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Seattle at New York Jets:
Seattle is 7-6 on the season after last week's win at Minnesota. It is 5-8 ATS but 4-3 ATS on the road so road sides in all Seattle games this year are 9-4 ATS. The Jets are 9-4 and coming off a loss at Pittsburgh. They are 8-5 ATS, 3-3 at home. The Jets have won and covered the last three meetings of these two, going back to 1997. The last was in early January of 2000 when the Hawks came east and lost 19-9 as a one-point underdog. They're taking six this time.
Dallas at Philadelphia:
That was probably it for the Dallas postseason hopes when they lost at home last week to New Orleans and dropped to 5-8. This figures to be their ninth loss here with Philadelphia favored by 12.5 at the opener. The Eagles beat the Cowboys already this year in Dallas 49-21 as a 7.5-point favorite. Eagles' coach Andy Reed kept throwing the ball in that contest even with a big lead so maybe there's some bad blood there between him and Parcells or the Eagles and the Cowboys in general. The clubs split the season-series last year with Dallas winning at home 23-21 in a Pick Em spot and the Eagles avenging that with a 36-10 home win while laying 5.5 points. The Eagles had won six straight in the series from 2000-02 and gone 5-0-1 ATS. They are 12-1 on the year and 9-4 ATS including 5-1 ATS at home. Dallas is 5-8 ATS, 2-4 ATS on the road and 17-30-1 ATS on the road going back to 1999.
Minnesota at Detroit:
Minnesota beat Detroit at home back in Week 11. The final score was 22-19 with the Lions getting the cover as an eight-point dog. Here they take 3.5 points at home. The Lions are 24-11 ATS their last 35 as home underdogs. Minnesota is 10-20-1 ATS as a road favorite. The Vikes lost last week at home to Seattle 27-23 to fall to 7-6 both straight up and ATS. On the road they are 4-2 ATS so road sides in all Vikings games are 8-5 ATS. Detroit gave Green Bay a battle last week before losing as a nine-point road underdog 16-13. The Lions are 5-8 straight up and 7-6 ATS. Road sides in all Lions' games are 9-4 ATS: the Lions are 2-4 ATS at home.
San Diego at Cleveland:
Chargers opened a ten-point favorite here over the embattled Browns. Cleveland at one point this season was 3-3 and following a three-point overtime loss but cover to the Eagles at home in Week 7 were 4-3 ATS. They went on a bye the next week and never came back. They have lost six straight on the scoreboard and to the number. In their last three losses they have been outscored 137-70. San Diego is 10-3 on the season and 10-1-2 ATS. It started the year 1-2 and 1-1-1 ATS so since that time is 9-1 straight up and 9-0-1 against-the-number.
Buffalo at Cincinnati:
Cincinnati stayed within the number at New England last week, but dropped to 6-7 on the year. It is 6-7 ATS as well, 3-3 at home. The Bengals are 6-10 ATS as home dogs going back to the 2002 season. They played Buffalo that year, losing on the road 27-9 as a touchdown dog. Buffalo started the year 0-4 and 2-2 ATS. It is now 7-6 and 9-4 ATS. So that's seven-of-nine both straight up and ATS and six of the last seven. On the road the Bills are 4-2 ATS.
Jacksonville at Green Bay:
Jacksonville is 2-1 both straight up and ATS in inter-conference play after beating Chicago last week at home. Green Bay is 1-2 straight up and 0-2-1 ATS. It beat Houston on the road by three points and gave up 40-plus points in losing to both Indianapolis and Tennessee. That was early in the year when the Packers started 1-4 both straight up and ATS. Since that time they are 7-1 straight up and 4-3-1 ATS. They did give up 40 points, though, two weeks ago in a loss at Philadelphia then rebounded somewhat last week in a home win but non-cover versus Detroit. The Packers are just 2-5 ATS at home, Jacksonville 3-3 ATS on the road. The clubs met back in 2001 with Green Bay going to Jacksonville to score a 28-21 win as a four-point favorite.
Houston at Chicago:
Houston is one of the rare AFC teams not doing well out of conference: it is 0-3 straight up and 0-2-1 against-the-number. But they are at Chicago, which is 1-2 straight up and ATS vs. the AFC. The Bears lost last week at Jacksonville to fall to 5-8 on the season and 6-7 ATS. They are 2-4 ATS at home. These teams have not played since Houston came into the league in 2002. The Texans are 5-8 straight up and 6-6-1 ATS. On the road they are 2-4 ATS so home sides in all Texans games are 8-4-1 ATS.
