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Really like Wayne's Grand Slam Plays. It's no secret that they are trustworthy, but for newer members and lurkers, here's your favorite moderator's numbers on his "Grand Slam" baseball plays.
During the first 60 days or so Wayne limited his Grand Slams to just a handful as would be expected, posting 5 games in about 55 days for an average of 1 game every 11 days or so.
Since the week of May leading up to Memorial Day Weekend--when the boys of summer get cranked up--Wayne has posted 47 plays in 80 days, or an average of 1 play every 1.7 days.
The plays are tasty with many of them getting money back (2-team parlays) with strong winning teams w/ace pitchers on the mound. That's appealing.
Or, if not a parlay, Wayne often takes a strong winning team w/ace pitcher on the runline, thus, again, often getting money back with the strong team. That's pretty smart, but the heck with the runline right?
Out of 18 runline plays, the lay of 1.5 only made in difference 1 time. Seventeen out of 18 times when the team won the team covered. That's pretty juicy considering the huge advantage in the lay.
I always put a lot of weight to the return on risk. Waynes' ROR on his baseball games rated "Grand Slam" or higher (he went 2-0 on 10-star and 1-0 on 15-star) is a very strong 26.78%. You would not ordinarily find ROR's this high. With nearly fifty games under the belt this season, it's obvisous that Wayne is one to follow in baseball when it comes to his top-rated plays.
Here's the lowdown since they Week of Memorial Day:
Plays: 47
Wins: 29
Losses: 18
Net: +13.60 Net Games
risk: 50.79
ror: 26.78%
8/12 bos + sfo +100 win
8/11 phi + cub +150 win*
8/11 ana -1.5 +140 wiin
8/10 bos + atl +141 lose
8/09 Phil. (Milton) -1.5 +122 lose
8/07 Houston (Pettitte) - White Sox (Garcia) +135 lose
8/06 Yankees (Vazquez) -1.5 - Houston (Oswalt) +141 win
8/05 St Louis (Carpenter) - Florida (Pavano) +104 win*
8/04 Yankees (Loaiza) -1.5 +147 win
8/03 Cubs (Wood) -1.5 -106 win
7/31 Oakland (Zito) +112 win**
7/30 S.D. (Eaton) -133 lose
7/29 Cubs (Zambrano) -1.5 -105 win
7/28 Houston (Clemens) -1.5 - Boston (Schilling) +146 lose
7/27 Houston (Oswalt) - Anaheim (Colon) +107 win
7/24 St Louis (Carpenter) -1.5 +123 lose
7/22 Atlanta (Ortiz) - L.A. (Perez) +153 win
7/21 Yankees (Vazquez) -1.5 -129 win
7/18 Boston (Schilling) -147 win
7/18 Florida (Penny) +117 lose
7/17 Florida (Pavano) -125 lose
7/17 S.F. (Schmidt) -1.5 -117 win
7/16 Boston (Martinez) -138 win
7/15 Cubs (Prior) -1.5 +111 win
7/11 Minnesota (Santana) - White Sox (Garcia) +150 lose
7/11 S.F. (Schmidt) -1.5 -137 win
7/10 Texas (Rogers) +109 lose
7/09 Houston (Pettitte) -104 win
7/09 Minnesota (Silva) -149 lose
7/07 Boston (Martinez) - Cubs (Zambrano) +141 lose
7/06 Cubs (Prior) - S.F. (Schmidt) +125 lose
7/05 Florida (Beckett) - Yankees (Lieber) +156 lose
7/04 Yankees (Vazquez) -1.5 -125 lose
7/03 Boston (Schilling) -1.5 -101 win
7/03 Yankees (Contreras) -1.5 +105 lose
7/01 Phil. (Wolf) - Cubs (Prior) +133 win
6/28 Phil. (Millwood) -1.5 +100 win
6/27 Boston (Schilling) - Yanks (Mussina) +118 win
6/22 Boston (Schilling) - Houston (Oswalt) +122 win
6/12 Toronto (Halladay) - Yankees (Lieber) +132 win
6/09 Yankees (Brown) -1.5 -124 win
6/08 Yankees (Vazquez) -1.5 -139 lose
6/05 Boston (Schilling) - Yanks (Lieber) +124 lose
6/03 Yankees (Vazquez) -1.5 +106 win
5/30 Boston (Schilling) - S.F. (Schmidt) +107 win
5/28 Boston (Martinez) - N.Y. (Vazquez) +111 win
5/25 Boston (Schilling) - S.F. (Schmidt) +137 win
dave
During the first 60 days or so Wayne limited his Grand Slams to just a handful as would be expected, posting 5 games in about 55 days for an average of 1 game every 11 days or so.
