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Friday's Service Plays & Request Thread
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RAS
This is an early release for this weekend, might be updated later today or saturday ...nonigoji
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Official RAS Plays:
UCLA at Illinois (Over 48.5) - 9:00am Pacific
The Bruins offense is in good shape. They rolled up 443 yards against a decent Oklahoma State defense despite having less than 24 minutes of possession and ending the game with a -4 turnover ratio. QB Olsen was only 16-of-36, but he just missed on several big play opportunities. Head coach Dorell even commented that Olsen may have been too conservative and they will ask him to look downfield more. WR Tab Perry, a big playmaker two years ago before being declared ineligible last season, only had one touch. I expect him to make a bigger impact in future games. The Bruins running game is strong with stud Manual White (145 yards on 20 carries) and Maurice Drew. Along with WR Bragg and TE Lewis, this unit has big potential. I look for them to improve from game one to game two under new offensive coordinator Tom Cable.
Defensively, UCLA could not stop the Oklahoma State running game if their life depended on it. OSU rushed for 426 yards and only attempted 8 passes. UCLA may get starting LB Justin London back for this game, but he is still less than 100%. I suspect the run defense will be slightly improved this week but the pass defense got no work at all last week and Illinois will present a much more balanced attack.
Illinois head coach Ron Turner is a former NFL offensive coordinator so his teams usually put up a good amount of points. Last year was a major disappointment as the team averaged just 16.9ppg. The four seasons prior they averaged over 30ppg. This year 9 offensive starters are back including top 3 rushers and top 4 receivers from last season. QB Jon Beutjer is also back for his senior season. Reports indicate that Beutjer has finally grasped the sometimes complicated Ron Turner offense. He went 16-for-18 in the season opener and 9 different receivers caught balls. Throwing to many different receivers is one of the staples of this offense. Big improvement should be expected from this unit, especially against a shaky at best UCLA defense.
After a disappointing season, Illinois fired well regarded defensive coordinator Mike Cassity. Cassity ended up at Louisville where his defense shutout Kentucky in first game. The Illinois defense gave up 33.2ppg last season and has 6 starters back. They have moved some players from offense to defense but there is still only one standout player, LB Matt Sinclair. In the season opener, the Florida A&M QB completed his first 8 pass attempts. This defense is going to be average at best. Many teams will have their hands full with the Bruins offense, and Illinois will be no different. I expect this to be at least in the 50's. Play the over.
Over 48.5 1 UNIT
Mississippi at Alabama (-11.5) - 5:00pm Pacific
Due to the Mike Price debacle, Alabama second year head coach Mike Schula did not even get a spring practice with his team. The Tide then went on to play one of the most difficult schedules in the country last year. It is no wonder they finished the season 4-9. Six of those nine losses came by one possession (8 points or less) including Oklahoma by 7, double OT vs Arkansas, and 5 OT vs Tennessee. The team returns much intact and should be much improved this year. A new strength and conditioning program has the team faster and stronger than ever. Mike Schula and his staff have now had a full offseason to work in their new systems. There is plenty of talent here. Junior Brodie Croyle is one of my favorite QB's in the country. He has a strong arm, great accuracy, makes good decisions, and has good mobility for his 6-3, 200 size. He completed a workmanlike 16-for-22 in opener vs Utah State. Bama has a fine stable of running backs with both senior Ray Hudson and sophomore Kenneth Darby each rushing for over 100 yards in the opener. The receivers are young but talented. Even with the tough schedule, and a midseason shoulder injury to Croyle, they still averaged 25.5ppg last season and should improve on that this year. The defense returns 8 starters and features one of the best LB units in the SEC. The defense lacks quality depth but that should not be too big of a factor this early in the season. Preseason all-american candidate LB DeMeco Ryans has been nursing an ankle injury but reportedly will be close to or at 100% for this game. The defense seemed very spirited in the opener considering the opponent. As a team Bama commited only 5 penalities, none in the first half.
