Newsletters

[maxell]

paulsam1

Here you go:

Florida St.
Miami Fla.
Vanderbilt
Rice
SMU
Washington
Central Florida
Arizona St.


BTW, how helpful was knowing who had a homecoming game? Seems like everybody chooses a HC game against somebody they think they can beat.

[paulsam1]

Thanks Maxell,

Last week home teams did rather well on Home Coming Week.
Just another thing to look at when breaking down a game..

Can never have too much Infor. Good luck to ya this week.

To answer your Question I think that out of the 12 Home Coming Teams last week I Think it was 9 or 10 that Won and covered. Couple of nice outright Dogs.

Yes Home Coming Teams do like to schedule Patsy's and I also know the linemaker knows that also but we know that when they get the chance to pile it on (Score Wise ) They won't let up in fear of the other team coming back. Something like a playoff game where you can never have enough points.
Am I making sense.? Just another tool something like a trend they have there place in capping a game but One should not bet a team just because it's Home Coming.

[maxell]

Northcoast Trends and Notes Part 1

The following is off his comp lline which has been doing very well.

Selected Angles 4-2 last 2 weeks

Washington
Chicago
Kansas City

Systems 5-2

San Diego (system is 10-4-1)
Denver (system is 10-3)

Strength of Schedule 4-2 This started 2 weeks ago

New England
San Diego
Kansas City

Last four weeks 6-1 on the year

Pittsburgh
Washington
Denver

All of the above are for the NFL

[bookbreaker]

anyone

any SPORTS REPORTER newsletter

thanks

[maxell]

Last home game of the season ATS

Best

Michigan St 13-0
Texas 10-1
Florida St. 8-1
Wisconsin 7-1
Tennessee 6-0
Oregon St. 5-0
Toledo 6-0
Iowa 11-1
Texas Tech 14-2
USC 7-1
Virginia 7-1


Worst

Arizona 0-10
Army 0-5
Memphis 1-10
Auburn 1-9
S. Carolina 2-11
Mississippi St. 3-15
Baylor 1-5-1
North Carolina 2-9
SMU 2-8
Indiana 4-12

[paulsam1]

Sports Reporter

RECOMMENDED

OHIO STATE over *MICHIGAN STATE by 8

ItÕs not so much the emotional pain of blowing a 17-point lead in the final seven minutes and then losing in triple OT that has us going against Michigan State here. ItÕs more the physical pain of losing QB Drew Stanton to a separated shoulder in the second quarter. That injury will sideline him for this game. After he left the Michigan game, the Spartans produced only one TD and itÕs fair to say that he had been in there to at least manage the game in the fourth quarter, the outcome might have been different. The Spartans are 4-1 ATS in games that Stanton has started. So now coach John L. Smith must now turn to either scatter-armed Damon Dowdell, who is more of a runner, or freshman Stephen Reaves, who was a turnover machine in his appearances early this season. Conversely, Ohio State seems to have found something of an answer at QB as Troy Smith has at least done a better job at avoiding game-changing mistakes than the injured and benched Justin Zwick. Ohio State, 27-19.



RECOMMENDED

*WEST VIRGINIA over TEMPLE by 21

The Mountaineers have nothing to gain by going full bore in this game. A loss to Virginia Tech has taken them out of the BCS picture and, with the Owls playing the lame duck in the Big East, Rich Rodriguez will be hard pressed to use this game as a motivational tool. Most likely, the Mountaineers will be thinking about next weekÕs conference showdown with Boston College. The Owls are 13-4 ATS taking double digits the last two plus years because superior teams pay little or no attention to them. That stat complements West VirginiaÕs 3-6 ATS mark at home over the past year plus quite nicely. West Virginia, 34-13.

BEST BET

*ARMY over AIR FORCE by 8

Army hasnÕt beaten Air Force SU since its Independence Bowl season of 1996, but the timing is right for a breakthrough. Air Force has failed to cover three of its last four games this season and coach Fisher DeBerry seems to have lost confidence in freshman QB Shaun Carney, who was pulled last week after producing only six points through three quarters. While FlyboysÕ confidence is at a low point after allowing 559 yards of total offense to wyoming, Army finally has something to feel good about with two straight SU victories before losing last week at East Carolina. Army still rushed for 195 yards at over 6 yards per carry against the Pirates, and certainly wonÕt be physically overmatched here against a fellow academy team. And DeBerry against Bobby Ross isnÕt the coaching mismatch that it was when Todd Berry was patrolling the West Point sidelines. Army, 31-23.



RECOMMENDED

VIRGINIA TECH over *NORTH CAROLINA by 18

Ordinary teams coming off monstrous emotional wins are easy go-against sides. Throw into the mix the fact that the North Carolina Tar Heels likely saved head coach John BuntingÕs job (at least for now) and youÕve got a double whammy when handicapping this ACC game. Hold on: Make it triple whammy based on Virginia TechÕs extra prep time following come-from-behind 34-20 win against Georgia Tech last Thursday night. The Hokies scored a couple of TDs when receivers were ignored on their downfield patterns and QB Bryan Randall (304 yards passing and three scoring strikes) laid it out there for all to see. The Techsters were not sharp in that tilt and still won going away thanks to 25-point fourth quarter and see positive flow of momentum here. Virginia Tech, 34-16.



