Monday's Service Plays Thread & Requests

[BettorsChat]

nt

[fleetfox]

Buzz Sports

MINNESOTA (68 - 54) at TEXAS (69 - 52): Play On The Texas Rangers +115 3 Star 8/23/2004 7:05:00 PM

Monday, 8/23/2004 JOHAN SANTANA (L) vs. KENNY ROGERS (L). If Santana is going to get beat it will most likely be on the road where the Twins are 5-4 in his 9 starts. The Rangers are a solid 9-1 at home behind Rodgers and Texas has been strong against good starting pitchers. TEXAS is 16-6 (+13.1 Units) against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season. The average score was TEXAS 6.4, OPPONENT 4.0. Take the Rangers as my Top Underdog MLB Play Monday Night. This is a 3% Play

[fleetfox]

Marc Lawrence Tip of the Day

Kansas City is 5-14 in road series openers
and 2-6 on Mondays
this season.

[fleetfox]

Robert Ross FREEBIE

Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers
Monday, August 23, 2004 7:05 P.M. EDT EST

Jose Contreras has been on a mission since being traded by the Yankees to the White Sox. Chicago has won all four of his starts with the team. He is 3-0 with an ERA of just over 3.00.
Good Luck -Robert Ross

Play on: Chicago

[fleetfox]

Dave Scandaliato

RECORD IS 11-3 NFLX HITTING HIS PARLAY WITH CINN+3 AND BUFFALO+2. HE HAS A HUGE 5 UNIT PLAY ON UNDER 41 KC/STL AND A 2 UNIT ON THE RAMS+4.

[lawman1]

Goldsheet

Anyone with Goldsheet? Thanks in advance.

-LM1

[Spark]

BIG AL MCMORDIE

Preseason Monday Night Game of the Year is on the St. Louis Rams. play on any road underdog of more than 3 points in Game 2, if they lost Game 1 by less than two touchdowns. These teams are a sweet 36-12 ATS over the last 22 years. And if our road dog was favored by 3 or more points in that Game 1 loss, they are a perfect 100% (8-0) ATS. With the Rams off a 13-10 loss vs. the Bears as a 3-point favorite

[Spark]

thanks Neil

Dunkel Index - Monday
MONDAY, AUGUST 23
National League

Los Angeles (Perez) 13.34 (1 1/2) Montreal* (Kim) 11.67
O/U: 8

Pittsburgh* (Van Benschoten) 10.74 (2) Arizona (Fossum) 8.92
O/U: 10 1/2

San Diego (Peavy) 12.83 (1 1/2) New York Mets* (Heilman) 11.16
O/U: 8

Chicago Cubs* (Zambrano) 12.36 (3) Milwaukee (Sheets) 9.29
O/U: 8

Houston* (Clemens) 11.80 (1 1/2) Philadelphia (Lidle) 10.41
O/U: 9

American League

Boston (Martinez) 13.20 (2 1/2) Toronto* (Lilly) 10.73
O/U: 8 1/2

Detroit* (Bonderman) 11.20 (1/2) Chicago White Sox (Contreras) 11.04
O/U: 9 1/2

New York Yankees (Mussina) 10.61 (1) Cleveland* (Lee) 9.53
O/U: 10 1/2

Texas* (Rogers) 11.35 (1/2) Minnesota (Santana) 11.22
O/U: 9 1/2

Seattle* (Madritsch) 11.86 (2) Tampa Bay (Kazmir) 9.66
O/U: 8 1/2

Oakland* (Hudson) 12.88 (3) Baltimore (Lopez) 10.02
O/U: 8 1/2

Anaheim* (Colon) 12.29 (2) Kansas City (May) 10.12
O/U: 9 1/2

[hsp_012]

Spark

How does this index work?

