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USC: The only thing negative about the 2003 USC campaign is that it had to share half of the national title with LSU. The Trojans’ weaker schedule a loss at Cal eventually left them out of the BCS title game and into a Rose Bowl dual with Michigan. They were up to the task against the Wolverines and finished the season at 12-1, covering 11 of those 13 games! For 2004, USC may have to go unscathed or face a similar fate, as the BCS formula frowns on soft schedules. USC’s may be the lightest of any serious contender. This team still remains the class of the Pac 10 though after consecutive dominating seasons. QB Matt Leinart is a favorite for the Heisman Trophy and the Trojans boast three all-American candidates on defense. They’ll face a stiff challenge right out of the gate at Virginia Tech.
VIRGINIA TECH: One thing that is easy to do is to overreact to teams’ returning players. That could easily be the case with Virginia Tech this season, as it returns just nine total starters from the 8-5 2003 team. In truth though, this team has been designated in “rebuilding” years several times in the past decade and has won at least eight games in 10 of the last 11 seasons. However, the five losses they suffered last year was their most since 1997, and their defensive stats and turnover margin were as poor as they’ve been in many years as well. The Hokies will need to regroup behind the playmaking of senior QB Bryan Randall. Though geographically sensible, the move to the ACC could prove harmful to Tech, as it has enjoyed a winning record historically over only UNC, NC State, Virginia and Wake.
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Potential Power Trends based on estimated statistics favoring USC to cover the spread
USC is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they are outgain their opponents by 200 or more yards over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was USC 42.7, OPPONENT 13.0
USC is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they commit 2 turnovers over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was USC 44.7, OPPONENT 17.2
USC is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) when they gain 500 or more total yards since 1992.
The average score was USC 42.6, OPPONENT 19.0
USC is 12-0 ATS (+12.0 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was USC 43.4, OPPONENT 18.1
USC is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when they gain 9 or more net passing yards/attempt over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was USC 41.6, OPPONENT 18.2
USC is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they gain 9.5 to 10 net passing yards/attempt over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was USC 43.3, OPPONENT 15.9
USC is 28-2 ATS (+25.8 Units) when they outgain their opponents by 2 or more yards/play since 1992.
The average score was USC 41.1, OPPONENT 11.6
USC is 18-3 ATS (+14.7 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was USC 42.0, OPPONENT 19.3
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 32.1, OPPONENT 38.0
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-5 ATS (-4.5 Units) when they allow 35 to 41 since 1992.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 23.3, OPPONENT 38.7
VIRGINIA TECH is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play since 1992.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 30.9, OPPONENT 35.7
VIRGINIA TECH is 4-20 ATS (-18.0 Units) when they allow 9 or more net passing yards/attempt since 1992.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 24.9, OPPONENT 35.0
VIRGINIA TECH is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 2 or more yards/play since 1992.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 20.0, OPPONENT 37.3
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-6 ATS (-5.6 Units) when they gain 150 to 200 net passing yards over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 30.0, OPPONENT 24.0
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-5 ATS (-4.5 Units) when they score 15 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 20.2, OPPONENT 19.3
Potential Power Trends based on estimated statistics favoring the OVER against the total
USC is 13-4 OVER (+8.6 Units) when they allow 7 to 7.5 net passing yards/attempt since 1992.
The average score was USC 27.8, OPPONENT 27.4
USC is 12-4 OVER (+7.6 Units) when they are outgain their opponents by 200 or more yards since 1992.
The average score was USC 42.6, OPPONENT 12.2
USC is 5-1 OVER (+3.9 Units) when they force and commit the same number of turnovers over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was USC 36.5, OPPONENT 20.7
USC is 10-1 OVER (+8.9 Units) when they gain 350 to 400 net passing yards since 1992.
The average score was USC 36.2, OPPONENT 22.1
USC is 15-3 OVER (+11.7 Units) when they gain 500 or more total yards since 1992.
The average score was USC 42.6, OPPONENT 19.0
USC is 20-8 OVER (+11.2 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play since 1992.
The average score was USC 40.0, OPPONENT 20.0
USC is 7-1 OVER (+5.9 Units) when they rush for 150 to 200 yards over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was USC 44.1, OPPONENT 20.1
USC is 16-5 OVER (+10.5 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was USC 42.0, OPPONENT 19.3
USC is 11-2 OVER (+8.8 Units) when they score 35 to 41 points since 1992.
