Announcement

**crswir** · 09-17-2004, 04:24 PM

NCAA TRENDS

College Football Trends
Friday, September 17th

Connecticut (47.5) at Boston College (-7.5), 8:00 ET
(Matchup)
CONNECTICUT is 10-2 ATS in road games over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON COLLEGE is 9-1 OVER as a favorite

**Denotes Time Change

College Football Trends
Saturday, September 18th

San Diego State at Michigan (-20), 12:00 ET
(Matchup)
SAN DIEGO ST is 5-14 ATS after gaining 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game
MICHIGAN 7-1 ATS at home

**W. Michigan at Illinois (-8), 2:00 ET
(Matchup)
W MICHIGAN is 5-1 ATS in road games after a loss by 21 or more points
ILLINOIS is 5-14 ATS off a home loss by 14 or more points

**Kent State at Rutgers (-12), 7:00 ET
(Matchup)
KENT ST is 1-7 ATS after game allowing 40% or worse completion pct.
RUTGERS is 17-6 ATS in all games over the last 3 seasons

Central Florida at Penn State (-22.5), 12:00 ET
(Matchup)
C FLORIDA is 1-6 ATS after a loss by 17 or more points over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST is 9-2 ATS when they score 28 or more points

Duke at Virginia Tech (-27.5), 12:00 ET
(Matchup)
DUKE is 1-6 ATS in road games after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games
VIRGINIA TECH is 7-0 ATS in September games

Maryland (48) at W. Virginia (-6), 12:00 ET
(Matchup)
MARYLAND is 7-0 UNDER after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored
W VIRGINIA is 7-0 ATS after scoring 42 points or more in 2 straight games

**Indiana at Kentucky (-1), 7:00 ET
(Matchup)
INDIANA 5-16 ATS as road dogs
KENTUCKY 6-3 ATA vs Indiana

Vanderbilt (43.5) at Mississippi (-7), 12:30 ET
(Matchup)
VANDERBILT is 1-6 ATS in road games after playing a game at home
MISSISSIPPI is 12-3 UNDER against conference opponents

**Marshall (44.5) at Georgia (-18.5), 12:30 ET
(Matchup)
MARSHALL is 0-8 ATS after playing 2 straight non-conference games
GEORGIA is 27-13 ATS in non-conference games

**LA Tech at Miami Florida (-31), 1:00 ET
(Matchup)
LOUISIANA TECH is 0-8 ATS after gaining 6 or more rushing yards/attempt last game
MIAMI is 2-10 ATS in home games as a favorite

Cincinnati (-3) at Syracuse (51.5), 12:00 ET
(Matchup)
CINCINNATI is 7-0 ATS in road games against Big East conference opponents
SYRACUSE is 12-1 UNDER after a cover as a double digit favorite

**Kansas at Northwester (-2.5), 2:00 ET
(Matchup)
KANSAS is 7-1 ATS in September games
NORTHWESTERN is 1-5 ATS in home games off 1 or more consecutive unders

Ball State at Missouri (-24.5), 2:00 ET
(Matchup)
BALL ST is 4-12 ATS after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored
MISSOURI is 7-0 ATS in home games off an upset loss as a favorite

N. Illinois at Iowa State (-2.5), 12:30 ET
(Matchup)
N ILLINOIS is 8-1 ATS after playing a game as an underdog
IOWA ST is 1-7 ATS off a road loss

Ohio U. at Miami Ohio (-19), 2:00ET
(Matchup)
OHIO U is 1-7 ATS after playing a non-conference game
MIAMI OHIO is 13-4 ATS after a 2 game road trip

Akron at Virginia (-31.5), 3:00 ET
(Matchup)
AKRON is 3-10 ATS in the first half of the season
VIRGINIA is 8-0 ATS in home games after playing a conference game

Ohio State (46) at NC State (-1), 3:30 ET
(Matchup)
OHIO ST is 1-8 ATS in road lined games
NC STATE is 7-1 ATS in non-conference games

LSU (-1) at Auburn (41), 3:30 ET
(Matchup)
LSU is 9-1 ATS off a home win by 17 points or more
AUBURN is 2-8 ATS in home games off a double digit road win

Oregon at Oklahoma (-28.5), 3:30 ET
(Matchup)
OREGON is 18-7 ATS after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game
OKLAHOMA is 2-13 ATS after outrushing opponent by 200 or more yards last game

Wisconsin (-11) at Arizona (41), 4:00 ET
(Matchup)
WISCONSIN is 21-8 ATS in road games in the first half of the season
ARIZONA is 7-20 ATS in home games after playing a game at home

