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NCAA & NFL Trends & Forecasts 10/7-10/11
Thursday, October 7th
Houston (48) at Southern Mississippi (-17.5), 7:00 ET
Houston - 5-1 ATS away after allowing 6+ yards per rush
Southern Miss - 3-11 ATS off a conference win by 7 points or less
Clemson (55) at Virginia (-16), 7:30 ET
Clemson - 1-6 ATS away off an ATS loss
Virginia - 8-1 ATS at home vs. conference opponents
Friday, October 8th
UNLV (45.5) at BYU (-10), 10:00 ET
UNLV - 5-1 ATS away off a win by 17+ points
BYU - 1-8 ATS off a straight up win as a road underdog
Saturday, October 9th
Texas (54) at Oklahoma (-7.5), 12:00 ET
Texas - 2-8 ATS off 3+ ATS losses
Oklahoma - 6-2 ATS vs. Texas
**Florida State (-19.5) at Syracuse (46.5), 7:00 ET
Florida State - 0-6 ATS off BB wins by 17+ points
Syracuse - 18-4 ATS at home off a home game
**Wisconsin (34.5) at Ohio State (-3.5), 3:30 ET
Wisconsin - 1-5 ATS away off BB home wins
Ohio State - 8-2 ATS off an Over
Minnesota (52.5) at Michigan (-3.5), 12:00 ET
Minnesota - 6-1 ATS after scoring and allowing 17 or less points
Michigan - 13-27 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points
Indiana (59.5) at Northwestern (-10.5), 12:00 ET
Indiana - 1-6 ATS at home off a conference loss
Northwestern - 6-1 Over at home off a home game
Illinois (52.5) at Michigan State (-7.5), 12:00 ET
Illinois - 1-8 ATS off a loss by 17+ points
Michigan State - 7-1 Under as a home favorite
**Texas A&M (-8.5) at Iowa State (47), 7:00 ET
Texas A&M - 15-3 ATS off BB games forcing 3+ turnovers
Iowa State - 1-10 ATS off a loss by 17+ points
**Pittsburgh (-13.5) at Temple (49), 12:00 ET
Pittsburgh - 2-9 ATS after playing as an underdog
Temple - 8-2 ATS after playing as a home underdog
Cincinnati (-14.5) at Army (49.5), 1:00 ET
Cincinnati - 5-1 ATS after having 50+ pass attempts
Army - 1-5 ATS at home off 4+ losses
Bowling Green (-14.5) at Central Michigan (57), 1:00 ET
Bowling Green - 16-6 ATS off a win by 17+ points
Central Michigan - 2-12 ATS off a conference win
**NC State (-10.5) at North Carolina (51), 6:00 ET
NC State - 5-1 ATS away off BB conference games
North Carolina - 3-11 ATS in home games
**Kansas State (-3) at Kansas (50), 7:20 ET
Kansas State - 10-0 ATS vs. Kansas
Kansas - 2-11 ATS off BB conference games
Tulane (55) at East Carolina (-3.5), 2:00 ET
Tulane - 5-1 Over as a road underdog
East Carolina - 2-9 ATS at home after scoring 14 or less points
**Marshall (-9) at Ohio U (43.5), 1:00 ET
Marshall - 2-9 ATS away after forcing 3+ turnovers
Ohio U - 5-1 ATS off BB games with a turnover margin of +2 or better
Kent State (N/A) at Miami OH (-20.5), 2:00 ET
Kent State - 1-5 ATS off BB ATS losses
Miami OH - 7-1 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points
**New Mexico (46) at Air Force (-3), 6:30 ET
New Mexico - 6-1 ATS away vs. conference opponents
Air Force - 10-2 Under in October
**Louisiana Tech (N/A) at Auburn (-26), 3:30 ET
Louisiana Tech - 1-10 ATS off a win
Auburn - 8-2 ATS after playing as an underdog
Stanford (48.5) at Notre Dame (-5), 2:30 ET
Stanford - 6-0 ATS after allowing 14 or less points
Notre Dame - 1-5 ATS off a loss by 17+ points
UAB (-12.5) at Mississippi State (46.5), 2:30 ET
UAB - 8-2 ATS away after playing BB games as an underdog
Mississippi State - 0-13 ATS off a road game
**Oklahoma State (-7) at Colorado (47), 3:30 ET
Oklahoma State - 7-0 ATS off BB wins by 21+ points
Colorado - 3-13 ATS at home off an Under
**Eastern Michigan (58) at Ball State (-7.5), 3:30 ET
Eastern Michigan - 2-8 ATS away in October
Ball State - 6-1 ATS at home off a loss by 17+ points
San Diego State (-3.5) at Wyoming (45.5), 3:00 ET
San Diego State - 11-2 ATS away off a loss by 21+ points
Wyoming - 0-7 ATS off BB home wins
Tennessee (47) at Georgia (-13), 3:30 ET
Tennessee - 1-5 ATS away after scoring 3 or less first half points
