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  • Wednesdays Trends

    Wednesday's games
    Hot Pitchers
    -- Perez is 4-2, 3.04 his last seven starts; Pittsburgh is 7-4 in his road starts.
    -- Pavano is 5-0, 2.72 his last five starts; Marlins won fifteen of his last nineteen starts.
    -- Thomson is 2-0, 2.53 his last five starts and is 2-0, 3.15 vs Mets this year.
    -- Tonko is 3-0, 1.00 in his last four starts. Giants won eight of his last twelve road outings.
    -- Morris is 6-0, 1.76 his last six home starts. Houston scored 33 runs in winning 4 of last 5 Hernandez starts.
    -- Johnson is 2-3, 1.99 his last six starts and 0-2, 3.00 vs Colorado this year; Arizona is 10-2 if they give him 4+ runs, but they're 44-101 overall this season.
    -- White Sox scored 24 runs in winning last three starts by Buehrle (3-0, 4.91); he is 3-1, 2.87 vs Minnesota this year. Sox are 8-5 his last thirteen road starts. Silva is 1-0, 2.31 his last four starts, but is 0-3, 8.87 in four against the Pale Hose this season.
    -- Lackey is 1-0, 2.03 his last two starts; Angels scored 33 runs in winning four of his last five starts.

    Cold Pitchers
    -- Myers is 1-2, 7.24 his last six starts. Claussen is 1-5, 7.81 his last nine starts; Reds are 0-8 if they give him less than six runs.
    -- Cubs are just 3-4 in Wood's home starts.
    -- Patterson is 0-3, 11.57 his last three starts.
    -- Mets lost last four Leiter starts (0-2, 7.48), but he is 1-0, 0.87 in two '04 starts vs Atlanta.
    -- Obermueller is 1-5, 7.27 his last nine starts, but the Brewers won four of his last five home starts.
    -- Estes is 1-2, 7.45 his last five starts.
    -- Alvarez is 0-2, 43.87 (yes, 43.87) his last two starts, but he did beat San Diego on July 24. Padres are 1-4 in last five Lawrence road starts.
    -- Vazquez is 0-2, 9.99 his lat five starts, with Bronx getting outscored 49-19 in those games; they're 3-5 his last eight road starts. May is 0-5, 11.10 his last 5 starts.
    -- Riley is 0-4, 9.88 in his last seven starts. Road team is 7-2 in his starts this season. Toronto is 3-10 in Lilly's last 13 starts (1-2, 7.85 in his last three)
    -- Brazelton is 0-3, 12.15 in his last three starts. Devil Rays lost his last six road starts. Wakefield has 12.37 RA his last two starts, but is 2-0, 2.57 vs Rays in '04.
    -- Maroth is 0-4, 5.19 his last four starts, but against Cleveland this year, hes 2-0, 3.14. Elarton is 1-2, 5.17 in his last five starts.
    -- Seattle is 3-11 in last fourteen Franklin starts (in his last six starts- 1-5, 7.68).
    -- Drese is 1-2, 6.65 in his last four starts. Mulder has 5.68 RA his last three starts and 5.54 vs Texas in '04.


    Hot Teams
    -- Phillies won six of last eight games, and nine of 12, but lost first two games of series vs Reds.
    -- Florida won fourteen of its last sixteen games.
    -- Braves won sixteen of last twenty-three games, 26 of its last 35 on foreign soil.
    -- Giants won seven of their last nine games.
    -- Cardinals won seventeen of their last twenty home games, including ten of last eleven. Astros are 17-4 in their last twenty-one games.
    -- Rockies won eight of their last thirteen games, and are 5-2 in their last seven on foreign soil.
    -- Dodgers won six of their last eight games, and are
    8-3 in their last eleven home games.
    -- Bronx is 9-4 in its last thirteen road games, 8-2 in last ten games overall.
    -- Orioles are 6-1 in their last seven road games.
    -- Red Sox are 16-4 in their last twenty home games.
    -- Twins allowed thirteen runs in winning last 7 games. White Sox are 7-4 in their last eleven games.
    -- Rangers scored 45 runs in winning four of last five games, but are 4-11 in last fifteen road games. A's won three of their last four games.
    -- Angels won fourteen of their last 19 road games.