New Mexico at Oregon State (-12), 4:00 ET
(Matchup)
NEW MEXICO is 1-6 ATS in road games in non-conference games
OREGON ST is 14-3 ATS after gaining 325 or more passing yards in last game

Toledo (-10) at E.Michigan , 6:00 ET
(Matchup)
TOLEDO is 13-3 ATS against conference opponents
E MICHIGAN is 3-10 ATS after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt last game

Georgia Tech (-8) at N. Carolina , 6:00 ET
(Matchup)
GEORGIA TECH is 7-0 ATS off an upset win as a road underdog
N CAROLINA is 2-8 ATS as a home underdog

UAB at Florida State (-23.5), 6:30 ET
(Matchup)
UAB is 8-2 ATS in road games off a home win
FLORIDA ST is 12-4 ATS as a home favorite of 21.5 to 28 points

Notre Dame (-3) at Michigan State (42), 7:00 ET
(Matchup)
NOTRE DAME is 5-15 ATS in road games in September
MICHIGAN ST is 5-1 ATS after a game where they committed no turnovers

Clemson (-1.5) at Texas A&M (54), 7:00 ET
(Matchup)
CLEMSON is 8-2 ATS after playing 2 straight games as a home favorite
TEXAS A&M is 2-12 ATS after playing a game at home

**TCU (62) at Texas Tech (-6), 12:30 ET
(Matchup)
TCU is 1-5 ATS in road games after a win by 28 or more points
TEXAS TECH is 8-1 ATS in home games off an upset loss as a favorite

Lousiville (N/A) at Tulane (-36), 7:00 ET ** Postoned
(Matchup)
NA
NA

South Florida at S. Carolina (-14), 7:00 ET
(Matchup)
S FLORIDA is 5-1 ATS in September games
S CAROLINA is 4-12 ATS after playing a game as an underdog

Navy at Tulsa (-1), 7:00 ET
(Matchup)
NAVY is 19-4 ATS off a home win
TULSA is 1-11 ATS after 2 straight losses by 17 or more points

SMU at Oklahoma State (-34), 7:00 ET
(Matchup)
SMU is 3-10 ATS in road games
OKLAHOMA ST is 6-0 ATS in home games after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers

UCLA (P) at Washington (50), 7:00 ET
(Matchup)
UCLA is 2-10 ATS in road games after gaining 475 or more total yards in their previous game
WASHINGTON is 8-1 OVER after a game where they committed 5 or more turnovers

Florida (45) at Tennessee (-3), 8:00 ET
(Matchup)
FLORIDA is 8-2 OVER in road games after a win by 35 or more points
Texas A&M - 1-8 ATS in non-conference games

Hawaii (-2) at Rice (60), 8:00 ET
(Matchup)
HAWAII is 3-12 ATS in road games after a bye week
RICE is 8-2 ATS in home games when the line is +3 to -3

Army at Houston (-16), 8:00 ET
(Matchup)
ARMY is 3-10 ATS after a loss by 21 or more points
HOUSTON is 5-1 ATS in home games after allowing 575 or more total yards

**Nebraska (-4) at Pittsburgh (41), 12:00 ET
(Matchup)
NEBRASKA is 12-3 OVER in road games after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers
PITTSBURGH is 13-4 ATS in home games after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game

Buffalo at Nevada (-15.5), 9:00 ET
(Matchup)
BUFFALO is 5-1 ATS in road games after a loss by 17 or more points
NEVADA is 10-22 ATS after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored

Boise State (-29) at UTEP , 9:05 ET
(Matchup)
BOISE ST is 10-3 ATS after 2 straight wins by 17 or more points
UTEP is 1-6 ATS in the first month of the season

Minnesota (-3.5) at Colorado State , 10:00 ET
(Matchup)
MINNESOTA is 3-10 ATS after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better
COLORADO ST is 10-2 ATS as a home underdog

USC (-26.5) at BYU , 10:00 ET
(Matchup)
USC is 9-0 ATS after a game where they forced 4 or more turnovers
BYU is 1-7 ATS in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest

Air Force (46) at UNLV (-5.5), 10:00 ET
(Matchup)
AIR FORCE is 19-7 ATS in road games after playing a non-conference game
UNLV is 1-6 ATS in home games against conference opponents

Iowa (47.5) at Arizona State (-1), 10:00 ET
(Matchup)
IOWA is 20-8 ATS in all lined games
ARIZONA ST is 1-7 ATS after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers

Added Games:

