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  • Trends... Tuesdays

    Independence Bowl Dec 28th, Shreveport, La
    This is bowl where dogs covered five of last six, as SEC teams have dominated, but because SEC didnt't have lot of teams with winning records this year, this slot was not filled. Unless Cyclones bring lot of fans, doubt this is big gate attraction in Shreveport, LA, northwest Lousiana.

    Miami was 12-1 last year with Roethlisberger at QB, but now their coach is leaving for Indiana, and team lost its MAC title game to Toledo, 35-27, blowing second half lead to QB playing with broken hand. This is fourth team in MAC to go bowling; first two went 1-2..

    Iowa State is first Big 12 team to take field in this game; they were on four-game win streak and had shot to win Big 12 North, but they threw INT in end zone at end of Missouri game and lost, 17-14; they had plus-13 ratio in turnovers their last five games of regular season.

    MAC teams were favored in just seven of their 34 non-MAC games, up to this point, and are 3-4 as favorite in those seven games. Five of last six Independence Bowls had totals of 50+, with highest scoring game played in a snowstorm four years ago (no snow plows in town).

    Should be spritied game between two teams glad to be on ESPN, especially Iowa State, since big 12 has FOX Sports contract, so they aren't on ESPN hardly ever.


    Insight.com Bowl Dec 28th, Tucson, AZ
    Oregon State ripped Notre Dame in Fiesta Bowl four years ago, 41-9; now, Irish are between head coaches, and lost three of last four games, blowing 20-7 lead at home to Boston College, then allowing 82 points in their last two losses, vs Pitt and USC.

    Oregon State blew opener at LSU when they missed a PAT that would have tied game in OT; they then fell to 1-4 before getting hot, behind senior QB Anderson, who has always been stronger player at home, but Beavers won four of last five games, with only single loss by less than 14 points. OSU is 1-4 when it allows 20+ points, so up to Irish to light up scoreboard.

    Favorites were 7-3 in Beaver games this year, with OSU 4-1 when favored; they won 28-14 on this field October 30; their only loss in last six games was at home in fog vs USC, in game OSU led at one point, 13-0.

    Hard to be inspired by any interim coach, and Beavers were hot down stretch; playing in Pac-10 country has to help, at least a little.

  • #2
    Tuesday, December 28th
    Independence Bowl
    Shreveport, Louisiana
    Miami OH vs. Iowa State, 6:30 EST
    Game Preview by Ken A.


    Miami OH:
    10-3 ATS after winning 4 of their last 5 games
    8-2 ATS after gaining 9+ yards per pass attempt

    Iowa State:
    1-6 ATS off a home loss
    2-12 ATS off a conference loss





    Tuesday, December 28th
    Insight Bowl
    Phoenix, Arizona
    Oregon State vs. Notre Dame, 9:45 EST
    Game Preview by Cincinnati Kid


    Oregon State:
    1-6 ATS away off BB ATS wins as a favorite
    1-5 ATS off BB games scoring 20+ first half points

    Notre Dame:
    6-1 ATS away after playing as an underdog
    5-1 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points

    Comment


    • #3
      CBB

      Tuesday, December 28th

      Northern Illinois at St. Bonaventure, 6:00 ET
      Northern Illinois - 4-1 Over last five games
      St. Bonaventure - 1-13 ATS off a home loss

      South Alabama at Western Michigan, 7:00 ET
      South Alabama - 0-6 ATS playing with 7+ days rest
      Western Michigan - 8-1 ATS after playing as an underdog

      Tulsa at Oklahoma, 7:00 ET
      Tulsa - 10-3 ATS as a neutral court underdog
      Oklahoma - 1-8 ATS away off BB games with 10+ steals

      San Diego State at Iowa State, 8:00 ET
      San Diego State - 2-8 ATS away after losing 4 of 5
      Iowa State - 15-5 ATS as a home favorite

      Ball State at Indiana, 8:00 ET
      Ball State - 0-13 ATS in December
      Indiana - 34-24 ATS as an underdog

      NC Wilmington at North Carolina, 8:00 ET
      NC Wilmington - 9-3 ATS off a road win
      North Carolina - 3-8 ATS off BB wins by 20+ points

      Rutgers at Kansas State, 8:00 ET
      Rutgers - 1-6 ATS off 3+ wins
      Kansas State - 7-1 ATS off 3+ wins

      Bradley at Creighton, 8:05 ET
      Bradley - 6-1 ATS off a win by 15+ points
      Creighton - 1-5 ATS at home on Tuesdays

