Thursdays Trends

[Spark]

Thursday's games
Hot Pitchers
-- Ortiz is 5-0, 1.80 his last five starts; Braves are 7-3 in his last ten home outings.
-- Maddux is 2-1, 2.53 his last four starts; Cubs won his last four Wrigley starts.
-- Perez is 2-0, 2.96 his last eight starts; LA is 10-1 if it gives him three or more runs. Cook is 3-0, 2.37 his last three road starts for the Rockies.
-- Wells is 3-0, 3.86 his last four starts; Padres are 4-1 his last five road starts. Schmidt is 2-0, 1.17 his last 3 starts; Giants won twelve of his last sixteen outings.
-- Sheets is 3-1, 1.91 his last four starts. Marquis is 6-0 3.93 his last eight starts, but Cards are 1-6 if they give him less than six runs.
-- Gobble is 2-0, 2.03 vs Tigers this year; Royals won all seven starts when they gave him four or more runs.
-- Hernandez is 2-0, 4.22 in his first two '04 starts, as Bronx scored fifteen runs in the two games.
-- Santana is 6-2, 1.57 his last eight starts.
-- Colon is 2-0, 3.46 his last two starts and is 2-0, 3.46 vs Rangers this year. Rodriguez is 2-0, 0.00 his last two starts, totalling 15.1 innings pitched.
-- Garcia is 3-1, 4.61 in four starts for White Sox.

Cold Pitchers
-- Armas is 0-3, 8.18 in his five road starts. Montreal scored total of four runs in his last three starts. Glavine is 0-5, 5.58 in his last five starts.
-- Wells is 1-2, 4.64 his last ten starts; Pirates lost four of his last five road outings.
-- Pavano is 0-2, 4.91 his last three starts, after Florida won thirteen of his first fifteen starts. Wolf is 2-4, 4.58 his last ten starts, 2-2, 4.78 in five post-DL starts.
-- Lidle is 0-2, 6.55 his last two road starts and is 0-1, 5.25 in two '04 starts vs Cubs. Cincinnati lost five of his last six road outings.
-- Oswalt is 0-2, 8.44 his last two starts; Astros lost 12 of his twenty starts this season. Arizona is 1-11 when Fossum starts, 0-4 at home; they scored three or less runs in nine of his twelve starts.
-- Lilly is 0-3, 6.11 his last three starts, as Jays scored total of just six runs in the three games.
-- Wakefield is 1-4, 6.84 his last nine starts. Castillo is making first '04 start in nightcap. Lopez is 1-2, 4.67 his last three starts.
-- Brazelton is 0-3, 5.60 his last three starts and is 0-2, 7.20 in his road starts this year.
-- Cleveland is 3-5 in Sabathia's last eight home starts.
-- Redman is 0-4, 10.18 his last four starts. Seattle lost Franklin's last five starts (0-4, 7.52)


Hot teams
-- Atlanta is 16-6 in its last twenty-one games. Pirates are 17-5 in their last twenty-two games overall.
-- Phillies are 10-5 in last fifteen home games, but have been pounded by Marlins, losing 17 of last 20 games.
-- Dodgers won eight of their last nine games and are
9-3 in their last twelve home games. Rockies won six of their last eight road games.
-- Padres won six of last seven games. Giants are 7-3 in last ten games and are 19-7 in their last 26 home games.
-- Cardinals won fourteen of last sixteen games, eleven of last twelve at home.
-- Tigers won thirteen of last eighteen home games.
-- Bronx is 11-3 in their last fourteen home contests.
-- Orioles are 15-13 in last 28 games. Red Sox won five of last seven home games, but lost 6 of 8 overall.
-- Texas is 17-5 in its last twenty-two home games.


Cold teams
-- Expos lost thirteen of last seventeen on road. Mets lost six of their last nine games overall.
-- Marlins lost nine of their last thirteen road games.
-- Cubs lost nine of their last thirteen games. Reds lost fifteen of last twenty-one on the road.
-- Arizona lost its last ten games, and 26 of last 29 tilts Houston lost six of their last eight games overall.
-- Brewers lost nine of their last eleven road games.
-- Royals lost ten of their last twelve road games.
-- Blue Jays lost eight of their last nine games.
-- Devil Rays lost eight of their last ten road games. Twins lost eight of their last thirteen home games
-- White Sox lost seven of last ten road games. .
-- Seattle lost twelve of their last sixteen games. A's are 7-19 in their last twenty-six road contests.