The post Eli Manning era did not get off to a good start for Ole Miss. They were outgained 392-to-240 by Memphis in their season opener. New Ole Miss QB Michael Spurlock was an erratic 11-of-31 for 182 yards in his starting debut. The Rebels were just 3-of-15 on 3rd down conversions. Even more troubling for the Ole Miss offense was their lack of a running game. The Rebels rushed for just 58 yards on 33 attempts for the game, and just 2 yards on 13 attempts in the second half. Starting right tackle Bobby Harris (ankle) left the game in the 2nd quarter and has not practiced this week which makes a turnaround more unlikely. The Ole Miss defense is breaking in 8 new starters and attempting to replace 7 of their top 10 tacklers from a year ago. They are nowhere near good enough to be considered a strength. Ole Miss only lost 20-13, but the game would not have been as close if not for a first quarter goal line stand that stopped Memphis on downs at the 1. Memphis QB Danny Wimprine (21-of-43) also had an uncharacteristic poor showing missing several open receivers throughout the game.
This will be the second of three straight home night games for the Tide and it is hard to beat a night game atmosphere at Bryant-Denny stadium. Alabama did not have to show much of their packages in win over Utah State, while Ole Miss was all out in their loss to Memphis. Advantage Bama. The Tide will be looking to avenge last years 43-28 loss in Oxford that was aided by a -3 turnover ratio. They will also be motivated to face David Cutcliffe who is now known to be a secret witness against Alabama in recent NCAA investigations. Needless to say, no one in the Bama program was too happy to hear about that. Alabama has outscored Ole Miss 165-41 in last 5 meetings in Tuscalossa, including 87-14 in last two. Give the points.
Alabama 1 UNIT
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Big Al/Brian Gabrielle for Friday
Here is Big Gay Al (and I think he also has some Conference Game of the Month and a Non-Conference GOY going but the following 3 selections are all that I could dig up for now):
GameDate: Saturday, September 11, 2004 3:30 PM
Matchup: Michigan Wolverines @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Grade: Premium Play
Selection: Play is Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Line Type: Point Spread
Line Source: Pinnacle Sportsbook
Line: -13.0 / -101
Reason:
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on Notre Dame over Michigan, as the
Fighting Irish have revenge from a 38-0 loss at Michigan last year. But
that was just the 3rd time that the favorite has covered in this series
since 1980. These 2 rivals have played 18 games and the underdog is
15-3 ATS. Also, College teams playing with revenge from a shutout loss
are 138-96 ATS. Finally, Michigan has an incredible dichotomy in their
first road game of the season. Since 1980, the Wolves are 9-1 ATS when
they're not favored, but they're 1-13 ATS as a favorite, including 0-11
ATS when favored by less than 20 points. Notre Dame is 3-0 ATS as a dog
in their first home game of the year, and we'll play on the Irish to
rebound off their loss at Brigham Young. Good luck, as always...Al
McMordie. And be sure to get on board for my evening 3-game package, as
well as my Conference Game of the Month and my Non-Conference Game of
the Year. All these winners are available right now.
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Ref# 153258
GameDate: Saturday, September 11, 2004 1:00 PM
Matchup: Ball State Cardinals @ Purdue Boilermakers
Grade: Premium Play
Selection: Play is Purdue Boilermakers
Line Type: Point Spread
Line Source: Pinnacle Sportsbook
Line: -30.0 / -104
Reason:
At 1:00 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on Purdue over Ball State, as
the Boilermakers fall into a Shutout angle that is 29-6 ATS since 1984.
What we want to do is play on any home favorite of -2 to -33 points that
scored 40+ points in a home shutout win the previous game, provided
they're matched up against a foe off a loss. Last week, Joe Tiller's
crew routed Syracuse 51-0, while Ball State hung tough against Boston
College before falling 19-11. Look for another blowout on Saturday
afternoon.
