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  • Thursdays Trends

    Thursday's games
    Hot Pitchers
    -- Pavano is 3-0, 2.95 his last three starts; Marlins are 10-2 in his road starts.
    -- Padres won last nine Peavy starts (6-0, 2.05); they scored 43 runs in his last five starts, and won his last 5 road starts. Cardinals are 15-3 in last 18 Suppan starts, winning last six in row, scoring 45 runs (4-0, 5.45).
    -- Perez is 3-0, 2.63 his last six starts. Arizona won last three Fossum starts, after being 2-15 in his first 17.
    -- Schmidt is 2-1, 2.45 his last three home starts, and is 3-0, 1.24 in four '04 starts vs Colorado. Kennedy has 2.40 RA his last three starts, but Rockies are 1-6 in his last seven road starts.
    -- Redman is 2-1, 1.23 his last four road starts; in two starts vs White Sox this year he is 0-1, 4.50. Sox won five of six Contreras starts, but he goes on 3 days' rest.
    -- Tampa Bay is 8-1 at home with Brazelton, winning his last five in row; he has 8.50 RA in his last four starts overall, and is 0-2, 5.56 vs Orioles this season.
    -- Boston scored 33 runs in winning last four starts by Lowe (3-0, 4.94); they won his last five home starts. Angels are 8-2 in last ten Colon starts.
    -- Radke is 2-0, 1.57 in his last three home starts.

    Cold Pitchers
    -- Seo is 0-2, 3.89 in his last six starts.
    -- Brewers lost last five Sheets starts (0-2, 5.82); he is 0-2, 4.50 in three '04 starts against the Pirates.
    -- Bedard is 0-3, 10.29 his last three starts; Orioles are 2-9 in his last eleven starts.
    -- Lee is 0-2, 9.60 his last three starts. Indians are 2-6 in his last eight starts. Lieber has 5.03 RA in his last five starts. Bronx is 7-2 in his home starts, though.
    -- Miller is 1-4, 7.43 in his last five starts. Toronto lost five of his seven SkyDome starts.
    -- Rogers has 7.02 RA in his last six starts.

    Hot Teams
    -- Marlins are 13-4 in their last seventeen games, 6-0 in last six, 9-2 in last eleven on foreign soil.
    -- Padres are 17-8 in their last 25 road games, but lost first two games of this series. Cards are 10-2 in last 12 games, 13-2 in last 15 at home.
    -- Dodgers are 21-9 in their last 30 road games.
    -- Giants are 7-3 in their last ten home games.
    -- A's won eight of last nine games and 13 of last 15.
    -- Red Sox won nine in row and thirteen of last 15 at home. Angels are 12-4 in last sixteen games, 10-2 in last twelve on foreign soil, but they allowed 22 runs in losing first two games of this series. .
    -- Seattle won five of its last six games, but they're 6-25 in their last 31 road games.
    -- Twins won seven of their last eight home games.

    Cold Teams
    -- Mets are 1-10 in last eleven home games, and scored three or less runs in six of their last nine contests.
    -- Pirates lost nine of their last thirteen games, 28 of last 42 road games. Brewers lost thirteen of last fourteen games, scoring total of 20 runs in their last nine games.
    -- Arizona is 7-27 in their last 34 home games.
    -- Colorado lost eight of its last nine games, ending loss streak last night.
    -- White Sox are 6-14 in their last twenty home games.
    -- Orioles won last three games, after losing previous 12 which followed six-game win streak. Rays lost ten of their last fourteen at home.
    -- Bronx lost five of its last six home games, and is 7-9 in its last sixteen games overall. Indians lost twelve of last 16 games, losing seven of last eight road contests.
    -- Toronto is 4-10 in last fourteen home games.