Georgia - 10-2 ATS after playing as a home favorite
**LSU (47.5) at Florida (-3.5), 7:45 ET
LSU - 7-17 ATS off a road conference loss
Florida - 8-2 ATS off BB home wins by 14+ points
**Arizona (42.5) at UCLA (-10.5), 6:30 ET
Arizona - 15-5 ATS away in October
UCLA - 20-6 Over off a win by 17+ points
California (58) at USC (-7.5), 3:30 ET
California - 8-2 Over off an Under
USC - 14-2 ATS off a conference game
San Jose State (N/A) at Washington (-17.5), 3:30 ET
San Jose State - 5-1 ATS away after playing BB games as an underdog
Washington - 1-7 ATS in October
**Virginia Tech (-5.5) at Wake Forest (43.5), 12:00 ET
Virginia Tech - 3-13 ATS vs. conference opponents
Wake Forest - 6-1 Under at home off a conference game
Georgia Tech (42.5) at Maryland (-12.5), 3:30 ET
Georgia Tech - 6-0 Under in October
Maryland - 5-1 ATS at home off a road game
Purdue (-11.5) at Penn State (48.5), 4:30 ET
Purdue - 16-4 ATS after playing as a favorite
Penn State - 1-6 ATS after allowing 125 or less passing yards
Oregon (45.5) at Washington State (-4), 5:00 ET
Oregon - 18-7 ATS off BB home games
Washington State - 11-3 Under as a favorite
Northern Illinois (-18.5) at Central Florida (N/A), 6:00 ET
Northern Illinois - 19-7 ATS in October
Central Florida - 2-8 ATS in home games
Buffalo (55.5) at Akron (-9.5), 6:00 ET
Buffalo - 8-0 ATS vs. teams allowing a 62% or higher completion percentage
Akron - 1-8 ATS at home off a loss by 17+ points
**Rutgers (50.5) at Vanderbilt (-6), 8:00 ET
Rutgers - 10-1 ATS off a conference loss by 10+ points
Vanderbilt - 2-8 ATS off a home win by 17+ points
Nebraska (54.5) at Texas Tech (-7.5), 7:00 ET
Nebraska - 0-6 ATS after allowing 9 points or less
Texas Tech - 17-5 ATS off a conference loss by 10+ points
**Missouri (-20.5) at Baylor (51), 10:00 ET
Missouri - 12-2 ATS after winning 3 of their last 4 games
Baylor - 1-8 ATS at home after allowing 300+ rushing yards
Toledo (-14.5) at Western Michigan (63.5), 7:00 ET
Toledo - 15-3 ATS vs. conference opponents
Western Michigan - 0-7 ATS as a home underdog
**Alabama (-6) at Kentucky (40), 12:30 ET
Alabama - 10-2 Under after playing as a home favorite
Kentucky - 9-1 ATS off a non-conference game
**Mississippi (40) at South Carolina (-17), 1:00 ET
Mississippi - 1-6 ATS away after committing 1 or 0 turnovers
South Carolina - 8-2 ATS off a road win by 10+ points
SMU (51) at Rice (-14), 8:00 ET
SMU - 1-12 ATS off a SU road loss/ATS win
Rice - 15-4 ATS at home in October
UTEP (N/A) at Fresno State (-18.5), 10:00 ET
UTEP - 2-8 ATS after allowing a 40% or less completion percentage
Fresno State - 6-0 ATS after playing as a road favorite
Nevada (N/A) at Hawaii (-18), 11:59 ET
Nevada - 5-1 ATS after committing 3+ turnovers
Hawaii - 1-5 ATS at home after scoring 37+ points
Added Games:
Arkansas State (57.5) at Mid Tenn State (-6), 3:00 ET
Arkansas State - 13-4 ATS after playing BB games as an underdog
Mid Tenn State - 0-10 ATS after completing 66% or more passes
**Louisiana Monroe (-2) at Idaho (N/A), 5:00 ET
LA Monroe - 8-2 ATS off ATS losses in 2 of their last 3 games
Idaho - 1-5 ATS after losing 2 of their last 3 games
North Texas (-1) at Utah State (48.5), 8:05 ET
North Texas - 8-2 ATS away off a conference win
Utah State - 1-6 ATS off a loss by 28+ points
Louisiana Lafayette (-3) at New Mexico State (45.5), 8:05 ET
LA Lafayette - 6-1 ATS after playing as a favorite
New Mexico State - 5-14 ATS off BB ATS losses
**Denotes Time Change
The Pigskin Index is designed to give a quick comparison of the relative strength of all covered teams. To see how a game should turn out, simply compare the ratings of the competing teams and add 3 points to the home team. For example, a visiting team with a rating of 100 should be 7 points stronger than a home team with a rating of 90. 100 - (90 + 3) = 7. In neutral field games (such as many bowls), no home team advantage may be appropriate.