      Air Force at Iowa, 8:05 ET
      Air Force - 34-13 ATS off BB losses
      Iowa - 7-18 ATS playing with 5 or 6 days rest

      San Diego at Wyoming, 9:00 ET
      San Diego - 1-7 ATS away in December
      Wyoming - 5-1 ATS after allowing 55 points or less

      Gonzaga at Oklahoma State, 9:15 ET
      Gonzaga - 1-6 ATS off a win by 10+ points
      Oklahoma State - 5-1 ATS this season

      Portland at Oregon, 10:00 ET
      Portland - 1-6 ATS away playing wtih 5 or 6 days rest
      Oregon - 5-1 ATS vs. non-conference opponents

      Long Beach State at UCSB, 10:00 ET
      Long Beach State - 5-1 ATS after playing BB games as an underdog
      UCSB - 1-5 ATS after losing 3 of their last 4 games

      Cal Riverside at Pacific, 10:00 ET
      Cal Riverside - 6-10 ATS off 3+ non-conference games
      Pacific - 11-3 ATS off 3+ non-conference games

      Cal Irvine at Cal Poly Slo, 10:00 ET
      Cal Irvine - 8-2 ATS in December
      Cal Poly Slo - 1-7 ATS at home after playing as a home underdog

      CS Fullerton at CS Northridge, 10:05 ET
      CS Fullerton - 3-11 ATS away off a win by 10+ points
      CS Northridge - 5-1 ATS off BB games scoring 75+ points


      Fiesta Bowl Classic
      Tucson, Arizona
      Opening Round

      Richmond vs. Butler, 6:00 ET
      Richmond - 19-7 ATS after playing BB games as an underdog
      Butler - 7-17 ATS off an ATS win
      Eastern Washington vs. Arizona, 8:15 ET
      Eastern Washington - 6-1 ATS on Tuesday nights
      Arizona - 1-7 ATS at home off 5+ wins

      ECAC Holiday Festival
      New York, New York
      Opening Round

      NC State vs. Columbia, 6:30 ET
      NC State - 8-20 ATS as a road favorite
      Columbia - 6-0 ATS away off an ATS loss
      Canisius vs. St. Johns, 8:45 ET
      Canisius - 2-9 ATS off 5+ losses
      St. Johns - 16-3 ATS off a home win

      FIU Holiday Tournament
      Miami, Florida
      Championship Game

      Ohio U vs. Florida International, 8:15 ET
      Ohio U - 6-1 ATS playing with 1 or 0 days rest
      Florida INT - 4-17 ATS in home games

      Cable Car Classic
      Santa Clara, California
      Opening Round

      Central Connecticut State at Santa Clara, 9:00 ET
      Central Conn St. - 1-3 ATS as an underdog
      Santa Clara - 8-2 ATS in tournament games
      Yale at NC Charlotte, 11:15 ET
      Yale - 14-5 ATS after allowing 80+ points
      NC Charlotte - 2-9 ATS off 3+ wins

      Sun Bowl Tournament
      El Paso, Texas
      Championship Game

      Princeton vs. UTEP, 9:15 ET
      Princeton - 1-5 ATS off 3+ games allowing 55 points or less
      UTEP - 17-7 ATS after playing as a favorite

      Added Games:

      Western Kentucky at Austin Peay, 8:30 ET
      Western Kentucky - 6-1 ATS off a non-conference game
      Austin Peay - 1-5 ATS off an Under

      Weber State at Utah, 9:00 ET
      Weber State - 5-14 ATS off BB non-conference games
      Utah - 11-3 ATS in December

      **Idaho State at Boise State, 10:15 ET
      Idaho State - 7-18 ATS off a home game
      Boise State - 8-2 ATS at home off BB home games

      **Sacramento State at Oregon State, 8:05 ET
      Sacramento State - 5-1 ATS away after playing 4+ games as an underdog
      Oregon State - 2-8 ATS at home off BB wins


      **Denotes Time Change

      Comment


      • #4
        CBB

        St Bonaventure is 0-9, with seven losses by 15+ pts, 0-4 at home, as welding scandal has gutted program. Northern Illinois is 3-4, 2-2 on road; how are they a 12-point road favorite over anyone?

        South Alabama lost four of its last five games and all four road games. Western Michigan is 6-2, 2-0 home, and is playing first home game in last four weeks.

        Tulsa is playing first game under Williamson, an interim coach, since Phillips resigned after 2-5 start. Tulsa lost 81-73 to Sooners last year, but Oklahoma is stronger this year, with three wins by 18+ points.