    Totals
    -- Over is 9-4-1 in last fourteen Florida road tilts, 5-2 in last seven games at Shea, 6-2 last eight Seo starts.
    -- Under is 7-2 last nine Pirate games, 7-0 in last seven Brewer games.
    -- Over is 4-1 last five Peavy starts, 5-1 last six Suppan starts, as Cards scored 45 runs in those six games.
    -- Under is 8-2 last ten Arizona home games, 5-2 last seven starts by Fossum. .
    -- Over is 28-12 last 40 San Francisco home games, and 9-2 in last eleven Schmidt starts.
    -- Seven of last nine Comiskey games went over total, with two that didn't both failing by half a run. Contreras pitches on short rest in this game.
    -- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Bedard starts.
    -- Over is 8-3-1 last twelve Colon starts, 8-4 in last 12 starts by Lowe.
    -- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Lieber starts.
    -- Over is 6-2 last eight Miller starts, 5-1-1 in last seven SkyDome games.
    -- Under is 10-3-2 last fifteen Texas road games, 5-2 in last seven Rogers starts.


    Umpires
    -- Over is 8-4 last twelve Poncino games, with favorite winning five of his last six (Fla-NYM)
    -- Over is 3-1-1 last five Demuth games, with the dog winning three of those five games (Pitt-Mil)
    -- Favorite is 13-3 in last sixteen Scott games (SD-StL)
    -- Jost is rookie ump; his first game was 14-4 Giant win over Montreal, for whatever thats worth (LA-Ariz)
    -- Under is 5-2 in last seven Cederstrom games, with host winning his last five contests (Colo-SF)
    -- Last six Schrieber games went over total, with dogs 7-2 in his last nine games (A's-CWS)
    -- Favorite is 5-0 in Dowdy games, host is 4-1, under is 3-1 in his last four (Balt-TB)
    -- Over is 4-1 in last five Vanover games, with favorite 7-1 in his last eight behind the plate (Ana-Bos)
    -- Over is 7-1 in last eight Meriwether games, with dog 5-4 in his last nine games (Clev-NYY)
    -- Last six Spagnardi games stayed under total, with the underdog 4-1 in his last five games (Sea-Tor)
    -- Under is 20-8 in Eddings games this year, with faves 7-1 in his last eight behind the plate (Tex-Min)

