Tweet
WELL ANOTHER MEDIOCRE SATURDAY LAST WEEK IN THE NCAA BUT NOT ALOT OF DAMAGE DOWN ONLY A FEW UNITS FOR THE DAY. AS FOR THE NFL, NICE 4-2 WEEK TO START THE SEASON. I WILL ADMIT THAT WE GOT THREE BACKDOOR ****** BUT...YOU HAVE TO LOVE THOSE FINAL MINUTES WHEN YOUR GETTING THE POINTS AND THE OTHER TEAM GOES IN ITS "PREVENT DEFENSE." WE ACTUALLY HAD THREE BACKDOOR ****** IN THE FINAL 2 MINUTES IN EACH GAME...WHICH IM SURE WE WILL TAKE. AS ALWAYS I BET ON EVERY SELECTION THAT I POST AND I PLAY ALL GAMES AT $100/UNIT. I EXPECT YOU WILL ADJUST THE RATINGS ACCORDING TO HOW YOU BET. AS ALWAYS GOOD LUCK IF YOU DECIDE TO PLAY!
8* MY TOP PLAY...VERY RARE (23-8 ) LAST YEAR IN FOOTBALL (74%)
6-7* HIGH RATED SELECTION ONLY WHEN ALOT OF GAMES ON THE CARD TO CHOSE FROM (WELL OVER 60%)
5* EXCEPTIONAL PLAY USUALLY HIGHEST WHEN ONLY A FEW GAMES
4* VERY STRONG SELECTION
3* STRONG SELECTION
2* PROBABLE COVER (MOST COMMON RATING)
1* A GAME THAT SHOULD COVER
OPINION PLAY: GAME THAT I THINK MAY WIN BUT OFTEN JUST TO WATCH A GAME OR A LEAN USUALLY 1/2 A UNIT.
==============================================
SUMMARY OF NCAA PLAYS:
(5*) CLIENT PLAY
(3*) COMMING SOON CHECK BACK LATER
(3*) COMMING SOON CHECK BACK LATER
(2*) MISSOURI -24.5
(1*) MARSHALL +18.5
(1*) SOUTH CAROLINA -13.5
==============================================
BALL ST (0 - 2) at MISSOURI (1 - 1)
Week 3 Saturday, 9/18/2004 2:00 PM
vs 
129 BALL ST
130 MISSOURI -24.5
Analysis
The Missouri Tigers and quarterback Brad Smith will try to rebound from an unexpected setback when they take on the Ball State Cardinals thisSaturday in non-conference action from Faurot Field in Columbia. Ball State posted a near upset in its season opener, losing to Boston College by a score of 19-11 at home, but it was completely overmatched last week against Purdue. The Boilermakers handed the Cardinals a 59-7 setback in West Lafayette, as head coach Brady Hoke's squad was dominated from the opening the drive. As for the Tigers, they were upset last weekend by Troy State, 24-14. Missouri, which came into that contest ranked 19th in the nation, is the first Big 12 team to suffer a loss at the hands of Troy State in seven tries. The Tigers need a win this weekend to get back on track, as it will begin its tough Big 12 schedule starting October 2nd against Colorado in Columbia. Saturday's game will mark just the third all-time meeting between these two schools. The Tigers have won both of the previous matchups, including a 31-7 victory last season in Columbia.