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Ref# 153257
GameDate: Saturday, September 11, 2004 12:00 PM
Matchup: UCLA Bruins @ Illinois Fighting Illini
Grade: Premium Play
Selection: Play is Illinois Fighting Illini
Line Type: Point Spread
Line Source: Pinnacle Sportsbook
Line: 1.5 / -104
Reason:
At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Illinois Illini, who
have revenge from a 6-3 loss to the Bruins of UCLA last year. Last
year's loss started a 10-game losing streak for Illinois, but they
snapped that last week when they defeated Florida A&M. UCLA, meanwhile,
was beaten in the Rose Bowl by Oklahoma State, 31-20, as a 1-point
favorite. Now, UCLA has been installed as a small-road favorite at
Illinois, but Game 2 Road Favorites of 6 or less points, that won 8 or
less games the previous year, are 0-11 ATS if they're off a home loss
of 20 points or less, and weren't favored by more than 10 points in
that loss. Last year, Illinois outgained UCLA by 80 yards, but had 4
turnovers vs. 1 for UCLA. With 16 starters returning, Ron Turner's men
will be more composed on Saturday. Take Illinois.
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Also, Brian Gabrielle has regular "Premium Plays" on Oregon State and Florida State. If anyone has Alatex, Don Wagner/Swami, Executive or the ZPlay it would be really appreciated. bol
OBEOBE
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HOP ON Services
The Picks for Fri Sept 10th are
MLB
Astros Moneyline -175
Twins Moneyline -110
Rangers Moneyline -165
Indians-A's OVER 9 +100
White Sox-Angels OVER 9 1/2 -120
Good Luck and HOP ON!!! www.hopon.info
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M Lawrence 25-3 Friday Night College Football Super Pick Super Play - Friday 9/10/04
Play on Florida State Note: Seminoles are 90-6 SU all-time in ACC play, having NEVER been the underdog. In addition, under head coach Bobby Bowden his teams are 25-3 SU in season openers. Look for Bowden to avenge five consecutive losses in this series with the SU win tonight....
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Hop On
The Captain has said it, Spark has said it, I have said it and day after day, we are ignored. I will try Italian, maybe Hop On is not fond of the English Language......
Rimuova prego questo crap e mettalo nella TRIBUNA di SERVIZI di SPORT!
Let's see if that gets through! Let me know if you speak other languages, I will have it translated for you into the verbage of your choice!
OBEOBE
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Las Vegas Sportswire $50K Invitional Handicappin Contest
Each week, on Thursday, these handicappers give out their best bet for the weekend for this contest. Yesterday for some reason they gave out two picks each. I will post their picks each week. Here we go:
Tim Trushel - Buffalo -3 and Oak/Pitt Ov 41
Brent Crow - San Fran +3 and Tex Tech -3
Rob Veno - Houston -4 and FAU +7
Donnie Black - Marshall (+??) and Oak/Pitt Ov 41
Erin Rynning - USC -24 and Notre Dame +13
Fairway Jay - Detroit +3 and ISU +24
EC (Don't know name, he is new) Northwestern (-?) and Ark +11
Teddy ****** - Minnesota -4 and Okla State -21
Good luck
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MBRIAN GABRIELLE NCAAF FOR FRIDAY
Message: Gabrielle 2004-09-14
Reference Number: 154014
Game Date: Friday, September 10, 2004 10:00 PM
Matchup: Oregon St. Beavers vs Boise State Broncos
Grade: Premium Play
Selection: Play on Oregon St. Beavers
Line Type: Point Spread
Line Source: Pinnacle Sportsbook
Line: 7.5 / -102.0
Reference Number: 154015
Game Date: Friday, September 10, 2004 7:00 PM
Matchup: Florida State Seminoles vs Miami - FL Hurricanes
Grade: Premium Play
Selection: Play on Florida State Seminoles
Line Type: Point Spread
Line Source: Pinnacle Sportsbook
Line: 2.0 / -109.0Last edited by Spark; 09-10-2004, 12:23 PM.
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