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  • Saturdays Baseball Trends

    Saturday's games
    Hot Pitchers
    -- Marquis is 6-0, 3.57 in his last seven starts; Cardinals scored 77 runs in his last ten starts. Lidle is 2-0, 0.00 in his last two home starts (June 30, May 23)
    -- Sheets is 3-0, 1.61 his last three starts; Brewers won eight of his last ten outings. Cubs won last three starts by Maddux at Wrigley (1.93)
    -- Oswalt is 4-1, 2.89 his last five starts; Astros are 3-1 his last four at home. Wells is 2-0, 3.24 his last 4 starts.
    -- Ortiz is 4-0, 1.65 his last four starts; Braves are 9-2 if they give him four or more runs.
    -- Marlins are 7-1 on road with Pavano. Wells has 2.45 RA in his last two starts.
    -- Schmidt is 9-0, 1.91 his last thirteen starts, and is 2-0 1.71 vs Colorado this year.
    -- Perez is 1-0, 2.28 his last four starts.
    -- Santana is 5-2, 1.64 his last seven starts; Twins won nine of twelve if they give him four or more runs.
    -- Brazelton is 2-0, 0.92 in his three home starts, with 17 scoreless innings in a row indoors.
    -- Detroit is 4-0 at home with Knotts (2-0, 4.38); they scored 22 runs in his last three starts.
    -- Wakefield is 1-0, 3.33 his last four starts. In his last five starts Boston scored total of 35 runs.
    -- Sabathia is 3-0, 0.78 in his last three road starts.


    Cold Pitchers
    -- Wolf is 1-4, 4.86 his last nine starts. Glavine is 0-4, 5.55 his last four starts and is 0-1, 5.54 vs Phillies in '04
    -- Armas is 0-3, 10.13 in his four road starts.
    -- Cook is 0-3, 7.29 in his last four home starts and has 11.57 RA in tow starts vs Giants this season. Rockies are 1-5 in his start sif they score five or less runs.
    -- Arizona is 1-10 in Fossum starts, losing last five (0-4 9.00); he is 0-3, 6.75 against Dodgers this season.
    -- Gobble is 1-2, 9.20 his last three starts.
    -- Redman is 0-3, 12.46 his last three starts, but A's are 9-1 if they give him 4+ runs, 6-0 at home.
    -- Lopez is 1-3, 4.32 in his last four starts.
    -- Lilly is 1-3, 6.53 in his last four starts.
    -- Colon is 1-2, 11.66 in his last three starts; Anaheim is 1-9 in his starts if they score less than six runs for him.
    -- Franklin is 0-3, 9.70 in his last four starts.


    Hot teams
    -- Cardinals won ten of last eleven games.
    -- Mets won eleven of last fifteen home games, and are 23-6 in home games, other than second game of series.
    -- Cubs won eight of last ten home games, as host is 15-4 in their last nineteen games.
    -- Padres are 14-7 in their last twenty-one games.
    -- Braves won thirteen of last seventeen games.
    -- Pirates won their last eight home games and thirteen of their last seventeen overall.
    -- Giants won five of last seven games, they scored 46 runs in their last eight games. Rockies are 9-3 in their last twelve games.
    -- Dodgers won thirteen of their last sixteen games.
    -- A's are 21-3 in last 24 home games, and are 4-0 vs the Pale Hose so far this season.
    -- Devil Rays are 10-4 in their last fourteen home games
    -- Bronx won five of last six games, scoring 41 runs in their last seven. Detroit is 6-2 in its last eight games, and 10-3 in its last thirteen at home.
    -- Texas won thirteen of last seventeen home games and scored 42 runs in their last six games overall.
    -- Anaheim won six of its last eight games.


    Cold teams
    -- Reds lost seven of their last ten home contests.
    -- Phillies lost five of their last eight ballgames.
    -- Brewers lost five their last six games on foreign soil.
    -- Astros lost seven of their last nine games.
    -- Expos lost twelve of last seventeen road games.
    -- Marlins lost six of their last eight road games.
    -- Arizona lost 23 of last 27 games, 13 of 17 at home.
    -- Royals lost fourteen of last nineteen games, and are 3-7 in their last ten home contests.
    -- White Sox are 6-14 in last twenty road games.
    -- Devil Rays lost five of their last six games. Orioles are 6-12 in their last eighteen road games.
    -- Blue Jays scored ten runs in their last four games, and lost eleven of last sixteen road contests.
    -- Red Sox lost ten of their last fourteen road games.
    -- Indians lost six of last nine on road. Seattle lost ten of its last eleven games and seventeen of its last 21 games, scoring total of fifteen runs in their last five games.

