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  • Sundays Baseball Trends

    Sunday's games
    Hot Pitchers
    -- Oswalt is 5-0, 1.90 his last six starts, and has 3.15 RA in three '04 starts against the Cubs. Wood is 2-1, 2.86 his last three starts. Cubs are 5-0 if they give him four or more runs.
    -- Pavano has 1.76 RA in his last two starts; Florida is 9-2 in his road starts.
    -- Alvarez is 3-0, 2.59 his last four starts. Dodgers won his last three home starts. Wright is 6-1, 2.54 his last 8 starts, despite 1st inning KO last time out. Braves won six of his last seven road starts.
    -- Garcia is 5-3, 4.64 in his last eight starts.
    -- Escobar has 2.89 RA his last three starts, but Angels lost seven of his last nine road starts. Bronx won last 7 Brown home starts.
    -- Detroit won last seven Maroth starts (5-0, 3.31), and is 9-1 in his home starts, with six wins in a row.
    -- Redman is 2-1, 2.74 his last four starts. A's won his last three road starts. Tampa Bay is 7-1 in Brazelton home starts (2.42 RA in his last four)
    -- Bedard has 2.67 RA his last three starts, but Orioles lost seven of his last nine starts.
    -- Radke is 3-0, 2.53 his last six starts and is 1-0, 2.57 vs Cleveland this season.
    -- Greinke is 3-1, 4.38 in his last four starts.

    Cold Pitchers
    -- Santos is 1-5, 6.89 his last six starts; Brewers lost eight of his eleven home starts. Wolf is 1-4, 6.19 his last six starts.
    -- Vogelsong is 3-6, 7.19 his last eleven starts and 0-2, 14.14 vs St Louis this year. Morris has 7.76 RA in his last six starts, but Cards won 8 of his last 9 home starts
    -- Patterson is 1-1, 5.49 his last eight starts. Jennings is 1-2, 7.00 his last three starts, and has 6.21 RA in his last six Coors Field outings.
    -- Padres are 0-3 in Hitchcock starts (0-2, 6.17)
    -- Ginter is 0-2, 6.55 his last six starts. Rueter is 1-3, 6.27 in his last seven, but Giants are 6-2 in his last eight home outings.
    -- Reds lost last five Claussen starts (0-3, 7.99)
    -- Lowe has 7.83 RA his last eleven starts; Boston lost five of his last six road starts.
    -- Meche is 0-1, 10.13 his last four road starts.
    -- Miller is 0-3, 7.11 his last four starts, 0-2, 6.75 in his three road outings.
    -- Sabathia is 4-5, 6.19 in his last nine starts, but Tribe is 5-2 in his last seven road starts.
    -- Erickson is 1-2, 4.50 with the Rangers.


    Hot Teams
    -- Astros won five of their last six games.
    -- Phillies are 7-1 in last eight road games, as visitor is 16-2 in their last eighteen games.
    -- Cardinals won 20 of last 26 games and eight of last ten at Busch Stadium. Pirates are 9-6 in their last 15 ballgames, but lost last three games.
    -- Marlins are 6-3 in their last nine games.
    -- Giants won six of last nine home games. Mets won ten of last seventeen games.
    -- Braves are 19-6 in last twenty-five road games, and won their last eight road series.
    -- Red Sox scored 39 runs in winning last five games.
    -- Angels are 8-1 in their last nine road contests.
    -- Tigers scored 40 runs in winning four of last five tilts.
    -- A's won eleven of last fourteen road games, including last seven in row.
    -- Twins won five of their last six games.
    -- Rangers are on an eight-game winning streak.

    Cold Teams
    -- Cubs lost nine of their last fifteen games.
    -- Brewers lost nine of last eleven games at home and thirteen of last seventeen contests overall.
    -- Expos lost seven of last eleven road games. Rockies lost three of their last four games.
    -- Padres lost ten of their last fourteen home games.
    -- Dodgers lost five of their last nine home games, as their bullpen has had its worst week in three years.
    -- Reds are 8-15 in last twenty-three on road. Arizona lost twelve of last fifteen games.
    -- White Sox are 4-11 in their last fifteen home games.
    -- Bronx lost five of last six games, scoring total of one run in first two games of series vs Anaheim.
    -- Seattle lost 24 of its last 27 road games.
    -- Tampa Bay lost ten of its last eleven games.
    -- Toronto is 5-18 in its last twenty-three road games. Orioles lost last five games, after having won eight in row at Camden Yards.
    -- Indians lost last six games and are 5-10 in their last fifteen games on foreign soil.
    -- Royals lost ten of their last fourteen at home.

