Saturday's Service Plays Thread

[BettorsChat]

nt

[ItsBillBelichick]

Winning Selections 124-112, +38.9*

MLB:



3* Chicago Cubs -105 (Maddux vs Sheets)
3* Chicago WS -115 (Garcia vs Redman)
3* Tampa Bay -110 (Brazelton vs Lopez)

[savage1]

Sebastian's telephone comp. play is Colorado.
Northcoast's comp. play(Billy Coleman) 3* Texas-this is specified as an action play.

[Spark]

Dunkel Index - Saturday
SATURDAY, JULY 17

National League

New York Mets* (Glavine) 10.55 (1/2) Philadelphia (Wolf) 10.17
O/U: 7 1/2

Chicago Cubs* (Maddux) 10.57 (1/2) Milwaukee (Sheets) 10.21
O/U: 5 1/2

Los Angeles (Perez) 12.82 (4 1/2) Arizona* (Fossum) 8.46
O/U: 9 1/2

Pittsburgh* (Wells) 11.07 (1/2) Florida (Pavano) 10.36
O/U: 6 1/2

Atlanta* (Ortiz) 11.83 (2) Montreal (Armas) 9.96
O/U: 8

San Diego (Wells) 9.47 (Even) Houston* (Oswalt) 9.43
O/U: 7 1/2

St. Louis (Marquis) 12.54 (2 1/2) Cincinnati* (Lidle) 10.28
O/U: 9

San Francisco (Schmidt) 12.14 (1) Colorado* (Cook) 11.07
O/U: 11 1/2

American League

Minnesota (Santana) 10.51 (1 1/2) Kansas City* (Gobble) 9.16
O/U: 9

Oakland* (Redman) 10.80 (1/2) Chicago White Sox (Garcia) 10.61
O/U: 9

Tampa Bay* (Brazelton) 9.84 (1/2) Baltimore (Lopez) 9.21
O/U: 8 1/2

New York Yankees (Hernandez) 12.72 (1 1/2) Detroit* (Knotts) 10.95
O/U: 10 1/2

Texas* (Rodriguez) 11.07 (1 1/2) Toronto (Lilly) 9.81
O/U: 10 1/2

Cleveland (Sabathia) 10.26 (2) Seattle* (Franklin) 8.42
O/U: 9

Boston (Wakefield) 12.74 (1 1/2) Anaheim* (Colon) 11.26
O/U: 9

[maxwell]

killerinstinct

Do you always get mike nowlins plays? I hear he is really good with his 20* plays, do you know how he does in football and baskets? thanks for the posts

[scraper]

Welcome to our_first annual_service_free trial!_

-- WinOnBaseball handicaps Major League Baseball exclusively.


-- All plays with analysis, along with current and past season records, will be updated_weekly on the "Records" page of our website.

_

-- All records will be documented at National Sports Monitor (*********.com)

Season record:_168-178 -25.89_UNITS

_

Note: _Thursday's play of CLE/SEA UNDER was inadvertently counted as a win._ However, Sabathia (the listed starter) did not start this game._ Thus, the game should have been a NO PLAY._ This error has been corrected, and our records have been updated._

_Three plays for Saturday:

_
SD (WELLS) +133 over Hou (Oswalt) - 1 UNIT - 1:05pm Pacific

The Padre bats can be dangerous on the road, as reflected by their .286 BA._ Houston does not fare as well against lefties, and Wells has been very good this year._

_CHW (GARCIA) -117 over Oak (Redman) - 1 UNIT - 1:05pm Pacific

Garcia has been pretty dominant against the Oakland hitters._ He's a different pitcher on the road, but Oakland's park should help more than hurt._ The Sox's righty dominated lineup is very favorable against the lefty Redman, who has been struggling lately._

_

BOS (WAKEFIELD) +114 over Ana_(Colon) - 1 UNIT - 7:05pm Pacific

Colon ended his horrible string of bad games in his last start, but his fastball is still several MPH off compared to his days in Cleveland (his fastball was clocked in the high 80s, instead of high 90s)._ More troublesome is the HRs he has been giving up._ Against a slugging team like Boston,t hat could spell trouble for him._ I look for the Boston offense to come through in this one._

_

[Spark]

SGH

We're on a 72-38-2 run with our last 112 complimentary releases including a win with 11 of the last 13 releases after Cleveland pummeled Seattle on Friday.

