Tweet
I got shelled this past weekend in CFB (and in the NFL for that matter). I went overboard with my picks, spreading too thin, and wagering on teams I hadn't yet seen play firsthand. I don't plan to make that mistake again. Unfortunately, my biggest CFB wager this week is one I can't post as the line has shifted so violently, that it doesn't hold the same value at the new number (I have Texas A&M -12.5 at home against Colorado, at pinnacle, the line is now 19.5). Here's how badly I fared last weekend:
LOSS - 5 UNITS - PURDUE -6.5
LOSS - 3 UNITS - TEXAS -14 (Texas Stinks!)
WIN - 2 UNITS - OREGON -11.5
LOSS - 3 UNITS - WYOMING +7.5
Record last week: 1-3
Record to date: 5-4
Units last week: -9.00 (Not including vig)
Units to date: +11.00 (Not including vig)
On to the plays (only two small ones this week):
Oregon @
Stanford (-3.5)
Stanford is actually one of the better teams in the Pac-10 (probably behind only USC, Cal, and ASU). They don't have the recent history of teams in the conference like Oregon, Oregon State, and Washington State (who all have been getting too much credit by linesmakers this season). Oregon is usually tough at home, but this Duck team has been struggling even there. They just don't have the skill players they've had in the past. If this were in Eugene, I wouldn't touch it, but on the road with this small number, it's too good to pass up.
Play: 3 UNITS - STANFORD -3.5
Nebraska @
Kansas State (-5)
Yuck. Talk about two teams that have fallen hard from grace. Still Kansas State has shown some toughness against a tough Oklahoma team. Nebraska? They're like the Dolphins of College Football. They have a coach that likes to use a part of the game that the team is awful at (the pass in this case). This would be a huge play if not for one thing. Callahan NEEDS to start winning. He's gone from the Raiders down to Nebraska, if he doesn't turn the team around, he'll be coaching a Divison II school soon.
Play: 1 UNIT - KANSAS STATE -5
LOSS - 5 UNITS - PURDUE -6.5
LOSS - 3 UNITS - TEXAS -14 (Texas Stinks!)
WIN - 2 UNITS - OREGON -11.5
LOSS - 3 UNITS - WYOMING +7.5
Record last week: 1-3
Record to date: 5-4
Units last week: -9.00 (Not including vig)
Units to date: +11.00 (Not including vig)
On to the plays (only two small ones this week):
Oregon @
Stanford (-3.5)
Stanford is actually one of the better teams in the Pac-10 (probably behind only USC, Cal, and ASU). They don't have the recent history of teams in the conference like Oregon, Oregon State, and Washington State (who all have been getting too much credit by linesmakers this season). Oregon is usually tough at home, but this Duck team has been struggling even there. They just don't have the skill players they've had in the past. If this were in Eugene, I wouldn't touch it, but on the road with this small number, it's too good to pass up.
Play: 3 UNITS - STANFORD -3.5
Nebraska @
Kansas State (-5)
Yuck. Talk about two teams that have fallen hard from grace. Still Kansas State has shown some toughness against a tough Oklahoma team. Nebraska? They're like the Dolphins of College Football. They have a coach that likes to use a part of the game that the team is awful at (the pass in this case). This would be a huge play if not for one thing. Callahan NEEDS to start winning. He's gone from the Raiders down to Nebraska, if he doesn't turn the team around, he'll be coaching a Divison II school soon.
Play: 1 UNIT - KANSAS STATE -5
Comment