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Welcome to our first annual service free trial!
-- WinOnBaseball handicaps Major League Baseball exclusively.
-- All plays with analysis, along with current and past season records, will be updated weekly on the "Records" page of our website.
-- All records will be documented at National Sports Monitor (*********.com)
-- NEXT UPDATE will be sent before 6:00am Pacific on Sunday, August 1st.
Season record: 189-190 -16.42 UNITS
Five plays for Saturday:
STL (MORRIS) -140 over SF (Rueter) - 1 UNIT - 7:15 pm Pacific
Morris has made a slight change in his delivery, and now he is starting to look like the Morris of old. The long ball has been Morris' enemy this year, but he has been correcting that. In four of his last five games, he hasn't given up any HRs, which should be a good sign of things to come. Moreover, he will be pitching in SBC, which will benefit him. He dominated the Giants in his last start, needing only 106 pitches for a complete game shutout. The St. Louis bats should be able to hit a very mediocre pitcher in Rueter.
CHW (BUEHRLE) -115 over Det (Maroth) - 1 UNIT - 4:05pm Pacific
Maroth has been very impressive at home this year (2.60 ERA vs. 5.99 ERA on the road). However, the combination of the Sox's righty dominated lineup and Buehrle on the mound should be enough to overcome Maroth's success at home. The huge difference in Maroth's home.road splits suggests that something is a little flukey, and I tend to believe it's his home numbers.
MIN (RADKE) -103 over Bos (Lowe) - 1 UNIT - 4:10pm Pacific
Radke has been pretty dominating in July. His K/BB ratio was 21:1 for the month. The Boston lineup likes to take the free passes, but Radke won't allow them. Lowe isn't very good, and his defense usually has been playing bad when he's on the mound, which especially hurts because he relies on his sinker so much. The Twins lineup should be able to hit him, and Radke should keep the Boston bats in check.
KC (GREINKE) +130 over Cle (Tadano) - 1 UNIT - 4:10pm Pacific
Due to his age, it should be expected that Greinke would have his ups and downs. His last start, which also happeed to be against Cleveland, was a downer (at least initially). He gave up four runs in the first, using mainly fastballs, while inexplicably staying away from his greatest strength, which is varying speeds. After that, he settled into a groove, retiring the next 11 batters in a row. For the game, he gave up only one other run, and seemed to be in control. That game was a learning experience for him, and the quality he displayed after the first inning should show up in this game.
TEX (DRESE) -121 over Oak (Zito) - 1 UNIT - 5:05pm Pacific
Zito does not even remotely resemble the pitcher he was two years ago. His fastball/curveball mix is just average now. He has issued a ton of walks and given up a ton of HRs. Against a lineup like Texas in a park like Arlington, he could be in nbig trouble. Drese has been incredible at home. He's probably pitching over his head, but this I'm not too concerned because Texas should be able to hit Zito pretty hardGLTAComment
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Saturday MLB Trends
Trends for MLB games on Saturday, July 31st, 2004
Philadelphia Phillies @ Chicago Cubs
Kevin Millwood (8 - 6, 4.91 era) @ Matt Clement (8 - 9, 3.05 era)
When Kevin Millwood is starting, his team is 6 - 1 versus CHC.
Mike Everitt has 5 overs, 1 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against CHC.
Matt Clement has 2 overs, 4 unders, and 0 pushes against PHI at home.
Mike Everitt has 2 overs, 4 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against PHI.
Matt Clement is 36 - 20 against a righthander as a favorite at home.
Matt Clement is 41 - 23 overall as a favorite at home.
Houston Astros @ Cincinnati Reds
Andy Pettitte (6 - 4, 4.11 era) @ Brandon Claussen (2 - 2, 4.63 era)
Andy Pettitte is 2 - 6 against a strikeout-prone lineup (¡Ý 7 k/g) as a favorite on the road.
Andy Pettitte is 5 - 11 against a lefthander as a favorite on the road.
Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees
Erik Bedard (4 - 5, 4.42 era) @ Javier Vazquez (11 - 6, 4.06 era)
Javier Vazquez is 13 - 3 against a lefthander as a favorite at home.
Javier Vazquez is 8 - 2 this month as a favorite at home.
Javier Vazquez is 44 - 20 overall as a favorite at home.
Seattle Mariners @ Anaheim Angels
Travis Blackley (1 - 3, 10.38 era) @ Kelvim Escobar (5 - 8, 4.15 era)
Kelvim Escobar is 4 - 7 against a good extrapolated runs team (¡Ý 5.1 xr/g) as a favorite at home.
Larry Young has 3 overs, 5 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against SEA.
