NO. 4 VOLUME 48 SEPTEMBER 23 - 27, 2004
FORECASTING FOOTBALL SINCE 1957 !!
KEY TO FOOTBALL ANALYSES
Home team in CAPS. *?indicates night game. Statistics after game writeups are
listed in the following order: Score of game, first downs, rushing attempts/rushing yards,
passes completed/passes attempted/passes intercepted/passing yards, and fumbles
lost. In each statistical category the leader is listed first. Scores and pointspreads (in
parentheses) are results of most recent meetings in series. P?Pick Game. SR?Series
Record (official league games only), with team leading in series, number of games won,
lost and tied. NL?No Line. OPR?Average Opponents? Power Rating (at the time they met)
of all TGS-rated teams played. TGS Key Releases are underlined and denoted with a star (H).
Some frequently-appearing abbreviations. HC?Head Coach (also, college Homecoming
Game, when listed in score line). ?O??Offense. ?D??Defense. DDs?Double
Digits. OL?Offensive Line or Lineman. DL?Defensive Line or Lineman. KR-Kick
Returner. o.c.?Offensive Coordinator. d.c.?Defensive Coordinator. YR?Yards Rushing.
YP?Yards Passing. recs.?Receptions. ints.?Interceptions. STs?Special Teams.
ypg?Yards per Game. ppg?Points per Game. ypc?Yards per Carry (or Catch, for
receivers). LY?Last Year. TY?This Year. Y?Year or Years. TDP?Touchdown
Passes. FA?Free Agent. SU?Straight Up. Games are listed in the Don Best rotation
used in the majority of Las Vegas sportsbooks.
All score predictions are made with Las Vegas pointspreads and over-under lines in
mind. Please note: All selections indicating a preference for the underdog do not
necessarily forecast the underdog as the straight-up winner of the game. A predicted
victory by the favorite of less than the pointspread on the game indicates the underdog is
the preferred side in the game.
NFL ANALYSIS BUSINESS AS USUAL AT THE NCAA
by Bruce Marshall, TGS EXTRA!!! Editor
Longtime TGS readers might be amused by the fact that we?ve finally found
some common ground with none other than one of our favorite editorial
targets... Bob Knight!
THE GOLD SHEET siding with Bob Knight, you say? Isn?t that the sporting
equivalent of the Swift Boat Veterans switching their presidential allegiance to
John Kerry?
Well, not quite. But on one subject, at least, TGS and Knight are on the
same page, as neither of us figures to be joining any Myles Brand Fan Clubs
anytime soon.
Perhaps we should digress for a moment. Myles Brand was the president at
Indiana University who decided to fire Knight as its basketball coach in
September of 2000. (Care to guess what ?The General? might think about Mr.
Brand?). That just happens to be the same Myles Brand who subsequently
moved up the road to Indianapolis to become president of the NCAA on January
1 of last year. Not that Brand?s move came as any surprise to Knight, who
predicted as much, sort of, in his book, Knight, written with Bob Hammel a few
years ago (?...Brand...using Indiana and eventually me as a stepping stone
to...what? The Ivy League??). And any of those who harbored misguided
hopes that Brand might finally bring some reform, reason, and sensibility to the
sanctimonious organization that oversees major college sports must be sadly
disappointed today.
After all, one of the first points Brand made after taking over the reins of the
NCAA was to emphasize that ?...in the end, it is all about the student-athlete.?
We wonder, then, how Brand is justifying that statement with the recent
ineligibility rulings of Southern Cal?s Mike Williams and Colorado?s
Jeremy Bloom, and whose interests were served by those actions? It
certainly wasn?t the athletes in question.
Williams? dilemma received a lot of national attention. Following the lead of
Ohio State?s Maurice Clarett, Williams, a cinch high first-round selection and
buoyed by a Clarett-inspired legal victory last winter, entered his name into last
April?s NFL Draft after his sophomore season with the Trojans. On the eve of
the draft, however, Clarett?s legal victory was overturned by a higher court that
sided with the NFL?s long-standing policy of barring the entry of players who
weren?t three years out of high school. After failed attempts to get that ruling
overturned, ineligibility for the draft, and subsequent failure to be included in the
NFL?s supplemental draft, Williams did everything he could to get reinstated at
SC, including enrolling in summer school and paying back all monies received
from his agent (originally paid to him, it must be said, when he was legally
eligible for the NFL Draft). But Brand and his new, more (continued on page 2)
FORECASTING FOOTBALL SINCE 1957 !!