For Saturday take Texas to beat Toronto.

The Rangers are for real and the Blue Jays are roadkill.

Texas ran its home record to 26-12 after beating Toronto in game one of this series on Friday. The Jays have lost four straight while Texas has won 6 of 9.

Ricardo Rodriguez is 2-0 with a sweet 1.04 ERA in three appearances. Ted Lilly has been solid for the Jays going 7-6 with a 4.27 ERA.

Last night's game was the perfect example of how explosive the Ranger offense can be winning 11-2 in a runaway. Expect similar results in this game as Lilly follows in Halladay's footsteps. Rodriguez is part of a good young pitching nucleus that Texas has got good results from. That along with a solid lineup makes the Rangers a tough team to beat.

Too tough for the Jays to handle.

[Spark]

Today’s Free Pick in MLB: Texas -130 (Rodriguez) over Toronto (Lilly)

TEXAS is 67-41 against the money line in home games after a win over the last 3 seasons.

TORONTO is 16-27 against the money line in away games this season.

TEXAS is 26-12 against the money line in home games in all games this season.

TEXAS is 26-12 against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.

TEXAS is 19-7 against the money line in home games in night games this season.

TEXAS is 8-0 against the money line in home games when playing on Saturday this season.

TEXAS is 15-7 (+8.3 Units) against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons

TEXAS over the last 10 games has hit left handed pitching .311.

[mary]

ppp-comp

cards

[Power106]

Fixer Wins

2* MINNESOTA over Kansas City (Santana over Gobble)
KC took the first two in this series, but Minnesota is a solid 6-1 this season when playing with double revenge against an opponent, and KC is horrible in Game 3 situations this season at 5-21 overall and just 3-9 when coming off a win in game 2. Destite losing the first two of this series, Minnesota still has KC's number on the season with a 9-5 record this year versus KC, and KC has shown nothing this season as a big dog going just 1-10 as dogs of +175 or more. Santana has been incredibly solid of late with a 1.44 ERA last 3 starts striking out 36 batters to jsut 6 walks, and he has not allowed more than 2 earned runs in any of his last 7 starts. He is now 7-1 last 2 seasons after consecutive starts where he allowed 2 or less earned runs. Minnesota's offense has struggled a bit of late, but they are facing Gobble who has struggled mightily with a 8.59 ERA last 3 starts, and Minnesota has hit lefties relatively well with a .295 average versus lefties last 10 games. Not that it should matter, but Minnesota certainly has the better bullpen, and with that we are willing to play on Minnesota despite the high line.

2* MILWAUKEE over Cubs (Sheets over Maddux)
Ben Sheets has dominated good teams this season with a 6-1 record versus teams with winning records, and he also has a tendency to follow up a good performance with another as he is 7-1 in recent years after a game where he allowed no earned runs. Maddux has been hit hard of late allowing 24 hits in 15 1/3 innings last 3 starts for a 7.83 ERA, and of those 24 hits five have been longballs meaning his control is anything but sharp. Sheets has a 8-3 record in his 11 starts versus Chicago with a 2.77 ERA in those games, and with the Cubs hitting just .239 off right-handers over their last 10 games we'll ride Sheets and Milwaukee in this one here today.

2* HOUSTON over San Diego (Oswalt over Wells)
Roy Oswalt has a solid 3.65 ERA and he has gone late in games averaging 6.9 innings per start this season. He has been dominating with 116 strikeouts to just 27 walks, but has been hit well with 135 hits allowed over his 130 2/3 innings pitched. That said, San Diego is just 4-17 last couple years on the road against a starter that allows 7 or more hits per start, and they are also just 15-36 versus opposing starters that have a 3.50-4.20 ERA, which is indicative of an average to above average starter today. Wells is 0-7 this season when playing with a total of 8 or 8 1/2 runs, which means he doesn't usually fare well against teams that have a good opposing starter that is likely to keep his team's scoring down. Oswalt's ERA is just over a full point better at 2.81 in his day starts then his night starts, and we like his chances of using his power pitches to take game 2 of this series.

