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  • Trends Sunday

    Trends for MLB games on Sunday, August 29th, 2004
    Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Indians
    Jon Garland (9 - 9, 4.79 ERA) v. Scott Elarton (2 - 3, 5.28 ERA)
    Scott Elarton has 0 overs, 4 unders, and 1 pushes against total ≥ 10 and total ≤ 10.5 in the current park.
    Ed Rapuano has 7 overs, 18 unders, and 1 pushes umpiring against total ≥ 10 and total ≤ 10.5.
    When Jon Garland is starting, his team is 4 - 8 versus CLE.
    Ed Rapuano is 13 - 24 when umpiring where the dog on the road is a good OBP team.
    San Diego Padres @ Montreal Expos
    David Wells (8 - 7, 3.48 ERA) v. Sun-Woo Kim (3 - 4, 5.14 ERA)
    When David Wells is starting, his team is 5 - 0 versus MON.
    David Wells is 9 - 1 this month as a favorite on the road.
    David Wells is 10 - 2 against a poor run-creating team (≤ 4.5 rc/g) as a favorite on the road.
    David Wells is 16 - 5 against ground ball-hitting team as a favorite on the road.
    David Wells is 38 - 15 against a righthander as a favorite on the road.
    David Wells is 47 - 21 overall as a favorite on the road.
    New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays
    Mike Mussina (9 - 7, 5.34 ERA) v. Miguel Batista (9 - 10, 4.54 ERA)
    When Mike Mussina is starting, his team is 11 - 6 versus TOR.
    Mike Mussina has 5 overs, 3 unders, and 0 pushes against TOR on the road.
    Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Mets
    Kazuhisa Ishii (12 - 6, 4.71 ERA) v. Kris Benson (8 - 8, 4.22 ERA)
    Kazuhisa Ishii is 15 - 7 overall as a favorite on the road.
    Arizona Diamondbacks @ Cincinnati Reds
    Stephen Randolph (2 - 4, 4.72 ERA) v. Josh Hancock (0 - 1, 11.57 ERA)
    Martin Foster has 5 overs, 1 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against CIN.
    Martin Foster is 3 - 13 when umpiring where the dog on the road is a poor bb/ip team.
    Milwaukee Brewers @ Philadelphia Phillies
    Wes Obermueller (4 - 6, 6.20 ERA) v. Cory Lidle (7 - 10, 5.32 ERA)
    Ron Kulpa has 1 overs, 5 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against MIL.
    Cory Lidle has 15 overs, 28 unders, and 1 pushes as a favorite at home.
    St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates
    Jason Marquis (12 - 4, 3.75 ERA) v. Oliver Perez (9 - 6, 2.80 ERA)
    Tim Timmons has 4 overs, 1 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against PIT.
    Tim Timmons is 23 - 39 when umpiring as a "homer" for a dog.
    Detroit Tigers @ Boston Red Sox
    Wilfredo Ledezma (3 - 1, 3.78 ERA) v. Tim Wakefield (10 - 7, 4.56 ERA)
    Wilfredo Ledezma has 5 overs, 1 unders, and 0 pushes as dog on the road.
    Boston Red Sox are 11 - 3 against a poor base-stealing (≤ .65 sb/attempts) team as a favorite at home.
    Bill Welke is 11 - 20 when umpiring where the dog on the road is a good OBP team.
    Tim Wakefield has 9 overs, 5 unders, and 0 pushes against total ≥ 10.5 and total ≤ 11 in the current park.
    Bill Welke has 4 overs, 7 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against DET.
    When Tim Wakefield is starting, his team is 5 - 3 versus DET.
    Baltimore Orioles @ Texas Rangers
    Sidney Ponson (8 - 13, 5.62 ERA) v. Colin Young 0 - 0
    Dana DeMuth has 6 overs, 2 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against TEX.
    When Sidney Ponson is starting, his team is 8 - 3 versus TEX.
    Houston Astros @ Chicago Cubs
    Carlos Hernandez (0 - 1, 5.82 ERA) v. Matt Clement (9 - 11, 3.31 ERA)
    Matt Clement has 5 overs, 0 unders, and 0 pushes against total ≥ 0 and total ≤ 0.5 in the current park.
    Matt Clement is 42 - 25 overall as a favorite at home.
    Matt Clement has 3 overs, 5 unders, and 0 pushes against HOU at home.
    Chuck Meriwether is 78 - 50 when umpiring as a "homer" for a favorite.
    Colorado Rockies @ Florida Marlins
    Shawn Estes (13 - 5, 5.79 ERA) v. A.J. Burnett (4 - 6, 4.14 ERA)
    Shawn Estes is 1 - 8 this month as a dog on the road.
    A.J. Burnett is 2 - 5 against a poor run-creating team (≤ 4.5 rc/g) as a favorite at home.
    Shawn Estes is 11 - 26 against a righthander as a dog on the road.
    When Shawn Estes is starting, his team is 6 - 3 versus FLA.
    Fieldin Culbreth is 16 - 10 when umpiring where the dog on the road is a poor bb/ip team.
    Fieldin Culbreth is 23 - 15 when umpiring where the dog on the road is a poor k/bb team.
    Minnesota Twins @ Anaheim Angels
    Carlos Silva (10 - 8, 4.71 ERA) v. Kelvim Escobar (8 - 9, 4.11 ERA)
    Brian O'Nora has 4 overs, 2 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against ANA.
    Tampa Bay Devil Rays @ Oakland Athletics
    Scott Kazmir (1 - 0, 0.00 ERA) v. Mark Mulder (17 - 4, 3.72 ERA)
    When Mark Mulder is starting, his team is 6 - 0 versus TB.
    Mark Mulder is 8 - 2 against a poor run-creating team (≤ 4.5 rc/g) as a favorite at home.
    Mark Mulder is 46 - 17 overall as a favorite at home.
    Kansas City Royals @ Seattle Mariners
    Jimmy Gobble (6 - 8, 5.75 ERA) v. Ryan Franklin (3 - 13, 5.01 ERA)
    Derryl Cousins has 2 overs, 4 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against SEA.
    Jimmy Gobble has 9 overs, 5 unders, and 0 pushes as dog on the road.
    Jimmy Gobble is 7 - 4 against a righthander as a dog on the road.
    Derryl Cousins has 36 overs, 19 unders, and 3 pushes umpiring against total ≥ 9.5 and total ≤ 10.
    San Francisco Giants @ Atlanta Braves
    Brad Hennessey (1 - 2, 4.60 ERA) v. Russ Ortiz (13 - 6, 3.49 ERA)
    Russ Ortiz is 12 - 2 against a good on-base-percentage (≥ .345) team as a favorite at home.
    Russ Ortiz is 16 - 3 against a good extrapolated runs team (≥ 5.1 xr/g) as a favorite at home.
    Russ Ortiz is 12 - 3 against a good total bases (≥ 15 tb/g) team as a favorite at home.
    Russ Ortiz is 11 - 3 this month as a favorite at home.
    Russ Ortiz is 11 - 3 against a good on-base-percentage plus slugging (≥ .790) team as a favorite at home.
    Russ Ortiz is 59 - 23 overall as a favorite at home.
    Paul Schrieber has 5 overs, 2 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against SFO.
    Russ Ortiz is 43 - 18 against a righthander as a favorite at home.
    Russ Ortiz is 24 - 11 against ground ball-hitting team as a favorite at home.
    Paul Schrieber is 76 - 45 when umpiring as a "homer" for a favorite.
    Wash. D.C. 8 sq. miles surrounded by REALITY