    Totals
    -- Under is 12-6 in last eighteen Cardinal games, 8-3 in last eleven Cincinnati contests, 3-1-1 in last five starts by Marquis, 4-1-1 in last six Lidle outings.
    -- Under is 7-1-2 in last ten Glavine starts.
    -- Under is 9-2 in last eleven Brewer games, 8-1 in last nine Cub contests, 14-2-1 in last seventeen Sheets tilts, 11-3-1 in last fifteen Maddux tsarts. .
    -- Over is 3-0 in last three Wells starts and 5-2 in last seven starts by Oswalt.
    -- Over is 6-2 in last eight Montreal road games. .
    -- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Florida road tilts, 9-5-1 in last fifteen Wells starts.
    -- Over is 8-4 in last twelve Giant games, 8-4-1 in last 13 Colorado games, 4-0 in last four Schmidt starts
    -- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Perez starts, 7-4 in last eleven starts by Fossum.
    -- Under is 9-2-1 in last dozen Santana starts.
    -- Over is 8-1 in last nine Redman starts.
    -- Under is 8-2 in last ten Oriole games, 12-4 in last sixteen Devil Ray games.
    -- Over is 5-2 in last seven Detroit games, 3-0 in last three Knotts home starts.
    -- Over is 10-2 in last twelve Texas Ranger games, and 3-1 in Lilly's last four starts.
    -- Over is 8-4 in last dozen Wakefield starts, 3-0 in last three Colon outings.
    -- Under is 12-6 in Seattle's last eighteen home tilts, and 11-4 in last fifteen Franklin starts.

    Umpires
    -- Four of last five Poncino games went over, with dogs 10-7 in his games this season (StL-Cin)
    -- Under is 9-5-1 in last fifteen Hirschbeck games, with dogs 8-5 in his last thirteen behind dish (Phil-NYM)
    -- Over is 6-1 in last seven Holbrook games, with dogs 9-6 in his games calling balls and strikes (Mil-Cubs)
    -- Over is 13-6 in Schrieber games this season, with the favorite winning four of last five (SD-Hst)
    -- Under is 3-0-1 in last four Iassogna games, with the dog 7-3 in his last ten behind plate (Mtl-Atl)
    -- Over is 7-2 in last nine Randazzo games, with faves 8-3 in his last eleven games behind dish. (Fla-Pitt)
    -- Under is 11-6-1 in Cuzzi's last eighteen games, with dogs 7-2 in his last nine behind the plate (SF-Colo)
    -- Home favorites won Scott's last seven games, with under 11-6 in his last seventeen games (LA-Ariz)
    -- Over is 8-2 in Rapuano's last ten games, with dogs 10-7 in his last seventeen contests (Min-KC)
    -- Over is 7-0-1 in last eight Drake games, with righty starters beating a lefty in his last five, and 6-5 in his last eleven games calling balls and strikes (CWS-A's)
    -- Over is 5-2 in last seven Fletcher starts, with faves
    6-1 in those games (Balt-TB)
    -- Favorites are 13-5 in Demuth games in '04 (NY-Det)
    -- Dogs are 7-6 in last 13 Emmel games (Tor-Tex)
    -- Over is 5-0-1 in last six Hohn games, with dogs 5-2 in his last seven and visitors 5-1 in last six (Bos-Ana)
    -- Underdogs won last four Nelson games (Clev-Sea)

