Wednesday's Service Plays Thread

[BettorsChat]

nt

[Champion Plays]

Wednesday MLB...Astros at Padres

10.05pm ET
Houston (42 - 41) at San Diego (46 - 37)
Roy Oswalt (R) vs. Jacob Peavy (R)

The San Diego Padres are an excellent value play tonight as a small home underdog versus the Houston Astros.

The Padres have now won eight straight at home following a 5-3 win against the Astros last night.

"Playing well at home, it's a huge key to a winning season," San Diego manager Bruce Bochy said. "We're starting to swing the bats better and pitch better. And the fans are behind us and you can feel it down on the field."

"We know how important it is to win at home if we want to win the division," Brian Giles added.

Tonight they send Jake Peavy to the mound for his second start since a 41 day stint on the DL. He pitched 5 1/3 strong innings in his return Friday, allowing just one earned run and consistently throwing 93-94 mph.

"He looked like himself," Bochy said. "He had good velocity, he had good command, a good changeup. I thought he had great stuff and it was nice to see. He wasn't hesitant to let the ball go and he pitched very well."

Peavy has been remarkably consistent this season, never allowing more than two earned runs in any of his ten starts.

Meantime the Astros have dropped three straight to fall a season-low nine games behind first-place St. Louis in the NL Central.

They give the ball to Roy Oswalt tonight and while he has a big reputation, his road numbers this season are only mediocre. He has a 4.24 ERA and 1.35 WHIP on the highway this season with the Astros winning just three of his eight starts. That compares with Peavy's 2.06 ERA and 1.37 WHIP, albeit in a pitcher's park, but more importantly the Padres are 4-2 in his home starts.

In a likely pitcher's duel we'll take the hot home dog.

Recommended Play: San Diego +102

[scraper]

WinOnBaseball.com_-_Tuesday_-_7/6/04
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Welcome to our_first annual_service_free trial!_

WinOnBaseball handicaps Major League Baseball exclusively.
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Season record:_163-168 -20.55_UNITS

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Three plays for Wednesday:

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UNDER_7 CHC (ZAMBRANO)/MIL (DAVIS) +107 - 1 UNIT - 5:05pm Pacific

Both teams have been receiving some excellent pitching_this year._ The two teams in this matchup rank near the top of their league in pitching effectiveness._ Davis had a rough outing in his last start, but he should bounce back in this one._ Against lefties, the Cubs are pretty bad._ They are hitting .239 with a .314 OBP and .367 SLG._ These trends should continue against a quality lefty in Davis._ Zambrano has been a little less effective on the road, but has been stellar for most of the year._

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UNDER 7 HOU (OSWALT)/SD (PEAVY) -130 - 1 UNIT - 7:05pm Pacific

This should be a great pitching duel._ Oswalt is looking very impressive._ He is coming off a couple of dominating performances against a tough Texas lineup._ He gave up 5 ER in his last start against them, but two of the runs came in the 8th, when he normally would not have been in there._ Also, he struck out 11 in that game._ His command has been particularly impressive, as he has walked a total of three batters over his last seven games._ Peavy had an impressive outing in his last start._ With two high quality pitchers in a pitcher's park, runs should be very hard to come by.

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CHW (SCHOENEWEIS) +101 over Ana (Washburn) - 1 UNIT - 5:05pm Pacific

The White Sox against a lefty is always a juicy proposition, and I'll take them here._ Washburn is a flyball pitcher, and Chicago's lineup has the capabilities those flyballs out of the park._ He gave up 4 HRs in his last start against Oakland._ Schoeneweis is not the greatest, but he'll likely get some nice run support, and he should be fired up to face his old team._

_

[caper]

Net Prophet for Wed 7/7:

MLB:

Atlanta (Wright) -120 over Montreal (Hernandez)
NY Mets (Traschel) +119 over Philadelphia (Myers)
Tampa Bay (Bell) +104 over Baltimore (Parrish)

JRM/THE PROPHET

nonigoji

[Power106]

Pacific Star

Just one pick today

Cardinals Runline

[mary]

thanks

[Spark]

