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  • Mlb Trends Wednesday

    Trends for MLB games on Wednesday, September 29th, 2004
    New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves
    Aaron Heilman (1 - 2, 4.57 ERA) v. Russ Ortiz (14 - 9, 4.19 ERA)
    Russ Ortiz is 11 - 3 this month as a favorite at home.
    Russ Ortiz is 60 - 24 overall as a favorite at home.
    Russ Ortiz is 44 - 19 against a righthander as a favorite at home.
    Russ Ortiz is 25 - 11 against ground ball-hitting team as a favorite at home.
    Russ Ortiz has 4 overs, 1 unders, and 1 pushes against NYM at home.
    Russ Ortiz has 10 overs, 5 unders, and 1 pushes against total ≥ 9 and total ≤ 9.5 in the current park.
    Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs
    Luke Hudson (4 - 2, 2.55 ERA) v. Glendon Rusch (6 - 2, 3.59 ERA)
    Glendon Rusch is 1 - 5 against a poor run-creating team (≤ 4.5 rc/g) as a favorite at home.
    Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles
    0 - 0 v. 0 - 0
    Jeff Nelson has 0 overs, 6 unders, and 1 pushes umpiring against TOR.
    Pittsburgh Pirates @ Philadelphia Phillies
    0 - 0 v. 0 - 0
    Philadelphia Phillies are 2 - 8 against a poor base-stealing (≤ .65 sb/attempts) team as a favorite at home.
    Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers
    Freddy Garcia (8 - 4, 4.78 ERA) v. Jason Johnson (8 - 14, 4.98 ERA)
    Jason Johnson is 0 - 7 this month as a dog at home.
    Jason Johnson has 1 overs, 7 unders, and 0 pushes against total ≥ 9.5 and total ≤ 10 in the current park.
    When Freddy Garcia is starting, his team is 10 - 4 versus DET.
    Jason Johnson is 11 - 25 overall as a dog at home.
    Freddy Garcia has 4 overs, 2 unders, and 0 pushes against DET on the road.
    Jason Johnson is 9 - 18 against a righthander as a dog at home.
    Florida Marlins @ Montreal Expos
    Carl Pavano (17 - 8, 3.05 ERA) v. Sun-Woo Kim (4 - 5, 4.51 ERA)
    Carl Pavano is 10 - 4 overall as a favorite on the road.
    When Carl Pavano is starting, his team is 5 - 3 versus MON.
    St. Louis Cardinals @ Houston Astros
    Jeff Suppan (16 - 8, 4.03 ERA) v. Roger Clemens (18 - 4, 2.89 ERA)
    Jeff Suppan is 2 - 8 this month as a dog on the road.
    Jeff Suppan is 5 - 18 against a good on-base-percentage (≥ .345) team as a dog on the road.
    When Jeff Suppan is starting, his team is 2 - 6 versus HOU.
    Jeff Suppan is 11 - 28 against a good run-creating team (≥ 5 rc/g) as a dog on the road.
    Roger Clemens is 24 - 10 against a good total bases (≥ 15 tb/g) team as a favorite at home.
    Jeff Suppan is 9 - 21 against a good extrapolated runs team (≥ 5.1 xr/g) as a dog on the road.
    Roger Clemens has 3 overs, 7 unders, and 0 pushes against total ≥ 8.5 and total ≤ 9 in the current park.
    Jeff Suppan is 27 - 49 overall as a dog on the road.
    Anaheim Angels @ Texas Rangers
    Jarrod Washburn (11 - 8, 4.46 ERA) v. Joaquin Benoit (3 - 5, 5.85 ERA)
    Joaquin Benoit is 9 - 3 overall as a dog at home.
    Jarrod Washburn is 27 - 12 overall as a favorite on the road.
    Seattle Mariners @ Oakland Athletics
    Bobby Madritsch (5 - 3, 3.53 ERA) v. Rich Harden (11 - 6, 4.00 ERA)
    Rich Harden is 14 - 5 overall as a favorite at home.
    Rich Harden has 6 overs, 13 unders, and 0 pushes as a favorite at home.
    Rich Harden has 7 overs, 11 unders, and 0 pushes against total ≥ 8.5 and total ≤ 9 in the current park.
    San Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres
    Noah Lowry (6 - 0, 3.77 ERA) v. David Wells (12 - 7, 3.65 ERA)
    David Wells has 4 overs, 2 unders, and 0 pushes against total ≥ 8.5 and total ≤ 9 in the current park.
    Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers
    Jeff Francis (3 - 2, 6.16 ERA) v. Odalis Perez (7 - 6, 3.35 ERA)
    Odalis Perez has 0 overs, 6 unders, and 0 pushes against COL at home.
    Odalis Perez is 12 - 4 against a lefthander as a favorite at home.
    Wash. D.C. 8 sq. miles surrounded by REALITY

