I have been observing *** plays and even played some of them but I have come to the conclusion that it is not a good long term strategy.
*** plays against heavy betting on one side which sportsbook calls decisions. He is right that sportsbook cannot go broke so they need these decisions in their favor. But I think they really need to go just 50% on these decisions and they are well off due to the vig on the heavy betting. Until somebody prove to me that sportsbook go more than 55% on these decisions, I wouldn't believe them.
Which means that in long term I would go atmost 52-53% with *** plays which is not really good enough for me with the large number of plays he has.
I would rather play less number of good calls with/against the public betting and be better off going 58-60% that way.
Comments welcome.
*** plays against heavy betting on one side which sportsbook calls decisions. He is right that sportsbook cannot go broke so they need these decisions in their favor. But I think they really need to go just 50% on these decisions and they are well off due to the vig on the heavy betting. Until somebody prove to me that sportsbook go more than 55% on these decisions, I wouldn't believe them.
Which means that in long term I would go atmost 52-53% with *** plays which is not really good enough for me with the large number of plays he has.
I would rather play less number of good calls with/against the public betting and be better off going 58-60% that way.
Comments welcome.
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