  • #2
    Trends for MLB games on Saturday, July 17th, 2004
    Minnesota Twins @ Kansas City Royals
    Ed Rapuano is 25 - 38 when umpiring as a "homer" for a dog.
    Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets
    Randy Wolf has 1 overs, 4 unders, and 0 pushes against total ≥ 8 and total ≤ 8.5 in the current park.
    Tom Glavine has 8 overs, 4 unders, and 0 pushes against PHI at home.
    John Hirschbeck is 75 - 40 when umpiring as a "homer" for a favorite.
    Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks
    Casey Fossum has 4 overs, 1 unders, and 0 pushes as a dog at home.
    Odalis Perez has 6 overs, 2 unders, and 0 pushes against ARI on the road.
    Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs
    Greg Maddux is 16 - 2 this month as a favorite at home.
    Greg Maddux is 13 - 2 against a poor run-creating team (≤ 4.5 rc/g) as a favorite at home.
    Greg Maddux is 13 - 3 against a strikeout-prone lineup (≥ 7 k/g) as a favorite at home.
    When Greg Maddux is starting, his team is 6 - 2 versus MIL.
    Ben Sheets is 6 - 2 against a strikeout-prone lineup (≥ 7 k/g) as a dog on the road.
    When Ben Sheets is starting, his team is 8 - 3 versus CHC.
    Greg Maddux is 67 - 30 overall as a favorite at home.
    Ben Sheets is 7 - 4 against ground ball-hitting team as a dog on the road.
    Chicago White Sox @ Oakland Athletics
    Mark Redman is 6 - 1 this month as a dog at home.
    Mark Redman has 6 overs, 2 unders, and 0 pushes against total ≥ 8.5 and total ≤ 9 in the current park.
    Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Devil Rays
    Andrew Fletcher is 13 - 5 when umpiring where the favorite at home is a poor k/bb pitcher.
    Andrew Fletcher has 2 overs, 4 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against TB.
    When Rodrigo Lopez is starting, his team is 4 - 2 versus TB.
    Andrew Fletcher is 60 - 34 when umpiring as a "homer" for a favorite.
    Montreal Expos @ Atlanta Braves
    Russ Ortiz is 11 - 0 this month as a favorite at home.
    Tony Armas Jr. is 3 - 13 against ground ball-hitting team as a dog on the road.
    When Tony Armas Jr. is starting, his team is 4 - 11 versus ATL.
    Russ Ortiz is 57 - 22 overall as a favorite at home.
    Russ Ortiz is 41 - 17 against a righthander as a favorite at home.
    Russ Ortiz is 24 - 10 against ground ball-hitting team as a favorite at home.
    When Russ Ortiz is starting, his team is 10 - 5 versus MON.
    Dan Iassogna has 2 overs, 4 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against ATL.
    Tony Armas Jr. is 12 - 23 against a righthander as a dog on the road.
    Russ Ortiz has 5 overs, 3 unders, and 0 pushes against MON at home.
    Tony Armas Jr. is 16 - 26 overall as a dog on the road.
    New York Yankees @ Detroit Tigers
    Dana DeMuth has 18 overs, 6 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against total ≥ 10.5 and total ≤ 11.
    Dana DeMuth has 2 overs, 5 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against NYY.
    Gary Knotts has 4 overs, 7 unders, and 0 pushes as a dog at home.
    Orlando Hernandez has 11 overs, 20 unders, and 2 pushes as favorite on the road.
    San Diego Padres @ Houston Astros
    Paul Schrieber has 5 overs, 2 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against HOU.
    Paul Schrieber is 26 - 11 when umpiring where the favorite at home is a good OBP team.
    Paul Schrieber is 24 - 13 when umpiring where the favorite at home is a good bb/ip pitcher.
    Paul Schrieber is 74 - 41 when umpiring as a "homer" for a favorite.
    Paul Schrieber is 110 - 73 when umpiring as a "homer" overall.
    Florida Marlins @ Pittsburgh Pirates
    When Carl Pavano is starting, his team is 3 - 5 versus PIT.
    St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds
    Larry Poncino has 4 overs, 2 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against STL.
    Larry Poncino has 18 overs, 10 unders, and 1 pushes umpiring against total ≥ 9.5 and total ≤ 10.
    San Francisco Giants @ Colorado Rockies
    When Jason Schmidt is starting, his team is 9 - 2 versus COL.
    Toronto Blue Jays @ Texas Rangers
    Ted Lilly has 5 overs, 11 unders, and 2 pushes as dog on the road.
    Boston Red Sox @ Anaheim Angels
    When Tim Wakefield is starting, his team is 2 - 4 versus ANA.
    Bartolo Colon is 7 - 11 against a good on-base-percentage (≥ .345) team as a favorite at home.
    Cleveland Indians @ Seattle Mariners
    Ryan Franklin has 1 overs, 6 unders, and 0 pushes as a dog at home.
    C.C. Sabathia is 9 - 2 against a good extrapolated runs team (≥ 5.1 xr/g) as a favorite on the road.
    C.C. Sabathia is 10 - 3 against a good run-creating team (≥ 5 rc/g) as a favorite on the road.
    C.C. Sabathia is 21 - 10 overall as a favorite on the road.
    When C.C. Sabathia is starting, his team is 2 - 4 versus SEA.
    C.C. Sabathia is 16 - 8 against a righthander as a favorite on the road.
    Jeff Nelson is 13 - 22 when umpiring where the favorite on the road is a good OBP team.
    Wash. D.C. 8 sq. miles surrounded by REALITY

