Mlb Trends Thursday

[GR8Life]

Trends for MLB games on Thursday, July 29th, 2004
Atlanta Braves @ Pittsburgh Pirates
John Thomson is 2 - 7 overall as a favorite on the road.
Lance Barksdale has 5 overs, 2 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against ATL.
Josh Fogg is 12 - 6 against a righthander as a dog at home.
Josh Fogg has 5 overs, 8 unders, and 0 pushes against total ≥ 9 and total ≤ 9.5 in the current park.
New York Mets @ Montreal Expos
Fieldin Culbreth has 0 overs, 6 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against NYM.
Al Leiter has 1 overs, 7 unders, and 0 pushes against MON on the road.
Al Leiter is 2 - 7 this month as a favorite on the road.
When Al Leiter is starting, his team is 4 - 10 versus MON.
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Houston Astros
John Hirschbeck is 10 - 29 when umpiring where the dog on the road is a good OBP team.
Tim Redding has 6 overs, 20 unders, and 2 pushes as a favorite at home.
Tim Redding has 5 overs, 12 unders, and 0 pushes against total ≥ 9.5 and total ≤ 10 in the current park.
John Hirschbeck is 40 - 17 when umpiring where the favorite at home is a good OBP team.
John Hirschbeck has 2 overs, 4 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against HOU.
John Hirschbeck is 76 - 42 when umpiring as a "homer" for a favorite.
Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers
Carlos Zambrano is 1 - 4 against a strikeout-prone lineup (≥ 7 k/g) as a favorite on the road.
Ron Kulpa is 9 - 3 when umpiring where the favorite on the road is a poor k/bb team.
Ron Kulpa is 20 - 36 when umpiring as a "homer" for a dog.
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies
Wilson Alvarez is 5 - 0 overall as a favorite on the road.
When Jamey Wright is starting, his team is 1 - 4 versus LA.
Jamey Wright is 11 - 4 against ground ball-hitting team as a dog at home.
Gerry Davis is 7 - 13 when umpiring where the dog at home is a good OBP team.
Gerry Davis is 26 - 41 when umpiring as a "homer" for a dog.
Philadelphia Phillies @ Florida Marlins
Kevin Kelley has 27 overs, 14 unders, and 2 pushes umpiring overall.
Paul Abbott has 10 overs, 17 unders, and 1 pushes as dog on the road.
Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers
When Scott Schoeneweis is starting, his team is 6 - 0 versus DET.
Jason Johnson has 1 overs, 5 unders, and 0 pushes against total ≥ 9.5 and total ≤ 10 in the current park.
Jason Johnson is 2 - 7 against a lefthander as a favorite at home.
Jason Johnson is 3 - 8 against a poor run-creating team (≤ 4.5 rc/g) as a favorite at home.
Jason Johnson is 3 - 8 against a good total bases (≥ 15 tb/g) team as a favorite at home.
Scott Schoeneweis is 12 - 24 overall as a dog on the road.
Scott Schoeneweis is 10 - 18 against a righthander as a dog on the road.
Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees
When Sidney Ponson is starting, his team is 5 - 14 versus NYY.
Oakland Athletics @ Texas Rangers
R.A. Dickey has 4 overs, 0 unders, and 1 pushes against total ≥ 11 and total ≤ 11.5 in the current park.
R.A. Dickey has 5 overs, 2 unders, and 0 pushes as a favorite at home.
Seattle Mariners @ Anaheim Angels
When Aaron Sele is starting, his team is 2 - 7 versus SEA.
Aaron Sele is 51 - 25 overall as a favorite at home.
San Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres
Angel Hernandez has 5 overs, 1 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against SFO.
Angel Hernandez has 1 overs, 4 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against SD.
Ismael Valdez is 11 - 3 against ground ball-hitting team as a favorite at home.
Ismael Valdez has 1 overs, 6 unders, and 1 pushes against total ≥ 8 and total ≤ 8.5 in the current park