Thursday, October 7, 2004
MDT TV Favorite & Rating Spr. Underdog & Rating Score +/-
5:00p espn2 Southern Mississippi* 96 25 Houston 74 -
5:30p ESPN Virginia* 102 16 Clemson 89 -
Friday, October 8, 2004
MDT TV Favorite & Rating Spr. Underdog & Rating Score +/-
8:00p espn2 B.Y.U.* 85 16 UN-Las Vegas 72 -
Saturday, October 9, 2004
MDT TV Favorite & Rating Spr. Underdog & Rating Score +/-
10:00a ESPN Michigan* 99 3 Minnesota 99 -
10:00a espn2 Michigan State* 84 10 Illinois 77 -
10:00a Northwestern* 89 13 Indiana 79 -
10:00a ABC Oklahoma** 110 7 Texas 103 -
10:00a ESPN+ Pittsburgh 83 14 Temple* 66 -
10:00a Virginia Tech 99 7 Wake Forest* 89 -
10:30a Alabama 91 11 Kentucky* 77 -
10:30a - Dartmouth* 58 5 Yale 56 -
10:30a - Harvard* 66 21 Cornell 48 -
11:00a - Bowling Green 86 17 Central Michigan* 66 -
11:00a - Cincinnati 81 16 Army* 62 -
11:00a - Colgate* 66 12 Princeton 57 -
11:00a ESPN+ Marshall 87 10 Ohio U.* 74 -
11:00a - South Carolina* 98 22 Mississippi 79 -
11:30a - James Madison* 73 6 Massachusetts 70 -
12:00p - Miami, O.* 81 18 Kent State 66 -
12:00p ESPN+ Tulane 73 2 East Carolina* 68 -
12:05p FSCH Western Illinois* 63 11 Indiana State 55 -
12:30p FSMW Illinois State* 63 7 SW Missouri State 59 -
12:30p NBC Notre Dame* 91 6 Stanford 88 -
12:30p - UA-Birmingham 86 10 Mississippi State* 73 -
1:00p - Mid. Tenn. State* 69 3 Arkansas State 69 -
1:00p ESPN+ San Diego State 86 5 Wyoming* 78 -
1:30p PPV Auburn* 104 29 Louisiana Tech 78 -
1:30p ESPN+ Ball State* 67 13 Eastern Michigan 57 -
1:30p FSS Furman 74 1 Appalachian State* 70 -
1:30p CBS Georgia* 107 15 Tennessee 95 -
1:30p ABC Maryland* 98 13 Georgia Tech 88 -
1:30p ABC Ohio State* 97 4 Wisconsin 96 -
1:30p ABC Oklahoma State 97 0 Colorado* 94 -
1:30p ABC Southern Cal* 111 10 California 104 -
1:30p FSN Washington* 79 18 San Jose State 64 -
2:00p - Georgia Southern 78 20 Western Carolina* 55 -
2:30p ESPN Purdue 101 9 Penn State* 89 -
3:00p - Idaho* 60 1 La.-Monroe 62 -
3:00p - Washington State* 90 4 Oregon 89 -
3:05p - Western Kentucky 76 6 Northern Iowa* 67 -
4:00p - Akron* 67 8 Buffalo 62 -
4:00p - Northern Illinois 86 19 Central Florida* 64 -
4:00p - Southern Illinois 70 14 Youngstown State* 53 -
4:05p - North Carolina State 97 12 North Carolina* 82 -
4:30p ESPN+ New Mexico 88 4 Air Force* 81 -
4:30p FSN U.C.L.A.* 91 11 Arizona 83 -
5:00p espn2 Florida State 105 17 Syracuse* 85 -
5:00p - Texas A&M 93 11 Iowa State* 79 -
5:00p TBS Texas Tech* 94 4 Nebraska 93 -
5:00p - Toledo 88 19 Western Michigan* 66 -
5:20p - Kansas* 89 1 Kansas State 91 -
5:45p ESPN Florida* 101 1 L.S.U. 103 -
