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  • MLB Trends... Friday

    Major League Baseball Trends
    Friday, September 17

    National League:

    Montreal (9.5) at Philadelphia (-200), 7:05 ET
    Armas (R) vs. Milton (L)
    (Matchup)
    ARMAS is 7-2 against the money line when playing on Friday
    MILTON is 12-4 UNDER as a home favorite of -150 or more

    NY Mets (9) at Pittsburgh (-105), 7:05 ET
    Glavine (L) vs. Benschoten (R)
    (Matchup)
    GLAVINE is 3-11 against the money line in September games
    PITTSBURGH is 21-9 UNDER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better this season.

    Chicago Cubs (-190) at Cincinnati (8.5), 7:10 ET
    Zambrano (R) vs. Hudson (R)
    (Matchup)
    ZAMBRANO is 6-0 OVER in road games after giving up <=1 earned runs in his last 2 outings
    CINCINNATI is 17-10 against the money line in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better

    Atlanta (NL) at Florida (NL), 7:35 ET
    Byrd (R) vs. Kensing (R)
    (Matchup)
    NA
    NA

    Milwaukee ( at Houston (-200), 8:05 ET
    Sheets (R) vs. Oswalt (R)
    (Matchup)
    SHEETS is 10-2 UNDER vs. NL teams scoring 4.8 or more runs/game on the season
    OSWALT is 8-0 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season

    Arizona (9) at St. Louis (-290), 8:10 ET
    Webb (R) vs. Williams (R)
    (Matchup)
    ARIZONA is 12-4 UNDER (+7.4 Units) in road games against NL Central opponents
    WILLIAMS is 30-8 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more

    LA Dodgers (-120) at Colorado (13.5), 9:05 ET
    Nomo (R) vs. Wright (R)
    (Matchup)
    NOMO is 9-0 OVER when the total is 11 or higher
    WRIGHT is 11-3 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game

    San Diego (8.5) at San Francisco (-110), 10:15 ET
    Peavy (R) vs. Lowry (L)
    (Matchup)
    PEAVY is 0-7 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 5.3 or more runs/game
    LOWRY is 7-1 against the money line in the second half of the season




    American League:

    Boston (10) at NY Yankees (-145), 7:05 ET
    Arroyo (R) vs. Hernandez (R)
    (Matchup)
    ARROYO is 6-0 OVER after giving up no earned runs last outing
    HERNANDEZ is 7-0 against the money line vs. division opponents this season

    Tampa Bay (10) at Toronto (-150), 7:05 ET
    Waechter (R) vs. Towers (R)
    (Matchup)
    TAMPA BAY is 21-9 OVER in road games vs. a poor bullpen whose WHIP is 1.550 or worse
    TOWERS is 7-0 UNDER when working on 7 or more days rest

    Kansas City (9) at Cleveland (-230), 7:05 ET
    Wood (R) vs. Westbrook (R)
    (Matchup)
    KANSAS CITY is 30-13 UNDER in road games after scoring 1 run or less
    CLEVELAND is 9-2 against the money line in home games when playing on Friday this season

    Detroit (10) at Chicago White Sox (-115), 8:05 ET
    Robertson (L) vs. Grilli (R)
    (Matchup)
    ROBERTSON is 8-2 OVER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season
    ROBERTSON is 8-2 OVER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season

    Baltimore (10) at Minnesota (-140), 8:10 ET
    Ponson (R) vs. Mulholland (L)
    (Matchup)
    PONSON is 1-8 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season
    MULHOLLAND is 18-6 UNDER when the total is 10 or higher

    Oakland (-200) at Seattle (8.5), 10:05 ET
    Zito (L) vs. Meche (R)
    (Matchup)
    ZITO is 26-4 against the money line as a favorite of -175 to -250
    MECHE is 3-11 against the money line when pitching in night games this season

    Texas (9.5) at Anaheim (-180), 10:05 ET
    Park (R) vs. Colon (R)
    (Matchup)
    TEXAS is 4-15 against the money line in road games vs. a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better
    COLON is 7-0 against the money line as a favorite of -175 to -250 this season


    **Denotes Time Change

  • #2
    Friday's games
    Hot Pitchers
    -- Zambrano is 2-0, 1.80 in his last two starts. Hudson is 3-0, 1.61 his last three starts, and has not allowed run in his last thirteen innings on mound.
    -- Byrd is 3-1, 1.55 his last four starts. Atlants won his last four road starts.
    -- Sheets is 2-1, 1.17 his last three starts, but Brewers lost five of his last six road starts. Astros scored 85 runs in Oswalt's last 11 starts; they won five of his last seven starts at Minute Maid.
    -- Cardinals scored 26 runs in winning Williams' last four starts; he is 1-0, 3.32 in his last three.
    -- Giants are 5-0 at home with Lowry; they scored 57 runs in his last eight starts. Peavy is 2-0, 1.04 in his four '04 starts against the Giants.Padres won five of his last six road starts.
    -- Boston scored 43 runs to win last five Arroyo starts; he has 7.00 RA in three '04 starts vs Bronx. Bronx won all six Hernandez home starts; he is 6-0, 2.53 in his last eight starts overall.
    -- Westbrook has 1.17 RA in his last three starts, but is 1-2 in those starts, winning 22-0, losing 2-1, 1-0.
    -- Orioles scored 63 runs in winning eight of Ponson's last eleven starts.
    -- Meche has 2.25 RA in his last two starts. Mariners are 3-1 in his last four home starts.
    -- Colon is 2-0, 1.29 his last two starts, and 4-0, 2.25 against the Rangers this season.