[Spark]

Thursday's games
Hot Pitchers
-- Pirates are 5-1 at home with Fogg, and 6-1 in his home starts when they score three or more runs.
-- Leiter is 4-1, 2.10 his last six starts; Mets are 7-3 in his last ten starts, 3-1 in last four on road. Montreal is 3-0 in Biddle starts (2-0, 2.20).
-- Dodgers scored 28 runs in winning Alvarez' last four starts (2-0, 3.2; LA is 5-1 of it gives him four or more runs to work with.
-- Giants are 6-1 in last seven Tomko starts (2-0, 1.57 in his last three); Giants are 10-2 if they give him five or more runs to work with. Padres won last three Valdez home outings.
-- Johnson has 2.56 RA in his last four starts, but Tigers are 4-13 when they give him less than seven runs.
-- Ponson is 2-0, 2.77 his last two starts, after O's lost 13 of his previous 14 starts. Bronx won last five home starts by Contreras, who goes on three days' rest.
-- Home team is 5-0 in Wood starts; he has 2.13 RA in his last two starts, but is 0-2, 6.06 in three road starts. Devil Rays are 4-1 in Bell's last five starts.
-- Saarloos is 2-1, 3.15 in four starts for A's.
-- Villone is 0-1, 2.25 in three starts for Seattle. Angels are 10-3 in Sele starts; they scored 35 runs in his last five starts and are 5-2 in his home starts.


Cold Pitchers
-- Braves are 1-4 in Thomson's last five road starts; he is 2-5, 6.32 in his last nine starts. .
-- Zambrano is 0-3, 5.95 his last three starts, but Cubs are 11-1 if they give him four or more runs. Brewers are 0-3 with Hendriksen on hill (0-3, 5.95), but this is his first '04 start at Miller Park.
-- Arizona was outscored 19-6 in Cormier's first two starts (0-2, 14.09) Astros are 6-9 in Redding's starts, 1-7 if they score less than six runs.
-- Phillies are 2-5 in Abbott's last seven starts; he is 1-4 6.49 in those seven games. Willis is 1-3, 6.39 in his last seven starts; Fish are 3-6 in his last nine home starts.
-- Schoenweis is 1-5, 6.48 his last seven starts.
-- Dickey is 0-6, 8.63 in his last eight starts. Rangers are 1-3 in his last four home starts.

Hot teams
-- Expos are 14-7 in their last twenty-one home games.
-- Braves won eleven of last thirteen road games, and are 21-7 in last twenty-eight games. Pirates won sixteen of last twenty games at PNC.
-- Cardinals won nineteen of last twenty-three games.
-- Dodgers won twelve of their last sixteen games and nine of 11 on road. Rockies are 16-8 in last 24 games.
-- Padres are 10-4 in their last fourteen games. Giants are 12-8 in their last twenty road games.
-- Orioles are 6-3 in their last nine games. Bronx won eleven of last twelve home series, winning last six home games in a row.
-- Devil Rays are 14-6 in their last 20 home games.
-- A's won their last five games, but are 1-7 in last eight road games, 1-8 in last nine road series openers. Texas is 17-6 in its last twenty-three home games.


Cold teams
-- Mets lost eight of last eleven games and are 8-13 in last twenty-one games on the road.
-- Phillies lost their last twelve games at the Marlins.
-- Reds lost their last seven games overall; in their last thirty-two home games, they're 19-13.
-- Cubs lost eleven of last sixteen road games. Brewers are 5-12 in its last seventeen games.
-- Arizona lost fifteen of sixteen and 33 of last 38.
-- Boston lost thirteen of last nineteen road games.
-- Tigers are 3-7 in their last ten games. White Sox are 2-5-1 in their last eight road series.
-- Royals are 2-11 in last twelve road games. D-Rays lost six of their last eight games, but are 14-6 in last 20 home contests.
-- Angels are 9-16 in last twenty-five home games, and
1-5-2 in their last eight home series. Seattle lost their last fifteen road games, 16 of last 23overall.


