the bulls have now covered 5 in a row, there not a good team and this ats streak will end soon,maybe monday night. at this point i dont see aline,however i dont think they will be fav by more than 5 even if abdur rahim dont play. heres my system scenario. IF portland is fav. you play on a road fav with 1 or more days rest if they won there last game as a road dog and were +5 or more in that game and there opp. is off a win and cover,which the bulls are. this system is 17-1 su 16-1-1 ats s-95. i personally will play the blazers regardless of the line, i dont like the bulls off 2+ wins, bol gc,
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for what it's worth...
Here's the only loss this system has suffered. Let me know if you guys can find any statistical significance to why this one lost, i.e. what is different about this game than the others:
CLE -1 * NJN, CLE lost SU and ATS, 78-79. Cleveland was off a road ATS and SU win, 97-85, at Washington as a +5.5 road dog on 11/30/1995, 2+ days rest. New Jersey was off a 131-123 OT win at Boston as a +5.5 road dog as well.
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Originally posted by goldencontenderthanx frank, by the way if your base goes back to 199o im curious as to how this system does farther back,also portland is 1o-1 su last 11 vs bulls, thanx bol gc.
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Unbelievable
Another bullshit worthless trend that loses players money. Of all the trends I've read over the years, I have no doubt that when they've been posted, they've lead to losing. The only way a trend is good is if someone follows them full time. No one has time for that.
Not directed at you, but I fell for this one and lost as well. I am about 25% when playing a trend...no shit. Just fed up with them since I will likely NOT be aware of when this trend comes back into play (and wins again).
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Originally posted by SpiccoliAnother bullshit worthless trend that loses players money. Of all the trends I've read over the years, I have no doubt that when they've been posted, they've lead to losing. The only way a trend is good is if someone follows them full time. No one has time for that.
Not directed at you, but I fell for this one and lost as well. I am about 25% when playing a trend...no shit. Just fed up with them since I will likely NOT be aware of when this trend comes back into play (and wins again).
I prefer systems with lots of history, over 100 plays that hit close to 70%. I have some systems that are over 60% with over 200 plays over the past 9+ seasons.
I use two other criteria when playing a system. First it has to maintain a good percentage the past two season. Systems that become flat I stop playing but still follow. After I run my systems I cap those games.
I know some players believe that in the long run systems even out. I believe team trends even out. Team personal changes. I don't believe systems do. I believe that certain situation favor certain teams. Those situations will never change.
There's a difference between trends and systems. Trends apply to a team. LA Clippers are 8-1-1 after two double digit losses.
Systems apply to the league as a whole. Such as the system posted by goldencontender in this thread.
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