New Orleans at Tampa Bay:
Both clubs are 5-8 straight up. New Orleans is 5-8 ATS and Tampa Bay is 5-7-1. New Orleans won last week at Dallas so is on the road for back-to-back games. It is 4-2 ATS on the road so road sides in all Saints games are 10-3 ATS. Something has to give then because home sides in all Tampa Bay contests are 10-2-1 ATS. The Bucs lost last week at San Diego. They beat the Saints in Week 5 in New Orleans 20-17 as a three-point dog for their lone road win and cover of the season. Last year the road sides won both games in the series as well. New Orleans won here 20-17 as an eight-point underdog then Tampa Bay won in New Orleans 14-7 as a three-point dog.
St. Louis at Arizona:
Rams continue to turn the ball over, a remarkable seven times last week in a 20-17 loss at Carolina. Their turnover margin is now minus-20 for the season: 33 to 13. That includes a 16-4 margin in their last four games, which includes three straight up losses and a 0-4 record ATS. For the year they are 6-7 but 4-9 ATS. They are 2-5 ATS on the road. Arizona lost last week at home to San Francisco in overtime, the only team to lose to the Niners all year, and they've done it twice. The Cards are 4-9 on the year, 6-7 ATS, and 3-3 ATS at home. They have lost four consecutive games straight up and ATS, and lost the season opener at St. Louis, 17-10, as an eleven-point underdog when they turned the ball over three times to none for the Rams. Last year, the Cards lost 37-13 in St. Louis and 30-27 to the Rams at home but covered the latter game as an eight-point dog.
Denver at Kansas City:
These clubs opened the season in Denver with the Broncos winning 34-24 as a three-point choice. Denver turned the ball over three times but won anyway as the Chiefs committed nine penalties and gave up 430 yards of offense. The clubs split two games last year but the Broncos covered both. They lost in Kansas City 24-23 taking three points then won at home 45-27 as a 2.5-point favorite. Denver is 8-5 on the year but just 4-5-3 ATS. It is 2-2-2 ATS on the road. It is 2-5 its last seven visits to Kansas City and 2-4-1 ATS. The Chiefs outscored Tennessee on Monday night 49-38 to improve to 5-8 on the year, both straight up and ATS. They are just 2-4 ATS at home. Since opening last year 9-0 straight up and 8-1 ATS the Chiefs are 9-12 straight up and 7-14 ATS.
Tennessee at Oakland:
Tennessee's Monday Night home loss to Kansas City dropped it to 4-9 on the year, both straight up and ATS. Oakland's 35-10 loss at Atlanta dropped it to the same. It is 1-5 ATS at home and 7-21-1 ATS over the past two seasons combined. It beat Tennessee twice during the 2002 season (once in the regular season, once in the playoffs) then lost last year at Tennessee to open the season 25-20 as a three-point underdog. Tennessee is 3-4 ATS on the road and has lost three straight. They gave up 131 points in those three losses.
Baltimore at Indianapolis:
Intriguing match of good defense vs. high-powered offense but the team with the offense is at home hence it is favored by nine points. The Colts won by nine last week at Houston but were laying eleven. They are 10-3 on the season, 9-4 ATS and 4-2 ATS at home. Baltimore broke a two-game losing streak last week by smacking around the Giants at home 37-14. They take a big step up in class from the Giants to the Colts and from one Manning at quarterback to another. Baltimore is 8-5 straight up and 9-4 ATS. It is 4-2 ATS on the road and 23-14 ATS its last 37 as a road underdog. Baltimore has covered the last two versus the Colts. It won at home during the 2001 season 39-27 as a touchdown favorite. Then it lost here the following year 22-20 as a touchdown dog.
New England at Miami:
New England beat the Dolphins in Foxboro in Week 5, 24-10, as a thirteen-point favorite. The Pats are 12-1 on the year, 9-4 ATS, 4-3 ATS at home. Last year and this combined they are 24-8 ATS. They wept the Dolphins last year and covered both games, winning 19-13 as a 5.5-point dog in Miami, and 12-0 as a three-point home favorite. The Pats lost five straight in Miami, both straight up and ATS, from 1998-2002. They are 4-2 their last six appearances on Monday Night Football and 5-1 ATS. That includes a 2-2 straight up and 3-1 ATS mark on the Monday Night road. They won in Kansas City earlier this year on Monday Night 27-19. Miami is 2-11 on the season after a three-point loss but cover last week at Denver. That improved the Dolphins to 5-11 ATS. They started the year 0-6 straight up and 1-5 ATS. At home the team is 1-5 ATS and was 1-7 ATS last year. Miami is 6-10 its last 16 appearances on Monday Night football including a 41-14 loss earlier this year at the Jets. It is 6-8-2 ATS on Monday nights, including 4-5 at home on a 4-5 straight up record. The straight-up winner has been the pointspread winner as well in Miami's last nine home appearances on Monday Night Football.