6:00p - Rice* 74 11 S.M.U. 66 -
6:00p PPV Vanderbilt* 82 3 Rutgers 82 -
6:05p - La.-Lafayette 71 1 New Mexico State* 67 -
6:05p - North Texas 71 1 Utah State* 67 -
8:00p - Fresno State* 93 24 UT-El Paso 72 -
8:00p FSN Missouri 96 20 Baylor* 73 -
10:05p FSW Hawaii* 79 13 Nevada 69 -
*Home Team = + 3 points **Neutral Field
Spr. = Expected Pointspread
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2004 NFL Trends
Sunday Oct 10
Miami 0-4 ATS at New England
New England 8-0 ATS as home favorites
Cleveland 3-0 ATS at Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh 1-7 ATS at home off a win
Oakland 4-0 ATS vs. Indianapolis
Indianapolis 1-7 ATS at home off 3+ ATS wins
Detroit 5-12 ATS vs. non-divison opponents
Atlanta 6-1 ATS vs. Detroit
Tampa Bay 7-1 ATS away off 3+ losses
New Orleans 1-5 ATS at home vs. division opponents
NY Giants 1-5 ATS at Dallas
Dallas 6-1 ATS as a home favorite of 3+ points
Minnesota 1-4 ATS away vs. non-conference opps
Houston 4-0 ATS as a home underdog
Buffalo 1-5 ATS at NY Jets
NY Jets 7-2 ATS vs. Buffalo
Jacksonville 2-8 ATS as road favorites
San Diego 10-3 ATS playing with revenge
Carolina 4-10 ATS off a division home game
Denver 10-3 ATS in non-conference games
St. Louis 1-3 ATS at Seattle
Seattle 7-1 ATS off a shutout win
Arizona 0-4 ATS at San Francisco
San Francisco 5-1 Under off a division loss
Baltimore 2-6 ATS away vs. non-conference opps
Washington 5-2 ATS at home vs. non-conference opps
Monday Oct 11
Tennessee 1-7 ATS as MNF underdogs
Green Bay 10-2 ATS on Monday nights
Sunday, October 10, 2004
MDT TV Favorite & Rating Spr. Underdog & Rating Score +/-
11:00a FOX Atlanta Falcons* 138 10 Detroit Lions 131 -
11:00a FOX Dallas Cowboys* 137 4 New York Giants 136 -
11:00a CBS Indianapolis Colts* 145 16 Oakland Raiders 132 -
11:00a FOX Minnesota Vikings 140 6 Houston Texans* 131 -
11:00a CBS New England Patriots* 145 17 Miami Dolphins 131 -
11:00a CBS Pittsburgh Steelers* 135 7 Cleveland Browns 131 -
11:00a FOX Tampa Bay Bucs 135 1 New Orleans Saints* 131 -
2:05p CBS Jacksonville Jaguars 136 2 San Diego Chargers* 131 -
2:05p CBS New York Jets* 137 9 Buffalo Bills 131 -
2:15p FOX Denver Broncos* 139 4 Carolina Panthers 138 -
2:15p FOX San Francisco 49ers* 128 1 Arizona Cardinals 130 -
2:15p FOX Seattle Seahawks* 143 10 St. Louis Rams 136 -
6:30p ESPN Baltimore Ravens 139 2 Wash. Redskins* 134 -
Monday, October 11, 2004
MDT TV Favorite & Rating Spr. Underdog & Rating Score +/-
7:00p ABC Green Bay Packers* 137 5 Tennessee Titans 135 -
*Home Team = + 3 points **Neutral Field
Spr. = Expected Pointspread
Good Luck All!!!