Totals
-- Under is 3-0 in last three Armas starts, 7-2-2 in last eleven Glavine outings.
-- Under is 4-1 in last five Pittsburgh road games, 5-2 in last seven Ortiz starts, 3-0 in last three Wells' starts.
-- Over is 4-1 in Wolf's last five starts.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Lidle starts, 6-1-1 in last 8 Maddux outings.
-- Over is 9-5 in last fourteen Dodger home games, 3-1 in last four Perez outings.
-- Over is 8-3 in last eleven Giant home games, 4-1 in last five Schmidt starts, 4-0 in last four Wells starts.
-- Under is 17-6-1 in last 24 Houston road games.
-- Under is 7-1 in last seven Cardinal home games.
-- Over is 9-1 in last ten Fenway Park games, 9-4 in last thirteen Wakefield outings.
-- Over is 3-1 in last four Knotts home starts, 3-1-1 in last five Gobble road starts.
-- Under is 7-3 in last ten Bronx games, 11-6-1 in last eighteen Lilly starts, 10-6 in last 16 Toronto road tilts.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Tampa games, 4-1 in last five Metrodome games, 10-2-1 in last thirteen starts by Santana, 4-1 in last five Brazelton starts.
-- Over is 9-4 in last thirteen Anaheim road contests, and 4-0 in last four Colon starts.
-- Under is 7-2 in last nine Garcia starts.
-- Seven of last eight A's games stayed under total, while last six Seattle games went over the total.

Umpires
-- Over is 4-1 in Foster's last five games, with favorites 6-2 in his last eight behind plate. (Mtl-NYM)
-- Over is 9-4 in Bell's last thirteen games, with faves 11-5 when he calls balls and strikes (Pitt-Atl)
-- Under is 10-4 in last fourteen Nauert games, as dogs are 5-4 in his last nine behind dish (Fla-Phil)
-- Over is 6-0-1 in last seven Hohn games, with dogs 5-3 in his last eight behind the plate (Cin-Cubs)
-- Favorite won last six Hollowell games, with the last three staying under total (SD-SF)
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Gibson games, with faves winning his last four games behind dish (Hst-Ariz)
-- Under is 5-1 in last six Culbreth games, with favorite winning five of those six games (Mil-StL)
-- Last four Winters games went over total, with faves 4-1 in his last five games (KC-Det)
-- Under is 6-2 in last eight TWelke games, with dogs 9-5 in his last fourteen games (Tor-NYY)
-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Guccione games, with the favorite winning six of his last seven games (Blt-Bos, 1)
-- Home side won nine of last ten Eddings games, with fourteen of his nineteen games staying under (Blt-Bos 2)
-- Under is 6-1 in last seven Joyce games, with favorite 7-3 in his last ten behind plate (TB-Min)
-- Last four Barrett games stayed under total, with dogs 6-5 in his last eleven games (Ana-Tex)
-- Dogs are 5-3 in Spagnardi games, with four of last six staying under the total (CWS-Clev)
-- Over is 3-1 in last four Barksdale games, with faves 6-2 in those eight games (A's-Sea)

[GR8Life]