BEST BET

*UTAH over COLORADO STATE by 37

Which bullet kills Sonny? Will it be the 65% completion rate of Utah QB Alex Smith? His fifth-best national numbers of 9.45 yards per pass attempt and a QB Rating of 170.2? Will it be the Utah running gameÕs penchant for blowing opponents off the ball, at 5.3 yards per pop? Will it be the big-play capabilities of WRs Steve Savoy and Paris Warren, who have caught 13 TD passes combined vs. Colorado StateÕs team total of only nine? CSUÕs 11-year boss Mr. Lubick is no longer the Mountain WestÕs Cappo de tutti capo and UtahÕs second-season cugine, the Urban Legend, is not about to kiss SonnyÕs six conference championship rings before, during or after SonnyÕs first visit to his compound. With a BCS slot still possible, Mr. Meyer may want to put a contract out on LubickÕs Ram family to make a statement to all watching that his team is exponentially better than last seasonÕs last-minute, seven-point winning job in SonnyÕs territory, when LubickÕs triggerman was senior leader Bradlee Van Pelt, not the raw Caleb Hanie. The CSU freshman faces a defensive front twice as tough as the babbos on Wyoming and New Mexico who were being pushed and held around his home field the last two weeks, when CSU was flagged for only three penalties in each of those games (joke!). Utah, 47-10.



BEST BET

*ALABAMA over MISSISSIPPI STATE by 28

ItÕs normally ÒfunÓ handicapping strategy to go with an alumnus against his former team but this is the wrong place and wrong time for Sylvester CroomÕs long-anticipated return to Tuscaloosa. The fact is the boys from ÔBama are fresh off their bye week and in desperate need of a win here (5-3 and looking for some bowl action, with future games against LSU and archrival Auburn). The Alabama ground game has multiple stars at running back these days, and the visiting Bulldogs have neither the size nor strength to deal with bullish Tide O-line. Alabama defense also is a major player, as this stop unit has held last three foes to grand total of 37 points, including a game against high-octane Tennessee Vols. No time to get sentimental here with Croom back in town while going against a guy in Mike Shula who beat him out for this job. ItÕs roll, Tide, roll. Alabama, 45-17.



RECOMMENDED

*CALIFORNIA over OREGON by 12

The Oregon Ducks are among the countryÕs born-again teams and well worth grabbing here plus the points, especially considering the bloated price and the fact that OUÕs covered four games in a row. The Ducks have yet another quarterback who does not get great national ÒpubÓ in Kellen Clemens, and heÕll figure out some ways to zing this Cal defense that did allow 51 points in two prior games before last weekendÕs 38-0 win at Arizona. California may have revenge in mind following 21-17 Duck win in Eugene a year ago but the Golden Bears wonÕt get it without a fight. Nothing that Cal coach Jeff Tedford does is a mystery to Oregon, because he was on Mike BellottiÕs staff there prior to getting the Cal job. The DucksÕ offense was booed on their home field last Saturday night, but the straight-up fans didnÕt understand that they were saving some stuff for this while they were Òshowing upÓ to win Ð and cover Ð against Washington. Take the road underdog. California, 32-20.



RECOMMENDED

*HOUSTON over EAST CAROLINA by 22

The Cougars finally found a team that they could beat last week breaking a four-game losing streak with an easy-as-you-please 24-3 victory over hapless Tulane (1-6 SU, 2-4 ATS) and now they get to see if they can make it two straight against equally inept East Carolina whose lone two victories were vs. Army last week, and whipping boy Tulane. The aerial-minded Coogs (243 YPG, 34th in the country) donÕt figure to close the year with wins at UAB or vs. Louisville, so Art Briles will be taking a season-ending approach against an opponent that ranks 69th (221 YPG) in passing defense. Houston passes early and often. Houston, 43-21.



RECOMMENDED

*ARIZONA STATE over STANFORD by 18

The Sun DevilsÕ defense, which started the year allowing 12.8 PPG in the first five games, has been tattooed for 45, 42 and 27 points against #1 USC, 5-3 UCLA and Top 10 California. They now go up against a Cardinal offense that was productive in September, but has averaged just 12.8 PPG in a downturn that has produced a 1-3 SU and ATS run. ItÕs time for State to get back on track. TheÕ Cats have been dynamite at home (4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS) averaging 40 PPG, beating the opposition by an average of 22 PPG. State kicks the Cardinal while itÕs down. Arizona State, 31-13.





RECOMMENDED

*LOUISIANA-MONROE over UTAH STATE by 14

Soon-to-be Sun Belt defector Utah State hasnÕt played home since October 9, hasnÕt really found a running game this season, and a car accident involving three players leaving Las Vegas two weeks ago Ñ no, they hadnÕt played in Vegas Ð sidelined one DB starter and became an added distraction to the current mess that is their 0-5 SU stagger towards the finish. The Monrovians went into USUÕs house early last season and were not embarrassed in a 27-13 loss despite a Ð2 TO Ratio and QB Steven Jyles playing with a bad hand. The team was 0-4 SU at the time, en route to 1-9 SU, playing on a much slower track than the zippy one that second-year head coach Choo-Choo Charlie has slotted his Flying Weatherbies into since a mid-season run of 3-1 SU and ATS began. Utah State has nobody to shred the MonroviansÕ run defense like Jamario Thomas of North Texas did last Saturday. UL-Monroe, 28-14.