  • #2
    Trends for MLB games on Thursday, September 2nd, 2004
    Florida Marlins @ New York Mets
    Carl Pavano (15 - 5, 2.99 ERA) v. Jae Weong Seo (4 - 7, 4.65 ERA)
    Carl Pavano has 1 overs, 5 unders, and 0 pushes against NYM on the road.
    Carl Pavano is 9 - 3 overall as a favorite on the road.
    Larry Poncino has 2 overs, 5 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against NYM.
    When Jae Weong Seo is starting, his team is 4 - 2 versus FLA.
    Jae Weong Seo has 5 overs, 9 unders, and 0 pushes against total ≥ 8.5 and total ≤ 9 in the current park.
    Oakland Athletics @ Chicago White Sox
    Mark Redman (9 - 10, 4.59 ERA) v. Jose Contreras (8 - 5, 5.64 ERA)
    Paul Schrieber has 1 overs, 4 unders, and 1 pushes umpiring against OAK.
    Paul Schrieber has 4 overs, 2 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against CWS.
    Paul Schrieber has 20 overs, 8 unders, and 2 pushes umpiring against total ≥ 10 and total ≤ 10.5.
    Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers
    Dave Williams 0 - 0 v. Ben Sheets (9 - 10, 3.03 ERA)
    Dana DeMuth has 7 overs, 2 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against PIT.
    Ben Sheets has 10 overs, 24 unders, and 1 pushes against total ≥ 8.5 and total ≤ 9 in the current park.
    Ben Sheets has 2 overs, 4 unders, and 0 pushes against PIT at home.
    Dave Williams has 5 overs, 9 unders, and 0 pushes as dog on the road.
    Ben Sheets has 10 overs, 18 unders, and 1 pushes as a favorite at home.
    When Ben Sheets is starting, his team is 5 - 8 versus PIT.
    Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Devil Rays
    Erik Bedard (5 - 9, 4.92 ERA) v. Dewon Brazelton (6 - 5, 3.67 ERA)
    Dewon Brazelton has 0 overs, 7 unders, and 0 pushes as a favorite at home.
    Anaheim Angels @ Boston Red Sox
    Bartolo Colon (13 - 10, 5.38 ERA) v. Derek Lowe (12 - 10, 5.22 ERA)
    Bartolo Colon is 10 - 4 against a good run-creating team (≥ 5 rc/g) as a dog on the road.
    Bartolo Colon is 10 - 4 against a good extrapolated runs team (≥ 5.1 xr/g) as a dog on the road.
    Bartolo Colon is 8 - 4 against a good on-base-percentage (≥ .345) team as a dog on the road.
    Bartolo Colon has 2 overs, 4 unders, and 0 pushes against BOS on the road.
    Cleveland Indians @ New York Yankees
    Cliff Lee (10 - 6, 5.18 ERA) v. Jon Lieber (9 - 8, 4.69 ERA)
    Jon Lieber is 11 - 2 against a good on-base-percentage (≥ .345) team as a favorite at home.
    Jon Lieber is 13 - 3 against a good extrapolated runs team (≥ 5.1 xr/g) as a favorite at home.
    Cliff Lee is 5 - 2 against a good total bases (≥ 15 tb/g) team as a dog on the road.
    Jon Lieber is 36 - 19 overall as a favorite at home.
    Seattle Mariners @ Toronto Blue Jays
    Cha Seung Baek 0 - 0 v. Justin Miller (2 - 3, 5.26 ERA)
    Justin Miller has 1 overs, 5 unders, and 0 pushes against total ≥ 10.5 and total ≤ 11 in the current park.
    Darren Spagnardi has 4 overs, 11 unders, and 1 pushes umpiring overall.
    Darren Spagnardi is 3 - 6 when umpiring as a "homer" for a favorite.
    Texas Rangers @ Minnesota Twins
    Kenny Rogers (15 - 6, 4.69 ERA) v. Brad Radke (9 - 7, 3.74 ERA)
    When Brad Radke is starting, his team is 2 - 7 versus TEX.
    Doug Eddings is 28 - 9 when umpiring where the favorite at home is a good bb/ip pitcher.
    Doug Eddings is 16 - 6 when umpiring where the favorite at home is a good k/bb pitcher.
    Doug Eddings is 78 - 41 when umpiring as a "homer" for a favorite.
    Doug Eddings has 20 overs, 36 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against total ≥ 9.5 and total ≤ 10.
    Brad Radke is 6 - 10 against ground ball-hitting team as a favorite at home.
    Brad Radke has 20 overs, 32 unders, and 0 pushes against total ≥ 9.5 and total ≤ 10 in the current park.
    San Diego Padres @ St. Louis Cardinals
    Jake Peavy (11 - 3, 2.25 ERA) v. Jeff Suppan (13 - 6, 4.02 ERA)
    Dale Scott has 7 overs, 1 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against SD.
    Jake Peavy is 3 - 12 against ground ball-hitting team as a dog on the road.
    Jeff Suppan is 10 - 3 against a poor run-creating team (≤ 4.5 rc/g) as a favorite at home.
    Jeff Suppan is 34 - 18 overall as a favorite at home.
    Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks
    Odalis Perez (6 - 4, 3.09 ERA) v. Casey Fossum (4 - 12, 7.06 ERA)
    Odalis Perez has 7 overs, 2 unders, and 0 pushes against ARI on the road.
    Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants
    Joe Kennedy (6 - 6, 3.60 ERA) v. Jason Schmidt (15 - 5, 2.78 ERA)
    Jason Schmidt is 8 - 0 this month as a favorite at home.
    Jason Schmidt is 16 - 2 against a lefthander as a favorite at home.
    Joe Kennedy is 1 - 8 against a good on-base-percentage (≥ .345) team as a dog on the road.
    When Jason Schmidt is starting, his team is 10 - 2 versus COL.
    Jason Schmidt is 48 - 14 overall as a favorite at home.
    Joe Kennedy is 9 - 26 against a righthander as a dog on the road.
    Joe Kennedy is 13 - 34 overall as a dog on the road.
    Gary Cederstrom is 13 - 30 when umpiring where the dog on the road is a good OBP team.
    Gary Cederstrom is 35 - 16 when umpiring where the favorite at home is a good OBP team.
    Gary Cederstrom is 83 - 48 when umpiring as a "homer" for a favorite.
    Wash. D.C. 8 sq. miles surrounded by REALITY