    Totals
    -- Over is 8-3 in last eleven Astro games, 9-5 in last 15 Cub games, 10-4 last fourteen Oswalt starts.
    -- Over is 7-4 in last eleven Wolf starts.
    -- Under is 17-8 in last 25 St Louis home games, 11-4 in last fifteen Vogelsong starts. .
    -- Under is 12-3 in last fifteen Coors Field games, 8-3 in last eleven Jennings starts.
    -- Over is 6-2-1 in last eight Florida road games, 11-6 in last sixteen Petco Park games.
    -- Over is 11-4 in last fifteen Met road games, 22-4 in last 26 Giant home games, 4-0 in last four Rueter starts 7-4 in last eleven Ginter starts.
    -- Under is 6-1 in last seven Wright starts.
    -- Over is 10-4 in last fourteen Cincinnati road games.
    -- Over is 4-0 in last four Boston road games, 7-3 last ten starts by Lowe.
    -- Under is 5-2 in last seven Escobar starts, 3-1 in last four starts by Brown.
    -- Under is 6-3 in last nine Seattle road games, 14-4 in last 18 Comerica games, 6-2 last eight Maroth starts.
    -- Under is 6-1 last seven Redman starts, 7-1 in eight Brazelton home starts.
    -- Under is 3-0-1 in last four starts by Bedard; Toronto scored 24 runs in first two games of this series.
    -- Under is 3-0 last three Sabathia starts, 4-1 in last five starts by Lohse.
    -- Over is 3-1 last four Greinke starts, after being 1-11 in his first dozen trips to the hill.

    Umpires
    -- Over is 11-2-1 last fourteen Hohn games, with dog 4-1 in his last five behind plate (Hst-Cubs)
    -- Over is 10-4-1 last fifteen Marsh games, with faves 11-2 in his last thirteen (Phil-Mil)
    -- Underdog is 5-2 last seven Knight games (Pitt-StL)
    -- Over is 7-4 last eleven Wegner games, with favorite winning his last eight behind the plate (Mtl-Colo)
    -- Under is 9-3-2 last fourteen Danley games, with the favorite 13-2 in his last fifteen behind plate (Fla-SD)
    -- Under is 7-3 last ten Gorman games (NYM-SF)
    -- Underdog is 6-3 in last nine Barksdale games, with three of last four going over total (Atl-LA)
    -- Under is 6-2 in last eight Cuzzi games, with underdog 10-5 in his last fifteen behind the plate.
    -- Under is 7-2 last nine Reliford games, with favorite 4-1 in his last five behind the plate (Bos-CWS)
    -- Visiting team won seven of last eight Hirschbeck tilts with four of last five going over total (Ana-NYY)
    -- Over is 4-1 in last five Reilly games, with faves 12-4 in his last sixteen behind the plate (Sea-Det)
    -- Over is 15-3-1 last nineteen Kelley games, with fave winning five of his last six games (A's-TB)
    -- Under is 6-3 last nine Cousins games, with road team winning his last three behind dish (Tor-Balt)
    -- Favorite won last seven Nelson games (Clev-Min)
    -- Three of last four McClelland games went over total, with fvaorite winning five of his last six (Tex-KC)

  • #2
    Major League Baseball Trends
    Sunday, August 21st

    National League:

    Chicago Cubs (7.5) at Houston (-125), 2:05 ET
    WOOD (R) vs. OSWALT (R)
    (Matchup)
    WOOD is 10-3 OVER when playing on Sunday
    OSWALT is 10-0 against the money line in August games

    Philadelphia (-125) at Milwaukee (9), 2:05 ET
    WOLF (L) vs. SANTOS (R)
    (Matchup)
    WOLF is 9-2 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -150
    SANTOS is 6-0 UNDER as a home underdog

    Pittsburgh (9.5) at St. Louis (-250), 2:15 ET
    VOGELSONG (R) vs. MORRIS (R)
    (Matchup)
    VOGELSONG is 1-8 against the money line when pitching in day games
    MORRIS is 5-1 UNDER in home games vs. division opponents this season

    Montreal (11.5) at Colorado (-140), 3:05 ET
    PATTERSON (R) vs. JENNINGS (R)
    (Matchup)
    PATTERSON is 5-1 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season
    JENNINGS is 16-2 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175

    NY Mets (10) at San Francisco (-155), 4:05 ET
    GINTER (R) vs. RUETER (L)
    (Matchup)
    NY METS are 16-6 UNDER vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game
    RUETER is 29-9 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record