Montreal Expos @ Florida Marlins
John Patterson (1 - 2, 4.75 era) @ A.J. Burnett (2 - 5, 4.45 era)
John Patterson is 0 - 5 against ground ball-hitting team as a dog on the road.
Bruce Dreckman has 11 overs, 18 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against total ¡Ý 8 and total ¡Ü 8.5.
A.J. Burnett has 11 overs, 17 unders, and 0 pushes against total ¡Ý 8 and total ¡Ü 8.5 in the current park.
New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves
Aaron Heilman @ Jaret Wright (8 - 5, 3.23 era)
Dana DeMuth is 2 - 8 when umpiring where the dog at home is a poor bb/ip pitcher.
Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers
Mark Buehrle (10 - 4, 3.93 era) @ Mike Maroth (8 - 7, 4.6 era)
Mark Buehrle has 1 overs, 5 unders, and 0 pushes against DET on the road.
Bill Hohn is 4 - 13 when umpiring where the dog at home is a poor OBP team.
When Mark Buehrle is starting, his team is 8 - 4 versus DET.
Bill Hohn is 15 - 27 when umpiring as a "homer" for a dog.
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers
Ryan Vogelsong (2 - 7, 6.93 era) @ Victor Santos (9 - 5, 3.58 era)
Martin Foster is 3 - 13 when umpiring where the dog on the road is a poor bb/ip team.
Martin Foster is 14 - 5 when umpiring where the favorite at home is a poor bb/ip pitcher.
Martin Foster has 4 overs, 2 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against MIL.
Cleveland Indians @ Kansas City Royals
Kazuhito Tadano (1 - 0, 4.73 era) @ Zack Greinke (2 - 8, 4.77 era)
Zack Greinke has 0 overs, 5 unders, and 0 pushes against total ¡Ý 9 and total ¡Ü 9.5 in the current park.
Zack Greinke has 1 overs, 5 unders, and 0 pushes as a dog at home.
Boston Red Sox @ Minnesota Twins
Derek Lowe (9 - 9, 5.56 era) @ Brad Radke (7 - 6, 3.69 era)
Derek Lowe has 24 overs, 8 unders, and 0 pushes as favorite on the road.
Derek Lowe is 10 - 4 overall as a dog on the road.
Joe West is 45 - 19 when umpiring as a "homer" for a favorite.
When Brad Radke is starting, his team is 6 - 3 versus BOS.
Joe West is 73 - 41 when umpiring as a "homer" overall.
Brad Radke is 6 - 10 against a good on-base-percentage (¡Ý .345) team as a favorite at home.
Brad Radke is 6 - 10 against ground ball-hitting team as a favorite at home.
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies
Brandon Webb (4 - 11, 3.68 era) @ Shawn Estes (10 - 4, 5.83 era)
When Shawn Estes is starting, his team is 2 - 8 versus ARI.
Arizona Diamondbacks are 14 - 37 against a poor base-stealing (¡Ü .65 sb/attempts) team as a dog on the road.
Shawn Estes is 44 - 23 overall as a favorite at home.
Derryl Cousins is 13 - 23 when umpiring where the dog on the road is a good OBP team.
Shawn Estes is 33 - 19 against a righthander as a favorite at home.
Derryl Cousins has 5 overs, 3 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against COL.
Oakland Athletics @ Texas Rangers
Barry Zito (6 - 7, 4.74 era) @ Ryan Drese (7 - 5, 3.47 era)
When Barry Zito is starting, his team is 17 - 2 versus TEX.
Bruce Froemming is 10 - 23 when umpiring where the dog on the road is a good OBP team.
Bruce Froemming has 4 overs, 2 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against OAK.
Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres
Kazuhisa Ishii (11 - 5, 4.63 era) @ Jake Peavy (7 - 3, 2.32 era)
Kazuhisa Ishii is 5 - 1 against ground ball-hitting team as a dog on the road.
Charlie Reliford is 9 - 3 when umpiring where the dog on the road is a poor bb/ip team.
St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants
Matt Morris (11 - 6, 4.33 era) @ Kirk Rueter (5 - 8, 5 era)
When Kirk Rueter is starting, his team is 10 - 2 versus STL.
Kirk Rueter has 2 overs, 4 unders, and 0 pushes against STL at home.
Kirk Rueter has 5 overs, 9 unders, and 0 pushes as a dog at homeGLTAComment
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Paragrin Sports
From another site...do not know if he is any good or not?
MARLINS -175 3*
D-BACKS +120 2*
WHITE SOX -120 2*
TWINS PK 3*
INDIANS -140 2GLTAComment
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More Trends
New York Mets at Atlanta Braves
• Mets are 2-8 in Heilman's last 10 starts.