Houston (48) at Southern Mississippi (-17.5), 7:00 ET
Houston - 5-1 ATS away after allowing 6+ yards per rush
Southern Miss - 3-11 ATS off a conference win by 7 points or less
Clemson (55) at Virginia (-16), 7:30 ET
Clemson - 1-6 ATS away off an ATS loss
Virginia - 8-1 ATS at home vs. conference opponents
Friday, October 8th
UNLV (45.5) at BYU (-10), 10:00 ET
UNLV - 5-1 ATS away off a win by 17+ points
BYU - 1-8 ATS off a straight up win as a road underdog
Saturday, October 9th
Texas (54) at Oklahoma (-7.5), 12:00 ET
Texas - 2-8 ATS off 3+ ATS losses
Oklahoma - 6-2 ATS vs. Texas
**Florida State (-19.5) at Syracuse (46.5), 7:00 ET
Florida State - 0-6 ATS off BB wins by 17+ points
Syracuse - 18-4 ATS at home off a home game
**Wisconsin (34.5) at Ohio State (-3.5), 3:30 ET
Wisconsin - 1-5 ATS away off BB home wins
Ohio State - 8-2 ATS off an Over
Minnesota (52.5) at Michigan (-3.5), 12:00 ET
Minnesota - 6-1 ATS after scoring and allowing 17 or less points
Michigan - 13-27 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points
Indiana (59.5) at Northwestern (-10.5), 12:00 ET
Indiana - 1-6 ATS at home off a conference loss
Northwestern - 6-1 Over at home off a home game
Illinois (52.5) at Michigan State (-7.5), 12:00 ET
Illinois - 1-8 ATS off a loss by 17+ points
Michigan State - 7-1 Under as a home favorite
**Texas A&M (-8.5) at Iowa State (47), 7:00 ET
Texas A&M - 15-3 ATS off BB games forcing 3+ turnovers
Iowa State - 1-10 ATS off a loss by 17+ points
**Pittsburgh (-13.5) at Temple (49), 12:00 ET
Pittsburgh - 2-9 ATS after playing as an underdog
Temple - 8-2 ATS after playing as a home underdog
Cincinnati (-14.5) at Army (49.5), 1:00 ET
Cincinnati - 5-1 ATS after having 50+ pass attempts
Army - 1-5 ATS at home off 4+ losses
Bowling Green (-14.5) at Central Michigan (57), 1:00 ET
Bowling Green - 16-6 ATS off a win by 17+ points
Central Michigan - 2-12 ATS off a conference win
**NC State (-10.5) at North Carolina (51), 6:00 ET
NC State - 5-1 ATS away off BB conference games
North Carolina - 3-11 ATS in home games
**Kansas State (-3) at Kansas (50), 7:20 ET
Kansas State - 10-0 ATS vs. Kansas
Kansas - 2-11 ATS off BB conference games
Tulane (55) at East Carolina (-3.5), 2:00 ET
Tulane - 5-1 Over as a road underdog
East Carolina - 2-9 ATS at home after scoring 14 or less points
**Marshall (-9) at Ohio U (43.5), 1:00 ET
Marshall - 2-9 ATS away after forcing 3+ turnovers
Ohio U - 5-1 ATS off BB games with a turnover margin of +2 or better
Kent State (N/A) at Miami OH (-20.5), 2:00 ET
Kent State - 1-5 ATS off BB ATS losses
Miami OH - 7-1 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points
**New Mexico (46) at Air Force (-3), 6:30 ET
New Mexico - 6-1 ATS away vs. conference opponents
Air Force - 10-2 Under in October
**Louisiana Tech (N/A) at Auburn (-26), 3:30 ET
Louisiana Tech - 1-10 ATS off a win
Auburn - 8-2 ATS after playing as an underdog
Stanford (48.5) at Notre Dame (-5), 2:30 ET
Stanford - 6-0 ATS after allowing 14 or less points
Notre Dame - 1-5 ATS off a loss by 17+ points
UAB (-12.5) at Mississippi State (46.5), 2:30 ET
UAB - 8-2 ATS away after playing BB games as an underdog
Mississippi State - 0-13 ATS off a road game
**Oklahoma State (-7) at Colorado (47), 3:30 ET
Oklahoma State - 7-0 ATS off BB wins by 21+ points
Colorado - 3-13 ATS at home off an Under
**Eastern Michigan (58) at Ball State (-7.5), 3:30 ET
Eastern Michigan - 2-8 ATS away in October
Ball State - 6-1 ATS at home off a loss by 17+ points
San Diego State (-3.5) at Wyoming (45.5), 3:00 ET
San Diego State - 11-2 ATS away off a loss by 21+ points
Wyoming - 0-7 ATS off BB home wins
Tennessee (47) at Georgia (-13), 3:30 ET
Tennessee - 1-5 ATS away after scoring 3 or less first half points
Georgia - 10-2 ATS after playing as a home favorite