    Florida (-125) at San Diego (, 4:05 ET
    PAVANO (R) vs. HITCHCOCK (L)
    (Matchup)
    PAVANO is 4-15 against the money line in road games after giving up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings
    SAN DIEGO is 17-9 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season

    Atlanta ( at Los Angeles (-120), 4:10 ET
    WRIGHT (R) vs. ALVAREZ (L)
    (Matchup)
    WRIGHT is 5-12 against the money line in road games when playing on Sunday
    ALVAREZ is 7-0 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150

    Cincinnati (-115) at Arizona (10), 4:35 ET
    CLAUSSEN (L) vs. RANDOLPH (L)
    (Matchup)
    CINCINNATI is 17-7 OVER on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season
    ARIZONA is 8-21 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 3 or less batters per start




    American League:

    Anaheim (9.5) at NY Yankees (-155), 1:05 ET
    ESCOBAR (R) vs. BROWN (R)
    (Matchup)
    ESCOBAR is 11-1 UNDER in road games when playing on Sunday
    BROWN is 8-1 (+5.7 Units) against the money line in home games as a favorite of -150 or more this season

    Seattle (9) at Detroit (-140), 1:05 ET
    MECHE (R) vs. MAROTH (L)
    (Matchup)
    MECHE is 5-15 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record
    MAROTH is 6-0 UNDER vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season

    Oakland (-120) at Tampa Bay (9), 1:15 ET
    REDMAN (L) vs. BRAZELTON (R)
    (Matchup)
    REDMAN is 6-0 UNDER in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game
    TAMPA BAY is 4-19 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season

    Toronto (10) at Baltimore (-155), 1:35 ET
    MILLER (R) vs. BEDARD (L)
    (Matchup)
    TORONTO is 14-6 against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.500 to 1.600
    BEDARD is 5-1 UNDER as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season

    Cleveland (8.5) at Minnesota (-120), 2:10 ET
    SABATHIA (L) vs. RADKE (R)
    (Matchup)
    CLEVELAND is 19-7 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control
    RADKE is 16-2 UNDER vs. teams who strand 7.5 or more runners on base per game in the second half of the season

    Texas (-130) at Kansas City (10.5), 2:10 ET
    ERICKSON (R) vs. GREINKE (R)
    (Matchup)
    TEXAS is 19-4 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.00 to 4.70 this season
    KANSAS CITY is 3-21 against the money line vs. a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better this season

    Boston (-110) at Chicago White Sox (9.5), 8:05 ET
    LOWE (R) vs. GARCIA (R)
    (Matchup)
    LOWE is 31-15 OVER (+14.3 Units) in road games
    GARCIA is 5-12 against the money line when pitching in night games this season