• New York is 3-7 in their last 10 overall.
• Braves are 7-3 in Wright's last 10 starts.
• Atlanta is 7-1 in their last eight overall.
• ATL is 6-2 in the last eight meetings.
Play: Atlanta (No Line Yet)
Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers
• Under is 5-1 in Buehrle's last six starts.
• Under is 12-8 in the last 20 meetings.
• Under is 5-1 in Maroth's last six starts vs. CHW.
• Under is 14-6 in the Tigers last 20 overall.
Play: Under 8.5 (-115)Last edited by fleetfox; 07-31-2004, 08:23 AM.GLTAComment
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FREEBIES
This site monitors FREE picks only. Visit sites directly for higher rated picks*
LW=Last Week"s Record TW=This Week"s Record - *Did not meet minimum*
RK Service Sport Today"s Pick TW LW
#2 Psychic Sports MLB Chicago-A (-120) 2-2 +0 5-1 +458
#3 Joe Wiz MLB Chicago-A (-120) 2-3 -235 5-2 +317
#5 Assassins Picks MLB Chicago-N (-145) 2-3 -188 4-2 +250
#8 Sports Winners MLB Colorado Under (13) (-115) 2-2 -15 4-2 +122
#19 Buzz Sports MLB Florida (-185) 2-2 -180 2-5 -385
#20 Texas Sports MLB Tampa Bay (-125) 3-2 +100 2-5 -441 (NOT TEXAS SPORTS WIRE))
#21 Sports Consultants MLB St Louis (-135) 3-1 +185 2-5 -476
#23 VegasSI MLB San Diego Over (7) 1-1 -10 0-1 -GLTAComment
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Marc Lawrence Tip of the Day
Arizona is 1-15 on Saturdays, 3-11 away at night vs southpaws and 3-9 away behind Brandon Webb this season.GLTAComment
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Robert Ross FREEBIE
Oakland A's at Texas Rangers
Saturday, July 31 7:05 P.M. EDT EST
Though Barry Zito won his last start he still did not pitch well vs. lowly Seattle and was given 14 runs to work with. Now he steps up in class on the road vs. Texas and vs. a better mound foe in Ryan Drese.
Good Luck - Robert Ross
Play on: TexasGLTAComment
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Vegas Experts Tip of the Day
Cleveland Indians at Kansas City Royals, Saturday, July 31, 7:10 P.M. EDT EST
Have to continue to fade the fading Royals. Rookie Zack Greinke pitched well in the early going but like his team has faded in the summer's heat. The Royals have now lost eight straight, five of them to the Indians. The Indians have taken 7-of-8 and are hanging in the A.L. Central race.
Play on: Cleveland IndiansGLTAComment
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Believe me guys I do not want to continue the conversation we had going yesterday about shills but I really want to comment to bettors the way he stepped in to help us.... He has always tried to weed the shills out of his forums the same way we do... I think it is great to have the boss on the same page as we are...
Bettors knows what I went through last year in baskets... I was getting e-mails almost daily from services threatening to suspend me ...but that was because I was dumb enough to post my addy on a site and forgot to pull it down...but they could never prove it was me.... I had one guy tell me he was going to show up at my door step because I called him an idiot up here...
Anyway, I know for a fact that services do view these forums and I do not trust anyone when they come on here and back a particular service to a point where they start arguing with someone.... also, kudos to you again bettors for helping and getting involved... You do a great job here and thanks....Comment
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Re: Marc Lawrence Tip of the Day
Mark really had to dig deep for these didn't he??Originally posted by fleetfox
Arizona is 1-15 on Saturdays, 3-11 away at night vs southpaws and 3-9 away behind Brandon Webb this season.
Comment
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Kudos to BC also..they helped me out last year also and as you can see I still post Services....HOWEVER I do not endorse nor recommend any of them..good luck everyone today
Big Mike
he must be getting desperateGLTAComment
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I think you could say those trends about Arizona on anyday against any opponent!Comment
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Uncle Lou Sports
Today we like Colorado (Estes -$140) against Arizona (Webb). We took the Rockies as a nice doggie last night and they came through for us, now we have them as a favorite with their ace, Shawn Estes. Estes is 10-4 on the season and though his Era is high, it is to be expected when you pitch more than half your games at home. He is 2-0 over his last three starts and is 1-0 versus the DBacks this season. Colorado is now 7-3 over their last 10 games and have a much better lineup to support Estes if Coors Field allows Arizona to score a few. Webb is 4-11 this season and 1-2 over his last three outings. Arizona is 2-8 over their last 10 games and 17-35 on the road this seasonGLTAComment
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