The average score was USC 37.8, OPPONENT 25.8
VIRGINIA TECH is 8-1 OVER (+6.9 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 32.1, OPPONENT 38.0
VIRGINIA TECH is 10-1 OVER (+8.9 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play since 1992.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 30.9, OPPONENT 35.7
VIRGINIA TECH is 16-2 OVER (+13.8 Units) when they allow 9 or more net passing yards/attempt since 1992.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 24.9, OPPONENT 35.0
VIRGINIA TECH is 5-1 OVER (+3.9 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 2 or more yards/play since 1992.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 20.0, OPPONENT 37.3
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There are 9 trends with a total rating of 10 stars.
USC is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was USC 39.8, OPPONENT 19.5 - (Rating = 2*)
USC is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was USC 38.4, OPPONENT 18.4 - (Rating = 2*)
USC is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was USC 38.4, OPPONENT 18.4 - (Rating = 2*)
USC is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was USC 39.3, OPPONENT 16.6 - (Rating = 3*)
USC is 5-1 ATS (+3.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was USC 32.3, OPPONENT 12.5 - (Rating = 0*)
USC is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when the total is between 49.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was USC 42.3, OPPONENT 22.3 - (Rating = 1*)
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-5 ATS (-4.5 Units) as a neutral field underdog since 1992.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 20.2, OPPONENT 35.7 - (Rating = 0*)
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-5 ATS (-4.5 Units) in road games as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 13.8, OPPONENT 35.3 - (Rating = 0*)
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-5 ATS (-4.5 Units) in road games when the total is between 49.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 32.0, OPPONENT 42.0 - (Rating = 0*)
Situational Power Trends favoring the OVER against the total
There are 5 trends with a total rating of 4 stars.
USC is 17-6 OVER (+10.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was USC 39.8, OPPONENT 19.5 - (Rating = 2*)
USC is 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was USC 40.8, OPPONENT 20.9 - (Rating = 1*)
USC is 10-2 OVER (+7.8 Units) when the total is between 49.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was USC 42.3, OPPONENT 22.3 - (Rating = 1*)
VIRGINIA TECH is 12-4 OVER (+7.6 Units) in road games as an underdog since 1992.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 22.2, OPPONENT 29.9 - (Rating = 0*)
VIRGINIA TECH is 5-1 OVER (+3.9 Units) in road games when the total is between 49.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 32.0, OPPONENT 42.0 - (Rating = 0*)
VIRGINIA TECH: One thing that is easy to do is to overreact to teams’ returning players. That could easily be the case with Virginia Tech this season, as it returns just nine total starters from the 8-5 2003 team. In truth though, this team has been designated in “rebuilding” years several times in the past decade and has won at least eight games in 10 of the last 11 seasons. However, the five losses they suffered last year was their most since 1997, and their defensive stats and turnover margin were as poor as they’ve been in many years as well. The Hokies will need to regroup behind the playmaking of senior QB Bryan Randall. Though geographically sensible, the move to the ACC could prove harmful to Tech, as it has enjoyed a winning record historically over only UNC, NC State, Virginia and Wake.
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Potential Power Trends based on estimated statistics favoring USC to cover the spread
USC is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they are outgain their opponents by 200 or more yards over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was USC 42.7, OPPONENT 13.0
USC is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they commit 2 turnovers over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was USC 44.7, OPPONENT 17.2
USC is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) when they gain 500 or more total yards since 1992.
The average score was USC 42.6, OPPONENT 19.0
USC is 12-0 ATS (+12.0 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was USC 43.4, OPPONENT 18.1
USC is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when they gain 9 or more net passing yards/attempt over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was USC 41.6, OPPONENT 18.2
USC is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they gain 9.5 to 10 net passing yards/attempt over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was USC 43.3, OPPONENT 15.9
USC is 28-2 ATS (+25.8 Units) when they outgain their opponents by 2 or more yards/play since 1992.
