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  • Trends Saturday

    Trends for MLB games on Saturday, August 28th, 2004
    San Francisco Giants @ Atlanta Braves
    Jason Schmidt (15 - 4, 2.52 ERA) v. Paul Byrd (4 - 4, 4.11 ERA)
    Paul Byrd has 1 overs, 4 unders, and 0 pushes against total ≥ 8.5 and total ≤ 9 in the current park.
    Jason Schmidt is 21 - 9 against a righthander as a favorite on the road.
    Jason Schmidt is 28 - 15 overall as a favorite on the road.
    Jerry Meals has 7 overs, 3 unders, and 1 pushes umpiring against SFO.
    Houston Astros @ Chicago Cubs
    Roger Clemens (13 - 4, 2.92 ERA) v. Carlos Zambrano (12 - 7, 2.88 ERA)
    Carlos Zambrano has 7 overs, 0 unders, and 0 pushes against total ≥ 0 and total ≤ 0.5 in the current park.
    Eric Cooper has 4 overs, 2 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against CHC.
    When Carlos Zambrano is starting, his team is 6 - 3 versus HOU.
    Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Mets
    Odalis Perez (6 - 4, 3.09 ERA) v. Jae Weong Seo (4 - 7, 4.86 ERA)
    Larry Young is 22 - 38 when umpiring as a "homer" for a dog.
    Jae Weong Seo has 5 overs, 8 unders, and 0 pushes against total ≥ 8.5 and total ≤ 9 in the current park.
    New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays
    Kevin Brown (9 - 3, 3.89 ERA) v. Ted Lilly (9 - 8, 3.66 ERA)
    Ted Lilly is 1 - 10 overall as a dog at home.
    Ted Lilly is 1 - 8 against a righthander as a dog at home.
    Ted Lilly is 1 - 7 against a good extrapolated runs team (≥ 5.1 xr/g) as a dog at home.
    Larry Vanover is 9 - 3 when umpiring where the favorite on the road is a good k/bb team.
    Ted Lilly has 2 overs, 4 unders, and 0 pushes against total ≥ 9.5 and total ≤ 10 in the current park.
    Larry Vanover is 17 - 29 when umpiring as a "homer" for a dog.
    Colorado Rockies @ Florida Marlins
    Jason Jennings (11 - 11, 6.06 ERA) v. Carl Pavano (14 - 5, 2.97 ERA)
    Carl Pavano is 26 - 13 overall as a favorite at home.
    Carl Pavano has 5 overs, 11 unders, and 2 pushes against total ≥ 8.5 and total ≤ 9 in the current park.
    Detroit Tigers @ Boston Red Sox
    Jeremy Bonderman (7 - 10, 5.67 ERA) v. Pedro Martinez (13 - 5, 3.78 ERA)
    Lazaro Diaz is 12 - 1 when umpiring where the favorite at home is a good k/bb pitcher.
    Pedro Martinez is 11 - 2 against a poor run-creating team (≤ 4.5 rc/g) as a favorite at home.
    Lazaro Diaz is 18 - 4 when umpiring where the favorite at home is a good bb/ip pitcher.
    Pedro Martinez is 44 - 16 against a righthander as a favorite at home.
    Pedro Martinez is 59 - 23 overall as a favorite at home.
    Lazaro Diaz has 5 overs, 3 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against DET.
    When Pedro Martinez is starting, his team is 5 - 3 versus DET.
    Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Indians
    Jose Contreras (8 - 5, 5.64 ERA) v. Cliff Lee (10 - 5, 5.07 ERA)
    Alfonso Marquez has 1 overs, 4 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against CWS.
    Alfonso Marquez has 3 overs, 14 unders, and 1 pushes umpiring against total ≥ 10.5 and total ≤ 11.
    Alfonso Marquez has 2 overs, 4 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against CLE.
    Cliff Lee has 7 overs, 4 unders, and 0 pushes as a favorite at home.
    San Diego Padres @ Montreal Expos
    Jake Peavy (10 - 3, 2.22 ERA) v. John Patterson (3 - 2, 4.19 ERA)
    Greg Gibson is 2 - 17 when umpiring where the dog at home is a poor OBP team.
    Greg Gibson has 4 overs, 1 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against SD.
    Greg Gibson has 2 overs, 5 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against MON.
    Milwaukee Brewers @ Philadelphia Phillies
    Ben Sheets (9 - 10, 3.10 ERA) v. Randy Wolf (5 - 8, 4.17 ERA)
    When Randy Wolf is starting, his team is 7 - 2 versus MIL.
    Dale Scott is 7 - 14 when umpiring where the dog on the road is a good bb/ip team.
    Dale Scott has 4 overs, 1 unders, and 1 pushes umpiring against MIL.
    Randy Wolf is 5 - 8 against a strikeout-prone lineup (≥ 7 k/g) as a favorite at home.
    St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates
    Matt Morris (13 - 8, 4.58 ERA) v. Nelson Figueroa (0 - 0, 3.00 ERA)
    When Matt Morris is starting, his team is 6 - 2 versus PIT.
    Mike Winters has 7 overs, 3 unders, and 1 pushes umpiring against STL.
    Arizona Diamondbacks @ Cincinnati Reds
    Casey Fossum (3 - 12, 7.29 ERA) v. Jose Acevedo (5 - 10, 6.36 ERA)
    Casey Fossum has 6 overs, 12 unders, and 1 pushes as dog on the road.
    Chris Guccione is 95 - 62 when umpiring as a "homer" overall.
    Baltimore Orioles @ Texas Rangers
    Rodrigo Lopez (10 - 8, 3.79 ERA) v. Kenny Rogers (15 - 6, 4.72 ERA)
    Kenny Rogers is 46 - 21 overall as a favorite at home.
    Kenny Rogers is 34 - 16 against a righthander as a favorite at home.
    Tampa Bay Devil Rays @ Oakland Athletics
    Dewon Brazelton (5 - 4, 3.49 ERA) v. Tim Hudson (9 - 4, 2.85 ERA)
    Dewon Brazelton is 0 - 7 against a good total bases (≥ 15 tb/g) team as a dog on the road.
    Dewon Brazelton is 0 - 5 against a good extrapolated runs team (≥ 5.1 xr/g) as a dog on the road.
    Dewon Brazelton is 0 - 6 against a good run-creating team (≥ 5 rc/g) as a dog on the road.
    Tim Hudson is 12 - 2 against a poor run-creating team (≤ 4.5 rc/g) as a favorite at home.
    Tim Hudson is 11 - 2 this month as a favorite at home.
    Dewon Brazelton is 2 - 10 overall as a dog on the road.
    Gary Cederstrom has 5 overs, 1 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against Tim Hudson overall.
    Dewon Brazelton is 2 - 8 against a righthander as a dog on the road.
    Tim Hudson is 42 - 12 against a righthander as a favorite at home.
    When Tim Hudson is starting, his team is 7 - 2 versus TB.
    Tim Hudson is 19 - 6 against fly ball-hitting team as a favorite at home.
    Tim Hudson is 59 - 19 overall as a favorite at home.
    Gary Cederstrom is 13 - 30 when umpiring where the dog on the road is a good OBP team.
    Gary Cederstrom is 9 - 20 when umpiring where the dog on the road is a poor k/bb team.
    Gary Cederstrom is 35 - 16 when umpiring where the favorite at home is a good OBP team.
    Gary Cederstrom has 7 overs, 4 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against TB.
    Gary Cederstrom is 82 - 48 when umpiring as a "homer" for a favorite.
    Wash. D.C. 8 sq. miles surrounded by REALITY