**LSU (47.5) at Florida (-3.5), 7:45 ET
LSU - 7-17 ATS off a road conference loss
Florida - 8-2 ATS off BB home wins by 14+ points
**Arizona (42.5) at UCLA (-10.5), 6:30 ET
Arizona - 15-5 ATS away in October
UCLA - 20-6 Over off a win by 17+ points
California (58) at USC (-7.5), 3:30 ET
California - 8-2 Over off an Under
USC - 14-2 ATS off a conference game
San Jose State (N/A) at Washington (-17.5), 3:30 ET
San Jose State - 5-1 ATS away after playing BB games as an underdog
Washington - 1-7 ATS in October
**Virginia Tech (-5.5) at Wake Forest (43.5), 12:00 ET
Virginia Tech - 3-13 ATS vs. conference opponents
Wake Forest - 6-1 Under at home off a conference game
Georgia Tech (42.5) at Maryland (-12.5), 3:30 ET
Georgia Tech - 6-0 Under in October
Maryland - 5-1 ATS at home off a road game
Purdue (-11.5) at Penn State (48.5), 4:30 ET
Purdue - 16-4 ATS after playing as a favorite
Penn State - 1-6 ATS after allowing 125 or less passing yards
Oregon (45.5) at Washington State (-4), 5:00 ET
Oregon - 18-7 ATS off BB home games
Washington State - 11-3 Under as a favorite
Northern Illinois (-18.5) at Central Florida (N/A), 6:00 ET
Northern Illinois - 19-7 ATS in October
Central Florida - 2-8 ATS in home games
Buffalo (55.5) at Akron (-9.5), 6:00 ET
Buffalo - 8-0 ATS vs. teams allowing a 62% or higher completion percentage
Akron - 1-8 ATS at home off a loss by 17+ points
**Rutgers (50.5) at Vanderbilt (-6), 8:00 ET
Rutgers - 10-1 ATS off a conference loss by 10+ points
Vanderbilt - 2-8 ATS off a home win by 17+ points
Nebraska (54.5) at Texas Tech (-7.5), 7:00 ET
Nebraska - 0-6 ATS after allowing 9 points or less
Texas Tech - 17-5 ATS off a conference loss by 10+ points
**Missouri (-20.5) at Baylor (51), 10:00 ET
Missouri - 12-2 ATS after winning 3 of their last 4 games
Baylor - 1-8 ATS at home after allowing 300+ rushing yards
Toledo (-14.5) at Western Michigan (63.5), 7:00 ET
Toledo - 15-3 ATS vs. conference opponents
Western Michigan - 0-7 ATS as a home underdog
**Alabama (-6) at Kentucky (40), 12:30 ET
Alabama - 10-2 Under after playing as a home favorite
Kentucky - 9-1 ATS off a non-conference game
**Mississippi (40) at South Carolina (-17), 1:00 ET
Mississippi - 1-6 ATS away after committing 1 or 0 turnovers
South Carolina - 8-2 ATS off a road win by 10+ points
SMU (51) at Rice (-14), 8:00 ET
SMU - 1-12 ATS off a SU road loss/ATS win
Rice - 15-4 ATS at home in October
UTEP (N/A) at Fresno State (-18.5), 10:00 ET
UTEP - 2-8 ATS after allowing a 40% or less completion percentage
Fresno State - 6-0 ATS after playing as a road favorite
Nevada (N/A) at Hawaii (-18), 11:59 ET
Nevada - 5-1 ATS after committing 3+ turnovers
Hawaii - 1-5 ATS at home after scoring 37+ points
Added Games:
Arkansas State (57.5) at Mid Tenn State (-6), 3:00 ET
Arkansas State - 13-4 ATS after playing BB games as an underdog
Mid Tenn State - 0-10 ATS after completing 66% or more passes
**Louisiana Monroe (-2) at Idaho (N/A), 5:00 ET
LA Monroe - 8-2 ATS off ATS losses in 2 of their last 3 games
Idaho - 1-5 ATS after losing 2 of their last 3 games
North Texas (-1) at Utah State (48.5), 8:05 ET
North Texas - 8-2 ATS away off a conference win
Utah State - 1-6 ATS off a loss by 28+ points
Louisiana Lafayette (-3) at New Mexico State (45.5), 8:05 ET
LA Lafayette - 6-1 ATS after playing as a favorite
New Mexico State - 5-14 ATS off BB ATS losses
**Denotes Time Change
The Pigskin Index is designed to give a quick comparison of the relative strength of all covered teams. To see how a game should turn out, simply compare the ratings of the competing teams and add 3 points to the home team. For example, a visiting team with a rating of 100 should be 7 points stronger than a home team with a rating of 90. 100 - (90 + 3) = 7. In neutral field games (such as many bowls), no home team advantage may be appropriate.
