Since the 29th of August, the O’s have been playing pretty respectable ball. Detroit has lost 4-of-5 and has plenty of losing streaks that go back much further. The O’s Bruce Chen has a long history of being streaky and in five starts this year has a 2.61 ERA an a 1.061 WHIP. Detroit has lost 10-of-12 with Johnson. His ERA is above 10.00 over his last four starts.
Backing Johnson in his career in the second half against teams with a winning percentage of .460-.490 is 0-7. Detroit is hitting .248 over the last week. Baltimore is hitting .294 in that span. Their OBP is .360.
The visitor in this series between Northwestern and Minnesota has covered 9 in a row dating back to the 1993 season. Northwestern has flourished on turf and has won 8 in a row on the fake stuff over the last 4 years. The Wildcats are also a bankroll friendly 14-8-1ATS on the road in their L/23 overall tilts. Meanwhile, Minnesota is just 7-13 ATS L/20 when hosting Big 10 opponents like the Wildcats. Note: Northwestern is a perfect 6-0 ATS as a road underdog of 14.5 to 17 points over the L/12 years and 5-1 ATS L/6 games played in dome. Bottom line:
Led by junior quarterback Brett Basanez, the Northwestern offense is averaging a whopping 480 yards per game and the NIU defense has been extremely stingy against the run, allowing just 114.3 rushing ypg. That is a good omen as they take on a Minnesota team that sports the nations second-ranked rush that is averaging 359.3 rushing ypg. Both these teams feature explosive offenses. With that said I know the Gophers are the better team in this confrontation but I expect NUI to throw a few offensive haymakers before that fat lady sings here today and to be close enough at the end of this game to cover the bloated number.
Kansas City Chiefs -8.5 (-110)
Sun Sep 26 '04 1:00p
The Kansas City Chiefs come into this game off two consecutive SU & ATS losses. But despite those losses the Chiefs betting backers have done well during the month of September and are a profitable play as they have cashed 31 of 47(66%) games in the first month of the season over the last decade. The Chiefs are 2-0 SU and ATS against the Texans winning their only meetings in this series both as a visitor and host by a scores of 42-14 last season on the road as -7 1/2 road favs and at home in Kansas City during the 2002 campaign by a score of 19-9 as 6 point chalk. The Houston Texans are 0-5 ATS L/5 on the road and have also lost their first two games this season and have been in complete disarray in those confrontations. The source of the Texans' problems can be traced to any number of things: untimely penalties, breakdowns in coverage and blocking assignments, and play-calling. That unfortunately will not be a good omen against a under achieving desperate and angry Kansas City Chiefs squad that has a bevy of top notch NFL talent at their disposal. Bottom line: I expect Dick Vermeils team to come out here with all guns blazing and to steamroll past the Texans in convincing fashion. Note: (NFL teams that lose their first two games of the season have only a 15% chance of making the play offs) Play on the Cheifs
BYU has upset Notre Dame in their first game of the year and then got beat by a couple of Pac 10 teams in Stanford and USC. Against USC they held the Trojans scoreless through the first 22 minutes, until their offense couldn't stay on the field long enough to get them some rest and they were worn down. Against Boise's defense, which relies on creating turnovers instead of stopping opponents on downs, they should be able to move the ball a little bit and keep their defense off the field. I see this being a relatively low scoring game, with BYU keeping it inside 3 TDs
Tonight Escobar 2-2 with 2.21 ERA at home being 2 games back. In 36 innings he has 37 strikeouts given up 3 homeruns and walked 8. Last night. Anaheim got smoked and will have revenge tonight and will take Oakland down.
Rusch owns a 3.11 road ERA this season (3.69 overall).
Benson sports a 2.57 ERA in his last 3 starts.
Since '97, Rusch owns a 1.85 ERA vs. the Mets.
Since '97, the UNDER is 13-2 in this series.
Cubs are 9-2 UNDER in road games against NL East opponents this season.
NY Mets are 33-14 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 3 seasons.
NY Mets are 18-5 UNDER in home games revenging a same-season 3 game sweep at the hands of their opponents since 1997.
Rusch is 5-1 UNDER in road games against NL East opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
Rusch is 8-2 UNDER in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
Rusch is 15-4 UNDER vs. an NL team with an OBP of .325 or worse in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
Benson is 5-1 UNDER playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. (Team's Record)
PERFECT SITUATION: RUSCH is 6-0 UNDER playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record}
OCD has been struggling lately losing his last 3 5-unit plays. Tonight he has his system parlay/year. It's a 29-9 system on the Yankees/RedSox and a 32-10 system on the A's/Angels. I'd be interested to see what it is. Does anyone have it? Thanks so much!
Week three picks:
Tim T. - New Orleans +7.5
Brent C - Miami -.5
Rob V. - Michigan -12.5
Donnie B. - UNLV -12.5
Erin R. - GB/IND Under 49
Fairway J - Oakland -3
Edward C. - Troy State +15
Ted S. - AZ/ATL Over 42
Good Luck
Originally posted by Dmurphy Week three picks:
Tim T. - New Orleans +7.5
Brent C - Miami -.5
Rob V. - Michigan -12.5
Donnie B. - UNLV -12.5
Erin R. - GB/IND Under 49
Fairway J - Oakland -3
Edward C. - Troy State +15
Ted S. - AZ/ATL Over 42
Good Luck
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