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I am not on the Mizzou-Longhorns game today either way, but after going over the game, I would strongly recommend staying OFF Mizzou...
UT is at home off 4 straight ATS losses--a record number under Mack Brown--and largely due for a huge game; also the line could be low because of that fact.
UT is 10-0 ATS under Mack Brown off a SU loss during regular Season no matter who they play, where they play, or what the line is. As home faves after a loss under Pinkel they have COVERED by 18, 25, 42, and 31. Let that sink in. That's not how much they WON by, that's how much they COVERED by as a Favorite.
UT was dominated in the Yardage Category last Week and could respond BIG offensively after being shut down last week and also defensively after allowing a Season high amount of Yardage, albeit predictably since they played Oklahoma.
MIZZOU off 3 consecutive SU Wins and playing 2nd straight road game coming off 30-10 win and could let down against first real test of Season. Except Colorado, they have played a cupcake schedule. In their other road game this year (other than last week that is), they lost to Troy State by ten as a 10-point fave--an ATS loss of -20.
Tigers are 0-4 ATS UNDER Pinkel if won last 3 games SU or won/tied last 3 ATS.
MU Tiggers were 0 and 0 in the turnover department first two games and then went +2, +2, and +4 in their next three games. Ball could take a nasty bounce for them today.
For me the Play is TEXAS or PASS. According to my preferred methods, I'd stay WAY OFF the Tigers today...
Mizzou 14
Longhorns 45
gl,
dave
I am not on the Mizzou-Longhorns game today either way, but after going over the game, I would strongly recommend staying OFF Mizzou...
UT is at home off 4 straight ATS losses--a record number under Mack Brown--and largely due for a huge game; also the line could be low because of that fact.
UT is 10-0 ATS under Mack Brown off a SU loss during regular Season no matter who they play, where they play, or what the line is. As home faves after a loss under Pinkel they have COVERED by 18, 25, 42, and 31. Let that sink in. That's not how much they WON by, that's how much they COVERED by as a Favorite.
UT was dominated in the Yardage Category last Week and could respond BIG offensively after being shut down last week and also defensively after allowing a Season high amount of Yardage, albeit predictably since they played Oklahoma.
MIZZOU off 3 consecutive SU Wins and playing 2nd straight road game coming off 30-10 win and could let down against first real test of Season. Except Colorado, they have played a cupcake schedule. In their other road game this year (other than last week that is), they lost to Troy State by ten as a 10-point fave--an ATS loss of -20.
Tigers are 0-4 ATS UNDER Pinkel if won last 3 games SU or won/tied last 3 ATS.
MU Tiggers were 0 and 0 in the turnover department first two games and then went +2, +2, and +4 in their next three games. Ball could take a nasty bounce for them today.
For me the Play is TEXAS or PASS. According to my preferred methods, I'd stay WAY OFF the Tigers today...
Mizzou 14
Longhorns 45
gl,
dave