  • #2
    GR ...Good morning !!!!!! Thanks....

    Comment


    • #3
      Your Welcome my friend, just trying to help!!


      GR8
      Wash. D.C. 8 sq. miles surrounded by REALITY

      Comment


      • #4
        Which game is Nelson umpiring in the
        Balt/Tor doubleheader. The first or second ?

        If it is the first, I like that under with the
        2 lefties going.

        Comment


        • #5
          Wednesday's games
          Hot pitchers
          -- Kim is 1-0, 2.21 his last three starts.
          -- Heilman has 2.25 RA in his last two starts.
          -- Hudson is 3-0, 0.53 on road, 3-1, 1.71 in his last four starts overall. Rusch has 1.38 RA his last 2 starts. Cubs are 7-3 in his last ten starts.
          -- Clemens is 3-0, 0.61 his last three starts; Astros won his last eight outings.
          -- Lowry is 3-0, 1.19 his last three starts; Giants won nine of his last ten starts, scoring 66 runs. Padres scored 51 runs in winning Wells' last seven starts.
          -- Francis is 3-1, 2.95 his last four starts.
          -- Santana is 9-0, 0.84 his last nine starts; Twins won his last 14 starts, and 19 of last 21. Bronx won nine of ten Lieber home starts, winning last five in row.
          -- Lilly is 3-0, 2.91 in his last three starts. Cabrera is
          3-1, 3.46 in his last five outings.
          -- Madritsch is 2-1, 3.33 in his last four starts. A's won Harden's last nine home outings.

          Cold pitchers
          -- Pavano is 0-3, 4.58 in his last three starts.
          -- Vogelsong is 2-2, 8.62 his last four starts. Phillies are 1-5 in last six Myers home starts. Padilla is 1-1, 6.45 in his last five starts.
          -- Ortiz is 0-3, 9.92 in his last four starts, 0-2, 14.60 vs the Mets this season.
          -- Suppan is 1-2, 7.63 in his last three starts.
          -- Glover has 7.71 RA in his first '02 starts. Fossum is 0-2, 5.40 in his last five starts, all Arizona losses.
          -- Perez is 1-2, 5.09 his last eight starts, 1-3, 4.63 vs Colorado this season.
          -- Garcia is 2-3, 6.00 his last five starts and has a 6.41 RA vs Detroit this season.
          -- Lohse is 1-2, 6.15 in his last five starts.
          -- Chen is 0-1, 6.39 his last two starts.
          -- Washburn is 0-3, 3.76 his last four starts, 0-2, 3.38 vs Texas this season. Benoit is 0-2, 9.98 last 4 starts.
          -- Denney is 1-2, 11.13 in his four '04 starts. Wood is 1-3, 7.59 in his last seven starts.


          Hot teams
          -- Mets won five of their last seven games.
          -- Cubs won six of their last eight home games.
          -- Astros won their last fourteen home games. Cardinals are 7-23in last ten on road, but have already clinched playoffs, while Astros fighting for a wild card.
          -- Giants won last six road games and eleven of last 15 overall. Padres won six of last eight at Petco.
          -- Dodgers won nine of last eleven home games.
          -- Bronx is 9-3 in last dozen home games.
          -- Red Sox are 15-5 in their last twenty road games.
          -- Angels won seven of their last nine road games.
          -- Indians are 7-3 in their last ten road games.
          -- Seattle is 5-2 in its last seven games.


