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I created a similar thread for the NFL. In football the player does have the advantage buying 1/2 point with certain lines.
In the NBA buying 1/2 point is a horrible investment.
Since 1995 in over 10,000 games there have been 190 1/2 point ATS losses by the favorite. That's 1.8% of the games played.
The dog has suffered 210 1/2 point losses or 1.9% of the games played.
The gambler is risking an additional 10% to buy 1/2 point. Assuming the player wins 60% of their bets which very few do. They are paying a 10% premium on 40% of the games. The net cost of buying 1/2 point is 4%. The player is squandering over 2% of their bankroll needlessly.
Same is true when buying 1/2 point on NBA totals. 1.8% of the games finish within 1/2 point of the posted total.
As I stated in another thread:
Members learn to accept 1/2 point loses.
In the NBA buying 1/2 point is a horrible investment.
Since 1995 in over 10,000 games there have been 190 1/2 point ATS losses by the favorite. That's 1.8% of the games played.
The dog has suffered 210 1/2 point losses or 1.9% of the games played.
The gambler is risking an additional 10% to buy 1/2 point. Assuming the player wins 60% of their bets which very few do. They are paying a 10% premium on 40% of the games. The net cost of buying 1/2 point is 4%. The player is squandering over 2% of their bankroll needlessly.
Same is true when buying 1/2 point on NBA totals. 1.8% of the games finish within 1/2 point of the posted total.
As I stated in another thread:
Members learn to accept 1/2 point loses.
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