Ball State's offense has obviously been inept to say the least, but its defense has been atrocious as well. The Cardinals are giving up 39 ppg and an average of 469.5 ypg, 218 of which are coming on the ground. Jason Sieman and Donta Smith still have the team's only two sacks of the year and David Gater is responsible for Ball State's lone interception, which he recorded against Boston College in the home opener. Last week was even uglier for Ball State as they couldn't get anything going on offense in its loss to Purdue, finishing with just 197 total yards. The Cardinals ran for only 71 yards and averaged a mere 1.9 ypc. Larry Bostic led the team with 76 yards on 19 carries (4.0 ypc), while Adell Givens added 27 yards off of eight attempts. Joey Lynch threw for 79 yards and a touchdown, completing 8-of-13 pass attempts. Casey Gillin also saw time under center for the Cardinals, tossing for 47 yards after completing all three of his pass attempts. Dante Ridgeway had a team-best four catches for 54 yards, while Bryan Williamson hauled in two passes for 21 yards and the squad's lone touchdown. Ball State is now averaging just 9.0 ppg and only 204 ypg in total offense. The team's inability to run the ball has been a major factor in its slow start, averaging only 67.5 ypg. Unfortunately, Bostic is expected to miss the remainder of the season after injuring his knee last week, while Gillin is on the shelf with a shoulder injury. On the other side of the ball, Purdue made the Cardinals' defense look almost non-existent last weekend, torching it for 599 total yards. The Boilermakers ran for 231 yards and passed for 368 more, while also compiling 34 first downs. Ball State failed to force Purdue into a single turnover and allowed it to convert 5-of-7 third-down conversions. Eric Keys had a team-best nine tackles in the defeat, six of which were solo stops. Wendell Brown had six tackles and the team's lone TFL, while Justin Beriault had eight stops and now leads the Cardinals this season with 22 tackles.
As for Missouri, Brad Smith had expected to compete for the Heisman Trophy this season, but after last week's debacle against Troy State that may be nothing more than a pipe dream now. Smith tossed for 224 yards and a touchdown on 25-of-46 passing, but was intercepted twice and a non-factor in the running game. Widely regarded as one of the best running quarterbacks in the nation, Smith was held to just 36 yards on the ground. Damien Nash led the team with 68 rushing yards and a touchdown, while also hauling in five passes for 22 yards. Thomson Omboga had a team-best six catches for 64 yards and Victor Sesay added five receptions for 34 yards and a score. Although the Tigers looked awful against Troy State, this is still one of the most potent offenses in the country, averaging 33 ppg and 421 ypg in total offense. Smith has already accounted for five of the team's eight TD's, passing for four of them and running for the other. Defensivly, Missouri allowed Troy State to score 24 points last week, but its play on defense was not the reason for the loss. In fact, the Tigers held the Trojans to just 293 total yards of offense and 14 first downs. The pass defense for Missouri was especially strong, holding Troy State to 121 passing yards and intercepting it three times. The Tigers also allowed it to convert only 2- of-12 third-down opportunities and posted four quarterback sacks. C.J. Mosley and Zach Ville had two quarterback takedowns apiece, while Shirdonya Mitchell, Marcus King and A.J. Kincade were responsible for the team's three interceptions. James Kinney finished with a team-best 10 tackles, while Mosley had seven stops, three TFLs and three quarterback hurries. Kinney now has a team-high 20 stops this year and Mosley already has 15 tackles, six TFLs, three sacks and six quarterback hurries under his belt.
Unfortunatly, for the Cardinals, they are in for another thrashing this weekend, as the Tigers will be ornery after last week's loss. Smith is way too talented for this struggling Ball State defense to contain and should dominate this game with both his arm and his legs. Missouri ripped Ball State 35-7 a year ago as a 15-point favorite. Ball State is 0-29 SU on the road against BCS teams since 1980 (In fact, the Testicles have NEVER beaten a BCS team anywhere - 0-2 at home) scoring a mere 11 points per game in those 31 losses Missouri is 21-2 to the number in its last 23 games where the opponent was held to less than 15 points. The Tigers were humiliated on national TV ten days ago and have been itching to get back on the field. Injury depleted Ball State doesn't have the defensive horses to stop Brad Smith and company here. Two years ago when they met on this field, Missouri won 41-6 as a 16-point favorite. Now they meet on this same field and the Tigers will feast again.
