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Tuesday's Service Plays Thread
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Dunkel Index - Tuesday
TUESDAY, JULY 20
National League
Cincinnati* (Claussen) 10.72 (1/2) Milwaukee (Davis) 10.42
O/U: 9
St. Louis (Morris) 11.61 (1) Chicago Cubs* (Rusch) 10.62
O/U: 8 1/2
Pittsburgh* (Burnett) 11.46 (1 1/2) Montreal (Hernandez) 10.02
O/U: 8
New York Mets* (Trachsel) 10.62 (1 1/2) Florida (Bump) 10.18
O/U: 8
Atlanta* (Wright) 12.31 (2) Philadelphia (Milton) 10.45
O/U: 9
Los Angeles (Weaver) 11.65 (2) Houston* (Munro) 9.50
O/U: 9
Colorado* (Jennings) 10.37 (Even) San Diego (Eaton) 10.32
O/U: 11 1/2
San Francisco (Williams) 10.67 (1) Arizona* (Johnson) 9.59
O/U: 8 1/2
American League
Baltimore (Cabrera) 9.73 (1) Kansas City* (Greinke) 8.71
O/U: 8
New York Yankees (Contreras) 10.82 (1/2) Tampa Bay* (Zambrano) 10.44
O/U: 8 1/2
Oakland* (Harden) 10.96 (1 1/2) Toronto (Bush) 9.22
O/U: 9 1/2
Anaheim* (Washburn) 11.24 (1 1/2) Cleveland (Westbrook) 9.84
O/U: 8 1/2
Boston (Lowe) 10.85 (1 1/2) Seattle* (Pineiro) 9.53
O/U: 8 1/2
Detroit* (Bonderman) 10.79 (1/2) Minnesota (Lohse) 10.64
O/U: 10
Chicago White Sox (Garland) 11.39 (1/2) Texas* (Wasdin) 10.73
O/U: 11
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IMPACT SPORTS Freebies 25-14!
JULY: 7-9
Minnesota @Detroit 7:05pm EST
Play On :Twins (Lohse)
Definitely some good value in this American League contest today. Neither team has shown the capacity to score in their recent contests. The Twins have not scored more then 5 runs in their last 8 games. The Tigers are having their own offensive problems as well, putting up more then five runs just once in their last nine ball games.
A few different scenarios favor the Twinkies in this contest. The Twins actually have a bettor record on the road then the Tigers have at home. (Twins 23-21, Tigers 23-22)
Only four teams have scored less then Minny in the AL and the Twins have actually allowed more runs then they have scored despite being 6 games over .500. This unlikely scenario favors them in the event of a close contest, because this is mostly how they play.
Lastly, Lohse has a poor record this season however, he is showing sign of becoming more effective with a 2.84 ERA in his last three starts. The game situation appears well suited for Lohse who is 27-12 (+14.6 Units) against the ML when the money line is +125 to -125 and 7-1 (+6.9 Units) against the ML as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
Tigers starter Bonderman has been seeing double against these Twins with a 0-4 record and an ERA over 12.00.
Before the All-Star break the Twins lost 3 of 4 to Detroit, look for the Twins to make it a 2-0 sweep in DEETROIT City.
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_Season record:_171-179 -23.56_UNITS
_play for_Tuesday:
_UNDER 9 MIL (DAVIS)/CIN (CLAUSSEN) +103 - 1 UNIT - 9:35am Pacific
Cincinnati's lineup has been pretty weak against LHP, and Davis has been pretty good this year._ Likewise, Milwaukee's splits against LHP aren't very good._ Claussen will be called up to make his season debut, and his overall numbers at Triple-A aren't that good._ However, he's been on an incredible streak for about the last month, and he seems ready._ He's been striking out a lot of hitters, and the Milwaukee lineup strikes out a lot, so it seems like a good match.
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KC (GREINKE) +115 over Bal (Cabrera) - 1 UNIT - 11:10am Pacific
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BOS (LOWE) -105 over Sea (Pineiro) - 1 UNIT - 1:35pm Pacific
I'm not a fan of Lowe, and I think Pineiro is much better than him, but I'll have to take Boston here based on offensive matchups._ I can't see Seattle's offense do much of anything, even against Lowe._ Although Pineiro has been pitching well, the Boston lineup is a handful for anybody._
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ppp--free trial and play at his site--read
PITTSBURGH with Burnett (-145) over Montreal Hernandez
The Expos phony win over the Pirates last night (they scored 3 runs on
2 infield hits) has the Pirates seething. They are 14-1 against the rest of
the league but just 1-4 vs. Montreal in their last 20 games. Pitching
match ups look decent as well with Bucs highly touted Burnett posting a
2.35 era in 6 starts and 0.86 era in L3. Expos have won just 6 of 20
Herandez starts. In his L3 starts he has a 0.86 era.
This LTS winner will run our record to 11-4 since the All Star Break to
get my selectins free thru Sunday, no strings attached,
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3* Red Sox/Mariners OVER 8 1/2 or 9....
Good luck, Mark
This total indicates too much respect for Derek Lowe and Joel Pineiro. Seattle is 5-14 with Pineiro, who has allowed five runs or more in two of his last three starts against the Red Sox. Lowe has been a train wreck all year and his road ERA entering Tuesday is an even 6.00. Seattle is only 1-8 with Pineiro when facing a team that has won 54 percent or more of their games. The Red Sox are 13-4 ‘OVER’ with Lowe when facing an opponent with a losing record in the 2nd half of the season the last three years. Gees that was a mouthful. Let’s not forget we witnessed 47 runs in the final three games for Seattle at Cleveland over the weekend. Their bullpen could easily be fatigued. Last night we saw Seattle homer twice in the bottom of the 8th inning to send it ‘OVER’. This shouldn’t be as difficult today. The Red Sox are 13-5 ‘OVER’ with Lowe on the hill including 10 straight to open the season. Getting nine cracks against Pineiro should produce some long fly balls considering he’s allowed 18 gophers this year. Watch the Red Sox go to 8-1 ‘OVER’ with Lowe on the road when the posted total is between 8 ½ and 10 this year.
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