 4-0 at home, with wins over Valparaiso, East Tennessee. Home team won last three series games, but none by more than seven points.

              Last five South Carolina games decided by total of 11 points; Gamecocks are 6-2, with losses by 1 in OT vs Clemson, by 4 at Kansas. Pitt has yet to lose; their #1 win this year is vs dissension-ridden Memphis in NY, as they play very lame non-league schedule.

              Wisconsin lost 71-56 at Alabama last year, as 2-point road favroite. This year, Badgers re 8-2, winning last three games by 29+ points. Tide is 7-1, losing only to Washington by 3 points, up in Alaska.

              Ole Miss won its last three games vs VCU, by 14,13 points and by 4 in OT in last visit to this site. All three Rebel losses came when they scored 64 or less points. VCU is 4-0 at home, 0-4 on road, but Richmond is best club they've beaten.

              Home team won last two Kent-Boston College games with two games decided by total of seven points. BC is still unbeaten, despite OT sessions with Holy Cross & Yale. Kent is on a seven-game winning streak.

              Houston beat Texas A&M last year in OT, 70-61, but both sides have new coaches this year. Aggies are 8-0 vs a horrible schedule of cupcakes, and they've yet to be on road. Penders has Houston at 7-4; they lost by 47 Friday, in revenge game at Washington.

              Vanderbilt is tough at home, with 6-0 home mark, and all six wins by 16+ points. Dayton won its last five tilts after 1-3 start; they're 1-1 on road, winning by 8 at Saint Louis, losing by 11 at DePaul.

              Hawaii is unbeaten, but Warriors lost five of last six at Fresno, losing last two visits by 1-9 points, as home side won six of last eight series meetings. Bulldogs are on two-game losing streak, after they started out 4-0.

              St Peter's has nation's leading scorer in Clark, but you are giving points here with team crossing Mason-Dixon line, never a sound idea. Tennessee Tech is 4-0 home, 0-5 away, and this game ain't home.

              Charleston is 4-3, with pair of wins by 13+ points; in Harvard, they have foe which is 4-6, but won three of last four games; they only lost by 7 at Notre Dame, so they have to be at least not horrible.

              Birmingham Southern won 20 games last year, and is finally eligible for conference tourney. UT-Martin lost five of last six games, all of which were on road, as is this one. Not good for them.

              Chattanooga won four of last five games, but not like they were playing Duke or anything. North Texas won its last three games and is 7-2 so far this season.

              Northern Arizona lost four of last six games; they lost by 9 at home to San Diego, team in LMU's league. LMU is 7-3, losing last game in OT at Virginia, score that would have shocked basketball world.

              South Carolina State isn't bad club; they lost in OT to South Carolina week ago. Utah State generally tough in Logan; they're 7-3, scoring under 63 in both losses, but they lost last game, a league tilt, at woeful Idaho.

              Valparaiso upset Penn State last night to get to finals of the Arizona State tourney, while hosts advanced by a wide margin over LIU. Sun Devils won their last six in a row, behind star big man Diogu.

              New Mexico is generally very good at home, moreso if they have good club, and it seems like they do. Lobos are 10-2, but were spanked here week ago, by Wake Forest, one of best clubs in country.

              Murray State is 4-3, 0-2 on road, losing by 4 points at Missouri, 9 points at Southern Illinois. St Mary's has been all over this fall, they're 7-4, with four wins in their last five games.

              Central Connecticut upset host Santa Clara last night in Cable Car Classic; they face Charlotte club that held off spunky Yale by six points last night. 49ers hit shot from halfcourt to beat Indiana in game last week.

              Seton Hall beat Davidson last year, 73-50; Pirates are 4-3, sneaking out close win over Drexel in last game. Davidson is 4-5; four of their five losses are by 13+ points, with only exception close loss at UMass.

              NC-Greensboro is 7-3, but they lost last game by 32 at Wisconsin. Minnesota won its last five games and is now also 7-3. Five of seven Minnesota wins are by 14 or more points.

              Saint Louis beat SE Missouri last year 88-62, but the Billikens are struggling, with 2-7 record, and 27-point loss last time out. Southeast is 3-6, but only one of the losses is by more than seven points.

              Princeton is 5-2, with losses by 9 at Syracuse, 2 at Temple; this will be tough out for UTEP squad that has been playing cupcakes all season. Tigers already have played four games decided by four or less points, and they won three of them.

