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Wednesday's Plays/Banger Alert
Well gang, we're 2-0 so far in our banger alerts, and I've got another good one for Wednesday! Lets keep the train rolling.
Zac Day is 2-13 under in his 15 starts this year. He is 9-0 under on the year when he matches up with a right handed opponent. L 1-3 at Toronto, Won 4-2 vs WSox, Won 4-2 at Reds, L1 -4 vs Reds, L0-5 at Braves, L3-4 at Brewers, Won 2-0 vs Phillies, L0-3 vs Marlins, L2-3 vs Mets. As you can see, the highest total of runs scored when he matched up with a right handed opponent is 7 runs at the Brewers, so were getting an extra 2 1/2 runs here, thats some serious value to look at. With the Phillies lighting the scoreboard up the past 2 nights, this could be a great time to sneak an under bet in. I feel the public will probably be betting the total over in this one, with the high run production in the series on Monday and Tuesday night. I'm playing the game to go under 9 1/2 runs for 10 units!
The Brewers are better than just about every other team in baseball in most pitching categories.
* No team has allowed fewer hits, than the Brewers!
* Their 307 runs allowed and 3.75 team ERA are both third-best in the Majors.
* Only the Mets have allowed fewer homeruns.
The under is 40-31 coming into Tuesday nights game at Colorado. Ben Sheets, who gets the ball on Wednesday has an over/under record of 4 overs, 11 unders on the season, and he has not allowed more than 4 runs in a game all year.
The last time these 2 pitchers hooked up, Cook pitched 8 shutout innnings in a Colorado 3-0 win. Sheets gave up 4 hits, 2 earned runs, and struck out 10 batters. This is a turn around play situation. If you've been following these situations closely this year, you'll see that in most cases the losing team/pitcher in the first meeting will win the second time around more so than not in a rematch. I'm playing Sheets -1.50 for 5 units and the game total under 11 1/2 for 5 units.
Another turn around play situation. On 6-2-04, Clement lost 1-5 vs the Astros/ Roger Clemens. Come on Cubbies, playing the Cubs Clement -1.05 for 5 units.
Lawrence/Padres are 7-2 in his 9 road starts this season. The DBacks coming into Tuesday nights game have lost 10 games in a row. In those 10 games, they have been one struggling offense only scoring a total of 29 runs. The Padres on the other hand have won 6 of their last 7 games and the DBacks are only 5-14 their last 19 home games. Playing Lawrence/Padres -1.22 for 5 units.
Nomo is pitching for the Dodgers; Enough said, playing the Giants/Tomko -1/05 for 3 units!
This appears to be a very strong card and I really love these plays, so I thought I would put this post out a little early so everyone could do their homework and look these games over very closely. Good luck on your decisons for Wednesday's games.
Krunch
:cool:
Zac Day is 2-13 under in his 15 starts this year. He is 9-0 under on the year when he matches up with a right handed opponent. L 1-3 at Toronto, Won 4-2 vs WSox, Won 4-2 at Reds, L1 -4 vs Reds, L0-5 at Braves, L3-4 at Brewers, Won 2-0 vs Phillies, L0-3 vs Marlins, L2-3 vs Mets. As you can see, the highest total of runs scored when he matched up with a right handed opponent is 7 runs at the Brewers, so were getting an extra 2 1/2 runs here, thats some serious value to look at. With the Phillies lighting the scoreboard up the past 2 nights, this could be a great time to sneak an under bet in. I feel the public will probably be betting the total over in this one, with the high run production in the series on Monday and Tuesday night. I'm playing the game to go under 9 1/2 runs for 10 units!
The Brewers are better than just about every other team in baseball in most pitching categories.
* No team has allowed fewer hits, than the Brewers!
* Their 307 runs allowed and 3.75 team ERA are both third-best in the Majors.
* Only the Mets have allowed fewer homeruns.
The under is 40-31 coming into Tuesday nights game at Colorado. Ben Sheets, who gets the ball on Wednesday has an over/under record of 4 overs, 11 unders on the season, and he has not allowed more than 4 runs in a game all year.
The last time these 2 pitchers hooked up, Cook pitched 8 shutout innnings in a Colorado 3-0 win. Sheets gave up 4 hits, 2 earned runs, and struck out 10 batters. This is a turn around play situation. If you've been following these situations closely this year, you'll see that in most cases the losing team/pitcher in the first meeting will win the second time around more so than not in a rematch. I'm playing Sheets -1.50 for 5 units and the game total under 11 1/2 for 5 units.
Another turn around play situation. On 6-2-04, Clement lost 1-5 vs the Astros/ Roger Clemens. Come on Cubbies, playing the Cubs Clement -1.05 for 5 units.
Lawrence/Padres are 7-2 in his 9 road starts this season. The DBacks coming into Tuesday nights game have lost 10 games in a row. In those 10 games, they have been one struggling offense only scoring a total of 29 runs. The Padres on the other hand have won 6 of their last 7 games and the DBacks are only 5-14 their last 19 home games. Playing Lawrence/Padres -1.22 for 5 units.
Nomo is pitching for the Dodgers; Enough said, playing the Giants/Tomko -1/05 for 3 units!
This appears to be a very strong card and I really love these plays, so I thought I would put this post out a little early so everyone could do their homework and look these games over very closely. Good luck on your decisons for Wednesday's games.
Krunch
:cool:
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