[THICK 1]

PARAGRIN SPORTS

RAMS/CHEIFS OVER 41 10*

[BettorsChat]

Right Angle

USC vs Virginia Tech (UNDER - No Line) - 4:45pm - Saturday - 8/28/04 - Landover, MD
No total posted on this game as of yet but I am hoping for a line in the range of 44-49 to qualify this as an "early look" play. Any higher number than that may make this an official RAS 1 UNIT play later in the week. Many factors suggest this will be a low scoring game. USC only averaged 310.5 yards of offense (137.5 less than season average) in their first two games of last season. This year they will start the season with just two returning full time starters on offense unless by miracle WR Mike Williams (very doubtful) is reinstated in time for this game. USC has four new offensive line starters (the lone returning starter has been slowed by injury) who have good size and potential but as is often the case with inexperienced linemen they will be better run blockers than pass protectors in the early going. Practice reports have confirmed this to be the case. This means USC will probably be handing the ball off a lot to their impressive tailback duo of LenDale White and Reggie Bush. Meanwhile, the strength of the Virginia Tech defense is their front seven. With it being the season opener against the #1 ranked team in the country, they will be fired up and ready to go. Fueled by what is sure to be a partisan crowd, the Hokie defense should at least be able to make USC work for yards on the ground. When USC opts to pass, Tech should be able to apply decent QB pressure on Leinart who at 6-5, 220 is not very mobile.

Many teams are going to struggle against USC's defense this year and Virginia Tech will be no different. The Hokies will be trying to fill holes at RB, WR, and center where they lost three of the school's all time greats, all of which are in the NFL now. Two projected skill position starters RB Humes (ankle, probable) and WR Clifton (wrist, questionable) have been slowed by injuries in fall practice. I believe Virginia Tech knows they will not be able to run successfully on USC. Scrimmage reports suggest they will try to implement a short passing game with lots of QB rollouts. This in an attempt to neutralize the imposing Trojan defensive line. However, Tech lacks a playmaking receiver and the USC defense features great team speed as well as one of the top LB groups in the country. USC is very adept at limiting yards after catch. Without the help of a turnover or big special teams play, I do not expect Virginia Tech to score in double figures.

As a general rule, defenses are ahead of offenses at this early stage in the season. Both of these teams appear ready to illustrate a perfect example of this rule in this matchup. Both teams feature outstanding punters with VT's Burns earning Big East 2nd team honors the past two seasons and USC's Malone is a top NFL prospect after being named 1st team all-American last year. USC knows the only way they can lose this game is to make big mistakes (turnovers, special teams). I look for them to come out with a conservative gameplan early on and rely on their defense to set the tone. Play the under if line is reasonable.

If the posted total is less than 44: NO PLAY
If the posted total is between 44-49: Early Look (recommended as 1/2 UNIT)
If the posted total is above 49: Early Look + potential RAS official 1 UNIT play later in the week

[savage1]

NorthCoast Compline (Mike Lee) 4* on OVER in Detroit/ Chicago.
Sebastian comp. OVER the total in the football game tonight.
Computer Boys comp. is the LA Dodgers.

[Kaptain]

HSP 012

Originally posted by hsp_012
How does this index work?

Dunkel puts out (for many years) a rating they generate by comparing teams and that days particular Pitcher...The * denotes home team, and then the higher rated team is listed first, with the difference they project in parenthesis ( i e 1/2), means they figure that team a 1/2 run better, then the lower rated team, w/ their power rating and starting pitcher...The O/U is their projected rating of runs they calculate for both teams to score...

If you follow Dunkel to the bone---you'll wind up 53-55% winner after a full season and lose money...

The 3 Wise Men have devised a "K-factor Formula" in comparing the rating to the lines/odds...We have been very sucessful, if you track the daily OutPut by Coverboy...As to how we formulate that K-factor, is a long lost secret owned by one individual, and just recently shared with 2 other men this year...Thus the Formation of the 3 Wise Men....

It shall remain locked in "the vaults of our minds", but we do the work, break it down, share it with all on a daily basis, at this Forum Site ONLY.....

Thanks for your inquiry, and hope this answers your question...kmann---1 of the 3 WiseMen---aka---Kaptain TOF..

The other 2 are...CoverBoy/FrankB03....Spark is our inputer at times, posts it quite often, as he does a TON of others....Back track the Wise Mens threads, and you'll see this question asked and answered quite often....kmann

[hsp_012]

Thanks kmann

Well done on the explanation..
Thank you!

[Spark]

Re: Thanks kmann

Originally posted by hsp_012
Well done on the explanation..
Thank you!

That is why hsp I left it to the master....Kapt kmann TOF .....
My great buddy....