Dunkel - Wednesday
WEDNESDAY, JULY 7

National League

Atlanta (Wright) 10.97 (1 1/2) Montreal* (Hernandez) 9.32
O/U: 7 1/2

New York Mets (Trachsel) 11.77 (1) Philadelphia* (Myers) 10.58
O/U: 9 1/2

Pittsburgh (Perez) 11.53 (1 1/2) Florida* (Pavano) 9.92
O/U: 8

Chicago Cubs (Zambrano) 10.88 (1/2) Milwaukee* (Davis) 10.23
O/U: 7 1/2

St. Louis* (Williams) 13.62 (4) Cincinnati (Sanchez) 9.59
O/U: 9 1/2

San Diego* (Peavy) 10.37 (1) Houston (Oswalt) 9.40
O/U: 6 1/2

Los Angeles* (Ishii) 10.75 (2) Arizona (Sparks) 8.87
O/U: 8 1/2

San Francisco* (Rueter) 10.33 (Even) Colorado (Kennedy) 10.33
O/U: 9 1/2

American League

New York Yankees* (Halsey) 10.71 (1/2) Detroit (Bonderman) 10.13
O/U: 11

Toronto* (Towers) 10.98 (1 1/2) Seattle (Blackley) 9.26
O/U: 9 1/2

Boston* (Martinez) 11.80 (1) Oakland (Redman) 10.69
O/U: 8 1/2

Baltimore* (Parrish) 10.56 (1/2) Tampa Bay (Bell) 10.15
O/U: 9 1/2

Texas (Drese) 11.67 (1) Cleveland* (Davis) 9.98
O/U: 11

Chicago White Sox* (Schoeneweis) 9.78 (1/2) Anaheim (Washburn) 9.65
O/U: 10

Minnesota* (Lohse) 9.83 (2 1/2) Kansas City (Reyes) 7.32
O/U: 9

[Spark]

SGH

We're on a 67-36-2 run with our last 105 complimentary releases including a 6-0 run

BRAVES

[Spark]

OTM

JULY: 4-2

BAL/TB OVER

[Spark]

TONY DARDEN

13-7 my last 20 free plays, and tonight I stay with the New York Mets !

The Mets have looked really good, as of late, going 5-1 their last 6 games overall, and tonight they send Steve Trachsel to the hill. The Mets have taken five of the last seven meetings with the Phillies, and the home team is 1-6 in the last seven overall. Trachsel is now 2-1 in his last three starts, with the team winning 2 of the 3, with a sharp 3.10 ERA. Myers has been terrible in his last three, going 0-2, with the team going 0-3, with an ERA over 10. Stay with the Mets again tonight !!

[Spark]

SCOTT DELANEY

I'm on a 94-60 run and for today's selection, it is the Padres.

3* Padres
(Scale : 1* to 5*)

[Spark]

Sebastian (3-3 +5)
TEXAS (-115)

Texas Sports (3-3 -162)
CUBS (-145)

Black Magic (3-1 +210)
CARDS (-200)

[Spark]

JCD Sports on a 43-25 run (64%) over their last 67 free picks.

Today’s Free Pick in MLB: Atlanta -107 (Wright) over Montreal (Hernandez)


Montreal is 17-40 against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Montreal is 16-41 against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.

Montreal is 0-6 against the money line in home games when playing on Wednesday this season.

Montreal is 1-5 in their last 6 meetings.

Hernandez is 2-11 against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.

Wright is 13-3 against the money line in road games when playing on Wednesday since 1997.

Atlanta is 31-15 against Montreal over the last 3 seasons.

Atlanta is 6-2 in Wright’s last 8 starts.

Atlanta is 8-2 in their last 10 games.

Atlanta is 6-2 in the series this season.

[timster]

Originally posted by SPARK
Sebastian (3-3 +5)
TEXAS (-115)

Texas Sports (3-3 -162)
CUBS (-145)

Black Magic (3-1 +210)
CARDS (-200)

The Sebastian Texas play is that the 100* or a comp selection?
thanks

[savage1]

NorthCoast Comp. Line(Billy Coleman today) has under the total in SF/Colorado.