LA Lafayette at Kansas State (-31), 2:10 ET
(Matchup)
LA LAFAYETTE is 1-7 ATS in road games after a loss by 6 or less points
KANSAS ST is 6-1 ATS after a loss by 17 or more points

Florida Atlantic at Midd Tenn State (-2.5), 3:00 ET
(Matchup)
FLORIDA ATLANTAIC - NA
MIDDLE TENN ST is 5-1 ATS after a game where they committed 4 or more turnovers

North Texas at Colorado (-20), 7:00 ET
(Matchup)
NORTH TEXAS is 0-10 ATS after a game where they committed no turnovers
COLORADO - NA

Washington State (-24.5) at Idaho, 7:00 ET
(Matchup)
WASHINGTON ST is 5-1 ATS in road games in September
IDAHO is 3-10 ATS in home games after playing a conference game

LA Monroe at Arkanas (-31), 7:00 ET
(Matchup)
LA MONROE is 3-10 ATS in road games after gaining 125 or less passing yards in last game
ARKANSAS is 5-1 ATS after a loss by 3 or less points

Memphis (-23) at Arkanas St , 7:00 ET
(Matchup)
MEMPHIS is 5-14 ATS after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins
ARKANSAS ST is 5-1 ATS after scoring 6 points or less

Utah (-19) at Utah St, 7:05 ET
(Matchup)
UTAH is 10-1 ATS in non-conference games
UTAH ST is 2-9 ATS after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers

Troy State (-10) at New Mexico St, 7:05 ET
(Matchup)
TROY ST - NA
NEW MEXICO ST is 3-10 ATS against conference opponents

**Denotes Time Change

**Spark** · 09-17-2004, 04:41 PM

Denver (1-0) @ Jacksonville (1-0)- Denver covered six of last seven as favorite in road opener; they scored 32 ppg in last four road openers. Teams met five times, twice in playoffs, with home side winning four; Denver lost previous only visit here, 27-24 five years ago. Broncos had excellent balance last week, with 202 yards on ground, 22 in air; they even scored 17 points in each half. Jags pulled out win last week, despite gaining just 225 yards and converting 2 of 13 on third down.

Pittsburgh (1-0) @ Baltimore (0-1)- Steelers won 17 of last 22 series games, covering last five, and are 6-1 SU in last seven visits to this site, but Pitt dropped last four road openers, getting outscored in last three by combined margin of 92-37. Ravens won three of last four home openers; they were minus-3 in turnovers last week and ran ball for just 88 yards. Steelers were outgained by 121 yards, but used four takeaways to edge Oakland. Four of last five series totals are 47+ .

Houston (0-1) @ Detroit (1-0)- Lions' first road win since '00 should fuel home crowd here, even with WR Rogers gone for year. Detroit covered six of its last eight home openers, three of four when favored. These teams have yet to face one another. Texans coughed ball up four times last week, and Chargers converted 9 of 15 on third down, converting two short TD drives in their upset win at Houston. Lions were just 2 for 14 on third down last week, but had bL**Ked FG for TD and had four takeaways.

Indianapolis (0-1) @ Tennessee (1-0)- Pillar injury forces rookie into Titan OL; both teams on extra rest; Indy swept series last year, after having lost six of previous seven in series. Titans won six of last seven home openers, with six of last nine going over total; they held Miami to 263 yards last week, 65 on ground. Colts gained 446 yards in Foxboro but had three empty red zone trips, two on James' fumbles, so they lost despite rushing for 202 yards and converting 8 of 13 on third down.

Chicago (0-1) @ Green Bay (1-0)- Packers won last seven games vs ancient rival, scoring 34 ppg in last four. Bears lost nine of last eleven visits to this site, losing last three, all by 10+ points. Last four series totals were all 50+ , but Bears scored just 16 points last week, as four turnovers undid 342 yards of offense. Pack was 10 for 16 on third down Monday. Bears scored just 9 ppg in last three road openers, but Packers are just 1-4 vs spread in last five Lambeau openers.

San Francisco (0-1) @ New Orleans (0-1)- Hurricane Ivan has Saints practicing in San Antonio this week; they were awful vs Seattle, outgained 281-415, converting 3 of 14 on third down, running ball for 74 yards. Both 49er QBs were banged up in Atlanta loss; Dorsey expected to start here. Niners outgained Falcons 359-227, held Birds to 1 for 11 on third down, but Rattay threw key goal line pick that allowed Atlanta to open 21-6 lead, then failed on game-tying 2-point play in final moments.