Seattle is 7-6 on the season after last week's win at Minnesota. It is 5-8 ATS but 4-3 ATS on the road so road sides in all Seattle games this year are 9-4 ATS. The Jets are 9-4 and coming off a loss at Pittsburgh. They are 8-5 ATS, 3-3 at home. The Jets have won and covered the last three meetings of these two, going back to 1997. The last was in early January of 2000 when the Hawks came east and lost 19-9 as a one-point underdog. They're taking six this time.
Dallas at Philadelphia:
That was probably it for the Dallas postseason hopes when they lost at home last week to New Orleans and dropped to 5-8. This figures to be their ninth loss here with Philadelphia favored by 12.5 at the opener. The Eagles beat the Cowboys already this year in Dallas 49-21 as a 7.5-point favorite. Eagles' coach Andy Reed kept throwing the ball in that contest even with a big lead so maybe there's some bad blood there between him and Parcells or the Eagles and the Cowboys in general. The clubs split the season-series last year with Dallas winning at home 23-21 in a Pick Em spot and the Eagles avenging that with a 36-10 home win while laying 5.5 points. The Eagles had won six straight in the series from 2000-02 and gone 5-0-1 ATS. They are 12-1 on the year and 9-4 ATS including 5-1 ATS at home. Dallas is 5-8 ATS, 2-4 ATS on the road and 17-30-1 ATS on the road going back to 1999.
Minnesota at Detroit:
Minnesota beat Detroit at home back in Week 11. The final score was 22-19 with the Lions getting the cover as an eight-point dog. Here they take 3.5 points at home. The Lions are 24-11 ATS their last 35 as home underdogs. Minnesota is 10-20-1 ATS as a road favorite. The Vikes lost last week at home to Seattle 27-23 to fall to 7-6 both straight up and ATS. On the road they are 4-2 ATS so road sides in all Vikings games are 8-5 ATS. Detroit gave Green Bay a battle last week before losing as a nine-point road underdog 16-13. The Lions are 5-8 straight up and 7-6 ATS. Road sides in all Lions' games are 9-4 ATS: the Lions are 2-4 ATS at home.
San Diego at Cleveland:
Chargers opened a ten-point favorite here over the embattled Browns. Cleveland at one point this season was 3-3 and following a three-point overtime loss but cover to the Eagles at home in Week 7 were 4-3 ATS. They went on a bye the next week and never came back. They have lost six straight on the scoreboard and to the number. In their last three losses they have been outscored 137-70. San Diego is 10-3 on the season and 10-1-2 ATS. It started the year 1-2 and 1-1-1 ATS so since that time is 9-1 straight up and 9-0-1 against-the-number.
Buffalo at Cincinnati:
Cincinnati stayed within the number at New England last week, but dropped to 6-7 on the year. It is 6-7 ATS as well, 3-3 at home. The Bengals are 6-10 ATS as home dogs going back to the 2002 season. They played Buffalo that year, losing on the road 27-9 as a touchdown dog. Buffalo started the year 0-4 and 2-2 ATS. It is now 7-6 and 9-4 ATS. So that's seven-of-nine both straight up and ATS and six of the last seven. On the road the Bills are 4-2 ATS.
Jacksonville at Green Bay:
Jacksonville is 2-1 both straight up and ATS in inter-conference play after beating Chicago last week at home. Green Bay is 1-2 straight up and 0-2-1 ATS. It beat Houston on the road by three points and gave up 40-plus points in losing to both Indianapolis and Tennessee. That was early in the year when the Packers started 1-4 both straight up and ATS. Since that time they are 7-1 straight up and 4-3-1 ATS. They did give up 40 points, though, two weeks ago in a loss at Philadelphia then rebounded somewhat last week in a home win but non-cover versus Detroit. The Packers are just 2-5 ATS at home, Jacksonville 3-3 ATS on the road. The clubs met back in 2001 with Green Bay going to Jacksonville to score a 28-21 win as a four-point favorite.
Houston at Chicago:
Houston is one of the rare AFC teams not doing well out of conference: it is 0-3 straight up and 0-2-1 against-the-number. But they are at Chicago, which is 1-2 straight up and ATS vs. the AFC. The Bears lost last week at Jacksonville to fall to 5-8 on the season and 6-7 ATS. They are 2-4 ATS at home. These teams have not played since Houston came into the league in 2002. The Texans are 5-8 straight up and 6-6-1 ATS. On the road they are 2-4 ATS so home sides in all Texans games are 8-4-1 ATS.