Forecast: Ball State 7 Missouri 49
PLAY 2* UNITS ON MISSOURI -24.5
MARSHALL (0 - 2) at GEORGIA (2 - 0)
Week 3 Saturday, 9/18/2004 1:00 PM
vs 
121 MARSHALL 47.5
122 GEORGIA -18.5
Analysis
For those of you who think the Georgia Bulldogs are going to win the National Championship, you better start nervously chomping your dog bones now. Of the top-tiered teams such as USC, Oklahoma, and Miami, Georgia has the toughest road to travel because of the brutal SEC. Last week, the Bulldogs went into South Carolina and almost got "neutered." Georgia barely escaped 20-16 SU. It wasn't that Georgia played terrible football, it is just very hard to go on the Road and bury teams in the SEC. Georgia gets no reprieve this week as they face a scary Marshall (0-2 SU, 1-1 ATS). Last week, Marshall almost stuck it to Ohio State atthe "Horseshoe." It took a last second 55-yard miracle to beat the Herd, 24-21 SU. Marshall abused Ohio State's aggressive defense with the short passing game. Marshall had no fear of the 100,000 Buckeye fans, and they will again have no fear of playing between the Hedges so home field is not much of an advantage here. Georgia (2-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) plays a similar type of defense ("Aggressive") with the same type of athlete. Marshall will likely run that short passing package to keep the pressure off their QB and take advantage of the attacking defense.
This is a HORRIBLE spot for Georgia. They are coming off an exhausting come from behind win against South Carolina and will face LSU next week. If there ever was a time for a classic "tweener," this is it. Defensively, the Thundering Herd has the talent needed to keep this game close especially if it’s on a wet track, which is anticipated. Last year, Marshall finished the season ranked No. 1 in the MAC allowing just 329.8 yards per game! The Herd returned eight of its top 10 tacklers and has played extremely well against Troy State and Ohio State–especially against the run. Georgia also lost their starting Freshmen RB, Danny Ware, for this game with a bruised lung. Also, keep in mind that in the past 10 years, Georgia is only 14-18-1 ATS in Home games where they are favored by more than 10 points. Get the cows ready and take the generous points.
Forecast: Georgia 34, Marshall 21
PLAY 1* UNIT ON MARSHALL +18.5
S FLORIDA (1 - 0) at S CAROLINA (1 - 1)
Week 3 Saturday, 9/18/2004 7:00 PM
vs 
161 S FLORIDA
162 S CAROLINA -13.5
Analysis
Last week, South Carolina really gave the maximum effort and almost stung Georgia. Unfortunately, South Carolina used up all of their six-play offense and got stopped on 4th and short. The Gamecocks (1-1 SU, 2-0 ATS) lost, 20-16 SU. However, South Carolina has absolutely nothing to be ashamed about in losing this one. The fans were out of this world loud and they had Georgia scared to death for 3 1/2 quarters. In the end, Georgia got the breaks and they didn't. South Carolina should have a little easier time against C-USA foe, South Florida (1-0 SU). South Florida opened their season with a pedestrian 21-7 SU, victory over Tennessee Tech. They have no idea what they are getting into in this one. The crowd will be loud and it looks like Holtz is on one of his crusades this year. South Florida has favored the run this season as they rushed for 185 yards against Tennessee Tech, while only throwing for 93. They also have QB concerns: South Florida QB Pat Julmiste (sprained right knee) did not practice Monday and is questionable for Saturday's game. Bulls coach Jim Leavitt said Julmiste's status was "a day-to-day deal." If Julmiste, who was 4 of 6 for 23 yards and scored on a 3-yard run before leaving in the second quarter against Tennessee Tech, can't play, senior QB Ronnie Banks (9 of 17 for 70 yards and one INT) would get in. South Carolina's improved defense has only allowed 190 total rushing yards this season. South Florida will find it much tougher to run on the Gamecocks in their own joint.
Well those who follow me know I have picked up two nice ATS wins on on this Cocks (this is not to say I prefer that over woman) but let me honest here they have elite defense and should hold South Florida's struggling offense to two scores...and I think thats being generous. South Florida looks vulnerable at linebacker and the powerful SC ground game should be able to move the ball at-will. The Bulls have only one game under their belts due to cancellations, while 'Cocks have showed well in their two SEC contests. Lay the number but reconsider when we know more about the possbile poor field conditions.
