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Service Thread Monday 12/27/04
Subject: Fresno St./Virginia Selection with Writeup!!!
Message:
# 393 Fresno St. Vs # 394 Virginia 1:00 P.M. CST
The opening line on this game was Virginia -6. Fresno St. has been the early favorite. The line has slowly moved to Virginia -4 1/2. Most people are going with Fresno St. and their high octane offense that has averaged scoring 40.5 points per game this year. Fresno St. finished the year averaging 56 points a game in their last 5 contests.
Virginia finished the season with an 8-3 record. All of their losses came against top 25 Teams. Virginia's ground game finished ranked 12th in the country while Fresno St. finished ranked 15 overall with their ground game.
Both teams are pretty even as far as passing is concerned. Virginia averaged 182 Yards a game through the air while Fresno St. averaged 172 a game.
There is quite a difference on the defensive side of the ball. Virginia ranked 18th Nationally against the run giving up 109 yards a game while Fresno St. ranked 66th Nationally giving up 156 yards a game on the ground.
Fresno St. has a slight edge statistically in Passing Defense giving up only 176 yards a game while Virginia gave up 191 yards a game through the air.
Final Analysis:
Virginia's Marques Hagans should pose quite a few problems for Fresno St. He completed 63 % of his passes with a 138 Passing Efficiency Rating. Besides having the running tandem of Pearman and Lundy to worry about, Fresno St. will have to worry about Hagans pulling the ball down and running in passing situations. Hagans is very mobile in the pocket and will cause matchup problems with the Fresno St. Defense.
Although Fresno St.'s offense is at the top of the charts nationaly in several categories, Virginia silently led the ACC in total Offense. This came against much stiffer competition.
Fresno St. finished their season with five straight wins. These wins came against SMU W(42-0), Rice W(52-21), Hawaii W(70-14), Nevada W(54-17), and San Jose St.W(62-28). What do all of these teams have in common except Hawaii? They all finished with a .375 win % or worse, except Hawii(.500)
Virginia finished their season with a 3-2 record. They finished with Duke W(37-16), Maryland W(16-0), Miami L(21-31), Georgia Tech W(30-10), and Virginia Tech L(10-24). All of these teams had decent W/L records with the exception of Duke(2-9). Maryland finished at (5-6) overall.
Weather: MOSTLY CLOUDY, SOUTHEAST WIND 3-8. KICKOFF TEMP 36, WIND CHILL 32
Final Recommendation:
I will take my chances with a Virginia team that played a much harder schedule. There simply is no comparison between the ACC and the WAC and I feel that Virginia will have no problem covering this low number.
# 394 Virginia -4 1/2 3-Units(1:00 P.M. CST)
Thanks and good luck.
Slade
Southcoast Sports
http://www.southcoastsports.net
Message:
# 393 Fresno St. Vs # 394 Virginia 1:00 P.M. CST
The opening line on this game was Virginia -6. Fresno St. has been the early favorite. The line has slowly moved to Virginia -4 1/2. Most people are going with Fresno St. and their high octane offense that has averaged scoring 40.5 points per game this year. Fresno St. finished the year averaging 56 points a game in their last 5 contests.
Virginia finished the season with an 8-3 record. All of their losses came against top 25 Teams. Virginia's ground game finished ranked 12th in the country while Fresno St. finished ranked 15 overall with their ground game.
Both teams are pretty even as far as passing is concerned. Virginia averaged 182 Yards a game through the air while Fresno St. averaged 172 a game.
There is quite a difference on the defensive side of the ball. Virginia ranked 18th Nationally against the run giving up 109 yards a game while Fresno St. ranked 66th Nationally giving up 156 yards a game on the ground.
Fresno St. has a slight edge statistically in Passing Defense giving up only 176 yards a game while Virginia gave up 191 yards a game through the air.
Final Analysis:
Virginia's Marques Hagans should pose quite a few problems for Fresno St. He completed 63 % of his passes with a 138 Passing Efficiency Rating. Besides having the running tandem of Pearman and Lundy to worry about, Fresno St. will have to worry about Hagans pulling the ball down and running in passing situations. Hagans is very mobile in the pocket and will cause matchup problems with the Fresno St. Defense.
Although Fresno St.'s offense is at the top of the charts nationaly in several categories, Virginia silently led the ACC in total Offense. This came against much stiffer competition.
Fresno St. finished their season with five straight wins. These wins came against SMU W(42-0), Rice W(52-21), Hawaii W(70-14), Nevada W(54-17), and San Jose St.W(62-28). What do all of these teams have in common except Hawaii? They all finished with a .375 win % or worse, except Hawii(.500)
Virginia finished their season with a 3-2 record. They finished with Duke W(37-16), Maryland W(16-0), Miami L(21-31), Georgia Tech W(30-10), and Virginia Tech L(10-24). All of these teams had decent W/L records with the exception of Duke(2-9). Maryland finished at (5-6) overall.
Weather: MOSTLY CLOUDY, SOUTHEAST WIND 3-8. KICKOFF TEMP 36, WIND CHILL 32
Final Recommendation:
I will take my chances with a Virginia team that played a much harder schedule. There simply is no comparison between the ACC and the WAC and I feel that Virginia will have no problem covering this low number.
# 394 Virginia -4 1/2 3-Units(1:00 P.M. CST)
Thanks and good luck.
Slade
Southcoast Sports
http://www.southcoastsports.net
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