              Comment


              • #8
                Wednesday, December 29th

                George Washington at West Virginia, 7:00 ET
                George Washington - 1-6 ATS away on Wednesdays
                West Virginia - 9-1 ATS at home after playing as a favorite

                East Carolina at Clemson, 7:00 ET
                East Carolina - 3-10 ATS off 3+ games shooting 40% or worse
                Clemson - 16-6 ATS at home off a loss by 15+ points

                Loyola Chicago at Eastern Michigan, 7:00 ET
                Loyola Chicago - 16-6 ATS away off a road conference loss
                Eastern Michigan - 2-9 ATS at home off 3+ non-conference games

                South Carolina at Pittsburgh, 7:00 ET
                South Carolina - 2-7 ATS as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points
                Pittsburgh - 6-1 ATS on Wednesdays

                Alabama at Wisconsin, 7:30 ET
                Alabama - 1-13 ATS off 6+ wins
                Wisconsin - 13-4 ATS at home off a home win

                Mississippi at Virginia Commonwealth, 7:30 ET
                Mississippi - 1-7 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less
                VA Commmonwealth - 22-8 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less

                Kent State at Boston College, 7:30 ET
                Kent State - 9-2 ATS away off BB non-conference games
                Boston College - 1-9 ATS at home off a non-conference game

                Houston at Texas A&M, 8:00 ET
                Houston - 9-1 ATS away off a loss by 15+ points
                Texas A&M - 0-7 ATS off BB home games

                Dayton at Vanderbilt, 9:00 ET
                Dayton - 6-1 ATS away off BB games with 9 or less offensive rebounds
                Vanderbilt - 15-30 ATS after winning 3 of their last 4 games

                Hawaii at Fresno State, 10:00 ET
                Hawaii - 1-5 ATS away after playing 3+ games as a home favorite
                Fresno State - 7-1 ATS on Wednesdays


                Saturn Shootout
                Charleston, South Carolina
                Opening Round

                Tennessee Tech vs. St. Peters, 5:30 ET
                Tennessee Tech - 1-8 ATS away in December
                St. Peters - 13-2 ATS as a favorite

                Harvard vs. College of Charleston, 7:45 ET
                Harvard - 3-11 ATS playing with 5 or 6 days rest
                Col of Charleston - 5-1 ATS as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points


                Dr. Pepper Classic
                Chattanooga, Tennessee
                Opening Round

                Birmingham Southern vs. Tennessee-Martin, 6:00 ET
                Birmingham Southern - 2-0 ATS on a neutral court
                Tennessee Martin - 1-5 ATS this season

                North Texas vs. Tennessee Chattanooga, 8:15 ET
                North Texas - 28-52 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
                Tennessee Chatt - 8-2 ATS off a win by 30+ points


                Gossner Classic
                Logan, Utah
                Opening Round

                Northern Arizona vs. Loyola Marymount, 8:00 ET
                Northern Arizona - 1-5 ATS after scoring 95+ points
                Loyola Marymount - 7-1 ATS away off a loss by 6 points or less

                South Carolina State vs. Utah State, 10:15 ET
                South Carolina State - 3-0 ATS as an underdog of 10+ points
                Utah State - 3-13 ATS after playing as a road favorite


                ASU Hoops Classic
                Tempe, Arizona
                Championship Game

                **Valparaiso vs. Arizona State, 8:45 ET
                Valparaiso - 7-1 ATS off a non-conference game
                Arizona State - 4-13 ATS off BB home games


                Lobo Invitational
                Albuquerque, New Mexico
                Championship Game

                Troy State vs. New Mexico, 10:15 ET
                Troy State - 1-4 ATS off a non-conference game
                New Mexico - 15-5 ATS off BB home games


                Shamrock Classic
                Moraga, California
                Championship Game

                Murray State vs. St. Marys, 10:15 ET
                Murray State - 8-4 ATS off BB home games
                St. Marys - 1-5 ATS off BB home wins


                Cable Car Classic
                Santa Clara, California
                Championship Game

                Central Connecticut State vs. NC Charlotte, 11:15 ET
                C. Connecticut State - N/A
                NC Charlotte - 2-10 ATS off 3+ wins


                Added Games:

                Seton Hall at Davidson, 7:00 ET
                Seton Hall - 1-5 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
                Davidson - 6-1 ATS at home with a line of +3 to -3

                NC Greensboro at Minnesota, 8:00 ET
                NC Greensboro - 1-6 ATS on Wednesdays
                Minnesota - 6-0 ATS after shooting 60% or better

                Jacksonville State at Arkansas, 8:05 ET
                Jacksonville State - 1-5 ATS away off a road loss
                Arkansas - 5-1 ATS as a favorite

                SE Missouri State at St. Louis, 8:10 ET
                SE Missouri State - 13-32 ATS off an ATS win
                St. Louis - 6-1 ATS at home after losing 6 or 7 of their last 8 games


                **Denotes Time Change

                Comment


                • #9
                  Thanks Spark For All You Do For This Site....

                  Illjaunt
                  RED LIGHT UP THAT CIGAR

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    spark rules

                    Comment

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