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Week Five NFL..........
These are my early plays for week five. I will add one or maybe two more plays later in the week....
5 STAR: DALLAS (-3)(-$120) OVER New York
I really like the Cowboys in this spot. The Giants head into this game a surprising 3-1, but I still don't think that they are as good as their record may suggest. But being that they are 3-1 gives us some value in this line, by keeping it closer to a field goal, rather than a touchdown. This will be the second straight road game for the G-Men, while Dallas and coach Bill Parcells have had two weeks to get ready for this game. I don't think the New York defense will be able to stop the Cowboys passing attack, and unless Dallas gives the Giants multiple turnovers, they should get the cover here. The Giants are improved, but they still are making many mistakes. It took 7 Washington turnovers for them to get a six point win at home against the Redskins in week two and last week against Green Bay, they should have won that game by more than a touchdown, but they missed three field goals in that contest. The Cowboys are 9-3 against the spread in the last 12 meetings with the Giants at Texas Stadium and the Giants are only 4-7 against the spread when playing against a team with a winning record the last three seasons. Also, Giants QB Kurt Warner is a bit banged up going into this game with leg injuries, so he may be even less mobile then he normally is against the fast Dallas defense. I'll by the hook in this one just to be safe, but I expect Dallas to roll here!
3 STAR: Minnesota (-4) OVER HOUSTON
This is a bad match up for the Texans. Houston is sky high right now after winning at Kansas City two weeks ago and then defeating the Raiders last week for their first ever back to back wins. I don't see them winning three in a row. In their first two seasons, the Texans always lost the next week after a straight up win. This young team did not know how to handle winning, it was new to them, and they were always flat the next game. Well they managed to get it done last week, but I think they could come out flat for this one. The Vikings had a bye last week and with the Texans posting back to back wins they will have Minnesota's full attention. The Texans defense will not be able to handle the Vikings #1 ranked passing offense. Houston's pass defense is allowing 65.8% completions by their opponents and they do not have much of a pass rush. Culpepper should have a field day in the pocket terrorizing rookie corner Dunta Robinson and veteran corner Aaron Glenn who will most likely be assigned to Randy Moss. Rookie Roy Williams of Detroit torched Glenn in their meeting, look for Moss to use his seven inch height advantage to do the same. There are a lot of trends favoring the Texans in this game, but the Vikings are the better team here, and they are 2-0 against the spread the last two seasons after a bye week. This one should not be close.
2004 NFL RECORD
5 STAR RECORD 2-4-1 (-12.0 UNITS)
3 STAR RECORD 3-3-1 (-0.9 UNITS)
2 STAR RECORD 6-9 (-7.8 UNITS)
1 STAR RECORD 2-2 (-0.2 UNITS)
OVERALL RECORD 13-18-2 (-20.9 UNITS)
A $100 player would be down $2090
5 STAR: DALLAS (-3)(-$120) OVER New York
I really like the Cowboys in this spot. The Giants head into this game a surprising 3-1, but I still don't think that they are as good as their record may suggest. But being that they are 3-1 gives us some value in this line, by keeping it closer to a field goal, rather than a touchdown. This will be the second straight road game for the G-Men, while Dallas and coach Bill Parcells have had two weeks to get ready for this game. I don't think the New York defense will be able to stop the Cowboys passing attack, and unless Dallas gives the Giants multiple turnovers, they should get the cover here. The Giants are improved, but they still are making many mistakes. It took 7 Washington turnovers for them to get a six point win at home against the Redskins in week two and last week against Green Bay, they should have won that game by more than a touchdown, but they missed three field goals in that contest. The Cowboys are 9-3 against the spread in the last 12 meetings with the Giants at Texas Stadium and the Giants are only 4-7 against the spread when playing against a team with a winning record the last three seasons. Also, Giants QB Kurt Warner is a bit banged up going into this game with leg injuries, so he may be even less mobile then he normally is against the fast Dallas defense. I'll by the hook in this one just to be safe, but I expect Dallas to roll here!
3 STAR: Minnesota (-4) OVER HOUSTON
This is a bad match up for the Texans. Houston is sky high right now after winning at Kansas City two weeks ago and then defeating the Raiders last week for their first ever back to back wins. I don't see them winning three in a row. In their first two seasons, the Texans always lost the next week after a straight up win. This young team did not know how to handle winning, it was new to them, and they were always flat the next game. Well they managed to get it done last week, but I think they could come out flat for this one. The Vikings had a bye last week and with the Texans posting back to back wins they will have Minnesota's full attention. The Texans defense will not be able to handle the Vikings #1 ranked passing offense. Houston's pass defense is allowing 65.8% completions by their opponents and they do not have much of a pass rush. Culpepper should have a field day in the pocket terrorizing rookie corner Dunta Robinson and veteran corner Aaron Glenn who will most likely be assigned to Randy Moss. Rookie Roy Williams of Detroit torched Glenn in their meeting, look for Moss to use his seven inch height advantage to do the same. There are a lot of trends favoring the Texans in this game, but the Vikings are the better team here, and they are 2-0 against the spread the last two seasons after a bye week. This one should not be close.
2004 NFL RECORD
5 STAR RECORD 2-4-1 (-12.0 UNITS)
3 STAR RECORD 3-3-1 (-0.9 UNITS)
2 STAR RECORD 6-9 (-7.8 UNITS)
1 STAR RECORD 2-2 (-0.2 UNITS)
OVERALL RECORD 13-18-2 (-20.9 UNITS)
A $100 player would be down $2090
:D 
makin it rain since 2004
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