    Cold Teams
    -- Reds are 10-17 in their last 27 home games.
    -- Expos are 5-11 in last sixteen games.
    -- Pirates lost eighteen of their last twenty-five games, eleven of last thirteen on the road.
    -- Mets lost fifteen of last 19 and and 20 of last 23.
    -- Brewers are 5-11 in their last sixteen home games.
    -- Arizona lost twelve of last fifteen games, 35 of last 45 at home; they're 2-16 in games following their last 18 wins. .
    -- Padres are 5-10 in their last fifteen games.
    -- Royals lost eighteen of last 27 games, nine of last 13 at home.
    -- Toronto is 4-9 in its last thirteen home games.
    -- Tampa Bay is 7-24 in its last thirty-one road games.
    -- Tigers are 2-6 in their last eight games, 3-6 in their last nine on the road.
    -- Seattle lost ten of its last thirteen games and is 7-13 in its last twenty home games.

    Totals
    -- Phillies scored 39 runs in Myers' last six starts.
    -- Under is 8-1 in last nine Perez starts.
    -- Under is 12-5 last 17 Pavano starts, 3-0-1 in last 4 starts by Patterson.
    -- Under is 8-2 in last ten Thomson starts.
    -- Under is 3-1 in last four Tomko starts.
    -- Over is 4-2 last six Hernandez starts, 6-2 in last eight Morris outings.
    -- Under is 11-1 in last twelve Big Unit starts, with his last seven all staying under.
    -- Over is 7-3 last ten Alvarez starts.
    -- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Vazquez starts.
    -- Over is 7-1 last eight Riley starts, 3-1-1 in last five by Lilly.
    -- Over is 4-1 in last five Brazelton road starts.
    -- Under is 10-2 last twelve Maroth starts, 7-2 in last nine Elarton outings.
    -- Silva's last four starts all stayed under the total.
    -- Over is 6-2 last eight Lackey starts, 3-1 in last four by Franklin.
    -- Over is 4-0 last four Drese starts, 6-2 in last eight starts by Mulder.

    Umpires
    -- Over is 5-2-1 last eight Darling games, with dog 3-2 in his last five. (Phil-Cin)
    -- Over is 8-1 last nine Schrieber games, with the dog 7-5 in his last dozen games behind the dish. (Pitt-Cubs)
    -- Last four Winters games went over total, with faves winning five of his last six games. (Mtl-Fla)
    -- Under is 9-3 last dozen Onora games, with favorite 11-2 in his last thirteen games. (Atl-NYM)
    -- Underdog is 5-4 last nine Rapuano games; six of his last eight pitch counts were under 300 (SF-Mil)
    -- Last six Randazzo games stayed under total, with the favorite 9-2 in his last eleven (Hst-StL)
    -- Over is 10-4 last fourteen Guccione games, with the favorite 7-2 in his last nine (Col-Ariz)
    -- Last three Vanover games stayed under, with faves 9-2 in his last eleven games. (SD-LA)
    -- Over is 3-1 last four Reliford games, with faves 6-2 in his last eight behind the plate (NYY-KC)
    -- Over is 8-1 in last nine Joyce games, with faves 9-3 in his last dozen contests (TB-Bos)
    -- Last four Cederstrom games went over, and home side won seven of his last eight behind plate (Det-Clev)
    -- Over is 12-3-1 last 16 Kelley games, with favorites 8-3 in his last eleven games (CWS-Min)
    -- Favorite is 10-1 in last eleven Nelson tilts (Tex-A's)
    -- Over is 10-3 last thirteen Gibson games, with dogs 4-4 in his last eight behind the plate (Ana-Sea)

  • #2
    Major League Baseball Trends
    Wednesday, September 15

    National League:

    Philadelphia (-150) at Cincinnati (10.5), 12:35 ET
    Myers (R) vs. Claussen (L)
    (Matchup)
    PHILADELPHIA is 2-9 against the money line in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.20 or worse
    CLAUSSEN is 5-1 UNDER in home games this season