          Cold teams
          -- Expos are 1-6 in last six home games, Marlins won last two games, after dropping six in row.
          -- Pirates won for first time in eight road games Monday Phillies are 8-14 in last 22 home contests.
          -- Reds are 12-19 in their last 31 road games.
          -- Brewers lost fourteen of their last seventeen games. Arizona lost six of its last eight games.
          -- Colorado lost 16 of last 21 on road.
          -- Tigers lost eight of last twelve at home. White Sox lost their last six road games.
          -- Twins, who already clinched their division, are 4-6 in their last ten games.
          -- Toronto is 3-6 in their last nine road games. Orioles are 5-11 in their last sixteen at Camden Yards.
          -- Tampa Bay is 4-12 in its last sixteen home games.
          -- Rangers lost four of their last five games.
          -- Royals lost six of last seven home games.
          -- Oakland is 7-14 in its last twenty-one games.

          Totals
          -- Under is 11-0-3 in last fourteen Expo home games.
          -- Under is 11-2 in last thirteen Philly home games.
          -- Under is 13-2 in last fifteen Met road games.
          -- Over is 14-5 in last nineteen Cub home games.
          -- Under is 5-1 in Houston's last six home games.
          -- Under is 12-5 in last 17 Arizona home games.
          -- Over is 12-4 in last sixteen Petco games.
          -- Over is 11-2-1 in last fourteen Dodger home games.
          -- Over is 8-4 in last twelve Chicago road games.
          -- Over is 5-1 in Lohse's last six starts.
          -- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Toronto road games.
          -- Over is 6-0-1 in last seven Boston games.
          -- Under is 6-1 in last seven Texas games, 11-4 in last fifteen Anaheim games.
          -- Under is 5-1 in last five Indian road games.
          -- A's last six home games all went over the total.

          Umpires
          -- Underdog is 5-4 in last nine Reed games (Fla-Mtl)
          -- Home team won all three Fullwood games (Pitt-Phil)
          -- Under is 4-1 in last five Vanover games, with faves 10-3 in his last thirteen behind plate (NYM-Atl)
          -- Over is 6-3 in last nine Emmel games, with visitor winning five of his last six (Cin-Cubs)
          -- Under is 6-2-1 last nine Rapuano games, with dogs 6-5 in his last eleven (Stl-Hst)
          -- Underdog is 6-2 in last eight Carlson tilts (Mil-Ariz)
          -- Over is 21-6-1 with Wendelstedt in '04 (SF-SD)
          -- Under is 5-1 last six Hudson games, with underdog 12-11 in his last 23 games. (Colo-LA)
          -- Last nine Diaz games stayed under total, with dogs winning htree of last four (CWS-Det)
          -- Road team won last four Nelson games, with favorite 10-2 in his last dozen games (Tor-Balt)
          -- Favorite won last eight Poncino games with three of last four staying under total (Bos-TB)
          -- Last four Kulpa games stayed under the total, with dogs splitting his last dozen (Ana-Tex)
          -- Over is 5-2 last seven Cederstrom games with faves winning four of his last five. (Clev-KC)
          -- Under is 9-4 last 13 Eddings games, with faves 9-1 in his last ten (Sea-A's)

          Comment


          • #6
            Marshall won four of its last five games vs Miami, with wins in Red Hawks' last two visits to this site by scores of 51-31, 36-34. Miami covered nine of its last 13 road games in MAC, although they're 0-2 on road in '04, with losses at Michigan (43-10), Cincinnati (45-26). Herd is 0-3, with home loss to Troy, but they played both Ohio State and Georgia tough on road. Marshall covered one of last six MAC openers.