  • #2
    Morning GR!!!!



    Saturday's games
    Hot Pitchers
    -- Perez is 2-0, 3.13 in his last five starts.
    -- Schmidt is 3-1, 2.08 in his last five starts.
    -- Zambrano is 3-1, 2.86 in his last five starts.
    -- Pavano is 2-1, 2.11 in his last three starts.
    -- Padres won Peavy's last eight starts (5-0, 1.97), as they scored 38 runs in his last four starts. Patterson is
    2-0, 3.80 his last four starts, but Expos are 1-5 in his home outings.
    -- Madritsch is 1-1, 2.79 in his four '04 starts.
    -- Santana is 12-2, 1.76 in his last fifteen starts. Twins won his last six road starts. Escobar is 3-1, 2.81 in his last five starts.
    -- Lilly has 2.38 RA in his last three starts and 2.41 RA in three '04 starts against Bronx.
    -- White Sox are 4-1 in Contreras starts (3-1, 4.55)
    -- Martinez has 2.74 RA in his last three starts; Boston is 15-8 in his last 23 starts, 9-1 in his last 10 at Fenway
    -- Lopez is 2-1, 2.21 in his last three starts; Orioles are 5-2 in his last seven road starts.
    -- Hudson is 2-0, 2.11 in his last three starts. A's won six of his last eight home starts.


    Cold Pitchers
    -- Seo is 0-2, 4.71 in his last five starts, and has a 4.75 RA in nine home starts.
    -- Byrd is 0-1, 7.41 in his last three starts.
    -- Morris is 0-2, 24.84 in his last three road starts. The Cardinals are 4-7 in his last eleven road starts.
    -- Clemens is 1-1, 5.09 in his last four starts; Astros are 1-3 in his last four road starts, 3-6 in his no-decisions.
    -- Jennings is 1-3, 7.04 in his last four starts, 2-3, 4.93 in his last six road starts.
    -- Brewers lost last four Sheets starts; he is 0-2, 6.35 in his last five outings. Wolf is 1-4, 6.17 his last 7 starts.
    -- Arizona is 2-9 in Fossum road starts; he is 1-2, 9.59 in his last five outings. Acevedo is 1-3, 9.56 his last 8, even though Reds scored 29 runs in his last three starts.
    -- May is 2-5, 6.75 in his last seven starts. Royals are 4-9 in his road starts. Nageotte is 0-3, 9.22 last 3 starts
    -- Bronx lost last three Brown starts (0-2, 5.89); they're 2-4 in his last six road starts.
    -- Lee is 1-2, 9.72 his last four home starts, and has a 6.86 RA in four starts vs White Sox this season.
    -- Bonderman is 1-2, 7.07 in his last six road starts.
    -- Rogers has 7.76 in his last five starts, but Texas won eight of his ten home starts.
    -- Brazelton is 0-3, 7.52 in his last four road starts. The home team won ten of his last dozen starts.