Trends for MLB games on Thursday, July 22nd, 2004
Montreal Expos @ New York Mets
New York Mets are 8 - 1 against a poor base-stealing (≤ .65 sb/attempts) team as a favorite at home.
Tony Armas Jr. is 3 - 13 against ground ball-hitting team as a dog on the road.
Martin Foster has 4 overs, 1 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against Tom Glavine overall.
When Tony Armas Jr. is starting, his team is 5 - 3 versus NYM.
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Atlanta Braves
Russ Ortiz is 11 - 1 this month as a favorite at home.
When Russ Ortiz is starting, his team is 6 - 1 versus PIT.
Wally Bell has 3 overs, 8 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against ATL.
Russ Ortiz is 57 - 23 overall as a favorite at home.
Russ Ortiz is 41 - 18 against a righthander as a favorite at home.
Russ Ortiz is 24 - 11 against ground ball-hitting team as a favorite at home.
Russ Ortiz has 8 overs, 14 unders, and 1 pushes against total ≥ 8.5 and total ≤ 9 in the current park.
Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox
Frank Castillo is 0 - 6 against fly ball-hitting team as a favorite at home.
Frank Castillo is 0 - 7 against a poor run-creating team (≤ 4.5 rc/g) as a favorite at home.
Frank Castillo is 1 - 9 against a righthander as a favorite at home.
Frank Castillo is 3 - 14 overall as a favorite at home.
When Rodrigo Lopez is starting, his team is 7 - 2 versus BOS.
Chris Guccione is 91 - 58 when umpiring as a "homer" overall.
Kansas City Royals @ Detroit Tigers
When Gary Knotts is starting, his team is 1 - 5 versus KC.
Mike Winters is 10 - 21 when umpiring where the dog on the road is a poor OBP team.
Kansas City Royals are 22 - 37 against a poor base-stealing (≤ .65 sb/attempts) team as a dog on the road.
Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees
Tim Welke is 34 - 12 when umpiring where the favorite at home is a good OBP team.
Tim Welke has 3 overs, 7 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against NYY.
Tim Welke is 87 - 42 when umpiring as a "homer" for a favorite.
Ted Lilly has 5 overs, 12 unders, and 2 pushes as dog on the road.
Tim Welke is 109 - 64 when umpiring as a "homer" overall.
Florida Marlins @ Philadelphia Phillies
When Randy Wolf is starting, his team is 3 - 9 versus FLA.
Paul Nauert has 7 overs, 17 unders, and 1 pushes umpiring against total ≥ 9 and total ≤ 9.5.
Randy Wolf has 4 overs, 2 unders, and 0 pushes against FLA at home.
Randy Wolf is 4 - 7 this month as a favorite at home.
Tampa Bay Devil Rays @ Minnesota Twins
Dewon Brazelton is 2 - 8 overall as a dog on the road.
Johan Santana is 15 - 6 against a righthander as a favorite at home.
Jim Joyce has 8 overs, 4 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against MIN.
Jim Joyce has 3 overs, 5 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against TB.
Anaheim Angels @ Texas Rangers
Ted Barrett is 19 - 6 when umpiring where the favorite at home is a poor k/bb pitcher.
Bartolo Colon is 9 - 4 against a good run-creating team (≥ 5 rc/g) as a dog on the road.
Bartolo Colon is 9 - 4 against a good extrapolated runs team (≥ 5.1 xr/g) as a dog on the road.
Ted Barrett is 9 - 19 when umpiring where the dog on the road is a good OBP team.
Bartolo Colon has 2 overs, 4 unders, and 0 pushes against TEX on the road.
Ted Barrett has 6 overs, 3 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against TEX.
When Bartolo Colon is starting, his team is 7 - 4 versus TEX.
Bartolo Colon has 7 overs, 15 unders, and 2 pushes as dog on the road.
Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs
Bill Hohn is 8 - 0 when umpiring where the favorite at home is a good k/bb pitcher.
Greg Maddux is 17 - 2 this month as a favorite at home.
Greg Maddux is 13 - 2 against a poor run-creating team (≤ 4.5 rc/g) as a favorite at home.
Greg Maddux is 14 - 3 against a strikeout-prone lineup (≥ 7 k/g) as a favorite at home.
Greg Maddux is 68 - 30 overall as a favorite at home.
Cory Lidle is 9 - 4 against ground ball-hitting team as a dog on the road.
Bill Hohn has 4 overs, 1 unders, and 1 pushes umpiring against CHC.
When Greg Maddux is starting, his team is 3 - 5 versus CIN.
Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Odalis Perez has 0 overs, 5 unders, and 0 pushes against COL at home.
Odalis Perez has 15 overs, 30 unders, and 3 pushes as a favorite at home.
San Diego Padres @ San Francisco Giants
Jason Schmidt is 16 - 1 against a lefthander as a favorite at home.
Matt Hollowell has 4 overs, 1 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against total ≥ 7 and total ≤ 7.5.
Jason Schmidt is 46 - 12 overall as a favorite at home.
Matt Hollowell is 48 - 24 when umpiring as a "homer" for a favorite.
Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox
Dave Borkowski is 0 - 8 overall as a dog on the road.
Dave Borkowski is 0 - 7 against a righthander as a dog on the road.
Tim Wakefield has 4 overs, 0 unders, and 1 pushes against BAL at home.
Doug Eddings is 4 - 11 when umpiring where the dog on the road is a poor bb/ip team.
Doug Eddings has 2 overs, 5 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against BOS.
When Tim Wakefield is starting, his team is 7 - 3 versus BAL.
Doug Eddings is 37 - 17 when umpiring where the favorite at home is a good OBP team.
Doug Eddings has 3 overs, 6 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against BAL.
Doug Eddings is 74 - 39 when umpiring as a "homer" for a favorite.
Doug Eddings has 14 overs, 24 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against total ≥ 10 and total ≤ 10.5.
Dave Borkowski has 5 overs, 2 unders, and 1 pushes as dog on the road.
Houston Astros @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Greg Gibson has 9 overs, 2 unders, and 1 pushes umpiring against ARI.
Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Indians
Freddy Garcia is 8 - 1 against a good total bases (≥ 15 tb/g) team as a dog on the road.
Freddy Garcia is 7 - 1 against a good extrapolated runs team (≥ 5.1 xr/g) as a dog on the road.
Freddy Garcia is 6 - 1 against a good on-base-percentage (≥ .345) team as a dog on the road.
Freddy Garcia is 9 - 2 against a good run-creating team (≥ 5 rc/g) as a dog on the road.
When C.C. Sabathia is starting, his team is 7 - 2 versus CWS.
C.C. Sabathia is 10 - 3 against a good extrapolated runs team (≥ 5.1 xr/g) as a favorite at home.
Freddy Garcia is 6 - 2 against a lefthander as a dog on the road.
Freddy Garcia is 17 - 7 overall as a dog on the road.
Darren Spagnardi is 8 - 4 when umpiring as a "homer" overall.
Milwaukee Brewers @ St. Louis Cardinals
Fieldin Culbreth is 1 - 7 when umpiring where the dog on the road is a good k/bb team.
Fieldin Culbreth is 7 - 15 when umpiring where the dog on the road is a good bb/ip team.
Fieldin Culbreth has 4 overs, 2 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against MIL.
Ben Sheets is 7 - 4 against ground ball-hitting team as a dog on the road.
Ben Sheets is 7 - 4 against a good run-creating team (≥ 5 rc/g) as a dog on the road.
Jason Marquis is 9 - 14 against a righthander as a favorite at home.
Oakland Athletics @ Seattle Mariners
Ryan Franklin has 2 overs, 6 unders, and 0 pushes as a dog at home.
When Mark Redman is starting, his team is 2 - 5 versus SEA.
When Ryan Franklin is starting, his team is 5 - 2 versus OAK.