    Cold Pitchers
    -- Armas is 1-3, 6.80 his last eleven starts. Phillies lost last three Milton home starts (0-1, 4.82)
    -- Mets are 3-11 in last fourteen Glavine starts; in his last three starts, he is 0-3, 7.41. Van Benschoren is 1-2 5.19 in his four '04 starts.
    -- Webb is 0-2, 5.23 his last two starts. Arizona is 1-9 in his last ten road starts.
    -- Nomo is 1-11, 8.16 his last thirteen starts, but is 2-0, 4.50 vs Rockies this year. Wright is 2-4, 4,53 in his last nine starts.
    -- Waechter is 2-7, 7.49 in his last ten starts. Towers is 0-2, 8.31 in his last two starts.
    -- Wood is 0-2, 9.22 in his last five starts.
    -- Robertson is 0-2, 9.90 in his last two starts. Grilli has 7.48 RA in four starts; Sox scored 28 runs for him.
    -- Mulholland has 7.17 RA in his last four starts.
    -- Zito has 8.18 RA in two starts vs Seattle this year; A's are 2-8 in his last ten road starts.
    -- Park is 0-2, 10.02 vs Anaheim this year; his RA in his last two starts is 10.64.


    Hot Teams
    -- Phillies won ten of their last thirteen games.
    -- Pirates are 26-12 in their last 38 home games.
    -- Cubs scored 28 runs in winning last four games.
    -- Braves won seventeen of last twenty-five games, 27 of its last 37 on foreign soil. Florida won fifteen of its last nineteen games.
    -- Astros are 18-5 in their last twenty-three games, and won their last nine home games in a row.
    -- Cardinals won eighteen of their last twenty-two home games, including eleven of last thirteen. Arizona won its last three games in a row.
    -- Giants won nine of their last eleven games, tne of last fourteen at home and last six home series openers.
    -- Red Sox are 12-3 in their last 15 road games, and are 30-8 in their last thirty-eight games overall. Bronx won their last five home games.
    -- Detroit won first game in four of their last five series on the road.
    -- Orioles are 7-2 in their last nine road games. Twins allowed fifteen runs in winning last nine games overall.
    -- A's won eleven of their last fourteen road games.
    -- Rangers scored 59 runs in winning five of last seven games, but are 5-12 in last seventeen road games.

    Cold Teams
    -- Expos are 7-12 in their last nineteen games.
    -- Mets lost sixteen of last 21 and and 21 of last 25; they are 1-6 in last seven road games.
    -- Reds are 10-19 in their last 29 home games.
    -- Brewers are 5-15 in their last twenty road games.
    -- Dodgers lost four of their last five road games.
    -- Padres are 7-10 in their last seventeen games.
    -- Tampa Bay is 7-26 in its last thirty-three road games.
    Toronto is 5-10 in its last fifteen home games.
    -- Royals lost seven of last ten road games.
    -- White Sox were outscored 37-4 in losing last 4 tilts, but they are 5-2 in their last seven home games.
    -- Seattle lost eleven of its last fifteen games and is 8-14 in its last twenty-two home games.

    Totals
    -- Last eight Phillies' home games stayed under the total
    -- Under is 10-4 last fourteen Met games, 4-1 in last five Pirate home games.
    -- Under is 5-1 last six Zambrano road starts.
    -- Over is 10-2 last twelve Oswalt starts, 8-2 in last ten Houston home games.
    -- Under is 4-1 last five Webb starts, 10-4 last fourteen Arizona road games.
    -- Last four Coors Field games went over total.
    -- Over is 7-1 last eight Lowry starts, 25-7 in last 32 at PacBell Park.
    -- Over is 9-5 last fourteen Boston road games, 5-12 in last seventeen Bronx home games.
    -- Over is 3-0 in last three starts for both Waechter and Towers.
    -- Under is 5-1 in last six Westbrook starts and 6-2 in last eight Wood outings.
    -- Over is 4-1-1 last six Robertson starts, 9-4 in last 13 White Sox home games.
    -- Under is 5-1-1 last seven Mulholland starts, 11-5 in last sixteen Ponson starts.
    -- Over is 13-7 in last twenty Oakland games.
    -- Over is 5-1 in last six Texas Ranger road games.

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