Rams (1-0) @ Atlanta (1-0)- Rams pounded Vick-less Falcons 36-0 in Monday nighter last year; would expect energetic effort from Atlanta squad. Mora knows Rams well from his days as 49er aide, and St Louis O was weak in red zone last week, scoring 17 points despite gaining 448 yards. Vick struggling with West Coast offense; he completed just one pass in second half last week; Falcon D had key goal line pick that proved to be difference vs 49ers. Rams won only Super Bowl title on this field five years ago.

Carolina (0-1) @ Kansas City (0-1)- Panthers only ran ball 13 times Monday night, converted 3 of 10 on third down, and were minus-2 in turnovers, as they looked like anything but NFC champs. Chiefs once again allowed 413 yards, 202 on ground, so expect Carolina to run Davis more and try to eat cL**K. Panthers won last three road openers, allowing 12 ppg (they even won the road opener the year they went 1-15!!!). Under is 7-0 in last seven Carolina road openers, 10-1-2 in last 13 Arrowhead openers.

Washington (1-0) @ NY Giants (0-1)- Giants on nine-game losing streak; they allowed 454 yards in Philly last week, as slowish LBs got exposed. Underdogs 9-1-1 vs spread in last eleven series games, with six of last nine totals 36 or less, including last four at this site. Redskins held Tampa to 169 yards, only 30 on ground. Coughlin covered six of last eight home openers with Jaguars. Giants allowed just 14.5 ppg in last four home openers.

Seattle (1-0) @ Tampa Bay (0-1)- Buccaneers lost last two home openers in OT; they ran ball for just 30 yards last week, and only TD came on fumble return, while Seahawks were smacking Saints all over Superdome, but Alexander tweaked knee late in game and is doubtful here. Tampa is last in NFL in total yards (169) and allowed four sacks, with 3 for 13 on third down. Nine of last twelve Tampa home openers stayed under the total. Seattle won their last two visits to this site.

Cleveland (1-0) @ Dallas (0-1)- Browns had Ravens pinned back in their own territory whole first half last week, but had only one first down on their first four possessions. Dallas gained 423 yards at Metrodome last week and converted 8 of 15 on third down, but two lost fumbles hurt them. Brownie offense does not come near Viking firepower. Would expect better balance from Dallas than last week's 21 rushes, 52 passes. Vinny passed for 352 and was sacked just once last week.

New England (1-0) @ Arizona (0-1)- Emotional game here, in first Cardinal home tilt since Pat Tillman passed away in spring (is it a coincidence that they're playing 'Patriots'?), but Arizona has covered just two of last 16 home openers, allowing 30.8 ppg in last five. Pats won last three series games, last two by combined score of 58-3; they covered five of their last seven before a bye. Arizona allowed 448 yards last week in St Louis, 176 on ground, and were rare NFL loser with plus-3 turnover ratio. Major trap for Belicheck.

Buffalo (0-1) @ Oakland (0-1)- First time Bills are on this field in 27 years. Raiders are 13-3 in last sixteen home openers, winning last six, and scoring 30.7 ppg in last three. Last four Buffalo road openers went over; they scored 36.3 ppg in last three. Bills held Jaguars to 225 yards last week, but 80 of them came on game's final drive, when 7-yard TD pass on game's final play ruined Mularkey's debut as coach. Raiders outgained Pitt 358-237, but four giveaways spelled doom.

NY Jets (1-0) @ San Diego (1-0)- Chargers were 9 for 15 on third down last week and plus-4 in turnovers; last time they played Jets, two years ago, Bolts lost 44-13 as 8-point fave, and haven't recovered. Jets averaged seven yards a play last week, converting 8 of 12 on third downa and gaining 219 yards, both on ground and in air. Brees was 17-24/202, so Chargers can move ball, but they've failed to cover last five tries as home opener underdog.

Miami (0-1) @ Cincinnati (0-1)- Dolphins are 12-1 last thirteen series games, winning last nine, including last five at this site; Fish also covered 13 of last 16 road openers and are 7-1 as dog in road openers. Bengals allowed four TDs on nine possessions last week, yielding seven yards a play, will be interesting to see how Miami does, as they ran for just 65 yards last week, and averaged four yards a pass attempt. High expectations for Bengals; they need to win this game.

Minnesota (1-0) @ Philadelphia (1-0)-- Two best teams in NFC? Could be, as Vikings averaged almost eight yds a play last week; they also covered last five tries as dog in road opener. Andy Reid is new King of Monday night, so this is tough call, for sure. Faves covered last four series games, but this is Vikings' first visit to Philly in dozen yrs. McNabb passed for 313 last week, but that was vs New York, while Vikings riddled Dallas, a better defense.

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