Forecast: So Carolina 24, South Florida 10
PLAY ONE UNIT ON SOUTH CAROLINA -13.5
OREGON (0 - 1) at OKLAHOMA (2 - 0)
Week 3 Saturday, 9/18/2004 3:30 PM
vs 
141 OREGON
142 OKLAHOMA -28.5
Analysis
ANALYSIS FORTHCOMING CHECK BACK LATER!
UCLA (1 - 1) at WASHINGTON (0 - 1)
Week 3 Saturday, 9/18/2004 7:00 PM
vs 
167 UCLA Pick
168 WASHINGTON 50
Analysis
ANALYSIS FORTHCOMING CHECK BACK LATER!
8* MY TOP PLAY...VERY RARE (23-8 ) LAST YEAR IN FOOTBALL (74%)
6-7* HIGH RATED SELECTION ONLY WHEN ALOT OF GAMES ON THE CARD TO CHOSE FROM (WELL OVER 60%)
5* EXCEPTIONAL PLAY USUALLY HIGHEST WHEN ONLY A FEW GAMES
4* VERY STRONG SELECTION
3* STRONG SELECTION
2* PROBABLE COVER (MOST COMMON RATING)
1* A GAME THAT SHOULD COVER
OPINION PLAY: GAME THAT I THINK MAY WIN BUT OFTEN JUST TO WATCH A GAME OR A LEAN USUALLY 1/2 A UNIT.
==============================================
SUMMARY OF NCAA PLAYS:
(5*) CLIENT PLAY
(3*) COMMING SOON CHECK BACK LATER
(3*) COMMING SOON CHECK BACK LATER
(2*) MISSOURI -24.5
(1*) MARSHALL +18.5
(1*) SOUTH CAROLINA -13.5
==============================================
BALL ST (0 - 2) at MISSOURI (1 - 1)
Week 3 Saturday, 9/18/2004 2:00 PM
vs 129 BALL ST
130 MISSOURI -24.5
Analysis
The Missouri Tigers and quarterback Brad Smith will try to rebound from an unexpected setback when they take on the Ball State Cardinals thisSaturday in non-conference action from Faurot Field in Columbia. Ball State posted a near upset in its season opener, losing to Boston College by a score of 19-11 at home, but it was completely overmatched last week against Purdue. The Boilermakers handed the Cardinals a 59-7 setback in West Lafayette, as head coach Brady Hoke's squad was dominated from the opening the drive. As for the Tigers, they were upset last weekend by Troy State, 24-14. Missouri, which came into that contest ranked 19th in the nation, is the first Big 12 team to suffer a loss at the hands of Troy State in seven tries. The Tigers need a win this weekend to get back on track, as it will begin its tough Big 12 schedule starting October 2nd against Colorado in Columbia. Saturday's game will mark just the third all-time meeting between these two schools. The Tigers have won both of the previous matchups, including a 31-7 victory last season in Columbia.
Ball State's offense has obviously been inept to say the least, but its defense has been atrocious as well. The Cardinals are giving up 39 ppg and an average of 469.5 ypg, 218 of which are coming on the ground. Jason Sieman and Donta Smith still have the team's only two sacks of the year and David Gater is responsible for Ball State's lone interception, which he recorded against Boston College in the home opener. Last week was even uglier for Ball State as they couldn't get anything going on offense in its loss to Purdue, finishing with just 197 total yards. The Cardinals ran for only 71 yards and averaged a mere 1.9 ypc. Larry Bostic led the team with 76 yards on 19 carries (4.0 ypc), while Adell Givens added 27 yards off of eight attempts. Joey Lynch threw for 79 yards and a touchdown, completing 8-of-13 pass attempts. Casey Gillin also saw time under center for the Cardinals, tossing for 47 yards after completing all three of his pass attempts. Dante Ridgeway had a team-best four catches for 54 yards, while Bryan Williamson hauled in two passes for 21 yards and the squad's lone touchdown. Ball State is now averaging just 9.0 ppg and only 204 ypg in total offense. The team's inability to run the ball has been a major factor in its slow start, averaging only 67.5 ypg. Unfortunately, Bostic is expected to miss the remainder of the season after injuring his knee last week, while Gillin is on the shelf with a shoulder injury. On the other side of the ball, Purdue made the Cardinals' defense look almost non-existent last weekend, torching it for 599 total yards. The Boilermakers ran for 231 yards and passed for 368 more, while also compiling 34 first downs. Ball State failed to force Purdue into a single turnover and allowed it to convert 5-of-7 third-down conversions. Eric Keys had a team-best nine tackles in the defeat, six of which were solo stops. Wendell Brown had six tackles and the team's lone TFL, while Justin Beriault had eight stops and now leads the Cardinals this season with 22 tackles.