New Orleans at Tampa Bay:
Both clubs are 5-8 straight up. New Orleans is 5-8 ATS and Tampa Bay is 5-7-1. New Orleans won last week at Dallas so is on the road for back-to-back games. It is 4-2 ATS on the road so road sides in all Saints games are 10-3 ATS. Something has to give then because home sides in all Tampa Bay contests are 10-2-1 ATS. The Bucs lost last week at San Diego. They beat the Saints in Week 5 in New Orleans 20-17 as a three-point dog for their lone road win and cover of the season. Last year the road sides won both games in the series as well. New Orleans won here 20-17 as an eight-point underdog then Tampa Bay won in New Orleans 14-7 as a three-point dog.
St. Louis at Arizona:
Rams continue to turn the ball over, a remarkable seven times last week in a 20-17 loss at Carolina. Their turnover margin is now minus-20 for the season: 33 to 13. That includes a 16-4 margin in their last four games, which includes three straight up losses and a 0-4 record ATS. For the year they are 6-7 but 4-9 ATS. They are 2-5 ATS on the road. Arizona lost last week at home to San Francisco in overtime, the only team to lose to the Niners all year, and they've done it twice. The Cards are 4-9 on the year, 6-7 ATS, and 3-3 ATS at home. They have lost four consecutive games straight up and ATS, and lost the season opener at St. Louis, 17-10, as an eleven-point underdog when they turned the ball over three times to none for the Rams. Last year, the Cards lost 37-13 in St. Louis and 30-27 to the Rams at home but covered the latter game as an eight-point dog.
Denver at Kansas City:
These clubs opened the season in Denver with the Broncos winning 34-24 as a three-point choice. Denver turned the ball over three times but won anyway as the Chiefs committed nine penalties and gave up 430 yards of offense. The clubs split two games last year but the Broncos covered both. They lost in Kansas City 24-23 taking three points then won at home 45-27 as a 2.5-point favorite. Denver is 8-5 on the year but just 4-5-3 ATS. It is 2-2-2 ATS on the road. It is 2-5 its last seven visits to Kansas City and 2-4-1 ATS. The Chiefs outscored Tennessee on Monday night 49-38 to improve to 5-8 on the year, both straight up and ATS. They are just 2-4 ATS at home. Since opening last year 9-0 straight up and 8-1 ATS the Chiefs are 9-12 straight up and 7-14 ATS.
Tennessee at Oakland:
Tennessee's Monday Night home loss to Kansas City dropped it to 4-9 on the year, both straight up and ATS. Oakland's 35-10 loss at Atlanta dropped it to the same. It is 1-5 ATS at home and 7-21-1 ATS over the past two seasons combined. It beat Tennessee twice during the 2002 season (once in the regular season, once in the playoffs) then lost last year at Tennessee to open the season 25-20 as a three-point underdog. Tennessee is 3-4 ATS on the road and has lost three straight. They gave up 131 points in those three losses.
Baltimore at Indianapolis:
Intriguing match of good defense vs. high-powered offense but the team with the offense is at home hence it is favored by nine points. The Colts won by nine last week at Houston but were laying eleven. They are 10-3 on the season, 9-4 ATS and 4-2 ATS at home. Baltimore broke a two-game losing streak last week by smacking around the Giants at home 37-14. They take a big step up in class from the Giants to the Colts and from one Manning at quarterback to another. Baltimore is 8-5 straight up and 9-4 ATS. It is 4-2 ATS on the road and 23-14 ATS its last 37 as a road underdog. Baltimore has covered the last two versus the Colts. It won at home during the 2001 season 39-27 as a touchdown favorite. Then it lost here the following year 22-20 as a touchdown dog.
New England at Miami:
New England beat the Dolphins in Foxboro in Week 5, 24-10, as a thirteen-point favorite. The Pats are 12-1 on the year, 9-4 ATS, 4-3 ATS at home. Last year and this combined they are 24-8 ATS. They wept the Dolphins last year and covered both games, winning 19-13 as a 5.5-point dog in Miami, and 12-0 as a three-point home favorite. The Pats lost five straight in Miami, both straight up and ATS, from 1998-2002. They are 4-2 their last six appearances on Monday Night Football and 5-1 ATS. That includes a 2-2 straight up and 3-1 ATS mark on the Monday Night road. They won in Kansas City earlier this year on Monday Night 27-19. Miami is 2-11 on the season after a three-point loss but cover last week at Denver. That improved the Dolphins to 5-11 ATS. They started the year 0-6 straight up and 1-5 ATS. At home the team is 1-5 ATS and was 1-7 ATS last year. Miami is 6-10 its last 16 appearances on Monday Night football including a 41-14 loss earlier this year at the Jets. It is 6-8-2 ATS on Monday nights, including 4-5 at home on a 4-5 straight up record. The straight-up winner has been the pointspread winner as well in Miami's last nine home appearances on Monday Night Football.
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