[Ripped71]

American League


Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers (Gobble vs. Knotts)

Gobble has an ERA of 6.61 in his last three starts.
The Over is 3-1 in Gobble’s last four.
The Royals have lost three of Gobble’s last four starts.
The Over is 4-0-2 in Knott’s starts vs. Kansas City.
Knotts has given up 15 earned runs in his last three games.
Knotts has an ERA of 7.64 in his last three starts.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees (Lilly vs. Hernandez)

The Blue Jays are batting just 0.231 in their last ten vs. right-handers.
Toronto has lost four of Lilly’s last five starts.
Lilly has an OBP (on base percentage) of .299 in away games.
The Under is 6-1 in Hernandez’s last seven vs. Toronto.
Hernandez’s teams have lost six of his last seven starts vs. Toronto.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox (Lopez vs. Wakefield)

The Under is 4-1 in Lopez’s last five starts.
Lopez’s teams have won seven of his ten starts vs. Boston.
Baltimore is hitting 0.311 in their last ten facing a right-hander.
Wakefield’s last three starts have played Over the total.
The Red Sox have won five of Wakefield’s last six vs. the Orioles.

Tampa Bay Devil Rays vs. Minnesota Twins (Brazelton vs. Santana)

Minnesota is hitting just 0.201 in it’s last ten vs. right-handers.
The D-Rays are hitting 0.310 in their last ten vs. left-handers.
Brazelton has an ERA of 7.20 in away games.
The Under is 5-0 in Brazelton’s last five starts.
The Under is 8-2 in Santana’s last ten starts.
Santana has an ERA of 0.72 in his last three to the mound.