As for Missouri, Brad Smith had expected to compete for the Heisman Trophy this season, but after last week's debacle against Troy State that may be nothing more than a pipe dream now. Smith tossed for 224 yards and a touchdown on 25-of-46 passing, but was intercepted twice and a non-factor in the running game. Widely regarded as one of the best running quarterbacks in the nation, Smith was held to just 36 yards on the ground. Damien Nash led the team with 68 rushing yards and a touchdown, while also hauling in five passes for 22 yards. Thomson Omboga had a team-best six catches for 64 yards and Victor Sesay added five receptions for 34 yards and a score. Although the Tigers looked awful against Troy State, this is still one of the most potent offenses in the country, averaging 33 ppg and 421 ypg in total offense. Smith has already accounted for five of the team's eight TD's, passing for four of them and running for the other. Defensivly, Missouri allowed Troy State to score 24 points last week, but its play on defense was not the reason for the loss. In fact, the Tigers held the Trojans to just 293 total yards of offense and 14 first downs. The pass defense for Missouri was especially strong, holding Troy State to 121 passing yards and intercepting it three times. The Tigers also allowed it to convert only 2- of-12 third-down opportunities and posted four quarterback sacks. C.J. Mosley and Zach Ville had two quarterback takedowns apiece, while Shirdonya Mitchell, Marcus King and A.J. Kincade were responsible for the team's three interceptions. James Kinney finished with a team-best 10 tackles, while Mosley had seven stops, three TFLs and three quarterback hurries. Kinney now has a team-high 20 stops this year and Mosley already has 15 tackles, six TFLs, three sacks and six quarterback hurries under his belt.
Unfortunatly, for the Cardinals, they are in for another thrashing this weekend, as the Tigers will be ornery after last week's loss. Smith is way too talented for this struggling Ball State defense to contain and should dominate this game with both his arm and his legs. Missouri ripped Ball State 35-7 a year ago as a 15-point favorite. Ball State is 0-29 SU on the road against BCS teams since 1980 (In fact, the Testicles have NEVER beaten a BCS team anywhere - 0-2 at home) scoring a mere 11 points per game in those 31 losses Missouri is 21-2 to the number in its last 23 games where the opponent was held to less than 15 points. The Tigers were humiliated on national TV ten days ago and have been itching to get back on the field. Injury depleted Ball State doesn't have the defensive horses to stop Brad Smith and company here. Two years ago when they met on this field, Missouri won 41-6 as a 16-point favorite. Now they meet on this same field and the Tigers will feast again.
Forecast: Ball State 7 Missouri 49
PLAY 2* UNITS ON MISSOURI -24.5
MARSHALL (0 - 2) at GEORGIA (2 - 0)
Week 3 Saturday, 9/18/2004 1:00 PM
vs 121 MARSHALL 47.5
122 GEORGIA -18.5
Analysis
For those of you who think the Georgia Bulldogs are going to win the National Championship, you better start nervously chomping your dog bones now. Of the top-tiered teams such as USC, Oklahoma, and Miami, Georgia has the toughest road to travel because of the brutal SEC. Last week, the Bulldogs went into South Carolina and almost got "neutered." Georgia barely escaped 20-16 SU. It wasn't that Georgia played terrible football, it is just very hard to go on the Road and bury teams in the SEC. Georgia gets no reprieve this week as they face a scary Marshall (0-2 SU, 1-1 ATS). Last week, Marshall almost stuck it to Ohio State atthe "Horseshoe." It took a last second 55-yard miracle to beat the Herd, 24-21 SU. Marshall abused Ohio State's aggressive defense with the short passing game. Marshall had no fear of the 100,000 Buckeye fans, and they will again have no fear of playing between the Hedges so home field is not much of an advantage here. Georgia (2-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) plays a similar type of defense ("Aggressive") with the same type of athlete. Marshall will likely run that short passing package to keep the pressure off their QB and take advantage of the attacking defense.