Since the week of May leading up to Memorial Day Weekend--when the boys of summer get cranked up--Wayne has posted 47 plays in 80 days, or an average of 1 play every 1.7 days.
The plays are tasty with many of them getting money back (2-team parlays) with strong winning teams w/ace pitchers on the mound. That's appealing.
Or, if not a parlay, Wayne often takes a strong winning team w/ace pitcher on the runline, thus, again, often getting money back with the strong team. That's pretty smart, but the heck with the runline right?
Out of 18 runline plays, the lay of 1.5 only made in difference 1 time. Seventeen out of 18 times when the team won the team covered. That's pretty juicy considering the huge advantage in the lay.
I always put a lot of weight to the return on risk. Waynes' ROR on his baseball games rated "Grand Slam" or higher (he went 2-0 on 10-star and 1-0 on 15-star) is a very strong 26.78%. You would not ordinarily find ROR's this high. With nearly fifty games under the belt this season, it's obvisous that Wayne is one to follow in baseball when it comes to his top-rated plays.
Here's the lowdown since they Week of Memorial Day:
Plays: 47
Wins: 29
Losses: 18
Net: +13.60 Net Games
risk: 50.79
ror: 26.78%
8/12 bos + sfo +100 win
8/11 phi + cub +150 win*
8/11 ana -1.5 +140 wiin
8/10 bos + atl +141 lose
8/09 Phil. (Milton) -1.5 +122 lose
8/07 Houston (Pettitte) - White Sox (Garcia) +135 lose
8/06 Yankees (Vazquez) -1.5 - Houston (Oswalt) +141 win
8/05 St Louis (Carpenter) - Florida (Pavano) +104 win*
8/04 Yankees (Loaiza) -1.5 +147 win
8/03 Cubs (Wood) -1.5 -106 win
7/31 Oakland (Zito) +112 win**
7/30 S.D. (Eaton) -133 lose
7/29 Cubs (Zambrano) -1.5 -105 win
7/28 Houston (Clemens) -1.5 - Boston (Schilling) +146 lose
7/27 Houston (Oswalt) - Anaheim (Colon) +107 win
7/24 St Louis (Carpenter) -1.5 +123 lose
7/22 Atlanta (Ortiz) - L.A. (Perez) +153 win
7/21 Yankees (Vazquez) -1.5 -129 win
7/18 Boston (Schilling) -147 win
7/18 Florida (Penny) +117 lose
7/17 Florida (Pavano) -125 lose
7/17 S.F. (Schmidt) -1.5 -117 win
7/16 Boston (Martinez) -138 win
7/15 Cubs (Prior) -1.5 +111 win
7/11 Minnesota (Santana) - White Sox (Garcia) +150 lose
7/11 S.F. (Schmidt) -1.5 -137 win
7/10 Texas (Rogers) +109 lose
7/09 Houston (Pettitte) -104 win
7/09 Minnesota (Silva) -149 lose
7/07 Boston (Martinez) - Cubs (Zambrano) +141 lose
7/06 Cubs (Prior) - S.F. (Schmidt) +125 lose
7/05 Florida (Beckett) - Yankees (Lieber) +156 lose
7/04 Yankees (Vazquez) -1.5 -125 lose
7/03 Boston (Schilling) -1.5 -101 win
7/03 Yankees (Contreras) -1.5 +105 lose
7/01 Phil. (Wolf) - Cubs (Prior) +133 win
6/28 Phil. (Millwood) -1.5 +100 win
6/27 Boston (Schilling) - Yanks (Mussina) +118 win
6/22 Boston (Schilling) - Houston (Oswalt) +122 win
6/12 Toronto (Halladay) - Yankees (Lieber) +132 win
6/09 Yankees (Brown) -1.5 -124 win
6/08 Yankees (Vazquez) -1.5 -139 lose
6/05 Boston (Schilling) - Yanks (Lieber) +124 lose
6/03 Yankees (Vazquez) -1.5 +106 win
5/30 Boston (Schilling) - S.F. (Schmidt) +107 win
5/28 Boston (Martinez) - N.Y. (Vazquez) +111 win
5/25 Boston (Schilling) - S.F. (Schmidt) +137 win
dave
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