    Hot Teams
    -- Dodgers are 18-8 in their last 26 road games, but are 1-3 in their last four.
    -- Giants won eleven of last fifteen games. Braves are 11-3 in their last fourteen home games.
    -- Cardinals are 16-6 in last twenty-two road games, 23-8 in last thirty-one games overall. Pirates are 23-8 in last thirty-one home games, but lost five games in a row againts St Louis.
    -- Astros are 9-3 in their last twelve games. Cubs won eight of their last ten games.
    -- Marlins are 9-5 in their last fourteen games.
    -- Padres won fifteen of their last twenty-one road tilts, but Montreal is 22-12 in their last 34 games overall.
    -- Twins won eight of their last twelve games. Anaheim won thirteen of its last seventeen home games.
    -- Bronx won five of its last six road games.
    -- Red Sox won ten of last eleven games and are 9-2 in their last eleven Fenway tilts.
    -- Texas won nine of its last eleven home games.
    -- A's won ten of their last eleven games.

    Cold Teams
    -- Mets lost thirteen of last twenty home games.
    -- Rockies lost their last five games in a row.
    -- Phillies lost twelve of last seventeen games, nine of eleven at home. Brewers lost their last nine games.
    -- Reds lost eleven of last sixteen home games. Arizona lost seventeen of last twenty-two series openers.
    -- Royals are 5-22 in their last 27 road games, 6-14 in last 20 games overall. Seattle lost seven of last nine and is 10-21 in its last 31 games overall.
    -- Blue Jays are 2-7 against Bronx this season.
    -- White Sox lost nine of last fourteen road games and are 9-22 in last 31 games overall. Indians lost ten of last twelve games overall.
    -- Orioles scored total of 31 runs during their 11-game losing streak.
    -- Tampa Bay is 6-18 in its last 24 road games.

    Totals
    -- Over is 4-0 in last four Perez starts, 6-1 in last seven Seo outings.
    -- Over is 8-3 in last eleven Schmidt starts.
    -- Over is 4-1 in last five Morris starts.
    -- Under is 6-3 in last nine Zambrano starts.
    -- Under is 10-4 in last fourteen Pavano starts, 9-3 in last twelve Jennings starts.
    -- Over is 5-1 in last six Sheets starts, 8-4 in last dozen Wolf starts.
    -- Over is 4-0 in last four Peavy starts.
    -- Over is 11-1 in last twelve Acevedo starts, with his last six outings going over total.
    -- Over is 11-5 in last sixteen May starts.
    -- Under is 6-2 in last eight Escobar starts.
    -- Under is 6-2 in last eight Lilly starts, 4-1 in last five Brown outings.
    -- Lee's last three starts vs White Sox all went over.
    -- Over is 18-6 in last twenty-four Fenway games.
    -- Over is 7-4 in last eleven Rogers starts.
    -- Under is 7-2 in last nine Hudson starts, 8-5 in last 13 starts by Brazelton.

    Umpires
    -- Last three Young games stayed under total, with road team winning all three, dog last two (LA-NYM)
    -- Underdog won last four Meals games, with the under
    8-5 in last thirteen games. (SF-Atl)
    -- Over is 8-1-1 in last ten Winters games, with favorite 8-3 in his last eleven games (StL-Pitt)
    -- Over is 6-1 in last seven Cooper games, with faves 4-1 in his last five behind plate (Hst-Cubs)
    -- Under is 6-2 in last eight Randazzo games, with faves winning five of his last six contests (Col-Fla)
    -- Under is 3-1 in last four Scott games, with favorites 12-2 in his last fourteen behind plate (Mil-Phil)
    -- Over is 7-1 in last eight Gibson games, with favorite is 8-2 in his last ten behind dish (SD-Mtl)
    -- Over is 7-2 in last nine Guccione games, with faves 11-4 in his last fifteen games behind plate (Az-Cin)
    -- Over is 7-4 in last eleven Dimuro games, with faves 9-3 in his last twelve (KC-Sea)
    -- Under is 6-1 in last seven Dimuro games, with dogs splitting his last ten games (Min-Ana)
    -- Under is 12-7 in last nineteen Vanover games, with favorites winning five of his last six (NYY-Tor)
    -- Last three Marquez games went over total, with the favorite winning his last four behind plate (CWS-Clev)
    -- Underdog is 6-4 in last ten Diaz games (Det-Bos)
    -- Over is 6-3 in last nine Hudson games, with the dog 9-7 in his last sixteen games (Blt-Tex)
    -- Under is 5-1 in last six Cederstrom games, with dog 5-5 in his last ten behind plate (TB-A's)

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