This is a HORRIBLE spot for Georgia. They are coming off an exhausting come from behind win against South Carolina and will face LSU next week. If there ever was a time for a classic "tweener," this is it. Defensively, the Thundering Herd has the talent needed to keep this game close especially if it’s on a wet track, which is anticipated. Last year, Marshall finished the season ranked No. 1 in the MAC allowing just 329.8 yards per game! The Herd returned eight of its top 10 tacklers and has played extremely well against Troy State and Ohio State–especially against the run. Georgia also lost their starting Freshmen RB, Danny Ware, for this game with a bruised lung. Also, keep in mind that in the past 10 years, Georgia is only 14-18-1 ATS in Home games where they are favored by more than 10 points. Get the cows ready and take the generous points.
Forecast: Georgia 34, Marshall 21
PLAY 1* UNIT ON MARSHALL +18.5
S FLORIDA (1 - 0) at S CAROLINA (1 - 1)
Week 3 Saturday, 9/18/2004 7:00 PM
vs 161 S FLORIDA
162 S CAROLINA -13.5
Analysis
Last week, South Carolina really gave the maximum effort and almost stung Georgia. Unfortunately, South Carolina used up all of their six-play offense and got stopped on 4th and short. The Gamecocks (1-1 SU, 2-0 ATS) lost, 20-16 SU. However, South Carolina has absolutely nothing to be ashamed about in losing this one. The fans were out of this world loud and they had Georgia scared to death for 3 1/2 quarters. In the end, Georgia got the breaks and they didn't. South Carolina should have a little easier time against C-USA foe, South Florida (1-0 SU). South Florida opened their season with a pedestrian 21-7 SU, victory over Tennessee Tech. They have no idea what they are getting into in this one. The crowd will be loud and it looks like Holtz is on one of his crusades this year. South Florida has favored the run this season as they rushed for 185 yards against Tennessee Tech, while only throwing for 93. They also have QB concerns: South Florida QB Pat Julmiste (sprained right knee) did not practice Monday and is questionable for Saturday's game. Bulls coach Jim Leavitt said Julmiste's status was "a day-to-day deal." If Julmiste, who was 4 of 6 for 23 yards and scored on a 3-yard run before leaving in the second quarter against Tennessee Tech, can't play, senior QB Ronnie Banks (9 of 17 for 70 yards and one INT) would get in. South Carolina's improved defense has only allowed 190 total rushing yards this season. South Florida will find it much tougher to run on the Gamecocks in their own joint.
Well those who follow me know I have picked up two nice ATS wins on on this Cocks (this is not to say I prefer that over woman) but let me honest here they have elite defense and should hold South Florida's struggling offense to two scores...and I think thats being generous. South Florida looks vulnerable at linebacker and the powerful SC ground game should be able to move the ball at-will. The Bulls have only one game under their belts due to cancellations, while 'Cocks have showed well in their two SEC contests. Lay the number but reconsider when we know more about the possbile poor field conditions.
Forecast: So Carolina 24, South Florida 10
PLAY ONE UNIT ON SOUTH CAROLINA -13.5
OREGON (0 - 1) at OKLAHOMA (2 - 0)
Week 3 Saturday, 9/18/2004 3:30 PM
vs 141 OREGON
142 OKLAHOMA -28.5
Analysis
ANALYSIS FORTHCOMING CHECK BACK LATER!
UCLA (1 - 1) at WASHINGTON (0 - 1)
Week 3 Saturday, 9/18/2004 7:00 PM
vs 167 UCLA Pick
168 WASHINGTON 50
Analysis
ANALYSIS FORTHCOMING CHECK BACK LATER!
Comment