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Tuesday's Service Plays Thread
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FixerWins.com Baseball Subscriber Selections
Tuesday, October 26, 2004
2* BOSTON over St Louis (Martinez over Suppan)
2* UNDER Boston/St Louis (Martinez vs. Suppan)
St Louis is 6-0 at home in the post-season, and they have a solid 59-28 record at home this season. However, they are in an offensive slump averaging a mere 4.1 runs per game, and hitting .233 since Game 3 against Houston and we simply do not think just returning home is the solution, especially with Pedro on the hill for Boston. And, although you wouldn’t know it by reading everywhere about how potent this St Louis offense is, throughout their 13 playoff games St Louis has a horrible .316 on-base percentage (for comparison they had a .341 OBP during the regular season), which means they are not getting the baserunners that are necessary to put pressure on a defense. Also, in comparison, Boston has been called by many just a “so-so road team,” but they themselves had a .339 OBP on the road, and that OBP is a solid .373 in the playoffs. In St Louis’ case it is homer or out as they are doing very little in between, and Pedro doesn’t serve up too many long-balls as he has allowed just 28 all season in 36 starts (236 innings). Suppan has pitched extremely well throughout the playoffs with a 2.84 ERA through 3 starts (one against LA, and two versus Houston), and is coming off a win over Clemens in his last start. In those three games he has allowed a total of 10 hits with 5 being the most in any of those games, which is incredibly impressive. That said, Boston hitters are familiar with him from his days in the AL, and he was even with the Bosox late last year so that gives them an advantage over St Louis’ knowledge of Pedro. Technically, Suppan is 1-6 UNDER off a start where he allowed 1 or less earned runs this season, while St Louis is 1-5 UNDER in recent post-season games when trailing their opponent and 33-59 UNDER last couple years when playing with double revenge. Similarly, Pedro is 21-41 UNDER when starting against a winning team in the second half of the season last couple years. And, it should be noted that tonight plate umpire is Brian Gorman (11-25 UNDER this season behind the plate with an average of just 7.7 runs scored per game) is behind the plate and he is 116-155 UNDER over the years so its not just a one-year phenomenum. We expect Boston to score 4-5 runs in this game, and win. As such, the Red Sox and Under both get our nod of approval in Game 3.:bounce1: WINNING IS EVERYTHING! :bounce1:
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Daaa (thug sounding) Manager has an opinion only on da OVER in da baseball game tonight assuming it is played.
From what daaa Manager said, an opinion rates lower on da scale than does da comp. play.
I thought a comp. play was an opinion;perhaps from now on comp. plays should be also rated in stars also say from 1-5*'s.:confused:
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