KEY TO FOOTBALL ANALYSES
Home team in CAPS. *?indicates night game. Statistics after game writeups are
listed in the following order: Score of game, first downs, rushing attempts/rushing yards,
passes completed/passes attempted/passes intercepted/passing yards, and fumbles
lost. In each statistical category the leader is listed first. Scores and pointspreads (in
parentheses) are results of most recent meetings in series. P?Pick Game. SR?Series
Record (official league games only), with team leading in series, number of games won,
lost and tied. NL?No Line. OPR?Average Opponents? Power Rating (at the time they met)
of all TGS-rated teams played. TGS Key Releases are underlined and denoted with a star (H).
Some frequently-appearing abbreviations. HC?Head Coach (also, college Homecoming
Game, when listed in score line). ?O??Offense. ?D??Defense. DDs?Double
Digits. OL?Offensive Line or Lineman. DL?Defensive Line or Lineman. KR-Kick
Returner. o.c.?Offensive Coordinator. d.c.?Defensive Coordinator. YR?Yards Rushing.
YP?Yards Passing. recs.?Receptions. ints.?Interceptions. STs?Special Teams.
ypg?Yards per Game. ppg?Points per Game. ypc?Yards per Carry (or Catch, for
receivers). LY?Last Year. TY?This Year. Y?Year or Years. TDP?Touchdown
Passes. FA?Free Agent. SU?Straight Up. Games are listed in the Don Best rotation
used in the majority of Las Vegas sportsbooks.
All score predictions are made with Las Vegas pointspreads and over-under lines in
mind. Please note: All selections indicating a preference for the underdog do not
necessarily forecast the underdog as the straight-up winner of the game. A predicted
victory by the favorite of less than the pointspread on the game indicates the underdog is
the preferred side in the game.
NFL ANALYSIS BUSINESS AS USUAL AT THE NCAA
by Bruce Marshall, TGS EXTRA!!! Editor
Longtime TGS readers might be amused by the fact that we?ve finally found
some common ground with none other than one of our favorite editorial
targets... Bob Knight!
THE GOLD SHEET siding with Bob Knight, you say? Isn?t that the sporting
equivalent of the Swift Boat Veterans switching their presidential allegiance to
John Kerry?
Well, not quite. But on one subject, at least, TGS and Knight are on the
same page, as neither of us figures to be joining any Myles Brand Fan Clubs
anytime soon.
Perhaps we should digress for a moment. Myles Brand was the president at
Indiana University who decided to fire Knight as its basketball coach in
September of 2000. (Care to guess what ?The General? might think about Mr.
Brand?). That just happens to be the same Myles Brand who subsequently
moved up the road to Indianapolis to become president of the NCAA on January
1 of last year. Not that Brand?s move came as any surprise to Knight, who
predicted as much, sort of, in his book, Knight, written with Bob Hammel a few
years ago (?...Brand...using Indiana and eventually me as a stepping stone
to...what? The Ivy League??). And any of those who harbored misguided
hopes that Brand might finally bring some reform, reason, and sensibility to the
sanctimonious organization that oversees major college sports must be sadly
disappointed today.
After all, one of the first points Brand made after taking over the reins of the
NCAA was to emphasize that ?...in the end, it is all about the student-athlete.?
We wonder, then, how Brand is justifying that statement with the recent
ineligibility rulings of Southern Cal?s Mike Williams and Colorado?s
Jeremy Bloom, and whose interests were served by those actions? It
certainly wasn?t the athletes in question.
Williams? dilemma received a lot of national attention. Following the lead of
Ohio State?s Maurice Clarett, Williams, a cinch high first-round selection and
buoyed by a Clarett-inspired legal victory last winter, entered his name into last
April?s NFL Draft after his sophomore season with the Trojans. On the eve of
the draft, however, Clarett?s legal victory was overturned by a higher court that
sided with the NFL?s long-standing policy of barring the entry of players who
weren?t three years out of high school. After failed attempts to get that ruling
overturned, ineligibility for the draft, and subsequent failure to be included in the
NFL?s supplemental draft, Williams did everything he could to get reinstated at
SC, including enrolling in summer school and paying back all monies received
from his agent (originally paid to him, it must be said, when he was legally
eligible for the NFL Draft). But Brand and his new, more (continued on page 2)
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