Totals
-- Five of last seven Fogg starts went over the total.
-- Under is 4-0 in last four Leiter starts, 3-0 in Biddle starts for the Expos.
-- All three Hendriksen starts for Brewers stayed under
-- Over is 6-3 in Redding's last nine starts.
-- Over is 4-1 in last five Alvarez starts.
-- Over is 8-1 in last nine Willis starts.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Valdez starts.
-- Under is 6-3-1 in last ten J.Johnson starts.
-- Under is 6-1 in last seven Ponson starts, 3-1 in last four Contreras efforts.
-- Under is 3-0 in Wood's last three starts.
-- Over is 4-0-1 in Dickey's last five home starts.
-- Over is 3-0 in last three Villone's starts, 5-0 in last five starts by Sele

[Spark]

Thursday, July 29th

National League:

Atlanta (-125) at Pittsburgh (9), 12:35 ET
Thomson (R) vs. Fogg (R)
(Matchup)
Thomson - Atlanta 13-4 Over off a combined score of 2 runs or less
Fogg - Pittsburgh 13-3 at home in July

Philadelphia (9) at Florida (-155), 1:05 ET
Abbott (R) vs. Willis (L)
(Matchup)
Abbott - 11-3 TSR away in day games
Willis - 6-1 Over pitching off a team win

New York Mets (-135) at Montreal (7.5), 1:05 ET
Leiter (L) vs. Biddle (R)
(Matchup)
Leiter - 1-6 TSR away off BB starts allowing 1 or 0 runs
Biddle - 6-0 TSR as an underdog

Chicago Cubs (-170) at Milwaukee (, 2:05 ET
Zambrano (R) at Hendrickson (R)
(Matchup)
Zambrano - Cubs 2-6 as a road favorite of -150 to -175
Hendrickson - Milwaukee 8-2 Under at home after losing 2 of their last 3 games

Arizona (9.5) at Houston (-240), 2:05 ET
Cormier (R) vs. Redding (R)
(Matchup)
Cormier - Arizona 4-21 in July
Redding - 8-1 TSR at home in day games

Los Angeles (-120) at Colorado (13.5), 3:05 ET
Alvarez (L) vs. Wright (R)
(Matchup)
Alvarez - 16-2 TSR as a road favorite
Wright - 0-7 TSR after allowing 1 or 0 runs last start

San Francisco ( at San Diego (-120), 10:05 ET
Tomko (R) vs. Valdez (R)
(Matchup)
Tomko - 7-2 TSR with a line of +125 to -125
Valdez - San Diego 16-43 after scoring 8+ runs





American League:

Baltimore (10.5) at New York Yankees (-205), 7:05 ET
Ponson (R) vs. Contreras (R)
(Matchup)
Ponson - 1-9 TSR pitching off a team win
Contreras - Yankees 8-0 at home on Thursday

Chicago White Sox (9.5) at Detroit (-130), 7:05 ET
Schoeneweis (L) vs. Johnson (R)
(Matchup)
Schoeneweis - White Sox 0-6 off a three-game sweep by a division opponent
Johnson - Detroit 6-1 at home off BB losses

Kansas City (9.5) at Tampa Bay (-140), 7:15 ET
Wood (R) vs. Bell (R)
(Matchup)
Wood - Kansas City 0-7 in dome stadiums
Bell - Tampa Bay 7-0 as a favorite of -125 to -175

Oakland (11) at Texas (-115), 8:05 ET
Saarloos (R) vs. Dickey (R)
(Matchup)
Saarloos - Oakland 3-10 in night games
Dickey - Texas 7-1 at home off 3+ road games

Seattle (9) at Anaheim (-175), 10:05 ET
Villone (L) vs. Sele (R)
(Matchup)
Villone - Seattle 0-13 away in July
Sele - Anaheim 9-1 as a favorite of -175 to -250