    Comment


    • #3
      Saturday, July 17th

      National League:

      Philadelphia (7.5) at New York Mets (-130), 1:20 ET
      Wolf (L) vs. Glavine (L)
      (Matchup)
      Wolf - 9-1 TSR on Saturdays
      Glavine - 3-10 TSR at home pitching on 5 or 6 days rest

      Milwaukee (-110) at Chicago Cubs (6.5), 4:05 ET
      Sheets (R) vs. Maddux (R)
      (Matchup)
      Sheets - Milwaukee 1-8 away off a division win by one run
      Maddux - 8-0 TSR at home in July

      **Los Angeles (-150) at Arizona (9), 10:05 ET
      Perez (L) vs. Fossum (L)
      (Matchup)
      Perez - Los Angeles 11-2 in July
      Fossum - Arizona 1-13 on Saturdays

      Florida (-125) at Pittsburgh (7.5), 7:05 ET
      Pavano (R) vs. Wells (R)
      (Matchup)
      Pavano - 7-1 TSR as a road favorite of -125 or higher
      Wells - Pittsburgh 3-11 at home off BB games allowing 0 stolen bases

      Montreal (8.5) at Atlanta (-200), 7:05 ET
      Armas (R) vs. Ortiz (R)
      (Matchup)
      Armas - Montreal 1-11 off 4+ Unders
      Ortiz - 6-0 TSR pitching on 5 or 6 days rest

      **San Diego ( at Houston (-140), 4:05 ET
      Wells (L) vs. Oswalt (R)
      (Matchup)
      Wells - 7-1 TSR away pitching on 7+ days rest
      Oswalt - 2-6 TSR pitching on 5 or 6 days rest

      **St. Louis (-135) at Cincinnati (9.5), 1:20 ET
      Marquis (R) vs. Lidle (R)
      (Matchup)
      Marquis - St. Louis 11-1 in July
      Lidle - Cincinnati 1-5 at home after playing 4+ games as an underdog

      San Francisco (-185) at Colorado (11.5), 8:05 ET
      Schmidt (R) vs. Cook (R)
      (Matchup)
      Schmidt - 53-19 TSR as a favorite
      Cook - Colorado 1-7 off a win by 6+ runs





      American League:

      Minnesota (-195) at Kansas City (, 1:20 ET
      Santana (L) vs. Gobble (L)
      (Matchup)
      Santana - 7-1 TSR away off BB starts allowing 2 runs or less
      Gobble - 1-10 TSR as an underdog of +175 to +250

      Chicago White Sox (-120) at Oakland (8.5), 4:05 ET
      Garcia (R) vs. Redman (L)
      (Matchup)
      Garcia - White Sox 1-6 away vs. AL West opponents
      Redman - Oakland 11-2 at home vs. AL Central opponents

      Baltimore (9) at Kansas City (-115), 6:15 ET
      Lopez (R) vs. Brazelton (R)
      (Matchup)
      Lopez - 1-6 TSR after allowing 0 walks last start
      Brazelton - Tampa Bay 13-5 off a win by 2 runs or less

      New York Yankees (-155) at Detroit (10.5), 7:05 ET
      Hernandez (R) vs. Knotts (R)
      (Matchup)
      Hernandez - Yankees 6-1 away after having 2 base-hits or less
      Knotts - Detroit 1-7 at home off a shutout win

      Toronto (10.5) at Texas (-130), 8:05 ET
      Lilly (L) vs. Rodriguez (R)
      (Matchup)
      Lilly - Toronto 5-14 off 3+ games scoring 3 runs or less
      Rodriguez - Texas 8-0 at home on Saturdays

      Cleveland (-120) at Seattle (, 10:05 ET
      Sabathia (L) vs. Franklin (R)
      (Matchup)
      Sabathia - Cleveland 8-2 Under off a win by 6+ runs
      Franklin - Seattle 1-8 after allowing 10+ runs

      Boston (9.5) at Anaheim (-120), 10:05 ET
      Wakefield (R) vs. Colon (R)
      (Matchup)
      Wakefield - Boston 1-6 away vs. AL West opponents
      Colon - Anaheim 11-3 at home vs. AL East opponents

      Comment

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