2* WHITE SOX over Oakland (Garcia over Redman)
Oakland has won both of the first two games of this series, but Chicago is a solid 16-8 in Game 3s this season, and overall they are 19-12 in a series when coming off a loss to that same team. Freddie Garcia is familiar with the Oakland lineup from his time in Seattle, and he is pitching well this season with a 3.45 ERA and 1.180 WHIP. He beat Oakland in his only start against them earlier this year shutting them out through 7 innings allowing just 3 hits, and he has been at his best in day games this year with a 4-0 record and 2.78 ERA. In contrast, Mark Redman has been rocked in day games with a 5.25 ERA, and has been less than stellar at home with a 6.00 ERA. His worst starts have come of late as noted by his 11.47 ERA over his last 3 starts. The White Sox are 10-2 after scoring 1 or less run this season, and Garcia is a solid 30-13 on the road versus teams with winning records last few years. That's enough to have us looking to Chicago in this one!

2* FLORIDA over Pittsburgh (Pavano over Wells)
Pittsburgh won the opener yesterday 6-2 on the arm on Benson, but Florida is a solid 10-3 this season on the road after scoring 2 or less runs, and with Pavano on the hill we like the chances of that trend continuing. Pavano is 6-1 this year after allowing 1 or less earned run last start, 7-1 last 8 as a road favorite of minus 125 or more, 8-2 last 10 as a road favorite of minus 150 or less, and he has been a solid second half pitcher as indicated by his team's 19-8 record in his second half starts last 2+ seasons. Pittsburgh is just 4-13 at home when playing with a rested bullpen that pitched one inning or less last game, and they are just 9-18 in Game 2s this season. Kip Wells has struggled with walks this season allowing a whopping 56 walks in his 99 1/3 innings of work, and nothing kills you quicker in MLB then allowing walks as those free trips usually turn into runs. He has allowed 13 walks in his last 3 starts, and Florida is not a team that chases many balls striking out a relatively low number for the season. Look for Pavano and Florida to reverse what happened yesterday as they win game 2.

[Power106]

Private Players of Pitt

Phillies
Cardinals
WhiteSox
Rangers
RedSox

[Spark]

Impact Sports Picks 66% last 39.

St.Louis @Cincinnati 1:20pm EST
Play On: Cards (Marquis)

The Cardinals are on a major roll and if you are riding with them you have a smile as wide as the Mississippi River. Cards are 21-6 since June 13 to blow by everyone in the NL Central.

Among the many reasons we support the Redbirds today is the fact that if they have won a game after a loss, they have won 3 or more games in six of the last nine times that situation has occured. Cards hurler Marquis is 3-1 on the road with a 2.92 ERA.

The Reds have a very good home record at 25-17, that however is easily countered by Tony's crew who are 28-15 on the road. In fact, St. Louis has moved into the #2 spot in generating money for baseball bettors and are a sick +11 units on the road.

The Cardinals have put together a number of profitable runs together, which includes a 36-15 70% run against the money line after 3 or more consecutive games as favorite this season.

Like the team, like the match-up and think the Reds will continue to fall. Redbirds Win.

[KillerInstinct]

Re: killerinstinct

Originally posted by maxwell
Do you always get mike nowlins plays? I hear he is really good with his 20* plays, do you know how he does in football and baskets? thanks for the posts

I'm signed up for his baseball picks right now through the end of the season, which I'll keep posting for you every day. I haven't made my mind up on him yet though. I missed the first 2 months of his baseball when it looked like he was really hot. He's just breaking even the last 1.5 months, but I think he'll be a winner by the end of the season. His GOW plays are very solid. As for basketball and football, I really don't know - they tout on the site how great they did, but I've learned that they overhype shit on that site, so take it with a grain of salt...

BTW, he hasn't released today's picks yet.

[Power106]

Marcus Langdon

He passed yesterday.............

3*RockiesUnder
WhiteSox
Padres
Indians

[predator]

chet coppock

Here's the FREE winner for today, courtesy of Chet Coppock:

Date: July 17, 2004

Sport: MLB

Pick: Saturday: Take ANAHEIM -1.5 vs. boston red sox (10:05 PM EST)