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    • #3
      Thanks to both of you guys.

      Comment


      • #4
        Originally posted by cisco
        Thanks to both of you guys.
        Glad to help cisco...............................


        Major League Baseball Trends
        Thursday, September 2

        National League:

        Florida (-180) at NY Mets (8.5), 1:10 ET
        Pavano (R) vs. Seo (R)
        (Matchup)
        PAVANO is 8-0 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game
        SEO is 4-14 against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record

        Pittsburgh (8.5) at Milwaukee (-170), 2:05 ET
        Williams (L) vs. Sheets (R)
        (Matchup)
        WILLIAMS is 15-5 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher
        SHEETS is 8-1 UNDER after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing

        San Diego (9) at St. Louis (-135), 8:10 ET
        Peavy (R) vs. Supan (R)
        (Matchup)
        PEAVY is 6-0 OVER in road games when playing on Thursday
        SUPPAN is 9-1 against the money line in the second half of the season this season

        LA Dodgers (-220) at Arizona (9), 9:35 ET
        Perez (L) vs. Fossum (L)
        (Matchup)
        PEREZ is 16-5 OVER in road games in the second half of the season
        FOSSUM is 1-8 against the money line vs. division opponents this season

        Colorado ( at San Francisco (-250), 10:15 ET
        Kennedy (L) vs. Schmidt (R)
        (Matchup)
        KENNEDY is 9-2 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters draw 4 walks or more/game
        SCHMIDT is 47-17 against the money line when pitching in night games




        American League:

        Oakland (-130) at White Sox (10), 2:05 ET
        Redman (L) vs. Contreras (R)
        (Matchup)
        REDMAN is 6-0 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a losing record
        CONTRERAS is 5-1 UNDER in home games in the second half of the season

        Baltimore (9.5) at Tampa Bay (-130), 2:15 ET
        Bedard (L) vs. Brazelton (R)
        (Matchup)
        BEDARD is 2-9 against the money line in the second half of the season
        BRAZELTON is 8-1 against the money line in home games

        Anaheim (10) at Boston (-145), 7:05 ET
        Colon (R) vs. Lowe (R)
        (Matchup)
        COLON is 9-2 against the money line in road games as an underdog of +100 to +150
        LOWE is 50-28 OVER as a favorite of -110 or higher

        Cleveland (11) at New York (-200), 7:05 ET
        Lee (L) vs. Leiber (R)
        (Matchup)
        CLEVELAND is 0-9 against the money line in road games when the total is 11 or higher
        LIEBER is 20-5 against the money line at home when the total is 10 or higher

        Seattle (10.5) at Toronto (-145), 7:05 ET
        Baek (R) vs. Miller (R)
        (Matchup)
        SEATTLE is 7-0 OVER vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.600 to 1.700 this season
        TORONTO is 22-6 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season

        Texas (9.5) vs. Minnesota (-140), 8:10 ET
        Rodgers (L) vs. Radke (R)
        (Matchup)
        TEXAS is 7-1 OVER in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.00 or better
        RADKE is 7-1 against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season


        **Denotes Time Change

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