  • #2
    Sunday's games
    Hot Pitchers
    -- Wells is 2-1, 2.81 his last five starts; Padres won his last five road starts.
    -- Reds are 3-0 in Hancock starts (1-0, 4.86)
    -- Marquis is 9-0, 3.53 his last fifteen starts; Cardinals lost his last seven no-decisions. Perez is 6-2, 1.85 in his last eleven starts, with Pirates winning his last four.
    -- Burnett is 2-1, 2.70 in his last three starts.
    -- Ortiz is 7-0, 2.68 in his last eleven starts; Braves are 9-3 in his last dozen home outings.
    -- Cleveland is 5-2 at home with Elarton.
    -- Wakefield won four of his last five starts, despite his 6.03 RA in those games.
    -- Escobar is 2-1, 2.84 in his last four starts.
    -- A's are 16-4 in the last twenty Mulder starts. Kazmir threw five shutout innings in his ML debut Tuesday.


    Cold Pitchers
    -- Kim is 0-3, 6.44 in his last seven starts. Expos lost three of his last four home starts.
    -- Ishii is 1-2, 7.15 in his last seven starts. Benson has a 5.52 RA in his five starts for the Mets.
    -- Arizona was outscored 18-2 in losing two Randolph starts (0-2, 9.00).
    -- Brewers are 1-7 in last eight Obermueller starts, with five losses in row (0-4, 8.27). Lidle is 2-7, 8.49 in his last ten starts, 0-2, 8.79 with the Phillies.
    -- Hernandez has 6.35 RA in three '04 starts for Astros Clement is 1-2, 5.10 his last five starts and is 0-1, 3.97 vs Houston this year. Cubs lost five of his last seven road starts.
    -- Estes is 0-1, 8.44 his last two starts, but the Rockies scored 63 runs in winning seven of his last ten starts; they're 4-1 in his last five road outings.
    -- Hennesseey is 1-2, 6.89 in three starts for Giants.
    -- Garland is 2-5, 6.42 in his last nine starts.
    -- Mussina is 0-3, 9.45 in his last four starts. Bronx is 5-7 in his road starts, 0-6 if they score five or less runs. Batista is 0-4, 9.15 his last four starts.
    -- Ponson is 0-1, 7.43 in his last two starts.
    -- Ledezma has 5.09 RA in his last three starts.
    -- Gobble is 2-4, 8.71 in his last six starts. Seattle lost eleven of last 12 Franklin starts (0-5, 4.50 in his last six)
    -- Silva is 0-1, 7.97 in his last four starts; Twins are 2-7 in his last nine road starts.