        Iowa State is 4-0 at home, with three of the wins by 12 or more points; they lost 86-76 at San Diego St last year. Aztecs lost four of last five games and are 0-2 on road. Ames, Iowa is tough place to visit.

        Indiana lost five of its last six games; six of their eight games have been decided by five or less points; this is a must-win for Coach Davis, since Ball State is 5-3, albeit 3-1 in last four games. Hoosiers won last four in series, all be ten or more points.

        North Carolina won its last nine games, with five of the nine by 28+ points; they beat Wilmington 71-54 last year. UNCW is 5-3, 2-2 on road, wth no losses by double digit margin.

        Kansas State is 8-0, with three of last four wins by seven or less points; Rutgers will be one of their stiffer challenges, as Knights are 5-3, with only one loss by more than eight points. Rutgers is 1-1 on the road.

        Bradley is 7-1, winning last five games in row, but the Braves lost last six visits to Omaha, losing by average of 17 points. Creighton already has two home losses, though, which is rare. Bluejays are 8-3 overall. Home side won last six series games.

        Iowa lost twice to Northwestern last year, so Alford scheduled Air Force, which plays Princeton system. Flyboys have been off for 15 days; they're 4-4, with one loss by more than seven points; they're mentally tough.

        San Diego won its last three games to even its mark at 5-5; four of their five losses are by 9+ points. Toreros are 2-3 on road. Wyoming lost three of last four games but is 3-1 at home; only one of their five wins is by 8+ points.

        Oklahoma State plays great defense; they're 7-0, with no wins by less than 13 points. Gonzaga lost one game so far, by 17 at Illinois; they've won six games in row.

        Portland won five of its last six games and is 9-3, with no losses by more than three points; they're 1-4 in last five games vs Oregon, with three losses by 12+ points. Ducks have Pac-10 opener on Friday; they're 7-1, with four wins by 10 or more points.

        Long Beach lost its last four games, but has won four of its last six vs UCSB, winning two of last three visits to Thunderdome. Gauchos lost five of last six games; their two wins are by 8 (ot), 9 points.

        Pacific is 6-0 vs Cal-Riverside in Big West play, with three wins at this site by 12-12-35 points. Riverside is 0-3 on road, with losses by 17-18-16 points. Pacific is 4-2, with only one win by more than eleven points.

        Northridge is 1-5 vs D-I teams this year, Fullerton is 4-3, 1-2 on road; they lost last two visits to this site by 24,8 points, and are 2-4 in last six series games.

        Butler is 5-0 at home, 0-3 away from home; they have three starters back from last year. Richmond is 2-4, is away for sixth time in seven games; they gave Pitt good game last week, before losing, 69-60.

        Arizona is 7-2, but has only one win by more than 17 points. Eastern Washington lost its last six games, but has only one loss by 20+ points.

        Columbia is playing in Madison Square Garden for the first time in 16 years; they're 6-2, losing to Hofstra by 24, Stony Brook by 4. NC State senior Hodge is back home in NYC; Wolfpack has four wins by 23+ points.

        Canisius lost its last five games, but only one of their last four losses is by more than five points. St John's is 4-5, with all four wins by 8+ points.

        Ohio U is 0-2 on road, losing at American, St Francis, both by nine points. FIU is 5-4, but they did upset Florida State, and stay within 10 of G. Washington.

        Yale is 2-6, but they took unbeaten Boston College to double overtime, and lost in OT at Bucknell, so they're no patsy. Charlotte, though, just won at buzzer over the Hoosiers in Bloomington; they're 7-2, with pair of wins by more than 17 points.

        Santa Clara lost three of its last four games and is 6-5, with only one win by more than 13 points. They're an erratic team, with wins over North Carolina, Stanford, losses to Irvine, Cal Poly.

        Princeton is 5-2, with losses by 9 at Syracuse, 2 at Temple; this will be tough out for UTEP squad that has been playing cupcakes all season. Tigers already have played four games decided by four or less points, and they won three of them.

        Western Kentucky is 7-1, 2-1 on road; this is their 1st game in ten days. Austin Peay is 1-6, but this is only their second home game. Three of last four series tilts were won by four or less points.

        Utah is 4-2 in its last six games vs Weber St, but none of the wins were by more than 14 points. Weber lost four of last five games; they're 1-3 on road, with losses by 11-17-20 points. Utah is 8-3, with three wins by 16 or more points.

        Boise State won its last six games vs Idaho State, with wins at this site by 26-8-3 points. Bengals are 4-5, as only one of their losses is by more than nine points. Boise is 6-4, with two wins by 12+ points.

