Chuck Lazar

[RJeremy]

Hey buddy,

Quick question for you. You said your local told you that with significant line movements, such as Iowa last week that it is now 6-0 on the year.

What is the "significant line movement"

I see 2 games with pretty significant movement.

Tonight:

Louisville opened at 24 and now is up to 29.5


Saturday:

Texas A & M opened at 13 and now is up to 20.


Thanks buddy.

[ChuckLazar]

They are 2 games that could fit but I have to wait untill an hour before gametime to see what he does with the line. Will post when I figure them out, but they are on my watch list. They only problem with vegas linemove during the week is that not all games that jump during the week cover. Example is Cal last week opened at 14 and went to 18 in vegas, but my guy kept them at 16.5, If you bet it with sportsbooks they only won by 17. You would lose. I wait untill I see a significant move on that day when smart money unloads with my book and he adjusts according to the volume. So far he hasn't won, but odds are due to change in his favor.

[ChuckLazar]

RJ, another game I will keep a close eye on is - Texas opened at -2.5 now the line is Texas Tech -1. I won't be able to let you know on that one until 6:30 tomorrow before the game.

[eaglesfan27]

hey guys............

just curious.with a big line move who do u take in that case?im liking s. florida tonight.my sports book has em at 29.5.

[ChuckLazar]

I took Louisville, but not a crazy line move the other way.
All bets that won so far was on one side and went big the other way. Just like Texas-TT.

[eaglesfan27]

im seeing ..............

50/50 split according to the one sight i look at half people on louisville the other half on s. florida.just wondering what does the big line move mean?ive seen that the line for s. florida and louisville went from starting at 24 up to 30 now.im fairly new to this stuff so any help would be much appreciated guys.thanks.

[RJeremy]

Eaglesfan,

When a line moves like that early in the week it can mean alot of things. Just before kickoff in this game, the line went back to -28.5, which usually means all the late / big / smart money went on Louisville late. I still got it at +30 with my local, which is good.


Hope this helps.

[thesandman]

RJ. Now you got me confused. Why would Louisville go from -30 to -28.5 right before kickoff if you say all the late money was on them. If all the late, smart money was on the favorite, then shouldn't the line go up, not down.

[SuperZero]

yup, that dude has got no clue

[ChuckLazar]

My line stayed went from 29 to 30. My local runs the biggest book in PA, Ohio, and WVU. When the line moves like RJ said alot of money were on Louisville and Tex. A&M. Louisiville won. What's hard about that. If RJ local is small, the public pushed his line up and probably alot of people came in late and pounded S.Fla. I saw alot of post here liking SF and thinking that the line was way to high. That made his line move down to 28.5. That late money move was the wise guys money coming in late. It happens every game. I hope that cleared up some confusion.

[RJeremy]

Sandman,

My bad buddy, I meant to say on S. Fla, not Louisville. I did take S. Fla small last night, and they obviously didn't cover. They got pretty damn close though. They just looked awful. At least Col. St. won.



Hey SuperZero, watch your fuckin tone dick..........

[thesandman]

RJ. That's what I thought. And I had them too at Plus 30. There offense was the worst I have seen until today. If Penn State and South Fla ever play, Penn State would win 4 to 0. Two safetys.