    Hot Teams
    -- Padres won sixteen of their last twenty-two road tilts, but Montreal is 22-13 in their last 35 games overall.
    -- Dodgers are 19-8 in their last 27 road games.
    -- Cardinals are 17-6 in last twenty-three road games, 24-8 in last thirty-two games overall.
    -- Astros are 10-3 in their last thirteen games. Cubs are 8-3 in their last eleven games.
    -- Marlins are 10-5 in their last fifteen games.
    -- Giants won eleven of last sixteen games. Braves are 12-3 in their last fifteen home games.
    -- Bronx won six of its last seven road games.
    -- Texas won ten of its last twelve home games.
    -- Red Sox won eleven of last twelve games and are 10-2 in their last twelve Fenway tilts.
    -- Twins won nine of their last thirteen games. Anaheim won thirteen of its last eighteen home games.
    -- A's won eleven of their last twelve games.

    Cold Teams
    -- Mets lost fourteen of last twenty-one home games.
    -- Reds lost twelve of last seventeen home games.
    -- Phillies lost twelve of last eighteen games, nine of last twelve at home. Brewers lost their last ten games.
    -- Pirates lost their last six games against the Cardinals.
    -- Rockies lost their last six games in a row.
    -- White Sox lost nine of last fifteen road games and are 10-22 in last 32 games overall. Indians lost eleven of last thirteen games overall.
    -- Blue Jays are 2-8 against Bronx this season.
    -- Orioles scored total of 34 runs during their 12-game losing streak.
    -- Royals are 5-24 in their last 29 road games, 6-16 in last 22 games overall. Seattle lost seven of last eleven and is 12-21 in its last 33 games overall.
    -- Tampa Bay is 6-19 in its last 25 road games.

    Totals
    -- Over is 8-3 in last eleven Wells starts, 6-3 in last nine Kim starts, 5-1 in last six Wells road starts.
    -- Over is 9-3 in last dozen Ishii starts.
    -- Under is 4-1 in last five Cincinnati games.
    -- Over is 6-2 in last eight Lidle starts.
    -- Under is 6-0 in last six Perez starts, 7-3 in the last ten Marquis outings.
    -- Over is 4-0 in last four Clement starts.
    -- Over is 5-1 in last six Burnett starts, 3-1 in last four Estes road outings.
    -- Over is 3-0 in the last three Ortiz outings.
    -- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Elarton starts.
    -- Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Mussina starts.
    -- Under is 9-4 in last thirteen Ponson starts.
    -- Over is 6-1-2 in last nine Wakefield starts, 3-0 in last three Ledezma starts.
    -- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Gobble starts.
    -- Under is 6-2 in last eight Escobar starts.
    -- Under is 8-2 in last ten Mulder starts.

    Umpires
    -- Under is 5-2 in last seven Hoye games, with the guest winning four of his last five (SD-Mtl)
    -- Last three Everitt games went over total, with faves winning four of his last five games (LA-NYM)
    -- Under is 6-1 in last seven Foster games, with the dog 4-2 in his last six behind plate (Ariz-Cin)
    -- Underdog is 3-1 in last four Kulpa games (TB-Sea)
    -- Under is 17-4-2 in Timmons games, with dogs 3-1 in his last four behind the plate (StL-Pitt)
    -- Over is 6-1 in last seven Meriwether games, with dog splitting his last eight games (Hst-Cubs)
    -- Over is 6-1 in last seven Culbreth games, with faves winning his last ten behind the plate (Col-Fla)
    -- Over and dogs are both 6-2 in last eight Schrieber games behind the plate (SF-Atl)
    -- Over is 5-1 in last six Rapuano games, with faves 8-2 in his last ten games behind the plate (CWS-Clev)
    -- Dogs are 8-8 in Nauert's last 16 games (NYY-Tor)
    -- Under is 6-3 in last nine Demuth games, with faves
    9-2 in his last eleven behind plate (Balt-Tex)
    -- Last eleven BWelke games stayed under total, with ten of those eleven won by the underdog (Det-Bos)
    -- Under is 9-4 in last thirteen Onora games, with faves 7-2 in his last nine behind the plate (Min-Ana)
    -- Over is 4-0-1 in last five Reynolds games, with faves winning four of those five games (TB-A's)

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