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  • Monday Play

    My biggest play of the year so far, call it a homer call if you must, lol.

    The reason I like the Packers tonight:
    The packers haven't lost 4 in a row since 1991 and I don't think this is the team that will do it.
    Although the Packers are only 6-6 their last 12 at Lambeau they are 157-88-4 all time and rattled off 28 straight not to long ago. I think they feel they need to get homefield advantage back tonight.
    Packers are 10-2 ATS last twelve MNF appearences.
    The titans have problems on the O line yielding 11 sacks this year so the GB def. line might finally get some sacks instead of just pressure.
    TN is 23rd against the run giving up 131.2 ypg. The pack has gotten away from Green the last couple of weeks and I think we will see a steady dose of him tonight.
    TN is banged up missing 3 linebackers and a defensive tackle so who will stop Ahman Green, Fisher, and possibly Davenport?
    Carrol should be back for GB in the Dime which will be an upgrade in the backfield.
    Packers D played better last week except for a 52 and 17 yard run from Barber and should play better again tonight at home. I think Slowik is finally understanding that he can't run his aggressive def. with this group of guys every play.
    DL Larry Smith will suit up tonight so the Packers can move Cledius Hunt back to his normal position which should help with the run D.
    Packers could easily be 2-2, 3-1, or even 4-0 if it weren't for a couple of mistakes. Vs. Chicago the Ahman Green fumble on the one changed the score from a 10-7 Packer lead to a 14-3 Bears lead. Vs. Indy Javon Walkers fumble during a drive that would have tied up the game pretty much sealed it for Indy.
    Last week Favre went out during the second half with the score 7-0 Packers and watched as Pederson threw the game away.
    If the Packers can stay away from turnovers, contain the Titans run, and control the clock with Ahman Green tonight, they should win by 10 points.

    Packers 7 Units

    GL

  • #2
    ok. homer. jk gbc any thoughts on the total and i see line rising what do you make of that sharp money or public. i always see the public getting on half of the monday night pair (side and total) thanks and great luck to you bb

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    • #3
      Don't really have a feel for the O/U. Packers have scored 10 and 7 points this year at home and TN hasn't scored over 17 points in any game this year. So that all points to the U, however, both defenses are weak and could give up some big plays. Packers put up some big numbers against a weak Indy D. I think the total will be real close to 44 so I'm not playing.


      Here is a funny trend for future MNF games. I found it on a site a few weeks ago and whoever posted it claimed it hit around 72% for the past few years, don't remember exactly how long.

      Take the opposite of the Sunday night game and bet it Monday night.

      So far this year 6-2
      Results

      9/12 Sunday night fav. and over - Monday night Dog and U 2-0
      9/19 Sunday night dog and Under - Monday night fav and U 1-1
      9/26 Sunday night fav and over - Monday night dog and O 1-1
      10/3 Sunday night fav and under - Monday night dog and O 2-0

      I have last nights game closing at a pick at scoresandodds and the game went U.

      GL

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