        Oreon State won its last two games vs Sacramento by 13,3 points; they're 7-3, but none of the wins are by 14 or more points. Their Pac-10 opener is Saturday vs UCLA. Hornets have four losses by 18+ points.

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA Trends


          Tuesday, December 28th

          Cleveland (-8.5) at Atlanta (188.5), 7:35 ET
          Cleveland - 10-5 ATS on the road after a Home Win
          Atlanta - 5-8 ATS this year as a Home Underdog

          Houston (-3) at Milwaukee (186), 8:05 ET
          Houston - 3-1 ATS this year Away after 1 or more Home
          Milwaukee - 0-7 ATS Home after Home Win

          Boston (208.5) at Dallas (-6.5), 8:35 ET
          Boston - 1-6 ATS first of back-to-back away
          Dallas - 67-31-2 ATS after allowing <40% shooting in a win

          Phoenix (200) at San Antonio (-4.5), 8:35 ET
          Phoenix - 7-1 ATS after double-digit home win
          San Antonio - 1-5 ATS on a 2-game S/U and ATS win streak

          New Jersey (178.5) at Chicago (-2), 8:35 ET
          New Jersey - 7-1 Over Away vs. team they beat in previous same season match
          Chicago - 5-11 ATS home with rest vs. unrested opponent

          Philadelphia (200) at Seattle (-8.5), 10:05 ET
          Philadelphia - 0-8 ATS away when they & opponent have no rest
          Seattle - 3-0 ATS this year in the 2nd night of BTB games

          Toronto (201.5) at Los Angeles Lakers (-7.5), 10:35 ET
          Toronto - 3-8 ATS after improving shooting % in 3 straight
          L.A. Lakers - 9-3 ATS playing Game 3 or more of a home stand w/ another H to follow


          **Denotes Time Change

          Comment


          • #6
            NBA

            Tuesday's games

            Suns @ Spurs-- Phoenix is 10-3 vs spread on road, 2-0 as road dog; they're 19-1 in last 20 games, and on 10-game win streak. Spurs are 6-1 in last seven games and 11-3 as home favorite. This is heavyweight bout between the West's best. last six Phoenix road games went over the total.

            Elsewhere, Atlanta is 2-6 vs spread if they played night before; Hawks shot 51% last night, still lost by 14 to the heat. Cleveland now 4-1 in last five series games after a 93-79 win here November 9. Cavs 2-2 as road fave.

            Rockets just traded for David Wesley, so their chemistry might be off at first; they won both their games vs Bucks a year ago, by 14,4 points, and average total of 205.0. Rockets are 1-3 as road favorite, but Bucks are 0-4 as a home underdog.

            Dallas covered just one of last four as home favorite; the home side won both their games vs Boston last year, with average total of 216. Celtics are 2-4 vs spread if it has game again next night. Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Maverick home games.

            Nets beat Bulls in double OT in Chicago last month, and without Kidd (they had 30 turnovers, but shot 51%, as Bulls shot 37%). Chicago is on fire, with five wins in last six games. and five straight home ******. Nets had OT loss in Detroit last night, 100-90.

            76ers had good win in Portland last night; they're 3-1-1 vs spread if they had game thenight before. Last three Philly road games went over. Seattle is 6-4 as a home fave; they're 4-0 vs spread if they had game ngiht before.

            Toronto covered four of last five as road dog, they catch Lakers off of Shaq's visit; they're 5-6 vs spread after a loss this season. Lakers failed to cover last three tries as a home favorite. Raptors retooling after ridding selves of Vince Carter.

            Comment


            • #7
              NSIGHT BOWL:
              NOTRE DAME (+3.5, O/U: 50) vs. OREGON ST:
              After being dominated for most of the early to mid-90's, the underdog in this bowl series has turned the tables, covering in six of the last seven games. The OVER is also 5-2 during that span.



              INDEPENDENCE BOWL:
              IOWA ST (+3, O/U: 51) vs. MIAMI OHIO:
              The SEC representative has been very successful, going 7-2 SU & ATS in the last nine Independence Bowl games, unfortunately, that conference fell short of qualifying teams this year and will not be represented. The game has also gone UNDER three years in a row.

              Comment


              • #8
                MIAMI OHIO (8 - 4) vs. IOWA ST (6 - 5) - 12/28/2004, 6:30 PM
                Top Trends for this game.
                MIAMI OHIO is 1-5 ATS (-4.5 Units) in road games in all games this season.
                MIAMI OHIO is 1-5 ATS (-4.5 Units) in road games in all lined games this season.
                MIAMI OHIO is 31-14 ATS (+15.6 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
                IOWA ST is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
                IOWA ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.