            Comment


            • #7
              Major League Baseball Trends
              Wednesday, September 29

              National League:

              NY Mets (9) at Atlanta (-250), 1:05 ET
              Heilman (R) vs. Ortiz (R)
              (Matchup)
              HEILMAN is 5-1 OVER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game
              ORTIZ is 12-3 against the money line when playing on Wednesday

              Cincinnati (NL) at Chicago Cubs (-225), 2:05 ET
              Hudson (R) vs. Rusch (L)
              (Matchup)
              CINCINNATI is 15-8 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better
              RUSCH is 4-11 against the money line in home games after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing

              Milwaukee (9) at Arizona (-125), 6:05 ET
              Glover (R) vs. Fossum (L)
              (Matchup)
              GLOVER is 7-0 OVER vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game in the second half of the season
              FOSSUM is 7-1 against the money line in home games vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game

              Florida (10.5) at Montreal (-155), 7:05 ET
              Pavano (R) vs. Kim (R)
              (Matchup)
              PAVANO is 9-1 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse
              KIM is 7-0 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season

              Pittsburgh (9.5) at Philadelphia (-165), 5:05 ET (Game 1)
              Snell (R) vs. Padilla (R)
              (Matchup)
              PITTSBURGH is 19-7 UNDER against NL East opponents
              PADILLA is 12-4 UNDER as a home favorite of -150 to -175

              Pittsburgh (8.5) at Philadelphia (-170), 8:05 ET (Game 2)
              Vogelsong (R) vs. Myers (R)
              (Matchup)
              VOGELSONG is 5-1 against the money line in road games when pitching in night games
              MYERS is 1-5 against the money line in home games in the second half of the season

              St. Louis (7) at Houston (-130), 8:05 ET
              Suppan (R) vs. Clemens (R)
              (Matchup)
              SUPPAN is 12-1 against the money line in road games this season
              CLEMENS is 6-11 against the money line after giving up <=1 earned runs in his last 2 outings

              San Francisco ( at San Diego (-130), 10:05 ET
              Lowry (L) vs. Wells (L)
              (Matchup)
              LOWRY is 9-1 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in the second half of the season this season
              WELLS is 12-4 OVER in the second half of the season this season

              Colorado (8.5) at LA Dodgers (-250), 10:05 ET
              Francis (L) vs. Perez (L)
              (Matchup)
              COLORADO is 24-63 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5
              PEREZ is 10-3 UNDER as a home favorite of -175 to -250




              American League:

              Minnesota (-120) at NY Yankees (8.5), 7:05 ET
              Santana (L) vs. Lieber (R)
              (Matchup)
              SANTANA is 10-1 against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons
              NY YANKEES are 13-4 OVER vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season

              Toronto (9.5) at Baltimore (-140), 7:05 ET
              Chacin (L) vs. Chen (L)
              (Matchup)
              TORONTO is 3-13 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better
              CHEN is 8-1 OVER when pitching in night games

              Chicago White Sox (-120) at Detroit (9), 1:05 ET
              Garcia (R) vs. Johnson (R)
              (Matchup)
              GARCIA is 13-4 UNDER in road games in September games
              JOHNSON is 1-12 against the money line in September games

              Boston (NL) at Tampa Bay (NL), 7:05 ET
              Martinez (R) vs. Hendrickson (L)
              (Matchup)
              NA
              NA

              Anaheim (-170) at Texas (10.5), 8:05 ET
              Washburn (L) vs. Benoit (R)
              (Matchup)
              WASHBURN is 10-2 in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game
              BENOIT is 7-0 UNDER when playing on Wednesday

              Cleveland (10.5) at Kansas City (-110), 8:05 ET
              Denny (R) vs. Wood (R)
              (Matchup)
              CLEVELAND is 36-19 UNDER when the total is 10 or higher
              NA

              Seattle (8.5) at Oakland (-220), 10:05 ET
              Madritsch (L) vs. Harden (R)
              (Matchup)
              MADRITSCH is 5-1 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher this season
              HARDEN is 7-0 against the money line in home games in the second half of the season


              **Denotes Time Change

              Comment

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