Ok, last time out was a little embarassing giving an over 8.5 total that was 0-0 in the fifth, as is giving a -147 as a 10* but i figure, unlike these moronic services who are giving GOY's by the hour, at 4-1 in the last 5, i may have some more credibilty; and since i am playing this as a 10*, i give it out
without further adieu::
10* San Fransisco -147 vs. montreal------->obviously, i am not particularly fond of kirk reuter but he is something like 12-2 against montreal lifetime............the thing i really like about this game is the 'streak factor'; montreal had won 7 in a row and lost painfully in the 9th yesterday afternoon........historically, i think you would find most teams in last place after the middle of the year that win 3+ in a row will usually lose the next time out following the loss that ends the streak...... look at the devil rays and what they did after that ridiculous streeak-->point being a team like montreal obviously was sky high for the weekend and beat clemens (sort of), and then they get deflated with a loss and realize it is august 16th and they are in last ....as usaul, i have no legit stats to back this up but i figure you combine, montreal losing after winning 7 straight, then waking up and going all the way out to san fran with the fact san fran is playing very good baseball and you get an easy san fran win.........
patterson, the expos SP has been pretty good coming off the DL but he is also coming over his season high pitch total.........as bad as reuter is, and he is bad, he can usually come up with good starts and they seem to come when the team is playing well
we just need to avoid the following stat::
jose vidro is like 89 for 90 in games when i have bet against montreal with about 2000 rbi's............so factor is vidro going 4-4 for a hr and 4 rbi and sf takes it 7-4!!!!!!!!!
good luck
b
without further adieu::
10* San Fransisco -147 vs. montreal------->obviously, i am not particularly fond of kirk reuter but he is something like 12-2 against montreal lifetime............the thing i really like about this game is the 'streak factor'; montreal had won 7 in a row and lost painfully in the 9th yesterday afternoon........historically, i think you would find most teams in last place after the middle of the year that win 3+ in a row will usually lose the next time out following the loss that ends the streak...... look at the devil rays and what they did after that ridiculous streeak-->point being a team like montreal obviously was sky high for the weekend and beat clemens (sort of), and then they get deflated with a loss and realize it is august 16th and they are in last ....as usaul, i have no legit stats to back this up but i figure you combine, montreal losing after winning 7 straight, then waking up and going all the way out to san fran with the fact san fran is playing very good baseball and you get an easy san fran win.........
patterson, the expos SP has been pretty good coming off the DL but he is also coming over his season high pitch total.........as bad as reuter is, and he is bad, he can usually come up with good starts and they seem to come when the team is playing well
we just need to avoid the following stat::
jose vidro is like 89 for 90 in games when i have bet against montreal with about 2000 rbi's............so factor is vidro going 4-4 for a hr and 4 rbi and sf takes it 7-4!!!!!!!!!
good luck
b
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