                Head-to-Head Series History
                There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                OREGON ST (6 - 5) vs. NOTRE DAME (6 - 5) - 12/28/2004, 9:45 PM
                Top Trends for this game.
                NOTRE DAME is 5-1 ATS (+3.9 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.
                OREGON ST is 6-1 ATS (+4.9 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
                OREGON ST is 5-1 ATS (+3.9 Units) as a favorite this season.


                Head-to-Head Series History
                There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                Comment


                • #9
                  OSU/ND is being played at Bank One Ballpark, not Sun Devil Stadium...

                  FYI


                  Originally posted by SPARK
                  Independence Bowl Dec 28th, Shreveport, La
                  This is bowl where dogs covered five of last six, as SEC teams have dominated, but because SEC didnt't have lot of teams with winning records this year, this slot was not filled. Unless Cyclones bring lot of fans, doubt this is big gate attraction in Shreveport, LA, northwest Lousiana.

                  Miami was 12-1 last year with Roethlisberger at QB, but now their coach is leaving for Indiana, and team lost its MAC title game to Toledo, 35-27, blowing second half lead to QB playing with broken hand. This is fourth team in MAC to go bowling; first two went 1-2..

                  Iowa State is first Big 12 team to take field in this game; they were on four-game win streak and had shot to win Big 12 North, but they threw INT in end zone at end of Missouri game and lost, 17-14; they had plus-13 ratio in turnovers their last five games of regular season.

                  MAC teams were favored in just seven of their 34 non-MAC games, up to this point, and are 3-4 as favorite in those seven games. Five of last six Independence Bowls had totals of 50+, with highest scoring game played in a snowstorm four years ago (no snow plows in town).

                  Should be spritied game between two teams glad to be on ESPN, especially Iowa State, since big 12 has FOX Sports contract, so they aren't on ESPN hardly ever.


                  Insight.com Bowl Dec 28th, Tucson, AZ
                  Oregon State ripped Notre Dame in Fiesta Bowl four years ago, 41-9; now, Irish are between head coaches, and lost three of last four games, blowing 20-7 lead at home to Boston College, then allowing 82 points in their last two losses, vs Pitt and USC.

                  Oregon State blew opener at LSU when they missed a PAT that would have tied game in OT; they then fell to 1-4 before getting hot, behind senior QB Anderson, who has always been stronger player at home, but Beavers won four of last five games, with only single loss by less than 14 points. OSU is 1-4 when it allows 20+ points, so up to Irish to light up scoreboard.

                  Favorites were 7-3 in Beaver games this year, with OSU 4-1 when favored; they won 28-14 on this field October 30; their only loss in last six games was at home in fog vs USC, in game OSU led at one point, 13-0.

                  Hard to be inspired by any interim coach, and Beavers were hot down stretch; playing in Pac-10 country has to help, at least a little.
                  Mychal
                  www.AdvantagePlays.com
                  Football Only Handicappers since 1991
                  (877)NFL-NCAA (Toll Free)

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Great info SPARK...curious who you're playing tonight. I'm laying off the OSU/ND game as most of the services are all over OSU and that's the pick I would take but I hate siding with the majority of services.

                    Then again, fading Big Al and Sebastian (both on ND) is always nice...

                    You sound like you do a pretty nice job of following certain services and fading others, just curious what you're looking at for tonight. I'm also loving SuperSonics -8 and Houston -3 in the NBA...nice trends info!

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Knowledge with a Capital " K "

                      Originally posted by clennon
                      Great info SPARK...curious who you're playing tonight. I'm laying off the OSU/ND game as most of the services are all over OSU and that's the pick I would take but I hate siding with the majority of services.

                      Then again, fading Big Al and Sebastian (both on ND) is always nice...

                      You sound like you do a pretty nice job of following certain services and fading others, just curious what you're looking at for tonight. I'm also loving SuperSonics -8 and Houston -3 in the NBA...nice trends info!
                      Spark you are the MAN!! Trends are the Bread & Butter of Gambling,They help out overall in any angle,side,and total! Thanks agian,and have a Happy New Year!!!!!!!!!!!!
                      [I]The Saxon Dog[/IThe Saxon Dog ]

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Thanks guys but I enjoy giving you information that I get sent to me or I find elsewhere .. Sorry clennon, I did not see this till now .. I split yesterday .. had Mia and I faded Gay Al with OSU .... Best to this board and I hope this info helps .. Good Luck guys ...

                        Comment

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