The average score was USC 41.1, OPPONENT 11.6
USC is 18-3 ATS (+14.7 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was USC 42.0, OPPONENT 19.3
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 32.1, OPPONENT 38.0
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-5 ATS (-4.5 Units) when they allow 35 to 41 since 1992.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 23.3, OPPONENT 38.7
VIRGINIA TECH is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play since 1992.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 30.9, OPPONENT 35.7
VIRGINIA TECH is 4-20 ATS (-18.0 Units) when they allow 9 or more net passing yards/attempt since 1992.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 24.9, OPPONENT 35.0
VIRGINIA TECH is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 2 or more yards/play since 1992.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 20.0, OPPONENT 37.3
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-6 ATS (-5.6 Units) when they gain 150 to 200 net passing yards over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 30.0, OPPONENT 24.0
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-5 ATS (-4.5 Units) when they score 15 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 20.2, OPPONENT 19.3
Potential Power Trends based on estimated statistics favoring the OVER against the total
USC is 13-4 OVER (+8.6 Units) when they allow 7 to 7.5 net passing yards/attempt since 1992.
The average score was USC 27.8, OPPONENT 27.4
USC is 12-4 OVER (+7.6 Units) when they are outgain their opponents by 200 or more yards since 1992.
The average score was USC 42.6, OPPONENT 12.2
USC is 5-1 OVER (+3.9 Units) when they force and commit the same number of turnovers over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was USC 36.5, OPPONENT 20.7
USC is 10-1 OVER (+8.9 Units) when they gain 350 to 400 net passing yards since 1992.
The average score was USC 36.2, OPPONENT 22.1
USC is 15-3 OVER (+11.7 Units) when they gain 500 or more total yards since 1992.
The average score was USC 42.6, OPPONENT 19.0
USC is 20-8 OVER (+11.2 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play since 1992.
The average score was USC 40.0, OPPONENT 20.0
USC is 7-1 OVER (+5.9 Units) when they rush for 150 to 200 yards over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was USC 44.1, OPPONENT 20.1
USC is 16-5 OVER (+10.5 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was USC 42.0, OPPONENT 19.3
USC is 11-2 OVER (+8.8 Units) when they score 35 to 41 points since 1992.
The average score was USC 37.8, OPPONENT 25.8
VIRGINIA TECH is 8-1 OVER (+6.9 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 32.1, OPPONENT 38.0
VIRGINIA TECH is 10-1 OVER (+8.9 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play since 1992.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 30.9, OPPONENT 35.7
VIRGINIA TECH is 16-2 OVER (+13.8 Units) when they allow 9 or more net passing yards/attempt since 1992.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 24.9, OPPONENT 35.0
VIRGINIA TECH is 5-1 OVER (+3.9 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 2 or more yards/play since 1992.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 20.0, OPPONENT 37.3
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There are 9 trends with a total rating of 10 stars.
USC is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was USC 39.8, OPPONENT 19.5 - (Rating = 2*)
USC is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was USC 38.4, OPPONENT 18.4 - (Rating = 2*)
USC is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was USC 38.4, OPPONENT 18.4 - (Rating = 2*)
USC is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was USC 39.3, OPPONENT 16.6 - (Rating = 3*)
USC is 5-1 ATS (+3.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was USC 32.3, OPPONENT 12.5 - (Rating = 0*)
USC is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when the total is between 49.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was USC 42.3, OPPONENT 22.3 - (Rating = 1*)
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-5 ATS (-4.5 Units) as a neutral field underdog since 1992.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 20.2, OPPONENT 35.7 - (Rating = 0*)
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-5 ATS (-4.5 Units) in road games as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 13.8, OPPONENT 35.3 - (Rating = 0*)
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-5 ATS (-4.5 Units) in road games when the total is between 49.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 32.0, OPPONENT 42.0 - (Rating = 0*)
Situational Power Trends favoring the OVER against the total
There are 5 trends with a total rating of 4 stars.
USC is 17-6 OVER (+10.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was USC 39.8, OPPONENT 19.5 - (Rating = 2*)
USC is 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was USC 40.8, OPPONENT 20.9 - (Rating = 1*)
USC is 10-2 OVER (+7.8 Units) when the total is between 49.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was USC 42.3, OPPONENT 22.3 - (Rating = 1*)
VIRGINIA TECH is 12-4 OVER (+7.6 Units) in road games as an underdog since 1992.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 22.2, OPPONENT 29.9 - (Rating = 0*)
VIRGINIA TECH is 5-1 OVER (+3.9 Units) in road games when the total is between 49.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 32.0, OPPONENT 42.0 - (Rating = 0*)