Thursday, October 7, 2004
MDT TV Favorite & Rating Spr. Underdog & Rating Score +/-
5:00p espn2 Southern Mississippi* 96 25 Houston 74 -
5:30p ESPN Virginia* 102 16 Clemson 89 -
Friday, October 8, 2004
MDT TV Favorite & Rating Spr. Underdog & Rating Score +/-
8:00p espn2 B.Y.U.* 85 16 UN-Las Vegas 72 -
Saturday, October 9, 2004
MDT TV Favorite & Rating Spr. Underdog & Rating Score +/-
10:00a ESPN Michigan* 99 3 Minnesota 99 -
10:00a espn2 Michigan State* 84 10 Illinois 77 -
10:00a Northwestern* 89 13 Indiana 79 -
10:00a ABC Oklahoma** 110 7 Texas 103 -
10:00a ESPN+ Pittsburgh 83 14 Temple* 66 -
10:00a Virginia Tech 99 7 Wake Forest* 89 -
10:30a Alabama 91 11 Kentucky* 77 -
10:30a - Dartmouth* 58 5 Yale 56 -
10:30a - Harvard* 66 21 Cornell 48 -
11:00a - Bowling Green 86 17 Central Michigan* 66 -
11:00a - Cincinnati 81 16 Army* 62 -
11:00a - Colgate* 66 12 Princeton 57 -
11:00a ESPN+ Marshall 87 10 Ohio U.* 74 -
11:00a - South Carolina* 98 22 Mississippi 79 -
11:30a - James Madison* 73 6 Massachusetts 70 -
12:00p - Miami, O.* 81 18 Kent State 66 -
12:00p ESPN+ Tulane 73 2 East Carolina* 68 -
12:05p FSCH Western Illinois* 63 11 Indiana State 55 -
12:30p FSMW Illinois State* 63 7 SW Missouri State 59 -
12:30p NBC Notre Dame* 91 6 Stanford 88 -
12:30p - UA-Birmingham 86 10 Mississippi State* 73 -
1:00p - Mid. Tenn. State* 69 3 Arkansas State 69 -
1:00p ESPN+ San Diego State 86 5 Wyoming* 78 -
1:30p PPV Auburn* 104 29 Louisiana Tech 78 -
1:30p ESPN+ Ball State* 67 13 Eastern Michigan 57 -
1:30p FSS Furman 74 1 Appalachian State* 70 -
1:30p CBS Georgia* 107 15 Tennessee 95 -
1:30p ABC Maryland* 98 13 Georgia Tech 88 -
1:30p ABC Ohio State* 97 4 Wisconsin 96 -
1:30p ABC Oklahoma State 97 0 Colorado* 94 -
1:30p ABC Southern Cal* 111 10 California 104 -
1:30p FSN Washington* 79 18 San Jose State 64 -
2:00p - Georgia Southern 78 20 Western Carolina* 55 -
2:30p ESPN Purdue 101 9 Penn State* 89 -
3:00p - Idaho* 60 1 La.-Monroe 62 -
3:00p - Washington State* 90 4 Oregon 89 -
3:05p - Western Kentucky 76 6 Northern Iowa* 67 -
4:00p - Akron* 67 8 Buffalo 62 -
4:00p - Northern Illinois 86 19 Central Florida* 64 -
4:00p - Southern Illinois 70 14 Youngstown State* 53 -
4:05p - North Carolina State 97 12 North Carolina* 82 -
4:30p ESPN+ New Mexico 88 4 Air Force* 81 -
4:30p FSN U.C.L.A.* 91 11 Arizona 83 -
5:00p espn2 Florida State 105 17 Syracuse* 85 -
5:00p - Texas A&M 93 11 Iowa State* 79 -
5:00p TBS Texas Tech* 94 4 Nebraska 93 -
5:00p - Toledo 88 19 Western Michigan* 66 -
5:20p - Kansas* 89 1 Kansas State 91 -
5:45p ESPN Florida* 101 1 L.S.U. 103 -
6:00p - Rice* 74 11 S.M.U. 66 -