Anaheim Angels vs. Texas Rangers (Colon vs. Rodriguez)

The Angels are hitting 0.334 in their last ten vs. right-handers.
Colon has an ERA of 6.12 overall this season.
The Under is 7-3 in Colon’s last ten versus Texas.
Rodriguez has an ERA of 0.76 in his 23 innings this seaon.
The Under is 5-2 in Rodriguez’s last seven starts.

Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Indians (Garcia vs. Sabathia)

The White Sox are hitting just 0.162 in their last ten vs. a left-hander.
The Under is 8-1 in Garcia’s last nine.
Garcia’s opponents have an on base percentage of .289 against him.
The Indians have won six of Sabathia’s last eight starts.
Sabathia has an ERA of 7.71 in his last three starts.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox (Borkowski vs. Schilling)

Borkowski has pitched only 16 innings this season.
Borkowski has an ERA of 7.20 in 5 away innings.
Boston has won nine of Schilling’s last ten starts.
The Over is 8-2 in Schilling’s last ten.
Schilling has an ERA of 2.67 at home this season.

Oakland Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners (Redman vs. Franklin)

Redman has an ERA of 10.34 in his last three games.
Oakland has lost Redman’s last four starts.
Redman’s team has lost five of his last six vs. Seattle.
Franklin has an ERA of 8.47 in his last three starts.
The Mariners have lost five straight starts from Franklin.
The Under is 5-2 in Franklin’s starts vs. the A’s.

National League

Montreal Expos vs. New York Mets (Armas vs. Glavine)

Armas has an ERA of 1.59 in his last three.
The Under is 4-0 in Armas’ last four to the mound.
The Expost have lost seven of Armas’ last ten starts.
The Mets have lost five straight Glavine starts.
Glavine has an ERA of 2.47 at home.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves (Wells vs. Ortiz)

The Braves have his 0.308 in their last ten vs. right-handers.
Wells has given up just six runs in his last three starts.
The Pirates have won three of Wells last four to the mound.
The Under is 5-1-1 in Ortiz’s last seven.
The Braves have won five straight Ortiz starts.
Ortiz’s team has won six of his last seven starts vs. Pittsburgh

Florida Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies (Pavano vs. Wolf)

Pavano has an ERA of 2.60 in away games this season.
The Marlins have lost Pavano’s last three starts.
The Under is 7-1-1 in Pavano’s last nine.
The Over is 8-2 in Wolf’s last ten vs. Florida.
The Phillies have lost five of Wolf’s last six starts vs. Florida.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs (Lidle vs. Maddux)

Three of Lidle’s last four starts have played under the total.
Lidle has an ERA of 5.23 in away games.
The Under is 7-1-1 in Maddux’s last nine starts.
Maddux has an ERA of 2.66 in his last three starts.
Maddux’s teams have lost five of his last seven vs. the Reds.

Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (Cook vs. Perez)

Colorado is hitting 0.186 in away games versus a left-handed pitcher.
Cook has a WHIP(walks/hits per inning pitched) of 1.64.
The Under is 4-1-1 in Cook’s last six.
Perez has an ERA of 2.91 overall this year.
Perez has only allowed more than 3 earned runs in a game once all season long.

San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants (Wells vs. Schmidt)

Wells has an away game ERA of 2.76 this year.
Wells’ last five starts have all played over the total.
The Padres have won four of Wells last five starts.
The Over is 4-1 in Schmidt’s last five.
Schmidt has an ERA of 1.17 in his last three starts.
Schmidt’s teams have won six of his last eight starts vs. San Diego.

Houston Astros vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (Oswalt vs. Fossum)

Houston is batting just 0.198 in their last 10 versus lefties.
Oswalt has a WHIP(walks/hits per inning pitched) of 1.61 in his last three.
The Over is 6-2 in Oswalt’s last eight starts.
Fossum has never faced the Astros.
The D-backs have lost eight of Fossum’s last ten starts.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals (Sheets vs. Marquis)

Sheets has an ERA of 2.28 this season and 0.82 in his last three starts.
The Under is 9-1 in Sheets last ten games.
Marquis has an ERA of 2.84 in his last three.
The Cardinals have won six of Marquis’ last eight starts.
Marquis’ teams have lost both of his starts vs. the Brewers.