Illjaunt Thursday NBA GOY!!!!!!

[illjaunt]

I am unloading both of my accounts on the SPURS-5, THEY WIN BY DOUBLE DIGITS!!!!!

Good luck with your bets and remember to bet what you can afford to lose.......

Sorry guys I am off this game!

One thing I have learned in 10 years of gambling is if a line moves 3-5 points in a very short time to back off the game so I am doing it. I hope this does not disappoint you guys, some sites have this line up to 8.5 thats a 4 point swing way too much for me.

Illjaunt

[jkim1015]

I think i'll be right behind you with this pick...Good Luck tommorow

[CHICHImomo]

be careful

Be careful on this one. I just looked over the games as soon as the lines hit the board.

San Antonio recorded a rare two losses coming off back to back games, both on the road. Keep in mind those losses were to weaker opponets (Toronto and Memphis). Fatigue could be an issue tommorow night as the Spurs are coming off a tough loss last night. It won't be significant, but its still a factor.

Houston tends to play home games a bit closer, they're only 4-5 at home, but in their 5 losses only one loss was by a margin of 6+ are more.

Just be careful if you're betting huge on this game. I won't be suprised if this game is played pretty close. I personally really don't want to mess with the game, but if I did I would probably make a small play on San Antonio.

Just my two cents. Whatever happens, good luck with your play and I hope things work out.

[frankb03]

Re: be careful

Originally posted by CHICHImomo
Be careful on this one. I just looked over the games as soon as the lines hit the board.

I agree! Don't jump on the Spurs solely because they lost yesterday.

GL

[RJeremy]

Illjaunt,

GL on your GOY. I will look at it later and let you know what I think.

[10DimeBry]

GL on your big play tonight

[Spark]

Good Luck partner .. I will post some trends in a little ...

[JBC13]

GL on your play!!!

[JBC13]

spurs are already -7.5...jumped 2.5

[bilbal]

Over the last 4 years, San Antonio, after losing a game and then playing any opponent as an away fav of 6-7.5 are 15-2 with an average MOV of 12 points. They are 11-1 when it's a conference team with an average MOV of 13.

I put a unit on SA -4.5 at Oly as soon as the line went up. I knew it wasn't going to stay there long.

[frankb03]

Originally posted by bilbal
Over the last 4 years, San Antonio, after losing a game and then playing any opponent as an away fav of 6-7.5 are 15-2 with an average MOV of 12 points. They are 11-1 when it's a conference team with an average MOV of 13.

Since 2000 Spurs as a road favorite after a home loss 4-4. Two of the four wins were favorite of 3 or less.

Unrested road favorites off a home favored loss after a win streak of 5 or more is a very good FADE situation. Since 1995 8-17

I'd be careful here! I certainly wouldn't risk my entire bankroll.

GL

[frankb03]

I noticed you edited your original post. Congrats! You've made a wise decision. No game warrants risking ones entire bankroll.

[illjaunt]

Thanks Frank agreed the line movement is crazy, I wish I could have got the line at 4.5 what it opened at.

Illjaunt

[ez winners]

I think that was a good move. The Spurs -5 is all over the Internet today. I grabbed the Rockets at +7 and might do a little more if it continues to rise. When it looks to good to be true, it usually is, espically in the NBA. Win or lose I think you made a good decision!!

Some of the best plays are the ones that are not made!!

[illjaunt]

EZ, thanks for the post I saw you were on Houston so Im glad I didn't bet on San Antonio tonight.

Illjaunt