    Pittsburgh (NL) at Chicago Cubs (-175), 2:20 ET
    Perez (L) vs. Prior (R)
    (Matchup)
    PITTSBURGH is 3-31 against the money line as a road underdog of +150
    PRIOR is 5-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 2.02

    Montreal ( at Florida (-300), 3:05 ET (Game 1)
    Patterson (R) vs. Pavano (R)
    (Matchup)
    MONTREAL is 84-53 UNDER in road games vs. a starting pitcher with good control
    PAVANO is 14-1 against the money line when pitching in day games this season

    Montreal (9.5) at Florida (-210), 6:05 ET (Game 2)
    Rauch (R) vs. Bump (R)
    (Matchup)
    MONTREAL is 26-12 OVER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season
    FLORIDA is 4-11 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season

    Atlanta (-150) at NY Mets (, 7:10 ET
    Thomson (R) vs. Leiter (L)
    (Matchup)
    THOMSON is 6-1 against the money line in road games when his team is off a loss this season
    LEITER is 12-4 UNDER when pitching in night games

    San Francisco (-175) at Milwaukee (9.5), 7:35 ET
    Tomko (R) vs. Obermueller (R)
    (Matchup)
    TOMKO is 7-0 against the money line as a favorite of -175 to -250
    OBERMUELLER is 6-0 OVER in home games as an underdog of +100 or higher

    Houston (9.5) at St. Louis (-175), 8:10 ET
    Hernandez (L) vs. Morris (R)
    (Matchup)
    HERNANDEZ is 1-8 against the money line in road games when pitching in night games
    MORRIS is 6-1 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record

    Colorado ( at Arizona (-160), 9:35 ET
    Estes (L) vs. Johnson (L)
    (Matchup)
    ESTES is 1-13 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game
    JOHNSON is 11-2 UNDER in the second half of the season

    San Diego (8.5) at LA Dodgers (-125), 10:05 ET
    Lawrence (R) vs. Alvarez (L)
    (Matchup)
    SAN DIEGO is 22-9 OVER in road games against division opponents
    ALVAREZ is 13-4 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher




    American League:

    NY Yankees (-260) at Kansas City (10.5), 2:10 ET
    Vazquez (R) vs. May (L)
    (Matchup)
    VAZQUEZ is 9-23 against the money line in road games as a favorite of -110 or higher
    MAY is 13-2 against the money line at home when the total is 10 or higher

    Baltimore (9) at Toronto (-140), 7:05 ET
    Riley (L) vs. Lilly (L)
    (Matchup)
    BALTIMORE is 16-5 against the money line in games played on artificial turf this season
    TORONTO is 10-0 UNDER off a loss by 6 runs or more to a division rival

    Tampa Bay (10.5) at Bsoton (-300), 7:05 ET
    Brazelton (R) vs. Wakefield (R)
    (Matchup)
    BRAZELTON is 2-10 against the money line vs. division opponents
    BOSTON is 23-7 OVER as a home favorite of -250 to -330

    Detroit (9.5) at Cleveland (-130), 7:05 ET
    Maroth (L) vs. Elarton (R)
    (Matchup)
    MAROTH is 0-6 against the money line in road games when playing on Wednesday
    CLEVELAND is 19-8 UNDER revenging a home loss vs opponent of 6 runs or more

    Chicago White Sox (9) at Minnesota (-115), 8:10 ET
    Buehrle (L) vs. Silva (R)
    (Matchup)
    CHI WHITE SOX are 6-0 OVER after a loss by 8 runs or more
    SILVA is 7-1 against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher

    Anaheim (-225) at Seattle (9), 10:05 ET
    Lackey (R) vs. Franklin (R)
    (Matchup)
    LACKEY is 10-0 against the money line as a favorite of -200 or more
    FRANKLIN is 14-4 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10

    Texas (8.5) at Oakland (-190), 10:05 ET
    Drese (R) vs. Mulder (L)
    (Matchup)
    TEXAS is 1-13 against the money line in road games off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher
    MULDER is 17-6 UNDER as a home favorite of -150 to -200


    **Denotes Time Change

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    • #3
      Bump
      Don't argue with an idiot; people watching may not be able to tell the difference.

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