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Fridays Early Play

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  • Fridays Early Play

    We hit banger #5 on Thursday with a nice 8-0 winner on the Braves. Bringing my Banger Alert record to 5-2 on the year! For the night I'm 4-2 and +14.75 units with 2 plays pending as I'm writing this thread. Rockies -1.10 for 5 units and the Indians +1.18 for 5 units. Will update my record later on today!

    Fridays Early Play

    3:25 Brewers Santos +1.60 at Cubbies Clement -1.80 with no total posted yet!

    *The Brewers come into todays game, having won 17 of their last 28 games at Chicago.
    *Milwaukee has played 13 road series so far this year and have won either game 1 or game 2 in 11 of those series.
    *The Brewers have won game 1 or game 2 in 7 of their last 8 series at the Cubbies!
    *Santos is 6-0 on the road this year with a 3.29 ERA
    *Here are Santos stats by a month to month breakdown
    In April; He was 0-0 with a 9.00 ERA pitching out of the bullpen
    In May; He was 2-2 with a 3.94 ERA
    In June; He was 4-1 with a 2.96 ERA
    In July; He is currently 2-0 with a 4.91 ERA
    As you can see he seems to be improving with each month. He has not thrown over 100 pitches in his 7 game starts this season/so I would think, he's on a 100 pitch count. He did go 6.1 innings at Minnesota for his longest outing on the year. His first 4 starts on the year, he threw 5 innings in each start. He has pretty much thrown 6 innings in each of his last 3 starts. Seems like there trying to slowly build his endurance up a little! In his 7 starts, he's gotten decent run support, as the Brewers have scored a total of 49 runs for an average of 7 rpg. I would consider this excellent run support compared to other starters run support for the year.

    *Clements stats for the year!
    In April he was 3-1 with a 2.22 ERA
    In May he was 3-2 with a 3.54 ERA
    In June he was 1-3 with a 2.78 ERA
    In July he is currently 0-2 with a 2.77 ERA
    *Clements in his last 4 home starts vs the Brewers has lost 3-5, won 10-1 vs some guy by the name of Pember, lost 4-6vs, and in 2001 with the Marlins lost 2-8 vs a very bad Brewer's team. In his three losses the Brewers have scored a total of 19 runs.

    Now lets look at Clements last 5 starts
    18 Jun Lost 1-2 vs A's
    24 Jun Lost 0-4 at Cards
    30 Jun Lost 2-3 vs Astros
    5 Jul Lost 0-1 at Brewers
    10 Jul Lost 2-5 at Cards

    He's actually thrown 5 pretty decent games here, pitching a total of 31.2 innings, allowing 27 hits, 11 runs, 8 earned runs, 3 HR's, allowed 16 BB's (not good), and struck out 33 batters. Now lets look at the negatives here in these 5 starts. First he's gotten no run support, as the Cubs have only scored a total of 5 runs in those 5 starts. Second, He has gotten into some high pitch counts throwing, 121 pitches, 80 pitches, 104 pitches, 123 pitches, and 114 pitches. I would have to think, the Cubs either are working him a little to hard, or else they don't have any faith in their bullpen. The man just hasn't had any luck throwing quality games like he has and he's 0-4 in those starts.

    Now what I have to question here is, how the hell can the linemakers make him a -1.80 favorite! The Cubs aren't exactly setting the world on fire, they have won 2 games in a row, but before Woods threw his gem against the Cards before the All Star break, the Cubs were actually struggling. Looking at all this information, I'm gonna take my chances here and play the Brewers Santos with a 6-0 road record at +1.60 for 5 units! Lets hope the Cubs leave their sticks in the rack like they did his last 5 starts. Play it or fade it, the decision is yours, but I'm gonna take a chance here at these odds and take the Brew Crew!

    GL Krunch
    :D
    Last edited by krunch; 07-16-2004, 01:42 AM.

  • #2
    Good Luck krunch!

    I believe Clement will get run support tomorrow for a real change and he may even go deep in the innings......a NO PLAY for me......BUT THEN AGAIN......I HAD MONEY ON THE ROCKIES TONIGHT WITH "ORANGATANG SHAWNEE SHICKEN SHEQUEEN SHECONE"!@ WHO fucked up yet another solid win into a humiliating loss for his team! So what do I know!!

    BEST OF LUCK TO YOU ON TOMORROWS PLAY krunch! CHICONE SUCKS Gv
    I am NOT schizophrenic......and NEITHER am I! Just paranoid that fear may overcome my insanity!

    Comment


    • #3
      Good Luck Krunch

      Comment


      • #4
        ADDING

        Royals D May +1.30 for 3 units!

        Cleveland-Seattle under 8 -1.15 for 3 units

        GL Krunch
        :D

        Comment


        • #5
          ADDING

          Giants Rueter +1.05 for 5 units; The Giants are 7-1 vs the Rockies this year and need to win to keep pace with the Dodgers and Padres! Rueter lost his early start this year at Colorado, I look for him to rebound and win this game tonight! The Giants have now won 4 games in a row!

          GL Krunch
          :D

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          • #6
            Great job on he Banger last night Krunch! Hate I missed the Milw play! Great HIT!

            Comment


            • #7
              Banger Alert

              9:05 W Sox Buehrle at A's Zito -1.14; Playing the A's -1.14 for 10 units!

              Buehrle is 2-5 on the year vs opposing teams throwing a lefthander.
              W Sox are 1-14 their last 15 games at Oakland.
              Buehrle is 0-5 at Oakland and 2-8 vs the A's
              W Sox are 2-8 on the road this year vs lefthanders, both wins coming at Minnesota vs J Santana
              Zito is not in great form this year, but I feel with him pitching against a team he's had prior success against, I look for him to rise to the occasion tonight and get a victory here.
              Zito has won his last 4 starts vs the W Sox.

              Good luck on your decision to play the A's or fade em, but my moneys on the boys from Oakland. Their one tough team to beat at home!

              GL Krunch
              :D

              Comment


              • #8
                ADDING

                Boston P Martinez -1.33 for 5 units; Martinez is 7-1 his last 8 starts against the Angels. With the Yankees losing today, the Red Sox need to win this game to pick up some ground in the American League East.

                GL Krunch
                :D

                Comment


                • #9
                  Updating My Record

                  Gonna try an keep a record for the 2nd half of the baseball season, but be forewarned, I'm terrible at keeping records. Now 6-2 on my banger plays, as we got a nice little 5-1 win out of the A's tonight.

                  Thursday went 4-4 and won +4.25 units
                  Friday 3-1 so far, holding +18.45 units with pending plays on the Giants +1.05 for 5 units to win 5.25 units and holding Boston -6.65 units to win 5 units. The good note is, I'm guaranteed to come out + units for the night. Will update later on today!

                  Krunch
                  :D

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Congrats!

                    On another nice night krunch!

                    The record thing is a real pain....I never used to keep one either...just post plays.....but then many wanted to know exactly what to follow...which ones and for how much or what strength... which I can see why.....I think it really helps others out if they wish to play or fade....from the looks of my 3 star plays and the White Sox.....Fade would be the play!

                    BEST OF LUCK KRUNCH......AND NICE JOB! Goldv
                    I am NOT schizophrenic......and NEITHER am I! Just paranoid that fear may overcome my insanity!

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Great night Krunch you are HOT right now! Keep them coming!

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