    **Denotes Time Change

    Comment


    • #3
      Trends for MLB games on Sunday, August 22nd, 2004
      Seattle Mariners @ Detroit Tigers
      Gil Meche (3 - 5, 5.63 ERA) v. Mike Maroth (10 - 7, 4.39 ERA)
      Seattle Mariners are 19 - 53 against a poor base-stealing (≤ .65 sb/attempts) team as a dog on the road.
      Anaheim Angels @ New York Yankees
      Kelvim Escobar (7 - 9, 4.19 ERA) v. Kevin Brown (9 - 2, 3.81 ERA)
      Kelvim Escobar is 5 - 1 this month as a dog on the road.
      When Kelvim Escobar is starting, his team is 3 - 8 versus NYY.
      Kevin Brown has 2 overs, 4 unders, and 0 pushes against total ≥ 9 and total ≤ 9.5 in the current park.
      When Kevin Brown is starting, his team is 2 - 4 versus ANA.
      Anaheim Angels are 7 - 4 against a team prone to hit into double plays (≥ .85 gdp/g) as a dog on the road.
      Oakland Athletics @ Tampa Bay Devil Rays
      Mark Redman (9 - 9, 4.38 ERA) v. Dewon Brazelton (5 - 4, 3.49 ERA)
      Dewon Brazelton has 0 overs, 7 unders, and 0 pushes against total ≥ 9 and total ≤ 9.5 in the current park.
      When Mark Redman is starting, his team is 5 - 0 versus TB.
      Dewon Brazelton has 4 overs, 2 unders, and 0 pushes as a dog at home.
      Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles
      Justin Miller (1 - 2, 4.70 ERA) v. Erik Bedard (5 - 7, 4.33 ERA)
      Erik Bedard has 1 overs, 5 unders, and 1 pushes as a favorite at home.
      Chicago Cubs @ Houston Astros
      Kerry Wood (7 - 5, 2.91 ERA) v. Roy Oswalt (13 - 8, 3.44 ERA)
      Roy Oswalt is 7 - 1 this month as a favorite at home.
      Kerry Wood has 9 overs, 16 unders, and 0 pushes as dog on the road.
      Philadelphia Phillies @ Milwaukee Brewers
      Randy Wolf (5 - 8, 4.23 ERA) v. Victor Santos (10 - 8, 4.11 ERA)
      When Randy Wolf is starting, his team is 6 - 2 versus MIL.
      Victor Santos has 3 overs, 9 unders, and 2 pushes as a dog at home.
      Texas Rangers @ Kansas City Royals
      Scott Erickson (0 - 1, 7.88 ERA) v. Zack Greinke (5 - 9, 4.67 ERA)
      When Scott Erickson is starting, his team is 4 - 1 versus KC.
      Scott Erickson has 5 overs, 9 unders, and 0 pushes as favorite on the road.
      Zack Greinke has 3 overs, 5 unders, and 0 pushes as a dog at home.
      Cleveland Indians @ Minnesota Twins
      C.C. Sabathia (9 - 7, 3.91 ERA) v. Brad Radke (8 - 6, 3.55 ERA)
      C.C. Sabathia is 4 - 13 against a righthander as a dog on the road.
      When Brad Radke is starting, his team is 4 - 11 versus CLE.
      C.C. Sabathia has 3 overs, 5 unders, and 0 pushes against MIN on the road.
      Brad Radke is 6 - 10 against ground ball-hitting team as a favorite at home.
      Pittsburgh Pirates @ St. Louis Cardinals
      Ryan Vogelsong (4 - 9, 6.35 ERA) v. Matt Morris (12 - 8, 4.67 ERA)
      Matt Morris is 9 - 1 this month as a favorite at home.
      Matt Morris has 1 overs, 5 unders, and 0 pushes against total ≥ 9.5 and total ≤ 10 in the current park.
      Matt Morris is 36 - 12 against a righthander as a favorite at home.
      When Matt Morris is starting, his team is 5 - 2 versus PIT.
      Matt Morris is 44 - 19 overall as a favorite at home.
      Montreal Expos @ Colorado Rockies
      John Patterson (2 - 2, 4.47 ERA) v. Jason Jennings (11 - 10, 6.03 ERA)
      Jason Jennings is 6 - 0 against ground ball-hitting team as a favorite at home.
      Jason Jennings is 5 - 0 this month as a favorite at home.
      Jason Jennings is 9 - 0 against a poor run-creating team (≤ 4.5 rc/g) as a favorite at home.
      Jason Jennings is 16 - 2 against a righthander as a favorite at home.
      Jason Jennings is 22 - 3 overall as a favorite at home.
      Boston Red Sox @ Chicago White Sox
      Derek Lowe (11 - 10, 5.26 ERA) v. Freddy Garcia (6 - 3, 4.61 ERA)
      Derek Lowe is 10 - 4 overall as a dog on the road.
      Derek Lowe has 24 overs, 10 unders, and 0 pushes as favorite on the road.
      Derek Lowe is 7 - 3 against a good run-creating team (≥ 5 rc/g) as a dog on the road.
      Freddy Garcia is 5 - 8 against a poor run-creating team (≤ 4.5 rc/g) as a favorite at home.
      Florida Marlins @ San Diego Padres
      Carl Pavano (13 - 5, 3.02 ERA) v. Sterling Hitchcock (0 - 2, 6.23 ERA)
      Sterling Hitchcock has 9 overs, 5 unders, and 0 pushes against total ≥ 8 and total ≤ 8.5 in the current park.
      New York Mets @ San Francisco Giants
      Matt Ginter (1 - 2, 4.62 ERA) v. Kirk Rueter (6 - 9, 5.21 ERA)
      Matt Ginter has 1 overs, 4 unders, and 0 pushes as dog on the road.
      Kirk Rueter is 14 - 4 against a poor run-creating team (≤ 4.5 rc/g) as a favorite at home.
      Kirk Rueter is 56 - 23 overall as a favorite at home.
      Kirk Rueter is 42 - 21 against a righthander as a favorite at home.
      Atlanta Braves @ Los Angeles Dodgers
      Jaret Wright (11 - 6, 3.26 ERA) v. Wilson Alvarez (7 - 3, 3.19 ERA)
      Wilson Alvarez is 8 - 2 overall as a favorite at home.
      Wash. D.C. 8 sq. miles surrounded by REALITY

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