6:00p PPV Vanderbilt* 82 3 Rutgers 82 -
6:05p - La.-Lafayette 71 1 New Mexico State* 67 -
6:05p - North Texas 71 1 Utah State* 67 -
8:00p - Fresno State* 93 24 UT-El Paso 72 -
8:00p FSN Missouri 96 20 Baylor* 73 -
10:05p FSW Hawaii* 79 13 Nevada 69 -
*Home Team = + 3 points **Neutral Field
Spr. = Expected Pointspread
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2004 NFL Trends
Sunday Oct 10
Miami 0-4 ATS at New England
New England 8-0 ATS as home favorites
Cleveland 3-0 ATS at Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh 1-7 ATS at home off a win
Oakland 4-0 ATS vs. Indianapolis
Indianapolis 1-7 ATS at home off 3+ ATS wins
Detroit 5-12 ATS vs. non-divison opponents
Atlanta 6-1 ATS vs. Detroit
Tampa Bay 7-1 ATS away off 3+ losses
New Orleans 1-5 ATS at home vs. division opponents
NY Giants 1-5 ATS at Dallas
Dallas 6-1 ATS as a home favorite of 3+ points
Minnesota 1-4 ATS away vs. non-conference opps
Houston 4-0 ATS as a home underdog
Buffalo 1-5 ATS at NY Jets
NY Jets 7-2 ATS vs. Buffalo
Jacksonville 2-8 ATS as road favorites
San Diego 10-3 ATS playing with revenge
Carolina 4-10 ATS off a division home game
Denver 10-3 ATS in non-conference games
St. Louis 1-3 ATS at Seattle
Seattle 7-1 ATS off a shutout win
Arizona 0-4 ATS at San Francisco
San Francisco 5-1 Under off a division loss
Baltimore 2-6 ATS away vs. non-conference opps
Washington 5-2 ATS at home vs. non-conference opps
Monday Oct 11
Tennessee 1-7 ATS as MNF underdogs
Green Bay 10-2 ATS on Monday nights
Sunday, October 10, 2004
MDT TV Favorite & Rating Spr. Underdog & Rating Score +/-
11:00a FOX Atlanta Falcons* 138 10 Detroit Lions 131 -
11:00a FOX Dallas Cowboys* 137 4 New York Giants 136 -
11:00a CBS Indianapolis Colts* 145 16 Oakland Raiders 132 -
11:00a FOX Minnesota Vikings 140 6 Houston Texans* 131 -
11:00a CBS New England Patriots* 145 17 Miami Dolphins 131 -
11:00a CBS Pittsburgh Steelers* 135 7 Cleveland Browns 131 -
11:00a FOX Tampa Bay Bucs 135 1 New Orleans Saints* 131 -
2:05p CBS Jacksonville Jaguars 136 2 San Diego Chargers* 131 -
2:05p CBS New York Jets* 137 9 Buffalo Bills 131 -
2:15p FOX Denver Broncos* 139 4 Carolina Panthers 138 -
2:15p FOX San Francisco 49ers* 128 1 Arizona Cardinals 130 -
2:15p FOX Seattle Seahawks* 143 10 St. Louis Rams 136 -
6:30p ESPN Baltimore Ravens 139 2 Wash. Redskins* 134 -
Monday, October 11, 2004
MDT TV Favorite & Rating Spr. Underdog & Rating Score +/-
7:00p ABC Green Bay Packers* 137 5 Tennessee Titans 135 -
*Home Team = + 3 points **Neutral Field
Spr. = Expected Pointspread
Good Luck All!!!
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