*** plays

[safeplay]

I have been observing *** plays and even played some of them but I have come to the conclusion that it is not a good long term strategy.

*** plays against heavy betting on one side which sportsbook calls decisions. He is right that sportsbook cannot go broke so they need these decisions in their favor. But I think they really need to go just 50% on these decisions and they are well off due to the vig on the heavy betting. Until somebody prove to me that sportsbook go more than 55% on these decisions, I wouldn't believe them.

Which means that in long term I would go atmost 52-53% with *** plays which is not really good enough for me with the large number of plays he has.

I would rather play less number of good calls with/against the public betting and be better off going 58-60% that way.

Comments welcome.

[MrCC]

If you play all games at same amounts, then yes, you are probably right. *** has plays at different unit levels (10x, 7x, 8x, etc.) as do many cappers. By doing this, a couple things can happen:

1) you can go 50% and still be up some serious coin if you hit most of your higher rated plays (ie ***'s 10x games).

2) you can go 60%+ on your picks, and still be down, if you miss more of your higher rated plays.

*** has been up units more days than not, so his system and betting theories seem to be working for him. If you place the same $$ wagers on all bets, your system might be a better solution.

Good Topic. Let's hear some more comments!

[maxell]

Everyone has to fine tune their own system. Who's to say what's right and what's wrong. It's your money, do as you please. I have to admit that I'm impressed by *** and a few of the cappers on this site. They all do what works for them and they do it well. Bottom line: GET THE GREEN!

[PhilJr]

I like the *** plays and theory behind it, but the wife yells at me enough for being on the computer the way it is. I can't keep checking during the day or night for plays being released a lot of times 10 minutes before tipoff. Therefore, I have only bet the big plays that I also like with decent success. I have missed both big winners and big losers by not playing some of the posts, but hey the system works for him and at least he shares it. Keep posting ***, it doesn't cost anything. As with any information shared here, play it if you like it, fade it if you don't. My 3 cents.

[Diamdave]

*** plays

I watched *** plays when he played his football picks and he's always done the fading the public and it works. and he always came in 3-4 mins. before game time. the only time i faded him is what i call a must bet game where their injuries or weather con. anything where i see a advantage there and the public will bet it heavy i stay with my bet but if its a hard game to call he's pretty good. he's old saying at one time was if this team wins Vegas won't get hurt so thats the team to go with!!Basketball picks are the same but some times you go thru a bad time and i think thats where he's at but sometimes like the Alabama/Florida -9 game he had a 10X powerball on ala. but i live here and if there was ever a trend to follow about Ala is on the road always bet against Ala in a big game and 9 times out of 10 they will lose by double-digits most of the time. research that and you will see
but overall i think hes a real good capper!! Just my input..

Ilike Alabama tonite -2 with Geogia (Bama by 7)

[casheasy]

My system is simple. I bet more on the wagers I'll win than on the ones I will lose. All I need now is a way to be able to tell which are what and what are which...

Seriously, I've been hashing this out with friends for years. I'm almost to the point where I believe ***'s way is best; go against the public. The only thing is, how does he know what the public is betting? He doesn't go by line moves, I've seen enough to know that. Also, some of the money on a few of these games has been smart money, not squares. It makes it tricky unless you always know how much is bet on every game on the whole.

*** has a decent, and I stress the word decent, thing going. If you've got the bankroll and the balls to go through with it, and you have a way of finding out what the public is on, it will probably work out in the end. I enjoy following *** because if he indeed does wager as much as he implies he does, it's a lot of action and it has a smart underlying theme. I root for him every pick I'm not going against him. He seems to have a big ego, which I like. He gives picks every day, which we all like. Let's see what happens over the next few weeks....

[Sports Guru]

About ***

Everyone has made a good point here...but I simply cannot follow someones plays that are posted 5 minutes before gametime. That would mean I have to sit here and refresh all day and night waiting for a play that (lets be honest) will win 50-55% of the time.

I wish him and those that follow him luck but to me is not worth it!

[Wage$Gauge]

I think *** has a bookie friend who calls him whenever late/smart money comes in on a game. If no late/smart money comes in *** fades the square/public play.
Yoy could almost do this yourself by going to the ********* consensus.
45%-42% on dog = 3x
41%-38% on dog = 4-5x
37%-34% on dog = 7-8x
33% or less on dog = 10x.
Something like that.

[safeplay]

Thanks guys for all your comments.

GL for people who play ***.

[golfnut]

Wise Guy Moves
There are other services that claim to know what the Pros are Playing, but only G&J Update brings you THE TRUE SMART MONEY MOVES IN FULL! See for yourself!!
THE TRUE syndicate plays will be posted right here a few minutes before each game goes off compliments of G&J Update. However, only subscribers to The Line Service or The Selection Service will receive these Powerful Games as they come in!!

This is what I think he uses!!!!!!!!!

[maxell]

Whatever he uses works. Don't knock the rock.

[russty444]

as soon as anyone who is hot gets too popular you end up in a catch 22 with these kind of systems...that is, if you are a follower.

[BettorsChat]

Originally posted by golfnut
Wise Guy Moves
There are other services that claim to know what the Pros are Playing, but only G&J Update brings you THE TRUE SMART MONEY MOVES IN FULL! See for yourself!!
THE TRUE syndicate plays will be posted right here a few minutes before each game goes off compliments of G&J Update. However, only subscribers to The Line Service or The Selection Service will receive these Powerful Games as they come in!!

This is what I think he uses!!!!!!!!!

Actually that's not true there are a lot of different wise guy groups out there. Hammer over at my other site gets wise guy plays for both football and basketball. The football hit at I believe right at 62% for the year in both NFL and CFB.